MatchWiz

WizEdge Dashboard

Every play our model likes more than the book does, across every sport, in one table. Beside each one: how plays like it have actually done. Sort it, filter it, tag what you like and cast it as a slip.

47plays today21strong25–20–2graded so far
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  1. CFBIOWA MLIowa Hawkeyes · MoneylineIOWA at WASHWizLine64%Book42% +130+22.7%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Final 41-24✓—
  2. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGKent Johnson · Shots on goalPIT at CBJWizLine60% · 1.4 SOGBook46% +110draftkings+14.5%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final/SO 2-3✗—
  3. NHLANA under 3.5Anaheim Ducks · Team totalANA at WPGWizLine63%Book50% −118betmgm+13.6%strongUnmeasured bar · 48% on 101 plays since Oct 2 · −15.8% ROI · no better than betting every over (41%)Final 5-1✗—
  4. SoccerLa LigaUnder 2.5 goalsMálaga · Over/Under 2.5Málaga v Espanyol · La LigaWizLine64.6%Book51.5%+13.2%strong41% on 107 plays since Feb 21 · −21.8% ROI · no better than betting every over (54%)FT 1–1✓—
  5. SoccerLa LigaBoth teams to score — NoMálaga · Both teams to scoreMálaga v Espanyol · La LigaWizLine56.3%Book43.1%+13.2%strong38% on 64 plays since Aug 21 · −26.8% ROI · no better than betting yes every time (65%)FT 1–1✗—
  6. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGDmitri Voronkov · Shots on goalPIT at CBJWizLine69% · 1.1 SOGBook56% −150draftkings+13.1%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final/SO 2-3✗—
  7. SoccerLigue 1Zachary Athekame 1+ GoalsZachary Athekame · Anytime ScorerLens v Lyon · Ligue 1WizLine20.7%Book7.7% +1300fanduel+13.0%strong18% on 1592 plays · −41.2% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 2–1✗—
  8. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGCole Perfetti · Shots on goalANA at WPGWizLine65% · 2.1 SOGBook53% −110draftkings+11.8%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 5-1✓—
  9. SoccerLigue 1Ernest Nuamah 1+ GoalsErnest Nuamah · Anytime ScorerLens v Lyon · Ligue 1WizLine37.0%Book25.6% +290draftkings+11.3%strong18% on 1592 plays · −41.2% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 2–1✗—
  10. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGBerkly Catton · Shots on goalSEA at DETWizLine60% · 1.4 SOGBook51% −120draftkings+9.6%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 6-3✗—
  11. NHLUnder 3.5 SOGZach Werenski · Shots on goalPIT at CBJWizLine60% · 3.2 SOGBook51% −115draftkings+9.5%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final/SO 2-3✓—
  12. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGViktor Arvidsson · Shots on goalSEA at DETWizLine54% · 2.5 SOGBook45% +112fanduel+9.5%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 6-3✗—
  13. NHLUnder 3.5 SOGCutter Gauthier · Shots on goalANA at WPGWizLine58% · 3.3 SOGBook49% +100draftkings+9.2%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 5-1✓—
  14. SoccerLa LigaJavi Hernandez O0.5Javi Hernandez · AssistsMálaga v Espanyol · La LigaWizLine27.0%Book17.9% +460fanduel+9.2%strong18% on 1592 plays · −41.2% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 1–1✓—
  15. NHLOver 1.5 SOGEvgeni Malkin · Shots on goalPIT at CBJWizLine69% · 2.5 SOGBook60% −175betmgm+8.9%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final/SO 2-3✓—
  16. NHLUnder 3.5 SOGKyle Connor · Shots on goalANA at WPGWizLine60% · 3.2 SOGBook51% −125betmgm+8.6%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 5-1✓—
  17. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGVince Dunn · Shots on goalSEA at DETWizLine45% · 1.9 SOGBook37% +150betmgm+8.6%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 6-3✗—
  18. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGAlex Ovechkin · Shots on goalNYR at WSHWizLine56% · 2.5 SOGBook48% −105betmgm+8.2%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 1-3✓—
  19. NHLOver 1.5 SOGMikael Granlund · Shots on goalANA at WPGWizLine62% · 2.2 SOGBook54% −145draftkings+8.0%strong53% on 500 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 5-1✓—
  20. NHLPIT under 3.5Pittsburgh Penguins · Team totalPIT at CBJWizLine57%Book49% −132williamhill us+7.8%strongUnmeasured bar · 48% on 101 plays since Oct 2 · −15.8% ROI · no better than betting every over (41%)Final/SO 2-3✓—
  21. SoccerLa Liga1H Under 1.5Málaga · 1st-half totalMálaga v Espanyol · La LigaWizLine75.3%Book67.8%+7.5%lean67% on 48 plays since Sep 14 · +6.7% ROI · beats betting every over (37%)FT 1–1✓—
  22. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGJakob Chychrun · Shots on goalNYR at WSHWizLine57% · 2.4 SOGBook50% −110draftkings+7.3%lean57% on 671 plays since Oct 2 · +5.5% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 1-3✗—
  23. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGNeal Pionk · Shots on goalANA at WPGWizLine47% · 1.8 SOGBook40% +145draftkings+7.0%lean57% on 671 plays since Oct 2 · +5.5% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 5-1✓—
  24. SoccerLigue 1Souleymane Sagnan 1+ Shots on TargetSouleymane Sagnan · Shots on TargetLens v Lyon · Ligue 1WizLine20.3%Book13.3% +650fanduel+7.0%lean18% on 2519 plays · −43.7% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 2–1=—
  25. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGShane Wright · Shots on goalSEA at DETWizLine63% · 1.3 SOGBook56% −150draftkings+7.0%lean57% on 671 plays since Oct 2 · +5.5% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 6-3✓—
  26. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGPavel Dorofeyev · Shots on goalNYR at WSHWizLine53% · 2.6 SOGBook47% +102fanduel+6.9%lean57% on 671 plays since Oct 2 · +5.5% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 1-3✗—
  27. SoccerLigue 1Corentin Tolisso 1+ GoalsCorentin Tolisso · Anytime ScorerLens v Lyon · Ligue 1WizLine29.0%Book22.2% +360fanduel+6.8%lean18% on 2519 plays · −43.7% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 2–1✗—
  28. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGLucas Raymond · Shots on goalSEA at DETWizLine59% · 2.4 SOGBook52% −122fanduel+6.6%lean57% on 671 plays since Oct 2 · +5.5% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 6-3✗—
  29. NHLOver 1.5 SOGTommy Novak · Shots on goalPIT at CBJWizLine54% · 1.9 SOGBook48% +100betmgm+6.5%lean57% on 671 plays since Oct 2 · +5.5% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final/SO 2-3✗—
  30. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGCole Hutson · Shots on goalNYR at WSHWizLine55% · 1.5 SOGBook49% −110draftkings+6.4%lean57% on 671 plays since Oct 2 · +5.5% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 1-3✗—
  31. NHLCBJ under 3.5Columbus Blue Jackets · Team totalPIT at CBJWizLine62%Book56% −132williamhill us+6.3%strongUnmeasured bar · 48% on 101 plays since Oct 2 · −15.8% ROI · no better than betting every over (41%)Final/SO 2-3✓—
  32. SoccerBundesligaNico Schlotterbeck 1+ GoalsNico Schlotterbeck · Anytime ScorerBorussia Dortmund v Werder Bremen · BundesligaWizLine14.6%Book8.3% +1100draftkings+6.3%lean18% on 2519 plays · −43.7% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 2–2✓—
  33. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGErik Karlsson · Shots on goalPIT at CBJWizLine66% · 2.1 SOGBook59% −160betmgm+6.1%lean57% on 671 plays since Oct 2 · +5.5% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final/SO 2-3✓—
  34. SoccerLigue 1Mads Bidstrup 2+ ShotsMads Bidstrup · ShotsLens v Lyon · Ligue 1WizLine23.6%Book17.9% +460fanduel+5.8%lean18% on 2519 plays · −43.7% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 2–1✗—
  35. NHLPIT MLPittsburgh Penguins · MoneylinePIT at CBJWizLine53%Book47% +100fanatics+5.7%leanUnmeasured bar · 42% on 57 plays since Oct 2 · −11.7% ROI · worse than backing the home side (57%)Final/SO 2-3✗—
  36. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGBeckett Sennecke · Shots on goalANA at WPGWizLine53% · 2.6 SOGBook48% −105draftkings+5.5%lean57% on 671 plays since Oct 2 · +5.5% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 5-1✓—
  37. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGHendrix Lapierre · Shots on goalPIT at CBJWizLine70% · 1.1 SOGBook65% −225draftkings+5.5%lean57% on 671 plays since Oct 2 · +5.5% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final/SO 2-3✓—
  38. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGPierre-Luc Dubois · Shots on goalNYR at WSHWizLine55% · 1.5 SOGBook50% −115draftkings+5.5%lean57% on 671 plays since Oct 2 · +5.5% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 1-3✓—
  39. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGConor Garland · Shots on goalPIT at CBJWizLine59% · 1.4 SOGBook53% −125betmgm+5.4%lean57% on 671 plays since Oct 2 · +5.5% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final/SO 2-3✓—
  40. NHLPIT +1.5Pittsburgh Penguins · Puck linePIT at CBJWizLine72%Book67% −235betmgm+5.3%leanUnmeasured bar · 48% on 44 plays since Oct 2 · −22.4% ROIFinal/SO 2-3✓—
  41. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGBrandon Montour · Shots on goalSEA at DETWizLine60% · 2.3 SOGBook55% −150draftkings+5.0%lean57% on 671 plays since Oct 2 · +5.5% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 6-3✓—
  42. SoccerBundesligaMitchell Weiser 1+ GoalsMitchell Weiser · Anytime ScorerBorussia Dortmund v Werder Bremen · BundesligaWizLine11.4%Book6.7% +1500draftkings+4.8%lean18% on 2519 plays · −43.7% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 2–2✗—
  43. SoccerLigue 1Mads Bidstrup 1+ ShotsMads Bidstrup · ShotsLens v Lyon · Ligue 1WizLine60.3%Book55.6% −125fanduel+4.7%lean18% on 2519 plays · −43.7% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 2–1✓—
  44. NHLOver 5.5NYR at WSH · Game totalNYR at WSHWizLine57%Book53% −123williamhill us+4.3%leanUnmeasured bar · 41% on 115 plays since Oct 2 · −22.1% ROI · worse than betting every over (49%)Final 1-3✗—
  45. SoccerBundesligaSamuele Inácio 1+ GoalsSamuele Inácio · Anytime ScorerBorussia Dortmund v Werder Bremen · BundesligaWizLine32.3%Book28.2% +260draftkings+4.2%lean18% on 2519 plays · −43.7% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 2–2=—
  46. SoccerLigue 11H Under 1.5Lens · 1st-half totalLens v Lyon · Ligue 1WizLine62.5%Book58.4%+4.2%lean67% on 48 plays since Sep 14 · +6.7% ROI · beats betting every over (37%)FT 2–1✓—
  47. SoccerLigue 1Felix Bacher 1+ GoalsFelix Bacher · Anytime ScorerLens v Lyon · Ligue 1WizLine11.8%Book7.7% +1300fanduel+4.1%lean18% on 2519 plays · −43.7% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 2–1✗—

How to read it

Every row is one play our model likes more than the book does. The WizLine is our number, Book is theirs with the best price we found, and the WizEdge is the gap between them. Gold rows are the biggest gaps for that market. The bar a play has to clear is set per sport and market, because a 1.5-strikeout gap in baseball and a four-point lean in soccer aren't the same thing, and “Elite” is just a filter for the very biggest ones.

Track record is the honest column. It's how plays like this one have actually done — hit rate, how many, since when, and whether that beats the dumbest possible rule, like betting every over. Some rows say we haven't measured that yet, or that plays like this have run worse than the blind rule. We show those anyway and say so, rather than hide them. “Has a track record” hides the unmeasured ones with one tap.

Two markets never appear: NBA game totals and team totals. We've graded them and lost, so they stay on their own board under a caveat. The graded so far tile counts only plays a sport has actually graded; a finished game whose grader hasn't run yet sits under awaiting grade.

Sports on this build: NFL · CFB · NBA · NHL · MLB · Soccer · Golf · UFC. Boards: Plays of the Day · MLB leans · NFL · NHL · NBA · SlipCast.