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Every play our model likes more than the book does, across every sport, in one table. Beside each one: how plays like it have actually done. Sort it, filter it, tag what you like and cast it as a slip.

89plays today38strong49–38graded so far2final · awaiting grade
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  1. NHLWPG under 3.5Winnipeg Jets · Team totalWPG at CHIWizLine57%Book41% −156fanduel+16.3%strongUnmeasured bar · 46% on 99 plays since Oct 2 · −18.0% ROI · no better than betting every over (41%)Final/OT 3-4✓—
  2. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGLeon Draisaitl · Shots on goalUTA at EDMWizLine57% · 2.4 SOGBook42% +126fanduel+15.7%strong53% on 491 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 4-2✗—
  3. NHLCHI under 3.5Chicago Blackhawks · Team totalWPG at CHIWizLine67%Book53% −135betmgm+14.8%strongUnmeasured bar · 46% on 99 plays since Oct 2 · −18.0% ROI · no better than betting every over (41%)Final/OT 3-4✗—
  4. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGRoman Kantserov · Shots on goalWPG at CHIWizLine69% · 1.9 SOGBook55% −145draftkings+14.3%strong53% on 491 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final/OT 3-4✓—
  5. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGIsaac Howard · Shots on goalUTA at EDMWizLine70% · 1.1 SOGBook56% −145draftkings+14.3%strong53% on 491 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 4-2✓—
  6. NHLSJS under 3.5San Jose Sharks · Team totalSJS at NSHWizLine66%Book53% −135betmgm+13.9%strongUnmeasured bar · 46% on 99 plays since Oct 2 · −18.0% ROI · no better than betting every over (41%)Final/SO 3-2✓—
  7. NHLVGK under 3.5Vegas Golden Knights · Team totalCGY at VGKWizLine48%Book36% +113williamhill us+12.4%strongUnmeasured bar · 46% on 99 plays since Oct 2 · −18.0% ROI · no better than betting every over (41%)Final 2-6✗—
  8. NHLUTA under 3.5Utah Mammoth · Team totalUTA at EDMWizLine55%Book43% −138fanduel+12.2%strongUnmeasured bar · 46% on 99 plays since Oct 2 · −18.0% ROI · no better than betting every over (41%)Final 4-2✗—
  9. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGAdam Jiricek · Shots on goalSTL at MINWizLine59% · 1.4 SOGBook47% +100draftkings+12.0%strong53% on 491 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 4-5✓—
  10. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGMichael Bunting · Shots on goalPHI at DETWizLine65% · 1.2 SOGBook54% −135draftkings+11.0%strong53% on 491 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 1-2✗—
  11. NHLOver 1.5 SOGDarnell Nurse · Shots on goalSJS at NSHWizLine58% · 2.0 SOGBook48% −105draftkings+10.8%strong53% on 491 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final/SO 3-2awaiting grade—
  12. NHLOver 0.5 SOGVitali Pinchuk · Shots on goalSJS at NSHWizLine73% · 1.3 SOGBook62% −165draftkings+10.7%strong53% on 491 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final/SO 3-2✗—
  13. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGVasily Podkolzin · Shots on goalUTA at EDMWizLine66% · 2.1 SOGBook56% −135draftkings+10.1%strong53% on 491 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 4-2✓—
  14. NHLTOR under 3.5Toronto Maple Leafs · Team totalBUF at TORWizLine63%Book53% −128fanduel+9.8%strongUnmeasured bar · 46% on 99 plays since Oct 2 · −18.0% ROI · no better than betting every over (41%)Final/OT 5-4✗—
  15. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGMatthew Schaefer · Shots on goalNYI at OTTWizLine56% · 2.5 SOGBook46% +105betmgm+9.6%strong53% on 491 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final/SO 1-2✗—
  16. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGJoel Eriksson Ek · Shots on goalSTL at MINWizLine54% · 2.6 SOGBook44% +110betmgm+9.4%strong53% on 491 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 4-5✗—
  17. CFBTXST −14.5Texas State Bobcats · SpreadCSU at TXSTWizLine−18.5Book−14.5 −115+11.4 ptsleanNo track record yet for plays like this.Final 27-66✓—
  18. NHLSEA MLSeattle Kraken · MoneylineSEA at TBLWizLine41%Book32% +225draftkings+9.1%strongUnmeasured bar · 33% on 39 plays since Oct 2 · −25.4% ROI · worse than backing the home side (57%)Final/OT 3-4✗—
  19. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGMaxim Shabanov · Shots on goalSTL at MINWizLine60% · 1.4 SOGBook51% −120draftkings+9.0%strong53% on 491 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 4-5✓—
  20. NHLBUF MLBuffalo Sabres · MoneylineBUF at TORWizLine57%Book48% +102fanduel+8.9%strongUnmeasured bar · 33% on 39 plays since Oct 2 · −25.4% ROI · worse than backing the home side (57%)Final/OT 5-4✓—
  21. NHLUnder 3.5 SOGBrady Tkachuk · Shots on goalVAN at FLAWizLine61% · 3.2 SOGBook52% −130draftkings+8.8%strong53% on 491 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final/OT 2-3✗—
  22. NHLOver 1.5 SOGRyan O'Reilly · Shots on goalSJS at NSHWizLine62% · 2.2 SOGBook53% −140betmgm+8.7%strong53% on 491 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final/SO 3-2✓—
  23. NHLOver 1.5 SOGZach Benson · Shots on goalBUF at TORWizLine66% · 2.3 SOGBook58% −155betmgm+8.6%strong53% on 491 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final/OT 5-4✓—
  24. NHLSEA +1.5Seattle Kraken · Puck lineSEA at TBLWizLine61%Book53% −110betmgm+8.5%strongUnmeasured bar · 49% on 37 plays since Oct 2 · −18.6% ROIFinal/OT 3-4✓—
  25. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGDenver Barkey · Shots on goalPHI at DETWizLine69% · 1.1 SOGBook60% −185draftkings+8.4%strong53% on 491 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 1-2✓—
  26. NHLMIN under 3.5Minnesota Wild · Team totalSTL at MINWizLine63%Book55% −143williamhill us+8.2%strongUnmeasured bar · 46% on 99 plays since Oct 2 · −18.0% ROI · no better than betting every over (41%)Final 4-5✗—
  27. NHLEDM under 3.5Edmonton Oilers · Team totalUTA at EDMWizLine61%Book53% −150fanatics+8.2%strongUnmeasured bar · 46% on 99 plays since Oct 2 · −18.0% ROI · no better than betting every over (41%)Final 4-2✓—
  28. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGEvan Bouchard · Shots on goalUTA at EDMWizLine56% · 2.4 SOGBook48% −106fanduel+8.1%strong53% on 491 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 4-2✗—
  29. NHLBUF +1.5Buffalo Sabres · Puck lineBUF at TORWizLine75%Book67% −235betmgm+8.1%strongUnmeasured bar · 49% on 37 plays since Oct 2 · −18.6% ROIFinal/OT 5-4✓—
  30. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGDylan Coghlan · Shots on goalCGY at VGKWizLine71% · 1.1 SOGBook63% −210draftkings+8.1%strong53% on 491 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 2-6✗—
  31. NHLVAN +1.5Vancouver Canucks · Puck lineVAN at FLAWizLine56%Book48% −102betmgm+7.9%strongUnmeasured bar · 49% on 37 plays since Oct 2 · −18.6% ROIFinal/OT 2-3✓—
  32. NHLOver 1.5 SOGJacob Trouba · Shots on goalSJS at NSHWizLine58% · 2.0 SOGBook50% −110draftkings+7.8%lean57% on 653 plays since Oct 2 · +6.6% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final/SO 3-2✗—
  33. NHLUnder 3.5 SOGMatt Boldy · Shots on goalSTL at MINWizLine63% · 3.1 SOGBook55% −135fanduel+7.8%lean57% on 653 plays since Oct 2 · +6.6% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 4-5✗—
  34. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGCarter Yakemchuk · Shots on goalNYI at OTTWizLine65% · 1.2 SOGBook57% −155draftkings+7.7%lean57% on 653 plays since Oct 2 · +6.6% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final/SO 1-2✓—
  35. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGTrevor Connelly · Shots on goalCGY at VGKWizLine47% · 1.8 SOGBook40% +135draftkings+7.7%lean57% on 653 plays since Oct 2 · +6.6% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 2-6✓—
  36. NHLUnder 3.5 SOGAlex DeBrincat · Shots on goalPHI at DETWizLine58% · 3.3 SOGBook51% −115fanduel+7.4%lean57% on 653 plays since Oct 2 · +6.6% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 1-2✗—
  37. NHLVAN MLVancouver Canucks · MoneylineVAN at FLAWizLine36%Book28% +240draftkings+7.4%strongUnmeasured bar · 33% on 39 plays since Oct 2 · −25.4% ROI · worse than backing the home side (57%)Final/OT 2-3✗—
  38. NHLUTA MLUtah Mammoth · MoneylineUTA at EDMWizLine54%Book46% −115draftkings+7.4%strongUnmeasured bar · 33% on 39 plays since Oct 2 · −25.4% ROI · worse than backing the home side (57%)Final 4-2✓—
  39. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGKasperi Kapanen · Shots on goalUTA at EDMWizLine52% · 1.6 SOGBook45% +108fanduel+7.4%lean57% on 653 plays since Oct 2 · +6.6% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 4-2✓—
  40. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGPorter Martone · Shots on goalPHI at DETWizLine52% · 1.6 SOGBook45% +105betmgm+7.3%lean57% on 653 plays since Oct 2 · +6.6% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 1-2✓—
  41. NHLNYI MLNew York Islanders · MoneylineNYI at OTTWizLine47%Book40% +138fanduel+7.2%strongUnmeasured bar · 33% on 39 plays since Oct 2 · −25.4% ROI · worse than backing the home side (57%)Final/SO 1-2✗—
  42. NHLSTL MLSt. Louis Blues · MoneylineSTL at MINWizLine50%Book43% +121williamhill us+7.2%strongUnmeasured bar · 33% on 39 plays since Oct 2 · −25.4% ROI · worse than backing the home side (57%)Final 4-5✗—
  43. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGMatthew Tkachuk · Shots on goalVAN at FLAWizLine52% · 2.6 SOGBook45% +110betmgm+7.2%lean57% on 653 plays since Oct 2 · +6.6% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final/OT 2-3✓—
  44. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGMatias Maccelli · Shots on goalNYI at OTTWizLine63% · 1.3 SOGBook56% −140draftkings+7.1%lean57% on 653 plays since Oct 2 · +6.6% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final/SO 1-2✗—
  45. NHLSEA over 2.5Seattle Kraken · Team totalSEA at TBLWizLine55%Book48% +108fanduel+6.9%strongUnmeasured bar · 46% on 99 plays since Oct 2 · −18.0% ROI · no better than betting every over (41%)Final/OT 3-4✓—
  46. NHLUTA +1.5Utah Mammoth · Puck lineUTA at EDMWizLine73%Book66% +220draftkings+6.9%strongUnmeasured bar · 49% on 37 plays since Oct 2 · −18.6% ROIFinal 4-2✓—
  47. NHLUnder 3.5 SOGJack Hughes · Shots on goalNYR at NJDWizLine53% · 3.6 SOGBook47% +105betmgm+6.8%lean57% on 653 plays since Oct 2 · +6.6% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 1-7✓—
  48. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGMattias Ekholm · Shots on goalUTA at EDMWizLine59% · 1.4 SOGBook53% −125fanduel+6.8%lean57% on 653 plays since Oct 2 · +6.6% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 4-2✗—
  49. NHLOver 1.5 SOGTrevor Zegras · Shots on goalPHI at DETWizLine57% · 2.0 SOGBook51% −115draftkings+6.6%lean57% on 653 plays since Oct 2 · +6.6% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 1-2✗—
  50. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGDrake Batherson · Shots on goalNYI at OTTWizLine66% · 2.1 SOGBook59% −165draftkings+6.6%lean57% on 653 plays since Oct 2 · +6.6% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final/SO 1-2✓—

How to read it

Every row is one play our model likes more than the book does. The WizLine is our number, Book is theirs with the best price we found, and the WizEdge is the gap between them. Gold rows are the biggest gaps for that market. The bar a play has to clear is set per sport and market, because a 1.5-strikeout gap in baseball and a four-point lean in soccer aren't the same thing, and “Elite” is just a filter for the very biggest ones.

Track record is the honest column. It's how plays like this one have actually done — hit rate, how many, since when, and whether that beats the dumbest possible rule, like betting every over. Some rows say we haven't measured that yet, or that plays like this have run worse than the blind rule. We show those anyway and say so, rather than hide them. “Has a track record” hides the unmeasured ones with one tap.

Two markets never appear: NBA game totals and team totals. We've graded them and lost, so they stay on their own board under a caveat. The graded so far tile counts only plays a sport has actually graded; a finished game whose grader hasn't run yet sits under awaiting grade.

Sports on this build: NFL · CFB · NBA · NHL · MLB · Soccer · Golf · UFC. Boards: Plays of the Day · MLB leans · NFL · NHL · NBA · SlipCast.