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Every play our model likes more than the book does, across every sport, in one table. Beside each one: how plays like it have actually done. Sort it, filter it, tag what you like and cast it as a slip.

58plays today22strong21–36–1graded so far
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  1. SoccerEPLUnder 2.5 goalsTottenham Hotspur · Over/Under 2.5Tottenham Hotspur v Coventry City · EPLWizLine56.3%Book40.5%+15.8%strong39% on 94 plays since Feb 21 · −25.8% ROI · no better than betting every over (54%)FT 3–1✗—
  2. SoccerEPLMatt Grimes 1+ ShotsMatt Grimes · ShotsTottenham Hotspur v Coventry City · EPLWizLine63.1%Book47.6% +110fanduel+15.5%strong18% on 1413 plays · −41.6% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 3–1✗—
  3. SoccerSerie AJoseph Liteta 2+ ShotsJoseph Liteta · ShotsMonza v Cagliari · Serie AWizLine33.3%Book19.6% +410fanduel+13.6%strong18% on 1413 plays · −41.6% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 4–0✗—
  4. SoccerEPLMatt Grimes 2+ ShotsMatt Grimes · ShotsTottenham Hotspur v Coventry City · EPLWizLine26.3%Book13.3% +650fanduel+13.0%strong18% on 1413 plays · −41.6% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 3–1✗—
  5. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGMichael Bunting · Shots on goalCOL at PHIWizLine65% · 1.2 SOGBook52% −120draftkings+12.8%strong54% on 465 plays since Oct 2 · −2.2% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 2-3✓—
  6. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGCale Makar · Shots on goalCOL at PHIWizLine65% · 2.1 SOGBook52% −125betmgm+12.5%strong54% on 465 plays since Oct 2 · −2.2% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 2-3✗—
  7. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGPorter Martone · Shots on goalCOL at PHIWizLine56% · 1.5 SOGBook44% +130draftkings+12.1%strong54% on 465 plays since Oct 2 · −2.2% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 2-3✓—
  8. SoccerSerie AJoseph Liteta 1+ ShotsJoseph Liteta · ShotsMonza v Cagliari · Serie AWizLine69.5%Book57.5% −135fanduel+12.0%strong18% on 1413 plays · −41.6% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 4–0✗—
  9. SoccerSerie ACagliari to winCagliari · Match resultMonza v Cagliari · Serie AWizLine42.8%Book31.2%+11.6%strong35% on 113 plays since Feb 21 · +2.5% ROI · worse than backing the home side (44%)FT 4–0✗—
  10. SoccerSerie ADaniel Maldini 1+ GoalsDaniel Maldini · Anytime ScorerMonza v Cagliari · Serie AWizLine37.0%Book26.7% +290betmgm+10.3%strong18% on 1413 plays · −41.6% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 4–0✗—
  11. SoccerLa LigaSergio Camello 1+ GoalsSergio Camello · Anytime ScorerGetafe v Rayo Vallecano · La LigaWizLine39.1%Book29.0% +250fanduel+10.1%strong18% on 1413 plays · −41.6% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 1–1✗—
  12. SoccerSerie AHarry Winks 1+ Shots on TargetHarry Winks · Shots on TargetMonza v Cagliari · Serie AWizLine36.3%Book26.3% +280fanduel+9.9%strong18% on 1413 plays · −41.6% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 4–0✗—
  13. NHLOver 1.5 SOGKiefer Sherwood · Shots on goalSJS at TORWizLine63% · 2.2 SOGBook53% −115draftkings+9.9%strong54% on 465 plays since Oct 2 · −2.2% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 1-3✗—
  14. NHLOver 1.5 SOGJacob Trouba · Shots on goalSJS at TORWizLine59% · 2.0 SOGBook50% −115draftkings+9.7%strong54% on 465 plays since Oct 2 · −2.2% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 1-3✗—
  15. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGLogan Cooley · Shots on goalPIT at UTAWizLine49% · 1.7 SOGBook39% +135betmgm+9.5%strong54% on 465 plays since Oct 2 · −2.2% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 4-5✗—
  16. NHLOver 1.5 SOGMikael Granlund · Shots on goalANA at NYRWizLine61% · 2.1 SOGBook52% −120betmgm+8.9%strong54% on 465 plays since Oct 2 · −2.2% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 2-5✓—
  17. NHLUnder 3.5 SOGCutter Gauthier · Shots on goalANA at NYRWizLine64% · 3.1 SOGBook55% −138fanduel+8.6%strong54% on 465 plays since Oct 2 · −2.2% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 2-5✗—
  18. NHLUnder 6.5SJS at TOR · Game totalSJS at TORWizLine52%Book44% +121williamhill us+7.8%strongUnmeasured bar · 27% on 15 plays since Oct 6 · −40.4% ROI · worse than betting every over (49%)Final 1-3✓—
  19. NHLNYR under 3.5New York Rangers · Team totalANA at NYRWizLine59%Book51% −120fanatics+7.3%strongUnmeasured bar · 46% on 91 plays since Oct 2 · −19.2% ROI · no better than betting every over (41%)Final 2-5✗—
  20. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGKris Letang · Shots on goalPIT at UTAWizLine63% · 1.3 SOGBook56% −160betmgm+6.9%lean57% on 612 plays since Oct 2 · +6.3% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 4-5✗—
  21. SoccerSerie ASaba Goglichidze 1+ GoalsSaba Goglichidze · Anytime ScorerMonza v Cagliari · Serie AWizLine10.2%Book3.5% +3000fanduel+6.8%lean18% on 2225 plays · −43.9% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 4–0✗—
  22. SoccerSerie AJoseph Liteta 3+ ShotsJoseph Liteta · ShotsMonza v Cagliari · Serie AWizLine11.8%Book5.0% +1900fanduel+6.8%lean18% on 2225 plays · −43.9% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 4–0✗—
  23. NHLPIT MLPittsburgh Penguins · MoneylinePIT at UTAWizLine44%Book37% +155betmgm+6.8%strongUnmeasured bar · 32% on 38 plays since Oct 2 · −28.2% ROI · worse than backing the home side (57%)Final 4-5✗—
  24. SoccerSerie AAlessandro Romano 1+ GoalsAlessandro Romano · Anytime ScorerMonza v Cagliari · Serie AWizLine15.1%Book8.3% +1200fanduel+6.7%lean18% on 2225 plays · −43.9% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 4–0✗—
  25. NHLUnder 3.5 SOGAuston Matthews · Shots on goalSJS at TORWizLine55% · 3.5 SOGBook49% −105betmgm+6.6%lean57% on 612 plays since Oct 2 · +6.3% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 1-3✓—
  26. SoccerSerie ASaba Goglichidze 1+ Shots on TargetSaba Goglichidze · Shots on TargetMonza v Cagliari · Serie AWizLine16.6%Book10.0% +900fanduel+6.6%lean18% on 2225 plays · −43.9% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 4–0✗—
  27. NHLSJS under 3San Jose Sharks · Team totalSJS at TORWizLine54%Book48% −150williamhill us+6.5%strongUnmeasured bar · 46% on 91 plays since Oct 2 · −19.2% ROI · no better than betting every over (41%)Final 1-3✓—
  28. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGPavel Dorofeyev · Shots on goalANA at NYRWizLine51% · 2.7 SOGBook45% +120draftkings+6.4%lean57% on 612 plays since Oct 2 · +6.3% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 2-5✗—
  29. NHLOver 2.5 SOGLeo Carlsson · Shots on goalANA at NYRWizLine45% · 2.5 SOGBook39% +136fanduel+6.4%lean57% on 612 plays since Oct 2 · +6.3% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 2-5✗—
  30. NHLOver 1.5 SOGArtturi Lehkonen · Shots on goalCOL at PHIWizLine61% · 2.1 SOGBook54% −138fanduel+6.3%lean57% on 612 plays since Oct 2 · +6.3% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 2-3✓—
  31. NHLOver 2.5 SOGWill Smith · Shots on goalSJS at TORWizLine50% · 2.7 SOGBook43% +115betmgm+6.2%lean57% on 612 plays since Oct 2 · +6.3% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 1-3✓—
  32. SoccerSerie AAlessandro Romano 2+ ShotsAlessandro Romano · ShotsMonza v Cagliari · Serie AWizLine45.4%Book39.2% +155fanduel+6.2%lean18% on 2225 plays · −43.9% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 4–0✓—
  33. NHLUTA under 3.5Utah Mammoth · Team totalPIT at UTAWizLine51%Book45% +105betmgm+6.1%strongUnmeasured bar · 46% on 91 plays since Oct 2 · −19.2% ROI · no better than betting every over (41%)Final 4-5✗—
  34. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGMatvei Michkov · Shots on goalCOL at PHIWizLine50% · 1.7 SOGBook43% +125draftkings+6.1%lean57% on 612 plays since Oct 2 · +6.3% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 2-3✗—
  35. NHLOver 1.5 SOGJackson LaCombe · Shots on goalANA at NYRWizLine55% · 1.9 SOGBook49% −110draftkings+6.0%lean57% on 612 plays since Oct 2 · +6.3% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 2-5✗—
  36. SoccerLa LigaBoth teams to score — NoGetafe · Both teams to scoreGetafe v Rayo Vallecano · La LigaWizLine63.1%Book57.2%+5.9%lean63% on 81 plays since Jul 25 · +13.5% ROI · no better than betting yes every time (65%)FT 1–1✗—
  37. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGBryan Rust · Shots on goalPIT at UTAWizLine67% · 2.0 SOGBook61% −185draftkings+5.9%lean57% on 612 plays since Oct 2 · +6.3% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 4-5✓—
  38. SoccerSerie AAndrea Carboni 1+ Shots on TargetAndrea Carboni · Shots on TargetMonza v Cagliari · Serie AWizLine21.2%Book15.4% +550fanduel+5.8%lean18% on 2225 plays · −43.9% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 4–0✗—
  39. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGAdam Fox · Shots on goalANA at NYRWizLine58% · 1.4 SOGBook52% −118betmgm+5.8%lean57% on 612 plays since Oct 2 · +6.3% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 2-5✓—
  40. NHLOver 1.5 SOGMason Marchment · Shots on goalSJS at TORWizLine58% · 2.0 SOGBook52% −125draftkings+5.7%lean57% on 612 plays since Oct 2 · +6.3% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 1-3✓—
  41. NHLUnder 6.5ANA at NYR · Game totalANA at NYRWizLine56%Book50% −108draftkings+5.6%leanUnmeasured bar · 40% on 107 plays since Oct 2 · −23.1% ROI · worse than betting every over (49%)Final 2-5✗—
  42. SoccerSerie AJoseph Liteta 1+ Shots on TargetJoseph Liteta · Shots on TargetMonza v Cagliari · Serie AWizLine30.6%Book25.0% +300fanduel+5.6%lean18% on 2225 plays · −43.9% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 4–0✗—
  43. NHLPIT +1.5Pittsburgh Penguins · Puck linePIT at UTAWizLine64%Book59% −155betmgm+5.6%leanUnmeasured bar · 50% on 42 plays since Oct 2 · −18.7% ROIFinal 4-5✓—
  44. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGEeli Tolvanen · Shots on goalANA at NYRWizLine58% · 1.5 SOGBook52% −130draftkings+5.4%lean57% on 612 plays since Oct 2 · +6.3% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 2-5✓—
  45. NHLOver 1.5 SOGDarnell Nurse · Shots on goalSJS at TORWizLine63% · 2.2 SOGBook58% −165draftkings+5.3%lean57% on 612 plays since Oct 2 · +6.3% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 1-3✓—
  46. SoccerSerie APietro Comuzzo 1+ GoalsPietro Comuzzo · Anytime ScorerParma v Torino · Serie AWizLine8.3%Book3.2% +3000draftkings+5.1%lean18% on 2225 plays · −43.9% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 0–3✗—
  47. SoccerSerie AGustavo Varela 1+ GoalsGustavo Varela · Anytime ScorerMonza v Cagliari · Serie AWizLine37.4%Book32.3% +225draftkings+5.1%lean18% on 2225 plays · −43.9% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 4–0✓—
  48. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGSidney Crosby · Shots on goalPIT at UTAWizLine63% · 2.2 SOGBook58% −160betmgm+5.1%lean57% on 612 plays since Oct 2 · +6.3% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 4-5✓—
  49. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGBarrett Hayton · Shots on goalPIT at UTAWizLine58% · 1.4 SOGBook53% −140betmgm+5.1%lean57% on 612 plays since Oct 2 · +6.3% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 4-5✗—
  50. SoccerSerie AJay Robinson 1+ GoalsJay Robinson · Anytime ScorerMonza v Cagliari · Serie AWizLine22.6%Book17.5% +475draftkings+5.1%lean18% on 2225 plays · −43.9% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 4–0✓—

How to read it

Every row is one play our model likes more than the book does. The WizLine is our number, Book is theirs with the best price we found, and the WizEdge is the gap between them. Gold rows are the biggest gaps for that market. The bar a play has to clear is set per sport and market, because a 1.5-strikeout gap in baseball and a four-point lean in soccer aren't the same thing, and “Elite” is just a filter for the very biggest ones.

Track record is the honest column. It's how plays like this one have actually done — hit rate, how many, since when, and whether that beats the dumbest possible rule, like betting every over. Some rows say we haven't measured that yet, or that plays like this have run worse than the blind rule. We show those anyway and say so, rather than hide them. “Has a track record” hides the unmeasured ones with one tap.

Two markets never appear: NBA game totals and team totals. We've graded them and lost, so they stay on their own board under a caveat. The graded so far tile counts only plays a sport has actually graded; a finished game whose grader hasn't run yet sits under awaiting grade.

Sports on this build: NFL · CFB · NBA · NHL · MLB · Soccer · Golf · UFC. Boards: Plays of the Day · MLB leans · NFL · NHL · NBA · SlipCast.