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Every play our model likes more than the book does, across every sport, in one table. Beside each one: how plays like it have actually done. Sort it, filter it, tag what you like and cast it as a slip.

198plays today109strong103–90graded so far5final · awaiting grade
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  1. CFBTXSO +47.5Texas Southern Tigers · SpreadTXSO at FAUWizLine+17.5Book+47.5 −110+14.5 ptsleanNo track record yet for plays like this.Final 10-66awaiting grade—
  2. CFBUAB under 41.5UAB Blazers · Team totalSAM at UABWizLine24.0Book41.5 −102+10.9 ptsleanNo track record yet for plays like this.Final 14-33awaiting grade—
  3. CFBSAM +31.0Samford Bulldogs · SpreadSAM at UABWizLine+7.0Book+31.0 −110+14.3 ptsleanNo track record yet for plays like this.Final 14-33awaiting grade—
  4. CFBMIZ MLMissouri Tigers · MoneylineFLA at MIZWizLine73%Book34% +180+39.3%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Final 17-45✓—
  5. CFBMIZ +5.5Missouri Tigers · SpreadFLA at MIZWizLine−9.0Book+5.5 −110+11.4 ptsleanNo track record yet for plays like this.Final 17-45✓—
  6. CFBUnder 56.5UTSA at RICE · Game totalUTSA at RICEWizLine41.0Book56.5 −110+11.4 ptsleanNo track record yet for plays like this.Final 16-14✓—
  7. CFBUnder 52.5CAL at UNLV · Game totalCAL at UNLVWizLine38.0Book52.5 −110+11.1 ptsleanNo track record yet for plays like this.Final 31-39✗—
  8. UFCUFC 332Khaos Williams to winKhaos Williams · MoneylineRoberto Soldić vs Khaos Williams · UFC 332WizLine66%Book34% +190betmgm+32.4%strongUnmeasured bar · 60% on 1901 plays since Jul 12 · worse than backing every favourite (63%)Final · Decision - Unanimous✗—
  9. MLBOver 1.5 KHagen Smith · Strikeouts O/UCWS at CLEWizLine4.3 KBook1.5 −184+2.8 Kstrong54% on 24 plays since Jun 28 · −3.3% ROI · worse than betting every over (63%)4 K · done✓—
  10. CFBCONN MLUConn Huskies · MoneylineSYR at CONNWizLine59%Book31% +210+27.7%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Final/OT 42-41✗—
  11. CFBGAST MLGeorgia State Panthers · MoneylineODU at GASTWizLine83%Book55% −135+27.6%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Final 10-42✓—
  12. NHLPHI under 3.5Philadelphia Flyers · Team totalCAR at PHIWizLine66%Book41% +110williamhill us+25.0%strongUnmeasured bar · 48% on 101 plays since Oct 2 · −15.8% ROI · no better than betting every over (41%)Final/OT 3-2✓—
  13. NHLMTL under 3.5Montréal Canadiens · Team totalMTL at PITWizLine64%Book41% −150fanduel+22.8%strongUnmeasured bar · 48% on 101 plays since Oct 2 · −15.8% ROI · no better than betting every over (41%)Final/OT 5-6✗—
  14. CFBWAKE −14.5Wake Forest Demon Deacons · SpreadSTAN at WAKEWizLine−23.0Book−14.5 −110+12.4 ptsleanNo track record yet for plays like this.Final 3-57✓—
  15. UFCUFC 332Andrey Pulyaev to winAndrey Pulyaev · MoneylineDamian Pinas vs Andrey Pulyaev · UFC 332WizLine40%Book18% +430fanduel+21.5%strongUnmeasured bar · 60% on 1901 plays since Jul 12 · worse than backing every favourite (63%)Final · KO/TKO✗—
  16. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGVasily Podkolzin · Shots on goalSEA at EDMWizLine66% · 2.1 SOGBook44% +110draftkings+21.4%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 1-3✓—
  17. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGDmitri Voronkov · Shots on goalUTA at CBJWizLine71% · 1.1 SOGBook50% +100draftkings+20.8%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 4-1✓—
  18. CFBTCU MLTCU Horned Frogs · MoneylineBYU at TCUWizLine54%Book34% +185+20.2%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Final 17-10✗—
  19. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGKent Johnson · Shots on goalUTA at CBJWizLine66% · 1.2 SOGBook47% +106fanduel+19.5%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 4-1✗—
  20. NHLUnder 3.5 SOGLeon Draisaitl · Shots on goalSEA at EDMWizLine72% · 2.7 SOGBook53% −128fanduel+19.1%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 1-3✗—
  21. CFBFRES MLFresno State Bulldogs · MoneylineFRES at WSUWizLine66%Book47% +105+19.1%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Final 26-6✓—
  22. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGMichael Kesselring · Shots on goalLAK at SJSWizLine74% · 1.0 SOGBook55% −135draftkings+18.8%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final/OT 4-5✓—
  23. NHLCAR under 3.5Carolina Hurricanes · Team totalCAR at PHIWizLine59%Book41% −175williamhill us+18.3%strongUnmeasured bar · 48% on 101 plays since Oct 2 · −15.8% ROI · no better than betting every over (41%)Final/OT 3-2✓—
  24. NHLDAL under 3.5Dallas Stars · Team totalDAL at NSHWizLine59%Book41% −145betmgm+18.1%strongUnmeasured bar · 48% on 101 plays since Oct 2 · −15.8% ROI · no better than betting every over (41%)Final 1-2✓—
  25. CFBOver 56.5ULM at USA · Game totalULM at USAWizLine64.0Book56.5 −110+11.6 ptsleanNo track record yet for plays like this.Final 35-52✓—
  26. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGLuca Cagnoni · Shots on goalLAK at SJSWizLine62% · 1.3 SOGBook44% +110draftkings+17.4%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final/OT 4-5✗—
  27. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGMichael Misa · Shots on goalLAK at SJSWizLine61% · 1.4 SOGBook44% +116fanduel+16.6%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final/OT 4-5✓—
  28. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGMaxim Shabanov · Shots on goalBOS at MINWizLine64% · 1.3 SOGBook47% +110draftkings+16.2%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 1-4✓—
  29. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGVictor Hedman · Shots on goalWSH at TBLWizLine63% · 1.3 SOGBook47% +120draftkings+16.1%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 1-3✓—
  30. UFCUFC 332Anthony Romero to winAnthony Romero · MoneylineMarcus McGhee vs Anthony Romero · UFC 332WizLine35%Book19% +420fanduel+16.1%strongUnmeasured bar · 60% on 1901 plays since Jul 12 · worse than backing every favourite (63%)Final · KO/TKO✗—
  31. NHLLAK under 3.5Los Angeles Kings · Team totalLAK at SJSWizLine59%Book43% −170williamhill us+16.1%strongUnmeasured bar · 48% on 101 plays since Oct 2 · −15.8% ROI · no better than betting every over (41%)Final/OT 4-5✗—
  32. MLBSD MLSan Diego Padres · MoneylineSD at MILWizLine50%Book35% +178+16.0%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Final 2-3✗—
  33. NHLPIT MLPittsburgh Penguins · MoneylineMTL at PITWizLine62%Book46% −102fanduel+15.6%strongUnmeasured bar · 35% on 40 plays since Oct 2 · −21.0% ROI · worse than backing the home side (57%)Final/OT 5-6✓—
  34. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGJake Walman · Shots on goalSEA at EDMWizLine57% · 1.5 SOGBook42% +140draftkings+15.5%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 1-3✗—
  35. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGOwen Michaels · Shots on goalSEA at EDMWizLine66% · 1.2 SOGBook51% −115draftkings+15.3%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 1-3✗—
  36. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGCale Makar · Shots on goalSTL at COLWizLine61% · 2.3 SOGBook46% −115fanduel+15.0%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 1-6✗—
  37. MLBSD Over 2.5San Diego Padres · Team totalSD at MILWizLine4.5 runsBook2.5 −120draftkings+1.95 runslean59% on 211 plays since Jun 24 · +5.5% ROI · no better than betting every over (60%)Final 2-3✗—
  38. NHLSJS under 3.5San Jose Sharks · Team totalLAK at SJSWizLine63%Book49% −115betmgm+14.7%strongUnmeasured bar · 48% on 101 plays since Oct 2 · −15.8% ROI · no better than betting every over (41%)Final/OT 4-5✗—
  39. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGIsaac Howard · Shots on goalSEA at EDMWizLine60% · 1.4 SOGBook46% +110draftkings+14.4%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 1-3✓—
  40. NHLOver 1.5 SOGTrevor Moore · Shots on goalLAK at SJSWizLine70% · 2.5 SOGBook55% −146fanduel+14.1%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final/OT 4-5✓—
  41. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGNazem Kadri · Shots on goalSTL at COLWizLine64% · 2.1 SOGBook51% −120draftkings+13.5%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 1-6✗—
  42. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGDmitry Orlov · Shots on goalLAK at SJSWizLine70% · 1.1 SOGBook58% −160draftkings+12.9%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final/OT 4-5✓—
  43. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGDenton Mateychuk · Shots on goalUTA at CBJWizLine66% · 1.2 SOGBook53% −130draftkings+12.8%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 4-1✓—
  44. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGEsa Lindell · Shots on goalDAL at NSHWizLine70% · 1.1 SOGBook58% −155draftkings+12.7%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 1-2✓—
  45. UFCUFC 332Wang Cong to winWang Cong · MoneylineNatalia Silva vs Wang Cong · UFC 332WizLine47%Book35% +180betmgm+12.7%strongUnmeasured bar · 60% on 1901 plays since Jul 12 · worse than backing every favourite (63%)Final · Decision - Unanimous✗—
  46. NHLOver 0.5 SOGRyan Lomberg · Shots on goalUTA at CBJWizLine61% · 1.0 SOGBook49% −140draftkings+12.5%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 4-1✓—
  47. NHLSTL +1.5St. Louis Blues · Puck lineSTL at COLWizLine60%Book48% +100betmgm+12.4%strongUnmeasured bar · 50% on 38 plays since Oct 2 · −16.5% ROIFinal 1-6✗—
  48. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGFilip Hronek · Shots on goalCGY at VANWizLine71% · 1.9 SOGBook59% −170draftkings+12.3%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 1-4✓—
  49. NHLOver 0.5 SOGDanton Heinen · Shots on goalUTA at CBJWizLine67% · 1.1 SOGBook55% −165draftkings+12.2%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 4-1✗—
  50. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGJohn Carlson · Shots on goalWSH at TBLWizLine64% · 2.1 SOGBook52% −115draftkings+12.2%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 1-3✓—

How to read it

Every row is one play our model likes more than the book does. The WizLine is our number, Book is theirs with the best price we found, and the WizEdge is the gap between them. Gold rows are the biggest gaps for that market. The bar a play has to clear is set per sport and market, because a 1.5-strikeout gap in baseball and a four-point lean in soccer aren't the same thing, and “Elite” is just a filter for the very biggest ones.

Track record is the honest column. It's how plays like this one have actually done — hit rate, how many, since when, and whether that beats the dumbest possible rule, like betting every over. Some rows say we haven't measured that yet, or that plays like this have run worse than the blind rule. We show those anyway and say so, rather than hide them. “Has a track record” hides the unmeasured ones with one tap.

Two markets never appear: NBA game totals and team totals. We've graded them and lost, so they stay on their own board under a caveat. The graded so far tile counts only plays a sport has actually graded; a finished game whose grader hasn't run yet sits under awaiting grade.

Sports on this build: NFL · CFB · NBA · NHL · MLB · Soccer · Golf · UFC. Boards: Plays of the Day · MLB leans · NFL · NHL · NBA · SlipCast.