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Every play our model likes more than the book does, across every sport, in one table. Beside each one: how plays like it have actually done. Sort it, filter it, tag what you like and cast it as a slip.

37plays today21strong14–22graded so far1final · awaiting grade
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  1. MLBOver 2.5 KRobert Gasser · Strikeouts O/UMIL at SDWizLine5.3 KBook2.5 +102+2.8 Kstrong54% on 24 plays since Jun 28 · −3.3% ROI · worse than betting every over (63%)3 K · done✓—
  2. MLBOver 2.5 KWalker Buehler · Strikeouts O/UMIL at SDWizLine4.4 KBook2.5 −140+1.9 Klean45% on 60 plays since Jun 24 · −20.6% ROI · worse than betting every over (63%)0 K · done✗—
  3. MLBOver 2.5 KNick Martinez · Strikeouts O/UTB at NYYWizLine4.1 KBook2.5 −150+1.6 Klean45% on 60 plays since Jun 24 · −20.6% ROI · worse than betting every over (63%)3 K · done✓—
  4. NHLUnder 3.5 SOGLeon Draisaitl · Shots on goalEDM at ANAWizLine72% · 2.7 SOGBook57% −154fanduel+14.6%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 5-2✓—
  5. NHLUnder 3.5 SOGCutter Gauthier · Shots on goalEDM at ANAWizLine65% · 3.0 SOGBook51% −120draftkings+14.3%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 5-2✗—
  6. NHLPIT MLPittsburgh Penguins · MoneylinePIT at WSHWizLine54%Book41% +138williamhill us+13.7%strongUnmeasured bar · 35% on 40 plays since Oct 2 · −21.0% ROI · worse than backing the home side (57%)Final 3-5✗—
  7. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGVasily Podkolzin · Shots on goalEDM at ANAWizLine66% · 2.1 SOGBook53% −120fanduel+13.1%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 5-2✗—
  8. NHLWPG under 2.5Winnipeg Jets · Team totalCOL at WPGWizLine47%Book34% −103williamhill us+12.8%strongUnmeasured bar · 48% on 101 plays since Oct 2 · −15.8% ROI · no better than betting every over (41%)Final 2-3awaiting grade—
  9. NHLPIT +1.5Pittsburgh Penguins · Puck linePIT at WSHWizLine73%Book61% −175betmgm+12.3%strongUnmeasured bar · 50% on 38 plays since Oct 2 · −16.5% ROIFinal 3-5✗—
  10. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGCole Hutson · Shots on goalPIT at WSHWizLine61% · 1.4 SOGBook50% −105draftkings+11.1%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 3-5✗—
  11. NHLOver 1.5 SOGEvgeni Malkin · Shots on goalPIT at WSHWizLine69% · 2.5 SOGBook58% −160fanduel+11.0%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 3-5✗—
  12. NHLCOL under 3.5Colorado Avalanche · Team totalCOL at WPGWizLine52%Book41% −105betmgm+10.9%strongUnmeasured bar · 48% on 101 plays since Oct 2 · −15.8% ROI · no better than betting every over (41%)Final 2-3✓—
  13. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGPavel Mintyukov · Shots on goalEDM at ANAWizLine71% · 1.1 SOGBook60% −175draftkings+10.8%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 5-2✗—
  14. NHLWSH under 3.5Washington Capitals · Team totalPIT at WSHWizLine60%Book50% −112fanduel+10.8%strongUnmeasured bar · 48% on 101 plays since Oct 2 · −15.8% ROI · no better than betting every over (41%)Final 3-5✗—
  15. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGPierre-Luc Dubois · Shots on goalPIT at WSHWizLine58% · 1.5 SOGBook47% +100betmgm+10.7%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 3-5✗—
  16. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGCole Perfetti · Shots on goalCOL at WPGWizLine69% · 2.0 SOGBook58% −164fanduel+10.5%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 2-3✓—
  17. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGAlex Ovechkin · Shots on goalPIT at WSHWizLine57% · 2.4 SOGBook47% +105draftkings+10.3%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 3-5✓—
  18. NHLPIT over 2.5Pittsburgh Penguins · Team totalPIT at WSHWizLine67%Book56% −150fanatics+10.3%strongUnmeasured bar · 48% on 101 plays since Oct 2 · −15.8% ROI · no better than betting every over (41%)Final 3-5✓—
  19. NHLOver 1.5 SOGArtturi Lehkonen · Shots on goalCOL at WPGWizLine63% · 2.2 SOGBook54% −130betmgm+9.2%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 2-3✗—
  20. NHLUnder 3.5 SOGKyle Connor · Shots on goalCOL at WPGWizLine63% · 3.1 SOGBook54% −140betmgm+8.9%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 2-3✗—
  21. NHLEDM under 3.5Edmonton Oilers · Team totalEDM at ANAWizLine52%Book43% −110williamhill us+8.7%strongUnmeasured bar · 48% on 101 plays since Oct 2 · −15.8% ROI · no better than betting every over (41%)Final 5-2✗—
  22. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGErik Karlsson · Shots on goalPIT at WSHWizLine68% · 2.0 SOGBook60% −155betmgm+8.5%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 3-5✗—
  23. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGJakob Chychrun · Shots on goalPIT at WSHWizLine60% · 2.3 SOGBook52% −120draftkings+8.0%lean57% on 671 plays since Oct 2 · +5.5% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 3-5✓—
  24. NHLOver 1.5 SOGBoone Jenner · Shots on goalPIT at WSHWizLine56% · 1.9 SOGBook48% −110betmgm+7.8%lean57% on 671 plays since Oct 2 · +5.5% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 3-5✓—
  25. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGNazem Kadri · Shots on goalCOL at WPGWizLine62% · 2.2 SOGBook54% −130fanduel+7.7%lean57% on 671 plays since Oct 2 · +5.5% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 2-3✗—
  26. NHLOver 1.5 SOGAliaksei Protas · Shots on goalPIT at WSHWizLine53% · 1.8 SOGBook46% +110betmgm+7.1%lean57% on 671 plays since Oct 2 · +5.5% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 3-5✗—
  27. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGCale Makar · Shots on goalCOL at WPGWizLine61% · 2.3 SOGBook53% −130betmgm+7.0%lean57% on 671 plays since Oct 2 · +5.5% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 2-3✗—
  28. MLBMIL MLMilwaukee Brewers · MoneylineMIL at SDWizLine57%Book50% −107+6.9%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Final 3-1✓—
  29. NHLOver 1.5 SOGSam Malinski · Shots on goalCOL at WPGWizLine59% · 2.0 SOGBook52% −130draftkings+6.9%lean57% on 671 plays since Oct 2 · +5.5% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 2-3✗—
  30. NHLOver 1.5 SOGBryan Rust · Shots on goalPIT at WSHWizLine67% · 2.4 SOGBook60% −185draftkings+6.9%lean57% on 671 plays since Oct 2 · +5.5% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 3-5✓—
  31. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGBeckett Sennecke · Shots on goalEDM at ANAWizLine62% · 2.2 SOGBook55% −145betmgm+6.9%lean57% on 671 plays since Oct 2 · +5.5% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 5-2✗—
  32. NHLOver 1.5 SOGBrock Nelson · Shots on goalCOL at WPGWizLine64% · 2.2 SOGBook57% −155betmgm+6.7%lean57% on 671 plays since Oct 2 · +5.5% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 2-3✗—
  33. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGJosh Morrissey · Shots on goalCOL at WPGWizLine47% · 1.8 SOGBook41% +130betmgm+6.4%lean57% on 671 plays since Oct 2 · +5.5% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 2-3✓—
  34. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGKris Letang · Shots on goalPIT at WSHWizLine60% · 1.4 SOGBook54% −135draftkings+6.4%lean57% on 671 plays since Oct 2 · +5.5% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 3-5✗—
  35. NHLOver 1.5 SOGAnthony Beauvillier · Shots on goalPIT at WSHWizLine55% · 1.9 SOGBook48% +100betmgm+6.4%lean57% on 671 plays since Oct 2 · +5.5% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 3-5✗—
  36. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGSidney Crosby · Shots on goalPIT at WSHWizLine61% · 2.3 SOGBook56% −135draftkings+5.3%lean57% on 671 plays since Oct 2 · +5.5% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 3-5✓—
  37. NHLANA under 3.5Anaheim Ducks · Team totalEDM at ANAWizLine60%Book56% −136williamhill us+4.2%leanUnmeasured bar · 52% on 190 plays since Oct 2 · −4.8% ROI · no better than betting every over (41%)Final 5-2✓—

How to read it

Every row is one play our model likes more than the book does. The WizLine is our number, Book is theirs with the best price we found, and the WizEdge is the gap between them. Gold rows are the biggest gaps for that market. The bar a play has to clear is set per sport and market, because a 1.5-strikeout gap in baseball and a four-point lean in soccer aren't the same thing, and “Elite” is just a filter for the very biggest ones.

Track record is the honest column. It's how plays like this one have actually done — hit rate, how many, since when, and whether that beats the dumbest possible rule, like betting every over. Some rows say we haven't measured that yet, or that plays like this have run worse than the blind rule. We show those anyway and say so, rather than hide them. “Has a track record” hides the unmeasured ones with one tap.

Two markets never appear: NBA game totals and team totals. We've graded them and lost, so they stay on their own board under a caveat. The graded so far tile counts only plays a sport has actually graded; a finished game whose grader hasn't run yet sits under awaiting grade.

Sports on this build: NFL · CFB · NBA · NHL · MLB · Soccer · Golf · UFC. Boards: Plays of the Day · MLB leans · NFL · NHL · NBA · SlipCast.