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Every play our model likes more than the book does, across every sport, in one table. Beside each one: how plays like it have actually done. Sort it, filter it, tag what you like and cast it as a slip.

100plays today54strong50–48graded so far2final · awaiting grade
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  1. CFBUnder 55.5WKU at NMSU · Game totalWKU at NMSUWizLine41.0Book55.5 −108+10.6 ptsleanNo track record yet for plays like this.Final 13-34✓—
  2. NHLCGY +1.5Calgary Flames · Puck lineSEA at CGYWizLine71%Book51% +225draftkings+20.1%strongUnmeasured bar · 50% on 38 plays since Oct 2 · −16.5% ROIFinal 6-1✗—
  3. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGKent Johnson · Shots on goalBUF at CBJWizLine63% · 1.3 SOGBook43% +115draftkings+19.8%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 3-6✓—
  4. NHLSEA under 3.5Seattle Kraken · Team totalSEA at CGYWizLine63%Book44% −173williamhill us+19.7%strongUnmeasured bar · 48% on 101 plays since Oct 2 · −15.8% ROI · no better than betting every over (41%)Final 6-1✗—
  5. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGMaxim Shabanov · Shots on goalMIN at NSHWizLine63% · 1.3 SOGBook44% +109williamhill us+18.7%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 3-1✓—
  6. NHLFLA under 3.5Florida Panthers · Team totalFLA at SJSWizLine58%Book40% −127williamhill us+18.4%strongUnmeasured bar · 48% on 101 plays since Oct 2 · −15.8% ROI · no better than betting every over (41%)Final/OT 3-4✓—
  7. NHLTBL under 3.5Tampa Bay Lightning · Team totalTBL at NYRWizLine58%Book40% −154fanduel+17.2%strongUnmeasured bar · 48% on 101 plays since Oct 2 · −15.8% ROI · no better than betting every over (41%)Final 1-5✓—
  8. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGIsaac Howard · Shots on goalEDM at VANWizLine61% · 1.4 SOGBook44% +110draftkings+16.8%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 9-7✗—
  9. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGColton Dach · Shots on goalEDM at VANWizLine72% · 1.1 SOGBook55% −145draftkings+16.8%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 9-7✗—
  10. NHLMIN under 3.5Minnesota Wild · Team totalMIN at NSHWizLine57%Book41% −140betmgm+15.8%strongUnmeasured bar · 48% on 101 plays since Oct 2 · −15.8% ROI · no better than betting every over (41%)Final 3-1✓—
  11. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGBrett Pesce · Shots on goalPHI at NJDWizLine69% · 1.1 SOGBook54% −154williamhill us+14.2%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final/OT 2-3✓—
  12. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGRasmus Dahlin · Shots on goalBUF at CBJWizLine61% · 2.3 SOGBook47% +100fanduel+14.0%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 3-6✗—
  13. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGDmitry Orlov · Shots on goalFLA at SJSWizLine71% · 1.1 SOGBook58% −160draftkings+13.7%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final/OT 3-4✓—
  14. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGBowen Byram · Shots on goalCHI at UTAWizLine66% · 1.2 SOGBook52% −125draftkings+13.5%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 0-6✓—
  15. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGVasily Podkolzin · Shots on goalEDM at VANWizLine66% · 2.1 SOGBook53% −125draftkings+13.3%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 9-7✗—
  16. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGMatvei Gridin · Shots on goalSEA at CGYWizLine65% · 2.1 SOGBook52% −120draftkings+13.0%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 6-1✓—
  17. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGLeon Draisaitl · Shots on goalEDM at VANWizLine53% · 2.6 SOGBook40% +138fanduel+12.8%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 9-7✗—
  18. NHLCBJ under 3.5Columbus Blue Jackets · Team totalBUF at CBJWizLine62%Book50% −120betmgm+12.8%strongUnmeasured bar · 48% on 101 plays since Oct 2 · −15.8% ROI · no better than betting every over (41%)Final 3-6✗—
  19. NHLNYR under 3.5New York Rangers · Team totalTBL at NYRWizLine65%Book53% +108williamhill us+12.4%strongUnmeasured bar · 48% on 101 plays since Oct 2 · −15.8% ROI · no better than betting every over (41%)Final 1-5✗—
  20. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGJosh Doan · Shots on goalBUF at CBJWizLine71% · 1.9 SOGBook59% −170williamhill us+12.3%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 3-6✗—
  21. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGLuke Evangelista · Shots on goalPHI at NJDWizLine73% · 1.8 SOGBook60% −175draftkings+12.2%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final/OT 2-3✗—
  22. NHLVAN under 2.5Vancouver Canucks · Team totalEDM at VANWizLine46%Book34% −105betmgm+12.2%strongUnmeasured bar · 48% on 101 plays since Oct 2 · −15.8% ROI · no better than betting every over (41%)Final 9-7awaiting grade—
  23. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGLuca Cagnoni · Shots on goalFLA at SJSWizLine68% · 1.2 SOGBook56% −150draftkings+12.2%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final/OT 3-4✗—
  24. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGMattias Ekholm · Shots on goalEDM at VANWizLine54% · 1.6 SOGBook42% +120draftkings+11.8%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 9-7✓—
  25. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGMorgan Frost · Shots on goalSEA at CGYWizLine70% · 1.9 SOGBook59% −156fanduel+11.8%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 6-1✓—
  26. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGAdam Larsson · Shots on goalSEA at CGYWizLine62% · 1.3 SOGBook50% −125draftkings+11.7%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 6-1✓—
  27. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGZeev Buium · Shots on goalEDM at VANWizLine70% · 1.1 SOGBook59% −170draftkings+11.6%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 9-7✗—
  28. NHLUnder 3.5 SOGMatt Boldy · Shots on goalMIN at NSHWizLine65% · 3.0 SOGBook54% −125draftkings+11.5%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 3-1✗—
  29. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGAnton Frondell · Shots on goalCHI at UTAWizLine65% · 2.1 SOGBook53% −125draftkings+11.5%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 0-6✗—
  30. NHLCGY under 3.5Calgary Flames · Team totalSEA at CGYWizLine62%Book51% −125betmgm+11.5%strongUnmeasured bar · 48% on 101 plays since Oct 2 · −15.8% ROI · no better than betting every over (41%)Final 6-1✓—
  31. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGJake DeBrusk · Shots on goalEDM at VANWizLine58% · 2.4 SOGBook47% +108fanduel+11.2%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 9-7✗—
  32. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGConor Garland · Shots on goalBUF at CBJWizLine55% · 1.6 SOGBook44% +115draftkings+10.7%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 3-6✓—
  33. NHLOver 1.5 SOGAnders Lee · Shots on goalCHI at UTAWizLine69% · 2.5 SOGBook58% −160draftkings+10.5%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 0-6✓—
  34. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGJake Walman · Shots on goalEDM at VANWizLine56% · 1.5 SOGBook46% +105draftkings+10.4%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 9-7✓—
  35. NHLUnder 3.5 SOGMacklin Celebrini · Shots on goalFLA at SJSWizLine63% · 3.1 SOGBook52% −125draftkings+10.3%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final/OT 3-4✗—
  36. NHLUTA under 3.5Utah Mammoth · Team totalCHI at UTAWizLine52%Book42% −105betmgm+10.2%strongUnmeasured bar · 48% on 101 plays since Oct 2 · −15.8% ROI · no better than betting every over (41%)Final 0-6✗—
  37. NHLEDM under 3.5Edmonton Oilers · Team totalEDM at VANWizLine49%Book39% +105betmgm+10.1%strongUnmeasured bar · 48% on 101 plays since Oct 2 · −15.8% ROI · no better than betting every over (41%)Final 9-7✗—
  38. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGVince Dunn · Shots on goalSEA at CGYWizLine68% · 2.0 SOGBook58% −155draftkings+10.0%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 6-1✓—
  39. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGBrandon Montour · Shots on goalSEA at CGYWizLine55% · 2.5 SOGBook45% +100fanduel+9.8%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 6-1✗—
  40. NHLBUF under 3.5Buffalo Sabres · Team totalBUF at CBJWizLine60%Book50% −110betmgm+9.7%strongUnmeasured bar · 48% on 101 plays since Oct 2 · −15.8% ROI · no better than betting every over (41%)Final 3-6✓—
  41. NHLOver 2.5 SOGBlake Coleman · Shots on goalMIN at NSHWizLine50% · 2.7 SOGBook40% +138fanduel+9.6%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 3-1✗—
  42. MLBATL Over 3.5Atlanta Braves · Team totalPHI at ATLWizLine4.9 runsBook3.5 −104fanduel+1.42 runslean59% on 211 plays since Jun 24 · +5.5% ROI · no better than betting every over (60%)Final 2-6✓—
  43. NHLUnder 3.5 SOGNikita Kucherov · Shots on goalTBL at NYRWizLine66% · 2.9 SOGBook57% −150draftkings+9.5%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 1-5✓—
  44. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGDougie Hamilton · Shots on goalPHI at NJDWizLine65% · 2.1 SOGBook56% −156fanduel+9.3%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final/OT 2-3✗—
  45. CFBUNT MLNorth Texas Mean Green · MoneylineUNT at TLSAWizLine65%Book56% −142+9.2%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Final/OT 45-44✓—
  46. NHLOver 1.5 SOGAnton Lundell · Shots on goalFLA at SJSWizLine64% · 2.2 SOGBook54% −135draftkings+9.2%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final/OT 3-4✓—
  47. NHLOver 1.5 SOGCharlie Coyle · Shots on goalBUF at CBJWizLine59% · 2.0 SOGBook50% −115draftkings+9.1%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 3-6✗—
  48. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGMarco Rossi · Shots on goalEDM at VANWizLine59% · 1.4 SOGBook50% −120draftkings+8.9%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 9-7✗—
  49. MLBATL MLAtlanta Braves · MoneylinePHI at ATLWizLine59%Book51% −111+8.9%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Final 2-6✓—
  50. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGConnor Zary · Shots on goalSEA at CGYWizLine58% · 1.5 SOGBook49% −105draftkings+8.7%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 6-1✓—

How to read it

Every row is one play our model likes more than the book does. The WizLine is our number, Book is theirs with the best price we found, and the WizEdge is the gap between them. Gold rows are the biggest gaps for that market. The bar a play has to clear is set per sport and market, because a 1.5-strikeout gap in baseball and a four-point lean in soccer aren't the same thing, and “Elite” is just a filter for the very biggest ones.

Track record is the honest column. It's how plays like this one have actually done — hit rate, how many, since when, and whether that beats the dumbest possible rule, like betting every over. Some rows say we haven't measured that yet, or that plays like this have run worse than the blind rule. We show those anyway and say so, rather than hide them. “Has a track record” hides the unmeasured ones with one tap.

Two markets never appear: NBA game totals and team totals. We've graded them and lost, so they stay on their own board under a caveat. The graded so far tile counts only plays a sport has actually graded; a finished game whose grader hasn't run yet sits under awaiting grade.

Sports on this build: NFL · CFB · NBA · NHL · MLB · Soccer · Golf · UFC. Boards: Plays of the Day · MLB leans · NFL · NHL · NBA · SlipCast.