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Every play our model likes more than the book does, across every sport, in one table. Beside each one: how plays like it have actually done. Sort it, filter it, tag what you like and cast it as a slip.

47plays today23strong13–29–3graded so far2final · awaiting grade
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  1. SoccerLigue 1Le Mans to winLe Mans · Match resultLe Mans v Toulouse · Ligue 1WizLine45.7%Book29.0%+16.8%strong34% on 121 plays since Feb 21 · −1.1% ROI · worse than backing the home side (44%)FT 0–3✗—
  2. SoccerLigue 1Adil Bourabaa 1+ GoalsAdil Bourabaa · Anytime ScorerLe Mans v Toulouse · Ligue 1WizLine32.4%Book16.7% +500betmgm+15.8%strong18% on 1488 plays · −42.3% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 0–3=—
  3. SoccerLigue 1Casper Tengstedt 1+ GoalsCasper Tengstedt · Anytime ScorerLe Mans v Toulouse · Ligue 1WizLine50.5%Book36.4% +185fanduel+14.2%strong18% on 1488 plays · −42.3% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 0–3✓—
  4. SoccerLa LigaOver 2.5 goalsDeportivo · Over/Under 2.5Deportivo v Levante · La LigaWizLine64.8%Book51.0%+13.8%strong40% on 100 plays since Feb 21 · −24.2% ROI · no better than betting every over (54%)FT 1–1✗—
  5. SoccerSerie ACas Odenthal 1+ GoalsCas Odenthal · Anytime ScorerFrosinone v Sassuolo · Serie AWizLine19.7%Book5.9% +1700fanduel+13.8%strong18% on 1488 plays · −42.3% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 4–2✗—
  6. NHLUnder 3.5 SOGCutter Gauthier · Shots on goalBOS at ANAWizLine64% · 3.1 SOGBook50% −110draftkings+13.6%strong53% on 491 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 4-2✗—
  7. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGJudd Caulfield · Shots on goalBOS at ANAWizLine61% · 1.4 SOGBook48% −110betmgm+13.2%strong53% on 491 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 4-2✓—
  8. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGCale Makar · Shots on goalPIT at COLWizLine63% · 2.2 SOGBook51% −110betmgm+11.4%strong53% on 491 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 2-5✓—
  9. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGNikita Klepov · Shots on goalBOS at ANAWizLine69% · 1.1 SOGBook58% −160draftkings+11.3%strong53% on 491 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 4-2✓—
  10. SoccerLigue 1Over 2.5 goalsLe Mans · Over/Under 2.5Le Mans v Toulouse · Ligue 1WizLine67.8%Book57.0%+10.9%strong40% on 100 plays since Feb 21 · −24.2% ROI · no better than betting every over (54%)FT 0–3✓—
  11. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGRoger McQueen · Shots on goalBOS at ANAWizLine62% · 1.3 SOGBook52% −125draftkings+10.0%strong53% on 491 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 4-2✗—
  12. SoccerLigue 1Louis Mafouta 1+ GoalsLouis Mafouta · Anytime ScorerLe Mans v Toulouse · Ligue 1WizLine46.7%Book37.0% +175betmgm+9.7%strong18% on 1488 plays · −42.3% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 0–3✗—
  13. SoccerLigue 1Abu Francis 1+ Shots on TargetAbu Francis · Shots on TargetLe Mans v Toulouse · Ligue 1WizLine25.9%Book16.7% +500fanduel+9.2%strong18% on 1488 plays · −42.3% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 0–3=—
  14. SoccerSerie A1H Under 1.5Frosinone · 1st-half totalFrosinone v Sassuolo · Serie AWizLine65.5%Book56.4%+9.1%strong41% on 22 plays since Sep 14 · −38.2% ROI · beats betting every over (37%) · small sampleFT 4–2✗—
  15. NHLPIT MLPittsburgh Penguins · MoneylinePIT at COLWizLine43%Book34% +175williamhill us+8.8%strongUnmeasured bar · 33% on 39 plays since Oct 2 · −25.4% ROI · worse than backing the home side (57%)Final 2-5✗—
  16. NHLUnder 3.5 SOGDavid Pastrnak · Shots on goalBOS at ANAWizLine65% · 3.0 SOGBook56% −140draftkings+8.8%strong53% on 491 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 4-2✗—
  17. NHLPIT +1.5Pittsburgh Penguins · Puck linePIT at COLWizLine63%Book54% −140betmgm+8.8%strongUnmeasured bar · 49% on 37 plays since Oct 2 · −18.6% ROIFinal 2-5✗—
  18. NHLOver 1.5 SOGEvgeni Malkin · Shots on goalPIT at COLWizLine66% · 2.3 SOGBook58% −155betmgm+8.6%strong53% on 491 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 2-5✓—
  19. SoccerLa LigaBoth teams to score — YesDeportivo · Both teams to scoreDeportivo v Levante · La LigaWizLine64.7%Book56.2%+8.5%strong36% on 59 plays since Aug 21 · −28.9% ROI · no better than betting yes every time (65%)FT 1–1✓—
  20. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGBryan Rust · Shots on goalPIT at COLWizLine66% · 2.1 SOGBook57% −155draftkings+8.3%strong53% on 491 plays since Oct 2 · −2.7% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 2-5✓—
  21. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGJames Hagens · Shots on goalBOS at ANAWizLine55% · 1.5 SOGBook48% −105draftkings+7.7%lean57% on 653 plays since Oct 2 · +6.6% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 4-2✗—
  22. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGNazem Kadri · Shots on goalPIT at COLWizLine57% · 2.4 SOGBook49% −106fanduel+7.7%lean57% on 653 plays since Oct 2 · +6.6% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 2-5✗—
  23. SoccerLa LigaAdrián de la Fuente 1+ GoalsAdrián de la Fuente · Anytime ScorerDeportivo v Levante · La LigaWizLine16.4%Book9.1% +1000draftkings+7.3%lean18% on 2362 plays · −44.3% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 1–1✗—
  24. SoccerLigue 1Both teams to score — YesLe Mans · Both teams to scoreLe Mans v Toulouse · Ligue 1WizLine68.5%Book61.4%+7.1%lean63% on 86 plays since Jul 25 · +12.9% ROI · no better than betting yes every time (65%)FT 0–3✗—
  25. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGNikita Zadorov · Shots on goalBOS at ANAWizLine62% · 1.3 SOGBook55% −145draftkings+7.0%lean57% on 653 plays since Oct 2 · +6.6% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 4-2✓—
  26. NHLCOL under 3.5Colorado Avalanche · Team totalPIT at COLWizLine51%Book44% +115williamhill us+7.0%strongUnmeasured bar · 46% on 99 plays since Oct 2 · −18.0% ROI · no better than betting every over (41%)Final 2-5✗—
  27. SoccerLigue 1Christ Tapé 1+ GoalsChrist Tapé · Anytime ScorerLe Mans v Toulouse · Ligue 1WizLine11.7%Book4.8% +2500fanduel+7.0%lean18% on 2362 plays · −44.3% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 0–3✗—
  28. SoccerSerie ASimone Cinquegrano 1+ Shots on TargetSimone Cinquegrano · Shots on TargetFrosinone v Sassuolo · Serie AWizLine33.1%Book26.3% +280fanduel+6.8%lean18% on 2362 plays · −44.3% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 4–2=—
  29. NHLBOS under 3.5Boston Bruins · Team totalBOS at ANAWizLine55%Book48% −105betmgm+6.7%strongUnmeasured bar · 46% on 99 plays since Oct 2 · −18.0% ROI · no better than betting every over (41%)Final 4-2awaiting grade—
  30. NHLPIT over 2.5Pittsburgh Penguins · Team totalPIT at COLWizLine60%Book53% −126fanduel+6.7%strongUnmeasured bar · 46% on 99 plays since Oct 2 · −18.0% ROI · no better than betting every over (41%)Final 2-5✗—
  31. SoccerLa LigaJosé María Giménez 2+ ShotsJosé María Giménez · ShotsDeportivo v Levante · La LigaWizLine26.2%Book20.0% +400fanduel+6.2%lean18% on 2362 plays · −44.3% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 1–1✗—
  32. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGJaden Schwartz · Shots on goalPIT at COLWizLine56% · 1.5 SOGBook50% −120draftkings+6.1%lean57% on 653 plays since Oct 2 · +6.6% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 2-5✓—
  33. SoccerSerie AGiorgi Kvernadze 1+ GoalsGiorgi Kvernadze · Anytime ScorerFrosinone v Sassuolo · Serie AWizLine36.9%Book30.8% +230betmgm+6.1%lean18% on 2362 plays · −44.3% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 4–2✗—
  34. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGBeckett Sennecke · Shots on goalBOS at ANAWizLine51% · 2.7 SOGBook45% +110draftkings+6.0%lean57% on 653 plays since Oct 2 · +6.6% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 4-2✓—
  35. SoccerLa LigaBright Ede 1+ ShotsBright Ede · ShotsDeportivo v Levante · La LigaWizLine53.1%Book47.6% +110fanduel+5.5%lean18% on 2362 plays · −44.3% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 1–1✗—
  36. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGErik Karlsson · Shots on goalPIT at COLWizLine44% · 1.9 SOGBook39% +142fanduel+5.5%lean57% on 653 plays since Oct 2 · +6.6% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 2-5✗—
  37. NHLOver 1.5 SOGBrock Nelson · Shots on goalPIT at COLWizLine61% · 2.1 SOGBook56% −150betmgm+5.4%lean57% on 653 plays since Oct 2 · +6.6% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 2-5✗—
  38. SoccerLa LigaDeportivo to winDeportivo · Match resultDeportivo v Levante · La LigaWizLine52.0%Book46.7%+5.3%lean34% on 95 plays since Feb 22 · −14.7% ROI · worse than backing the home side (44%)FT 1–1✗—
  39. NHLOver 1.5 SOGBen Kindel · Shots on goalPIT at COLWizLine58% · 2.0 SOGBook52% −130draftkings+5.1%lean57% on 653 plays since Oct 2 · +6.6% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 2-5✗—
  40. CFBAPP MLApp State Mountaineers · MoneylineAPP at CCUWizLine56%Book51% −115+5.0%leanUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Final 35-32✓—
  41. SoccerSerie AFrosinone to winFrosinone · Match resultFrosinone v Sassuolo · Serie AWizLine43.3%Book38.4%+4.9%lean34% on 95 plays since Feb 22 · −14.7% ROI · worse than backing the home side (44%)FT 4–2✓—
  42. SoccerLa LigaJosé María Giménez 1+ ShotsJosé María Giménez · ShotsDeportivo v Levante · La LigaWizLine63.0%Book58.3% −140fanduel+4.7%lean18% on 2362 plays · −44.3% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 1–1✗—
  43. SoccerSerie APatrizio Masini O0.5Patrizio Masini · AssistsFrosinone v Sassuolo · Serie AWizLine13.7%Book9.1% +1000fanduel+4.6%lean18% on 2362 plays · −44.3% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 4–2✗—
  44. SoccerLa LigaMario Soriano Carreno O0.5Mario Soriano Carreno · AssistsDeportivo v Levante · La LigaWizLine24.1%Book19.6% +410fanduel+4.5%lean18% on 2362 plays · −44.3% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 1–1✗—
  45. SoccerLa LigaBright Ede 2+ ShotsBright Ede · ShotsDeportivo v Levante · La LigaWizLine17.6%Book13.3% +650fanduel+4.3%lean18% on 2362 plays · −44.3% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 1–1✗—
  46. NBATOR MLToronto Raptors · MoneylineTOR at DETWizLine+289Book+340 +340+3.9%leanUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Final 125-129won't be graded—
  47. NHLOver 6.5BOS at ANA · Game totalBOS at ANAWizLine51%Book48% −105betmgm+3.3%leanUnmeasured bar · 41% on 111 plays since Oct 2 · −22.7% ROI · worse than betting every over (49%)Final 4-2✗—

How to read it

Every row is one play our model likes more than the book does. The WizLine is our number, Book is theirs with the best price we found, and the WizEdge is the gap between them. Gold rows are the biggest gaps for that market. The bar a play has to clear is set per sport and market, because a 1.5-strikeout gap in baseball and a four-point lean in soccer aren't the same thing, and “Elite” is just a filter for the very biggest ones.

Track record is the honest column. It's how plays like this one have actually done — hit rate, how many, since when, and whether that beats the dumbest possible rule, like betting every over. Some rows say we haven't measured that yet, or that plays like this have run worse than the blind rule. We show those anyway and say so, rather than hide them. “Has a track record” hides the unmeasured ones with one tap.

Two markets never appear: NBA game totals and team totals. We've graded them and lost, so they stay on their own board under a caveat. The graded so far tile counts only plays a sport has actually graded; a finished game whose grader hasn't run yet sits under awaiting grade.

Sports on this build: NFL · CFB · NBA · NHL · MLB · Soccer · Golf · UFC. Boards: Plays of the Day · MLB leans · NFL · NHL · NBA · SlipCast.