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Every play our model likes more than the book does, across every sport, in one table. Beside each one: how plays like it have actually done. Sort it, filter it, tag what you like and cast it as a slip.

152plays today61strong39–91–19graded so far3final · awaiting grade
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  1. NHLPHI under 2.5Philadelphia Flyers · Team totalCAR at PHIWizLine55%Book36% −129williamhill us+18.7%strongUnmeasured bar · 46% on 99 plays since Oct 2 · −18.0% ROI · no better than betting every over (41%)Final 4-1✓—
  2. SoccerLigue 1Amine Gouiri 1+ GoalsAmine Gouiri · Anytime ScorerTroyes v Marseille · Ligue 1WizLine55.2%Book37.0% +170draftkings+18.1%strong18% on 1488 plays · −42.3% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 0–2✗—
  3. SoccerSerie AGustavo Varela 1+ GoalsGustavo Varela · Anytime ScorerLazio v Monza · Serie AWizLine40.8%Book23.3% +350draftkings+17.5%strong18% on 1488 plays · −42.3% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 3–1✗—
  4. SoccerEPLHull City to winHull City · Match resultHull City v Everton · EPLWizLine42.0%Book24.9%+17.1%strong34% on 121 plays since Feb 21 · −1.1% ROI · worse than backing the home side (44%)FT 2–2✗—
  5. SoccerSerie AReda Belahyane 1+ ShotsReda Belahyane · ShotsLazio v Monza · Serie AWizLine67.5%Book51.2% −105fanduel+16.3%strong18% on 1488 plays · −42.3% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 3–1✓—
  6. SoccerSerie AReda Belahyane 2+ ShotsReda Belahyane · ShotsLazio v Monza · Serie AWizLine31.0%Book15.4% +550fanduel+15.6%strong18% on 1488 plays · −42.3% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 3–1✗—
  7. SoccerEPLAntoine Semenyo 1+ GoalsAntoine Semenyo · Anytime ScorerLiverpool v Manchester City · EPLWizLine39.5%Book24.4% +330fanatics+15.1%strong18% on 1488 plays · −42.3% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 0–3✗—
  8. SoccerLigue 1Maximillian Oyedele 2+ ShotsMaximillian Oyedele · ShotsNice v Strasbourg · Ligue 1WizLine31.4%Book16.7% +500fanduel+14.7%strong18% on 1488 plays · −42.3% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 2–1=—
  9. SoccerLigue 1Maximillian Oyedele 1+ ShotsMaximillian Oyedele · ShotsNice v Strasbourg · Ligue 1WizLine67.8%Book53.5% −115fanduel+14.3%strong18% on 1488 plays · −42.3% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 2–1=—
  10. SoccerLigue 1Strasbourg to winStrasbourg · Match resultNice v Strasbourg · Ligue 1WizLine43.8%Book30.7%+13.1%strong34% on 121 plays since Feb 21 · −1.1% ROI · worse than backing the home side (44%)FT 2–1✗—
  11. NHLWSH under 3.5Washington Capitals · Team totalSEA at WSHWizLine53%Book41% +100betmgm+12.5%strongUnmeasured bar · 46% on 99 plays since Oct 2 · −18.0% ROI · no better than betting every over (41%)Final 5-3✓—
  12. SoccerSerie ADiego Moreira 1+ GoalsDiego Moreira · Anytime ScorerSassuolo v AC Milan · Serie AWizLine33.7%Book21.3% +380betmgm+12.4%strong18% on 1488 plays · −42.3% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 1–1✗—
  13. SoccerSerie ASamuel Chukwueze 3+ ShotsSamuel Chukwueze · ShotsSassuolo v AC Milan · Serie AWizLine43.6%Book31.3% +220fanduel+12.3%strong18% on 1488 plays · −42.3% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 1–1✗—
  14. SoccerLa LigaSergio Gómez 2+ ShotsSergio Gómez · ShotsReal Sociedad v Deportivo · La LigaWizLine30.4%Book18.2% +450fanduel+12.2%strong18% on 1488 plays · −42.3% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 3–2✗—
  15. SoccerLigue 1Ismael Doukoure 1+ ShotsIsmael Doukoure · ShotsNice v Strasbourg · Ligue 1WizLine39.0%Book27.0% +270fanduel+12.0%strong18% on 1488 plays · −42.3% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 2–1=—
  16. NHLOver 1.5 SOGBoone Jenner · Shots on goalSEA at WSHWizLine59% · 2.0 SOGBook48% −105draftkings+11.8%strong53% on 491 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 5-3✓—
  17. SoccerLa LigaSergio Gómez 1+ ShotsSergio Gómez · ShotsReal Sociedad v Deportivo · La LigaWizLine67.0%Book55.6% −125fanduel+11.4%strong18% on 1488 plays · −42.3% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 3–2✗—
  18. SoccerEPLUnder 2.5 goalsHull City · Over/Under 2.5Hull City v Everton · EPLWizLine64.8%Book53.8%+11.0%strong40% on 100 plays since Feb 21 · −24.2% ROI · no better than betting every over (54%)FT 2–2✗—
  19. SoccerEPLXaver Schlager 2+ ShotsXaver Schlager · ShotsCrystal Palace v Nottingham Forest · EPLWizLine43.1%Book32.3% +210fanduel+10.9%strong18% on 1488 plays · −42.3% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 3–1✓—
  20. SoccerLa LigaPablo Ramon 1+ ShotsPablo Ramon · ShotsRacing Santander v Valencia · La LigaWizLine47.0%Book36.4% +175fanduel+10.6%strong18% on 1488 plays · −42.3% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 2–2✗—
  21. SoccerSerie AUnder 2.5 goalsLecce · Over/Under 2.5Lecce v Bologna · Serie AWizLine65.3%Book54.8%+10.5%strong40% on 100 plays since Feb 21 · −24.2% ROI · no better than betting every over (54%)FT 1–2✗—
  22. SoccerSerie AUnder 2.5 goalsCagliari · Over/Under 2.5Cagliari v Juventus · Serie AWizLine64.6%Book54.2%+10.4%strong40% on 100 plays since Feb 21 · −24.2% ROI · no better than betting every over (54%)FT 1–1✓—
  23. SoccerLigue 1Gessime Yassine 1+ Shots on TargetGessime Yassine · Shots on TargetNice v Strasbourg · Ligue 1WizLine62.7%Book52.4% −110fanduel+10.3%strong18% on 1488 plays · −42.3% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 2–1✗—
  24. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGAndrei Svechnikov · Shots on goalCAR at PHIWizLine58% · 2.4 SOGBook47% −102fanduel+10.3%strong53% on 491 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 4-1✓—
  25. SoccerLa LigaLuismi Cruz 1+ GoalsLuismi Cruz · Anytime ScorerReal Sociedad v Deportivo · La LigaWizLine21.3%Book11.1% +850fanduel+10.2%strong18% on 1488 plays · −42.3% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 3–2✗—
  26. SoccerLigue 1Maximillian Oyedele 1+ Shots on TargetMaximillian Oyedele · Shots on TargetNice v Strasbourg · Ligue 1WizLine32.4%Book22.2% +350fanduel+10.2%strong18% on 1488 plays · −42.3% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 2–1=—
  27. SoccerEPLMatheus Nunes 1+ ShotsMatheus Nunes · ShotsLiverpool v Manchester City · EPLWizLine49.3%Book39.2% +155fanduel+10.1%strong18% on 1488 plays · −42.3% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 0–3✗—
  28. SoccerSerie ASamuel Chukwueze 2+ Shots on TargetSamuel Chukwueze · Shots on TargetSassuolo v AC Milan · Serie AWizLine25.5%Book15.4% +550fanduel+10.1%strong18% on 1488 plays · −42.3% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 1–1✗—
  29. SoccerLigue 1Gessime Yassine 1+ GoalsGessime Yassine · Anytime ScorerNice v Strasbourg · Ligue 1WizLine30.9%Book20.8% +400fanduel+10.0%strong18% on 1488 plays · −42.3% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 2–1✗—
  30. SoccerSerie ASamuel Chukwueze 1+ Shots on TargetSamuel Chukwueze · Shots on TargetSassuolo v AC Milan · Serie AWizLine62.2%Book52.4% −110fanduel+9.9%strong18% on 1488 plays · −42.3% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 1–1✓—
  31. SoccerLa LigaOver 2.5 goalsRacing Santander · Over/Under 2.5Racing Santander v Valencia · La LigaWizLine66.7%Book57.0%+9.8%strong40% on 100 plays since Feb 21 · −24.2% ROI · no better than betting every over (54%)FT 2–2✓—
  32. SoccerSerie ABryan Cristante 2+ ShotsBryan Cristante · ShotsComo v AS Roma · Serie AWizLine44.8%Book35.1% +185fanduel+9.7%strong18% on 1488 plays · −42.3% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 0–0=—
  33. SoccerSerie AJay Robinson 1+ GoalsJay Robinson · Anytime ScorerLazio v Monza · Serie AWizLine22.2%Book12.5% +700draftkings+9.7%strong18% on 1488 plays · −42.3% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 3–1=—
  34. SoccerEPLErling Haaland 1+ GoalsErling Haaland · Anytime ScorerLiverpool v Manchester City · EPLWizLine57.3%Book47.6% +115fanatics+9.6%strong18% on 1488 plays · −42.3% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 0–3✓—
  35. SoccerSerie ASamuel Chukwueze 2+ ShotsSamuel Chukwueze · ShotsSassuolo v AC Milan · Serie AWizLine69.6%Book60.0% −150fanduel+9.6%strong18% on 1488 plays · −42.3% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 1–1✗—
  36. SoccerSerie ADavide Frattesi 1+ GoalsDavide Frattesi · Anytime ScorerLazio v Monza · Serie AWizLine32.9%Book23.3% +380betmgm+9.6%strong18% on 1488 plays · −42.3% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 3–1✗—
  37. SoccerMLSCalegari 1+ ShotsCalegari · ShotsSt. Louis CITY SC v LA Galaxy · MLSWizLine51.2%Book41.7% +140fanduel+9.6%strong18% on 1488 plays · −42.3% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 6–2=—
  38. SoccerSerie AAndrea Carboni 1+ Shots on TargetAndrea Carboni · Shots on TargetLazio v Monza · Serie AWizLine21.9%Book12.5% +700fanduel+9.4%strong18% on 1488 plays · −42.3% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 3–1✗—
  39. SoccerLa LigaPablo Ramon 1+ Shots on TargetPablo Ramon · Shots on TargetRacing Santander v Valencia · La LigaWizLine20.4%Book11.1% +800fanduel+9.3%strong18% on 1488 plays · −42.3% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 2–2✗—
  40. SoccerSerie AUnder 2.5 goalsComo · Over/Under 2.5Como v AS Roma · Serie AWizLine51.5%Book42.2%+9.3%strong40% on 100 plays since Feb 21 · −24.2% ROI · no better than betting every over (54%)FT 0–0✓—
  41. SoccerSerie ASamuel Chukwueze 4+ ShotsSamuel Chukwueze · ShotsSassuolo v AC Milan · Serie AWizLine22.6%Book13.3% +650fanduel+9.3%strong18% on 1488 plays · −42.3% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 1–1✗—
  42. SoccerLigue 1Gessime Yassine 2+ Shots on TargetGessime Yassine · Shots on TargetNice v Strasbourg · Ligue 1WizLine25.9%Book16.7% +500fanduel+9.2%strong18% on 1488 plays · −42.3% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 2–1✗—
  43. SoccerLa LigaBright Ede 1+ ShotsBright Ede · ShotsReal Sociedad v Deportivo · La LigaWizLine49.8%Book40.8% +145fanduel+9.0%strong18% on 1488 plays · −42.3% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 3–2✓—
  44. SoccerLa LigaJosé María Giménez 1+ ShotsJosé María Giménez · ShotsReal Sociedad v Deportivo · La LigaWizLine58.9%Book50.0% +100fanduel+8.9%strong18% on 1488 plays · −42.3% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 3–2✓—
  45. SoccerSerie ADanilho Doekhi O0.5Danilho Doekhi · AssistsLazio v Monza · Serie AWizLine18.0%Book9.1% +1000fanduel+8.9%strong18% on 1488 plays · −42.3% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 3–1✗—
  46. SoccerSerie ASamuele Birindelli O0.5Samuele Birindelli · AssistsLazio v Monza · Serie AWizLine17.2%Book8.3% +1100fanduel+8.9%strong18% on 1488 plays · −42.3% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 3–1✗—
  47. NHLSEA MLSeattle Kraken · MoneylineSEA at WSHWizLine43%Book34% +180betmgm+8.9%strongUnmeasured bar · 33% on 39 plays since Oct 2 · −25.4% ROI · worse than backing the home side (57%)Final 5-3✓—
  48. SoccerSerie ARicardo Mangas O0.5Ricardo Mangas · AssistsLazio v Monza · Serie AWizLine17.9%Book9.1% +1000fanduel+8.8%strong18% on 1488 plays · −42.3% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 3–1✗—
  49. SoccerSerie AMario Hermoso 1+ GoalsMario Hermoso · Anytime ScorerComo v AS Roma · Serie AWizLine14.4%Book5.6% +1800fanduel+8.8%strong18% on 1488 plays · −42.3% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 0–0✗—
  50. SoccerLa LigaElche to winElche · Match resultElche v Celta Vigo · La LigaWizLine40.5%Book31.6%+8.8%strong34% on 121 plays since Feb 21 · −1.1% ROI · worse than backing the home side (44%)FT 0–0✗—

How to read it

Every row is one play our model likes more than the book does. The WizLine is our number, Book is theirs with the best price we found, and the WizEdge is the gap between them. Gold rows are the biggest gaps for that market. The bar a play has to clear is set per sport and market, because a 1.5-strikeout gap in baseball and a four-point lean in soccer aren't the same thing, and “Elite” is just a filter for the very biggest ones.

Track record is the honest column. It's how plays like this one have actually done — hit rate, how many, since when, and whether that beats the dumbest possible rule, like betting every over. Some rows say we haven't measured that yet, or that plays like this have run worse than the blind rule. We show those anyway and say so, rather than hide them. “Has a track record” hides the unmeasured ones with one tap.

Two markets never appear: NBA game totals and team totals. We've graded them and lost, so they stay on their own board under a caveat. The graded so far tile counts only plays a sport has actually graded; a finished game whose grader hasn't run yet sits under awaiting grade.

Sports on this build: NFL · CFB · NBA · NHL · MLB · Soccer · Golf · UFC. Boards: Plays of the Day · MLB leans · NFL · NHL · NBA · SlipCast.