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Every play our model likes more than the book does, across every sport, in one table. Beside each one: how plays like it have actually done. Sort it, filter it, tag what you like and cast it as a slip.

104plays today45strong54–45graded so far5final · awaiting grade
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  1. MLBOver 1.5 KHagen Smith · Strikeouts O/UCLE at CWSWizLine3.6 KBook1.5 −174+2.1 Kstrong54% on 24 plays since Jun 28 · −3.3% ROI · worse than betting every over (63%)0 K · done✗—
  2. CFBUSF MLSouth Florida Bulls · MoneylineUSF at UTSAWizLine59%Book33% +188+25.7%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Final 24-31✗—
  3. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGAdam Jiricek · Shots on goalSJS at STLWizLine61% · 1.4 SOGBook40% +142fanduel+21.6%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final/OT 3-2✓—
  4. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGCarter Yakemchuk · Shots on goalPHI at OTTWizLine72% · 1.0 SOGBook51% −120betmgm+20.6%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 1-2✗—
  5. NHLDAL under 3.5Dallas Stars · Team totalDAL at BUFWizLine62%Book43% −164fanduel+19.0%strongUnmeasured bar · 48% on 101 plays since Oct 2 · −15.8% ROI · no better than betting every over (41%)Final 4-0✗—
  6. CFBUSA MLSouth Alabama Jaguars · MoneylineUSA at ARSTWizLine59%Book41% +136+18.4%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Final 56-49✓—
  7. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGDmitry Orlov · Shots on goalSJS at STLWizLine71% · 1.1 SOGBook56% −160betmgm+14.9%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final/OT 3-2✓—
  8. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGCharle-Edouard D'Astous · Shots on goalMIN at TBLWizLine69% · 1.1 SOGBook55% −155draftkings+14.7%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 2-3✗—
  9. CFBWKU MLWestern Kentucky Hilltoppers · MoneylineMOST at WKUWizLine62%Book47% +102+14.5%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Final 13-34✓—
  10. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGJamie Drysdale · Shots on goalPHI at OTTWizLine71% · 1.1 SOGBook57% −155betmgm+13.9%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 1-2✗—
  11. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGIvar Stenberg · Shots on goalSJS at STLWizLine60% · 1.4 SOGBook46% +100betmgm+13.8%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final/OT 3-2✗—
  12. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGCarl Grundstrom · Shots on goalPHI at OTTWizLine71% · 1.1 SOGBook57% −165betmgm+13.8%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 1-2awaiting grade—
  13. NHLCOL under 3.5Colorado Avalanche · Team totalCOL at CGYWizLine50%Book36% +105betmgm+13.4%strongUnmeasured bar · 48% on 101 plays since Oct 2 · −15.8% ROI · no better than betting every over (41%)Final 7-3✗—
  14. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGMark Kastelic · Shots on goalUTA at BOSWizLine72% · 1.1 SOGBook58% −175betmgm+13.4%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 1-6✓—
  15. NHLUTA under 3.5Utah Mammoth · Team totalUTA at BOSWizLine55%Book42% −158fanduel+12.8%strongUnmeasured bar · 48% on 101 plays since Oct 2 · −15.8% ROI · no better than betting every over (41%)Final 1-6awaiting grade—
  16. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGDrake Batherson · Shots on goalPHI at OTTWizLine71% · 1.9 SOGBook59% −165draftkings+12.7%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 1-2✗—
  17. NHLUnder 3.5 SOGDavid Pastrnak · Shots on goalUTA at BOSWizLine67% · 2.9 SOGBook55% −140draftkings+12.0%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 1-6✗—
  18. NHLBOS under 3.5Boston Bruins · Team totalUTA at BOSWizLine63%Book52% +116fanduel+11.7%strongUnmeasured bar · 48% on 101 plays since Oct 2 · −15.8% ROI · no better than betting every over (41%)Final 1-6✗—
  19. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGColton Parayko · Shots on goalSJS at STLWizLine60% · 1.4 SOGBook49% −110draftkings+11.5%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final/OT 3-2✓—
  20. NHLOver 1.5 SOGMichael Carcone · Shots on goalUTA at BOSWizLine58% · 2.0 SOGBook47% −105betmgm+11.3%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 1-6✓—
  21. NHLBUF under 3.5Buffalo Sabres · Team totalDAL at BUFWizLine61%Book50% +126fanduel+11.2%strongUnmeasured bar · 48% on 101 plays since Oct 2 · −15.8% ROI · no better than betting every over (41%)Final 4-0✓—
  22. NHLNSH MLNashville Predators · MoneylineNSH at MTLWizLine49%Book38% +140draftkings+10.6%strongUnmeasured bar · 35% on 40 plays since Oct 2 · −21.0% ROI · worse than backing the home side (57%)Final 5-2✓—
  23. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGWilliam Carrier · Shots on goalVAN at CARWizLine66% · 1.2 SOGBook56% −130draftkings+10.6%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 2-7✓—
  24. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGMaxim Shabanov · Shots on goalMIN at TBLWizLine67% · 1.2 SOGBook57% −150draftkings+10.5%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 2-3✗—
  25. NHLCGY under 2.5Calgary Flames · Team totalCOL at CGYWizLine47%Book37% −131williamhill us+10.3%strongUnmeasured bar · 48% on 101 plays since Oct 2 · −15.8% ROI · no better than betting every over (41%)Final 7-3awaiting grade—
  26. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGMason McTavish · Shots on goalSJS at STLWizLine69% · 1.9 SOGBook59% −165betmgm+10.1%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final/OT 3-2✗—
  27. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGMatias Maccelli · Shots on goalCHI at NYIWizLine59% · 1.4 SOGBook49% −110draftkings+10.0%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 1-4✗—
  28. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGHampus Lindholm · Shots on goalUTA at BOSWizLine64% · 1.3 SOGBook54% −130betmgm+9.9%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 1-6✓—
  29. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGTrevor Connelly · Shots on goalTOR at VGKWizLine57% · 1.5 SOGBook48% −115draftkings+9.6%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final/SO 3-4✗—
  30. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGNikita Zadorov · Shots on goalUTA at BOSWizLine67% · 1.2 SOGBook57% −170draftkings+9.6%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 1-6✓—
  31. NHLNSH +1.5Nashville Predators · Puck lineNSH at MTLWizLine69%Book59% −175betmgm+9.4%strongUnmeasured bar · 50% on 38 plays since Oct 2 · −16.5% ROIFinal 5-2✓—
  32. NHLNSH over 2.5Nashville Predators · Team totalNSH at MTLWizLine62%Book53% −130fanatics+9.2%strongUnmeasured bar · 48% on 101 plays since Oct 2 · −15.8% ROI · no better than betting every over (41%)Final 5-2✓—
  33. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGSean Couturier · Shots on goalPHI at OTTWizLine61% · 1.4 SOGBook52% −125betmgm+9.1%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 1-2✗—
  34. NHLOver 1.5 SOGMavrik Bourque · Shots on goalNSH at MTLWizLine61% · 2.1 SOGBook52% −130draftkings+8.9%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 5-2✗—
  35. MLBNRFICLE at CWS · 1st inning · NRFICLE at CWSWizLine66%Book57% −156+8.9%leanNo track record yet for plays like this.1st: 0 R✓—
  36. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGTravis Konecny · Shots on goalPHI at OTTWizLine50% · 1.7 SOGBook42% +125draftkings+8.8%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 1-2✗—
  37. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGJimmy Snuggerud · Shots on goalSJS at STLWizLine55% · 2.5 SOGBook46% +110fanduel+8.6%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final/OT 3-2✓—
  38. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGDylan Holloway · Shots on goalSJS at STLWizLine53% · 2.6 SOGBook45% +105betmgm+8.5%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final/OT 3-2✓—
  39. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGShane Pinto · Shots on goalPHI at OTTWizLine66% · 2.1 SOGBook58% −160fanduel+8.3%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 1-2✓—
  40. NHLOver 2.5 SOGBrandon Hagel · Shots on goalMIN at TBLWizLine62% · 3.3 SOGBook54% −145betmgm+8.0%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 2-3✓—
  41. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGJoel Eriksson Ek · Shots on goalMIN at TBLWizLine61% · 2.3 SOGBook53% −138fanduel+7.9%lean57% on 671 plays since Oct 2 · +5.5% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 2-3✗—
  42. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGRasmus Dahlin · Shots on goalDAL at BUFWizLine63% · 2.2 SOGBook55% −150draftkings+7.9%lean57% on 671 plays since Oct 2 · +5.5% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 4-0✓—
  43. NHLUnder 3.5 SOGTage Thompson · Shots on goalDAL at BUFWizLine64% · 3.0 SOGBook57% −140betmgm+7.7%lean57% on 671 plays since Oct 2 · +5.5% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 4-0✗—
  44. NHLOver 1.5 SOGAnders Lee · Shots on goalUTA at BOSWizLine64% · 2.2 SOGBook56% −150draftkings+7.7%lean57% on 671 plays since Oct 2 · +5.5% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 1-6✗—
  45. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGPavel Zacha · Shots on goalUTA at BOSWizLine53% · 1.6 SOGBook46% +105betmgm+7.6%lean57% on 671 plays since Oct 2 · +5.5% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 1-6✓—
  46. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGFilip Forsberg · Shots on goalNSH at MTLWizLine48% · 2.8 SOGBook40% +130betmgm+7.6%lean57% on 671 plays since Oct 2 · +5.5% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 5-2✗—
  47. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGNazem Kadri · Shots on goalCOL at CGYWizLine58% · 2.4 SOGBook50% −118betmgm+7.6%lean57% on 671 plays since Oct 2 · +5.5% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 7-3✓—
  48. NHLUnder 3.5 SOGAuston Matthews · Shots on goalTOR at VGKWizLine62% · 3.1 SOGBook54% −130fanduel+7.6%lean57% on 671 plays since Oct 2 · +5.5% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final/SO 3-4✓—
  49. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGDanila Yurov · Shots on goalMIN at TBLWizLine65% · 1.2 SOGBook58% −160draftkings+7.4%lean57% on 671 plays since Oct 2 · +5.5% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 2-3✓—
  50. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGJake Neighbours · Shots on goalSJS at STLWizLine61% · 1.4 SOGBook54% −135betmgm+7.4%lean57% on 671 plays since Oct 2 · +5.5% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final/OT 3-2✗—

How to read it

Every row is one play our model likes more than the book does. The WizLine is our number, Book is theirs with the best price we found, and the WizEdge is the gap between them. Gold rows are the biggest gaps for that market. The bar a play has to clear is set per sport and market, because a 1.5-strikeout gap in baseball and a four-point lean in soccer aren't the same thing, and “Elite” is just a filter for the very biggest ones.

Track record is the honest column. It's how plays like this one have actually done — hit rate, how many, since when, and whether that beats the dumbest possible rule, like betting every over. Some rows say we haven't measured that yet, or that plays like this have run worse than the blind rule. We show those anyway and say so, rather than hide them. “Has a track record” hides the unmeasured ones with one tap.

Two markets never appear: NBA game totals and team totals. We've graded them and lost, so they stay on their own board under a caveat. The graded so far tile counts only plays a sport has actually graded; a finished game whose grader hasn't run yet sits under awaiting grade.

Sports on this build: NFL · CFB · NBA · NHL · MLB · Soccer · Golf · UFC. Boards: Plays of the Day · MLB leans · NFL · NHL · NBA · SlipCast.