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Every play our model likes more than the book does, across every sport, in one table. Beside each one: how plays like it have actually done. Sort it, filter it, tag what you like and cast it as a slip.

102plays today50strong51–48graded so far3final · awaiting grade
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  1. UFCDana White's Contender SeriesPreston LaGrange to winPreston LaGrange · MoneylinePreston LaGrange vs Nell Ariano · Dana White's Contender SeriesWizLine54%Book22% +330fanduel+31.6%strongUnmeasured bar · 60% on 1901 plays since Jul 12 · worse than backing every favourite (63%)Final · KO/TKO✓—
  2. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGViktor Arvidsson · Shots on goalOTT at DETWizLine64% · 2.1 SOGBook45% +110draftkings+19.4%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 3-5✗—
  3. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGCarter Yakemchuk · Shots on goalOTT at DETWizLine73% · 1.0 SOGBook54% −135betmgm+19.0%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 3-5✗—
  4. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGAxel Sandin-Pellikka · Shots on goalOTT at DETWizLine79% · 0.9 SOGBook61% −205draftkings+17.5%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 3-5✓—
  5. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGWarren Foegele · Shots on goalOTT at DETWizLine63% · 1.3 SOGBook47% −160draftkings+16.0%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 3-5✓—
  6. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGRoman Kantserov · Shots on goalSTL at CHIWizLine76% · 1.7 SOGBook61% −184fanduel+15.3%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 2-4✓—
  7. NHLUnder 3.5 SOGAdrian Kempe · Shots on goalFLA at LAKWizLine72% · 2.6 SOGBook57% −155draftkings+15.2%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 2-1✓—
  8. NHLVGK under 3.5Vegas Golden Knights · Team totalVGK at SEAWizLine58%Book44% −130fanduel+14.0%strongUnmeasured bar · 48% on 101 plays since Oct 2 · −15.8% ROI · no better than betting every over (41%)Final 6-2✗—
  9. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGMason McTavish · Shots on goalSTL at CHIWizLine71% · 1.9 SOGBook58% −154fanduel+13.9%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 2-4✓—
  10. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGColton Parayko · Shots on goalSTL at CHIWizLine59% · 1.4 SOGBook46% +100betmgm+13.6%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 2-4✗—
  11. NHLOver 1.5 SOGMavrik Bourque · Shots on goalNSH at TORWizLine66% · 2.3 SOGBook52% −120draftkings+13.5%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final/OT 4-5✗—
  12. NHLMIN under 3.5Minnesota Wild · Team totalMIN at BUFWizLine62%Book49% −160fanduel+13.3%strongUnmeasured bar · 48% on 101 plays since Oct 2 · −15.8% ROI · no better than betting every over (41%)Final/OT 2-3✓—
  13. NHLOver 1.5 SOGDawson Mercer · Shots on goalUTA at NJDWizLine56% · 1.9 SOGBook43% +120draftkings+12.9%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 5-3✓—
  14. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGMaxim Shabanov · Shots on goalMIN at BUFWizLine65% · 1.2 SOGBook52% −130draftkings+12.9%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final/OT 2-3✗—
  15. NHLSEA under 2.5Seattle Kraken · Team totalVGK at SEAWizLine47%Book35% +104williamhill us+12.8%strongUnmeasured bar · 48% on 101 plays since Oct 2 · −15.8% ROI · no better than betting every over (41%)Final 6-2✓—
  16. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGShea Theodore · Shots on goalVGK at SEAWizLine75% · 1.7 SOGBook62% −195draftkings+12.5%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 6-2✗—
  17. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGDylan Larkin · Shots on goalOTT at DETWizLine55% · 2.5 SOGBook42% +120draftkings+12.2%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 3-5✗—
  18. SoccerMLSBrian White 1+ GoalsBrian White · Anytime ScorerChicago Fire FC v Vancouver Whitecaps · MLSWizLine55.7%Book43.5% +130betmgm+12.2%strong18% on 1592 plays · −41.2% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 3–1✗—
  19. NHLOTT under 3.5Ottawa Senators · Team totalOTT at DETWizLine62%Book50% −179williamhill us+11.9%strongUnmeasured bar · 48% on 101 plays since Oct 2 · −15.8% ROI · no better than betting every over (41%)Final 3-5awaiting grade—
  20. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGDrake Batherson · Shots on goalOTT at DETWizLine71% · 1.9 SOGBook59% −160draftkings+11.8%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 3-5✓—
  21. NHLOver 1.5 SOGAlexander Kerfoot · Shots on goalNSH at TORWizLine46% · 1.6 SOGBook34% +175draftkings+11.5%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final/OT 4-5✗—
  22. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGMike Matheson · Shots on goalCAR at MTLWizLine63% · 1.3 SOGBook51% −125draftkings+11.3%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 6-4✗—
  23. NHLOver 0.5 SOGRyan McLeod · Shots on goalMIN at BUFWizLine72% · 1.3 SOGBook60% −210draftkings+11.2%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final/OT 2-3✓—
  24. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGPavel Dorofeyev · Shots on goalNYI at NYRWizLine54% · 2.6 SOGBook43% +125draftkings+10.9%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 2-5✓—
  25. NHLOver 1.5 SOGSean Walker · Shots on goalCAR at MTLWizLine59% · 2.0 SOGBook49% −110draftkings+10.8%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 6-4✗—
  26. NHLUnder 3.5 SOGMatt Boldy · Shots on goalMIN at BUFWizLine68% · 2.9 SOGBook57% −152fanduel+10.3%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final/OT 2-3✗—
  27. NHLOver 1.5 SOGTrevor Moore · Shots on goalFLA at LAKWizLine65% · 2.3 SOGBook54% −130betmgm+10.3%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 2-1✓—
  28. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGLucas Raymond · Shots on goalOTT at DETWizLine68% · 2.0 SOGBook58% −160betmgm+10.1%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 3-5✗—
  29. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGAndrei Svechnikov · Shots on goalCAR at MTLWizLine56% · 2.5 SOGBook46% +105draftkings+10.1%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 6-4✗—
  30. NHLUnder 3.5 SOGKirill Kaprizov · Shots on goalMIN at BUFWizLine65% · 3.0 SOGBook55% −135draftkings+10.0%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final/OT 2-3✓—
  31. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGBowen Byram · Shots on goalSTL at CHIWizLine64% · 1.3 SOGBook54% −130betmgm+9.7%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 2-4✗—
  32. NHLOver 1.5 SOGJonathan Marchessault · Shots on goalNSH at TORWizLine66% · 2.3 SOGBook57% −148fanduel+9.7%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final/OT 4-5✓—
  33. NHLOver 1.5 SOGMichael Carcone · Shots on goalUTA at NJDWizLine55% · 1.9 SOGBook45% +105betmgm+9.6%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 5-3✓—
  34. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGAlexandre Texier · Shots on goalCAR at MTLWizLine67% · 1.2 SOGBook58% −175draftkings+9.6%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 6-4✓—
  35. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGSebastian Aho · Shots on goalCAR at MTLWizLine58% · 2.4 SOGBook49% −105draftkings+9.0%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 6-4✗—
  36. NHLOver 1.5 SOGEaston Cowan · Shots on goalNSH at TORWizLine54% · 1.9 SOGBook45% +105draftkings+8.9%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final/OT 4-5✓—
  37. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGClaude Giroux · Shots on goalOTT at DETWizLine53% · 1.6 SOGBook44% +110betmgm+8.7%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 3-5✓—
  38. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGAlex Newhook · Shots on goalCAR at MTLWizLine60% · 1.4 SOGBook51% −130draftkings+8.6%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 6-4✓—
  39. NHLOver 1.5 SOGAnton Lundell · Shots on goalFLA at LAKWizLine61% · 2.1 SOGBook52% −135draftkings+8.5%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 2-1✓—
  40. NHLOver 1.5 SOGRyan O'Reilly · Shots on goalNSH at TORWizLine67% · 2.4 SOGBook58% −165draftkings+8.5%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final/OT 4-5✗—
  41. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGBobby McMann · Shots on goalVGK at SEAWizLine62% · 2.2 SOGBook54% −135draftkings+8.4%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 6-2✗—
  42. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGFabian Zetterlund · Shots on goalOTT at DETWizLine56% · 1.5 SOGBook48% −115draftkings+8.4%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 3-5✓—
  43. NHLOver 1.5 SOGArseny Gritsyuk · Shots on goalUTA at NJDWizLine58% · 2.0 SOGBook49% −115betmgm+8.4%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 5-3✓—
  44. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGNikolaj Ehlers · Shots on goalCAR at MTLWizLine58% · 2.4 SOGBook50% −115draftkings+8.4%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 6-4✗—
  45. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGAdam Fox · Shots on goalNYI at NYRWizLine57% · 1.5 SOGBook49% −108fanduel+8.2%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 2-5✓—
  46. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGBrett Pesce · Shots on goalUTA at NJDWizLine69% · 1.1 SOGBook61% −190betmgm+8.0%lean57% on 671 plays since Oct 2 · +5.5% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 5-3✓—
  47. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGAndrew Copp · Shots on goalOTT at DETWizLine55% · 1.6 SOGBook47% −105betmgm+7.9%lean57% on 671 plays since Oct 2 · +5.5% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 3-5✗—
  48. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGVictor Eklund · Shots on goalNYI at NYRWizLine55% · 1.5 SOGBook47% −102fanduel+7.8%lean57% on 671 plays since Oct 2 · +5.5% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 2-5✗—
  49. NHLNSH MLNashville Predators · MoneylineNSH at TORWizLine50%Book42% +138fanduel+7.8%strongUnmeasured bar · 35% on 40 plays since Oct 2 · −21.0% ROI · worse than backing the home side (57%)Final/OT 4-5✗—
  50. MLBMIL MLMilwaukee Brewers · MoneylineMIL at SDWizLine51%Book44% +119+7.6%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Final 3-4✗—

How to read it

Every row is one play our model likes more than the book does. The WizLine is our number, Book is theirs with the best price we found, and the WizEdge is the gap between them. Gold rows are the biggest gaps for that market. The bar a play has to clear is set per sport and market, because a 1.5-strikeout gap in baseball and a four-point lean in soccer aren't the same thing, and “Elite” is just a filter for the very biggest ones.

Track record is the honest column. It's how plays like this one have actually done — hit rate, how many, since when, and whether that beats the dumbest possible rule, like betting every over. Some rows say we haven't measured that yet, or that plays like this have run worse than the blind rule. We show those anyway and say so, rather than hide them. “Has a track record” hides the unmeasured ones with one tap.

Two markets never appear: NBA game totals and team totals. We've graded them and lost, so they stay on their own board under a caveat. The graded so far tile counts only plays a sport has actually graded; a finished game whose grader hasn't run yet sits under awaiting grade.

Sports on this build: NFL · CFB · NBA · NHL · MLB · Soccer · Golf · UFC. Boards: Plays of the Day · MLB leans · NFL · NHL · NBA · SlipCast.