MatchWiz

Málaga

La Liga · 20th · 3 pts · GD -9
LDDLL

Málaga are 20th in La Liga, 0-3-4, with 0.43 scored and 1.71 conceded a game — and the goals against are the story of the season.

Next match

Oct 9 · 3:00 PM ET
MatchupProbProjWizLineMktWizEdge
3:00 PM ET
Proj1.0–1.1
Match page →
MCFMálagaHOME31%1.0proj+226fair+189mkt-4.0%
Draw32%—proj+208fair+236mkt+2.7%
ESPEspanyolAWAY37%1.1proj+171fair+180mkt+1.1%
O2.5 35% · mkt 46%BTTS 44% · mkt 53%1H O0.5 60% · mkt 66%
ESPN Deportes · ESPN+

This season

La Liga · 2026-27
Record0-3-47 played
Scored0.433 goals
Conceded1.7112 against
Clean sheets1Of 7 matches
Both scored43%Of their matches
Over 2.529%Three goals or more
Home0-2-12–43 matches
Away0-1-31–84 matches

How the model graded them

2026-27
Win/draw/win4-357%
Over 2.55-271%
Both to score2-529%

Every pick the model made on Málaga this season, wins and losses both. The three samples differ because a market only grades where a book quoted it. 7 matches is far too few to read anything into — soccer is a high-variance sport and a season is the horizon. Not betting advice.

In the table

Full La Liga table
#ClubPGDPts
17Levante6-45
18Elche7-65
19Valencia7-94
20Málaga7-93

Málaga's season

2026-27

Where they stand

Málaga sit 20th on 3 points after 7 matches. That's in the relegation places, and there are 20 clubs in this league. That's 0.43 points a game.

Going forward

3 goals in 7 matches is where Málaga's season sits going forward — 0.43 a game. That's a real problem going forward, and it shows up in how their totals get priced. 29% of their matches have finished with three goals or more.

At the back

Málaga have conceded 12 goals, 1.71 a game. That's leaky enough to cost them points they'd otherwise take. They've kept 1 clean sheet — 14% of their matches.

Current run

Málaga have gone 5 matches without a win. Form is the noisiest thing on this page — a five-match window in a sport this low-scoring is a handful of bounces, and the model weights a full season of results far more heavily than the last fortnight of them.

The shape of their games

Their matches sit close to the league norm for goals. Both teams have scored in 43% of Málaga's matches, and 29% have gone past two and a half goals. Those two numbers are what the totals and both-teams-to-score markets on this club's fixtures get priced from.

How the model has done on them

The goal model has called 7 matches involving Málaga this season and got 4 right — 57%. A three-way market makes a blind guess hard, so on this sample that's real — with the caveat that the sample is small. Every projection freezes at kickoff and gets scored against the result, wins and losses both. 7 matches is a small sample in a sport where a deflection settles games, so treat it as a record, not a forecast.

Next up

Málaga are at home to Espanyol. The board above carries our win/draw/win probabilities for it, the goals total, both-teams-to-score, and the fair odds each of those implies — with the book's number beside ours wherever a book has hung one. 4 more fixtures follow on the schedule below.

Common questions

Where are Málaga in the La Liga table?

Málaga are 20th on 3 points from 7 matches, with 3 goals scored and 12 goals conceded.

How many goals do Málaga score a game?

Málaga are averaging 0.43 goals a game this season and conceding 1.71. 29% of their matches have finished with three or more goals.

How many clean sheets have Málaga kept?

1 clean sheet in 7 matches.

Does MatchWiz predict Málaga matches?

Every Málaga fixture gets win/draw/win probabilities, a goals total and both-teams-to-score from our goal model, published with the book's line beside them. The model has called 7 matches of theirs this season and got 4 right. These are research signals, not betting advice, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Upcoming

Oct 9Espanyol3:00 PM
Oct 18Real Sociedad12:30 PM
Oct 25@ Alavés2:00 PM
Nov 1@ Real Betis3:00 PM
Nov 8Racing Santander3:00 PM

Recent results

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