MatchWiz

WizEdge Dashboard

Every play our model likes more than the book does, across every sport, in one table. Beside each one: how plays like it have actually done. Sort it, filter it, tag what you like and cast it as a slip.

57plays today21strong23–32–1graded so far1final · awaiting grade
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  1. NHLFLA under 3.5Florida Panthers · Team totalFLA at BUFWizLine63%Book43%+20.4%strongUnmeasured bar · 46% on 99 plays since Oct 2 · −18.0% ROI · no better than betting every over (41%)Final 3-5✓—
  2. NHLMIN under 3.5Minnesota Wild · Team totalVGK at MINWizLine69%Book50% −120betmgm+19.8%strongUnmeasured bar · 46% on 99 plays since Oct 2 · −18.0% ROI · no better than betting every over (41%)Final 2-4✗—
  3. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGTrevor Connelly · Shots on goalVGK at MINWizLine74% · 1.7 SOGBook59% −175draftkings+15.6%strong53% on 491 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 2-4✓—
  4. NHLVGK under 3.5Vegas Golden Knights · Team totalVGK at MINWizLine59%Book44% −182fanduel+14.6%strongUnmeasured bar · 46% on 99 plays since Oct 2 · −18.0% ROI · no better than betting every over (41%)Final 2-4awaiting grade—
  5. NHLUnder 3.5 SOGKirill Kaprizov · Shots on goalVGK at MINWizLine71% · 2.7 SOGBook57% −165draftkings+13.6%strong53% on 491 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 2-4✗—
  6. NHLBUF under 3.5Buffalo Sabres · Team totalFLA at BUFWizLine64%Book50%+13.5%strongUnmeasured bar · 46% on 99 plays since Oct 2 · −18.0% ROI · no better than betting every over (41%)Final 3-5✗—
  7. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGWarren Foegele · Shots on goalOTT at NJDWizLine66% · 1.2 SOGBook52% −135draftkings+13.3%strong53% on 491 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 4-1✓—
  8. NHLUnder 3.5 SOGMatt Boldy · Shots on goalVGK at MINWizLine69% · 2.8 SOGBook57% −145draftkings+12.4%strong53% on 491 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 2-4✓—
  9. MLBNRFICLE at TB · 1st inning · NRFICLE at TBWizLine67%Book56% −145+11.5%leanNo track record yet for plays like this.1st: 2 R✗—
  10. SoccerLa LigaLevante to winLevante · Match resultLevante v Sevilla · La LigaWizLine44.5%Book33.2%+11.4%strong34% on 121 plays since Feb 21 · −1.1% ROI · worse than backing the home side (44%)FT 3–3✗—
  11. SoccerSerie AOver 2.5 goalsTorino · Over/Under 2.5Torino v Udinese · Serie AWizLine52.2%Book41.1%+11.1%strong40% on 100 plays since Feb 21 · −24.2% ROI · no better than betting every over (54%)FT 2–1✓—
  12. MLBNRFILAD at MIL · 1st inning · NRFILAD at MILWizLine69%Book59% −165+10.5%leanNo track record yet for plays like this.1st: 2 R✗—
  13. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGRyan Hartman · Shots on goalVGK at MINWizLine53% · 1.6 SOGBook42% +126fanduel+10.4%strong53% on 491 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 2-4✗—
  14. SoccerEPLLewis Hall 1+ Shots on TargetLewis Hall · Shots on TargetCoventry City v Newcastle United · EPLWizLine34.6%Book24.4% +310fanduel+10.2%strong18% on 1488 plays · −42.3% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 4–1✓—
  15. SoccerEPLUnder 2.5 goalsCoventry City · Over/Under 2.5Coventry City v Newcastle United · EPLWizLine52.1%Book42.1%+10.0%strong40% on 100 plays since Feb 21 · −24.2% ROI · no better than betting every over (54%)FT 4–1✗—
  16. SoccerSerie AJames Abankwah 1+ GoalsJames Abankwah · Anytime ScorerTorino v Udinese · Serie AWizLine13.8%Book4.3% +2800draftkings+9.4%strong18% on 1488 plays · −42.3% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 2–1✗—
  17. SoccerSerie AUdinese to winUdinese · Match resultTorino v Udinese · Serie AWizLine37.6%Book28.4%+9.2%strong34% on 121 plays since Feb 21 · −1.1% ROI · worse than backing the home side (44%)FT 2–1✗—
  18. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGJoel Eriksson Ek · Shots on goalVGK at MINWizLine61% · 2.2 SOGBook52% −115draftkings+8.9%strong53% on 491 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 2-4✗—
  19. NHLVGK MLVegas Golden Knights · MoneylineVGK at MINWizLine57%Book48% −106williamhill us+8.9%strongUnmeasured bar · 33% on 39 plays since Oct 2 · −25.4% ROI · worse than backing the home side (57%)Final 2-4✗—
  20. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGRasmus Dahlin · Shots on goalFLA at BUFWizLine60% · 2.3 SOGBook51% −125betmgm+8.6%strong53% on 491 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 3-5✗—
  21. SoccerSerie ABoth teams to score — YesTorino · Both teams to scoreTorino v Udinese · Serie AWizLine57.3%Book48.7%+8.6%strong36% on 59 plays since Aug 21 · −28.9% ROI · no better than betting yes every time (65%)FT 2–1✓—
  22. NHLUnder 3.5 SOGBrady Tkachuk · Shots on goalFLA at BUFWizLine65% · 3.0 SOGBook57% −140draftkings+8.5%strong53% on 491 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 3-5✓—
  23. NHLVGK +1.5Vegas Golden Knights · Puck lineVGK at MINWizLine76%Book68%+8.1%strongUnmeasured bar · 49% on 37 plays since Oct 2 · −18.6% ROIFinal 2-4✗—
  24. NHLOver 1.5 SOGArseny Gritsyuk · Shots on goalOTT at NJDWizLine55% · 1.9 SOGBook47% −105betmgm+7.5%lean57% on 653 plays since Oct 2 · +6.6% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 4-1✓—
  25. NHLOver 1.5 SOGSeth Jones · Shots on goalFLA at BUFWizLine57% · 1.9 SOGBook49% −105draftkings+7.3%lean57% on 653 plays since Oct 2 · +6.6% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 3-5✓—
  26. SoccerSerie AÉderson 1+ GoalsÉderson · Anytime ScorerAtalanta v Venezia · Serie AWizLine19.8%Book12.5% +750draftkings+7.3%lean18% on 2362 plays · −44.3% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 3–1✗—
  27. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGMatthew Tkachuk · Shots on goalFLA at BUFWizLine55% · 2.5 SOGBook48% +110draftkings+7.2%lean57% on 653 plays since Oct 2 · +6.6% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 3-5✓—
  28. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGLuke Evangelista · Shots on goalOTT at NJDWizLine68% · 2.0 SOGBook61% −185draftkings+7.0%lean57% on 653 plays since Oct 2 · +6.6% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 4-1✓—
  29. SoccerLa LigaOver 2.5 goalsLevante · Over/Under 2.5Levante v Sevilla · La LigaWizLine53.3%Book46.3%+7.0%lean56% on 126 plays since Feb 22 · +2.4% ROI · no better than betting every over (54%)FT 3–3✓—
  30. SoccerSerie APietro Comuzzo 1+ GoalsPietro Comuzzo · Anytime ScorerTorino v Udinese · Serie AWizLine10.2%Book3.2% +3500draftkings+6.9%lean18% on 2362 plays · −44.3% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 2–1✗—
  31. SoccerSerie A1H Over 0.5Torino · 1st-half totalTorino v Udinese · Serie AWizLine69.3%Book62.4%+6.9%lean68% on 41 plays since Sep 14 · +9.6% ROI · beats betting every over (37%)FT 2–1✓—
  32. NHLUnder 3.5 SOGTage Thompson · Shots on goalFLA at BUFWizLine61% · 3.2 SOGBook54% −135draftkings+6.8%lean57% on 653 plays since Oct 2 · +6.6% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 3-5✓—
  33. NHLOver 1.5 SOGTim Stützle · Shots on goalOTT at NJDWizLine65% · 2.3 SOGBook59% −160fanduel+6.7%lean57% on 653 plays since Oct 2 · +6.6% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 4-1✗—
  34. SoccerSerie ABoth teams to score — NoAtalanta · Both teams to scoreAtalanta v Venezia · Serie AWizLine50.2%Book43.6%+6.6%lean63% on 86 plays since Jul 25 · +12.9% ROI · no better than betting yes every time (65%)FT 3–1✗—
  35. NHLOver 1.5 SOGAnton Lundell · Shots on goalFLA at BUFWizLine65% · 2.3 SOGBook58% −152fanduel+6.4%lean57% on 653 plays since Oct 2 · +6.6% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 3-5✓—
  36. SoccerEPL1H Under 1.5Coventry City · 1st-half totalCoventry City v Newcastle United · EPLWizLine67.5%Book61.3%+6.1%lean68% on 41 plays since Sep 14 · +9.6% ROI · beats betting every over (37%)FT 4–1✓—
  37. NHLOver 1.5 SOGTomas Hertl · Shots on goalVGK at MINWizLine66% · 2.3 SOGBook60% −170draftkings+5.9%lean57% on 653 plays since Oct 2 · +6.6% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 2-4✗—
  38. SoccerSerie AJames Abankwah 1+ ShotsJames Abankwah · ShotsTorino v Udinese · Serie AWizLine45.9%Book40.0% +150fanduel+5.9%lean18% on 2362 plays · −44.3% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 2–1✗—
  39. SoccerEPLLewis Hall 1+ GoalsLewis Hall · Anytime ScorerCoventry City v Newcastle United · EPLWizLine13.6%Book7.7% +1500fanatics+5.9%lean18% on 2362 plays · −44.3% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 4–1✗—
  40. NHLOver 2.5 SOGJack Eichel · Shots on goalVGK at MINWizLine62% · 3.3 SOGBook57% −150draftkings+5.3%lean57% on 653 plays since Oct 2 · +6.6% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 2-4✗—
  41. NHLOTT MLOttawa Senators · MoneylineOTT at NJDWizLine50%Book45% +102draftkings+5.3%leanUnmeasured bar · 42% on 55 plays since Oct 2 · −12.5% ROI · worse than backing the home side (57%)Final 4-1✓—
  42. NHLUnder 3.5 SOGJack Hughes · Shots on goalOTT at NJDWizLine62% · 3.1 SOGBook57% −145betmgm+5.2%lean57% on 653 plays since Oct 2 · +6.6% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 4-1✓—
  43. SoccerSerie A1H Under 1.5Atalanta · 1st-half totalAtalanta v Venezia · Serie AWizLine62.5%Book57.5%+5.0%lean68% on 41 plays since Sep 14 · +9.6% ROI · beats betting every over (37%)FT 3–1✗—
  44. SoccerSerie AHassane Kamara 1+ GoalsHassane Kamara · Anytime ScorerTorino v Udinese · Serie AWizLine13.7%Book8.7% +1200fanduel+5.0%lean18% on 2362 plays · −44.3% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 2–1✗—
  45. NHLNJD under 3.5New Jersey Devils · Team totalOTT at NJDWizLine62%Book57% −170fanatics+4.8%leanUnmeasured bar · 51% on 184 plays since Oct 2 · −7.3% ROI · no better than betting every over (41%)Final 4-1✓—
  46. SoccerSerie AKeinan Davis O0.5Keinan Davis · AssistsTorino v Udinese · Serie AWizLine22.5%Book17.9% +460fanduel+4.7%lean18% on 2362 plays · −44.3% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 2–1✗—
  47. SoccerSerie AJames Abankwah 1+ Shots on TargetJames Abankwah · Shots on TargetTorino v Udinese · Serie AWizLine20.0%Book15.4% +550fanduel+4.6%lean18% on 2362 plays · −44.3% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 2–1✗—
  48. NHLOTT +1.5Ottawa Senators · Puck lineOTT at NJDWizLine71%Book66% −245draftkings+4.6%leanUnmeasured bar · 49% on 43 plays since Oct 2 · −20.6% ROIFinal 4-1✓—
  49. NHLUnder 6.5FLA at BUF · Game totalFLA at BUFWizLine59%Book55%+4.5%leanUnmeasured bar · 41% on 111 plays since Oct 2 · −22.7% ROI · worse than betting every over (49%)Final 3-5✗—
  50. SoccerSerie AThomas Kristensen 1+ GoalsThomas Kristensen · Anytime ScorerAtalanta v Venezia · Serie AWizLine12.1%Book7.7% +1200draftkings+4.4%lean18% on 2362 plays · −44.3% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 3–1✗—

How to read it

Every row is one play our model likes more than the book does. The WizLine is our number, Book is theirs with the best price we found, and the WizEdge is the gap between them. Gold rows are the biggest gaps for that market. The bar a play has to clear is set per sport and market, because a 1.5-strikeout gap in baseball and a four-point lean in soccer aren't the same thing, and “Elite” is just a filter for the very biggest ones.

Track record is the honest column. It's how plays like this one have actually done — hit rate, how many, since when, and whether that beats the dumbest possible rule, like betting every over. Some rows say we haven't measured that yet, or that plays like this have run worse than the blind rule. We show those anyway and say so, rather than hide them. “Has a track record” hides the unmeasured ones with one tap.

Two markets never appear: NBA game totals and team totals. We've graded them and lost, so they stay on their own board under a caveat. The graded so far tile counts only plays a sport has actually graded; a finished game whose grader hasn't run yet sits under awaiting grade.

Sports on this build: NFL · CFB · NBA · NHL · MLB · Soccer · Golf · UFC. Boards: Plays of the Day · MLB leans · NFL · NHL · NBA · SlipCast.