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Every play our model likes more than the book does, across every sport, in one table. Beside each one: how plays like it have actually done. Sort it, filter it, tag what you like and cast it as a slip.

271plays today140strong131–136graded so far4final · awaiting grade
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  1. CFBUSA MLSouth Alabama Jaguars · Moneyline · USA at MRSHWizLine73%Book55% −134+18.6%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Final 13-20✗—
  2. NHLUnder 3.5 SOGLeon Draisaitl · Shots on goal · MIN at EDMWizLine73% · 2.6 SOGBook56% −145draftkings+16.5%strong54% on 450 plays since Oct 2 · −1.8% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final/OT 3-4✗—
  3. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGZachary Bolduc · Shots on goal · SJS at MTLWizLine55% · 1.5 SOGBook44% +115draftkings+11.2%strong54% on 450 plays since Oct 2 · −1.8% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final/OT 4-3✓—
  4. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGAlex Ovechkin · Shots on goal · LAK at WSHWizLine64% · 2.2 SOGBook53% −140betmgm+10.9%strong54% on 450 plays since Oct 2 · −1.8% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 5-2✓—
  5. NHLOver 1.5 SOGMikael Granlund · Shots on goal · ANA at NYIWizLine61% · 2.1 SOGBook50% −105draftkings+10.7%strong54% on 450 plays since Oct 2 · −1.8% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 2-3✗—
  6. NHLUnder 3.5 SOGDavid Pastrnak · Shots on goal · BOS at DALWizLine67% · 2.9 SOGBook57% −145draftkings+10.6%strong54% on 450 plays since Oct 2 · −1.8% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final/OT 2-3✓—
  7. NHLEDM under 3.5Edmonton Oilers · Team total · MIN at EDMWizLine60%Book50% −138fanduel+10.4%strongUnmeasured bar · 45% on 86 plays since Oct 2 · −21.3% ROI · no better than betting every over (41%)Final/OT 3-4✗—
  8. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGTrevor Connelly · Shots on goal · TBL at VGKWizLine53% · 1.6 SOGBook43% +125draftkings+10.1%strong54% on 450 plays since Oct 2 · −1.8% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 6-2✓—
  9. NBAOver 15.5 prDevin Vassell · PR · OKC at SAWizLine17.1Book15.5 −1301 book+10.0%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Final 116-104✗—
  10. NBAOver 20.5 ptsTyrese Maxey · Points · PHI at NYWizLine21.0Book20.5 −1183 books+9.9%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Final 106-100✓—
  11. NBAUnder 12.5 prPaul Reed · PR · BOS at DETWizLine11.7Book12.5+9.9%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Final 113-121✓—
  12. NBAJosh Hart Double Double — NoJosh Hart · Double Double · PHI at NYWizLine14.6%Book24.4%+9.8%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Final 106-100✓—
  13. NBAUnder 2.5 rebJared McCain · Rebounds · OKC at SAWizLine1.9Book2.5+9.8%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Final 116-104✓—
  14. NBAOver 18.5 praIsaiah Hartenstein · PRA · OKC at SAWizLine20.3Book18.5 −1263 books+9.8%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Final 116-104✗—
  15. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGVictor Eklund · Shots on goal · ANA at NYIWizLine60% · 1.4 SOGBook50% −120betmgm+9.7%strong54% on 450 plays since Oct 2 · −1.8% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 2-3✗—
  16. NBAOver 9.5 ptsDuncan Robinson · Points · BOS at DETWizLine11.4Book9.5 −1201 book+9.6%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Final 113-121✓—
  17. NBAUnder 33.5 prShai Gilgeous-Alexander · PR · OKC at SAWizLine32.0Book33.5+9.6%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Final 116-104✗—
  18. NBAUnder 29.5 praLeBron James · PRA · PHI at NYWizLine27.9Book29.5+9.6%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Final 106-100✗—
  19. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGFilip Chytil · Shots on goal · CAR at VANWizLine57% · 1.5 SOGBook48% −105draftkings+9.6%strong54% on 450 plays since Oct 2 · −1.8% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 6-3✗—
  20. NHLUnder 1.5 SOGAnthony Duclair · Shots on goal · ANA at NYIWizLine66% · 1.2 SOGBook57% −155draftkings+9.6%strong54% on 450 plays since Oct 2 · −1.8% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 2-3✓—
  21. NBAOver 13.5 prJulian Champagnie · PR · OKC at SAWizLine15.9Book13.5 −1272 books+9.6%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Final 116-104✗—
  22. NBAOver 19.5 prPaul George · PR · BOS at DETWizLine22.1Book19.5 −1152 books+9.5%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Final 113-121✓—
  23. NBAOver 4.5 raDuncan Robinson · RA · BOS at DETWizLine4.6Book4.5 +1151 book+9.5%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Final 113-121✗—
  24. NBAUnder 0.5 3pJalen Williams · Threes Made · OKC at SAWizLine0.7Book0.5+9.5%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Final 116-104✗—
  25. NBAOver 1.5 3pJaylen Brown · Threes Made · PHI at NYWizLine1.9Book1.5 −1084 books+9.5%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Final 106-100✓—
  26. NHLOver 1.5 SOGK'Andre Miller · Shots on goal · CAR at VANWizLine52% · 1.8 SOGBook43% +115betmgm+9.5%strong54% on 450 plays since Oct 2 · −1.8% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final 6-3✓—
  27. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGNoah Dobson · Shots on goal · SJS at MTLWizLine71% · 1.9 SOGBook61% −185betmgm+9.4%strong54% on 450 plays since Oct 2 · −1.8% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final/OT 4-3✗—
  28. NBAUnder 21.5 ptsJoel Embiid · Points · PHI at NYWizLine20.6Book21.5+9.4%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Final 106-100✓—
  29. NBAOver 2.5 astIsaiah Hartenstein · Assists · OKC at SAWizLine3.1Book2.5 −1123 books+9.4%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Final 116-104✓—
  30. NHLDAL under 3.5Dallas Stars · Team total · BOS at DALWizLine59%Book50% −139williamhill us+9.4%strongUnmeasured bar · 45% on 86 plays since Oct 2 · −21.3% ROI · no better than betting every over (41%)Final/OT 2-3✓—
  31. NBAOver 15.5 prNeemias Queta · PR · BOS at DETWizLine18.9Book15.5 −1242 books+9.4%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Final 113-121✗—
  32. NBAOver 1.5 astDuncan Robinson · Assists · BOS at DETWizLine2.1Book1.5 −1353 books+9.3%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Final 113-121✓—
  33. NBAUnder 1.5 astPaul Reed · Assists · BOS at DETWizLine1.2Book1.5+9.3%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Final 113-121✗—
  34. NBAUnder 1.5 3pAlex Caruso · Threes Made · OKC at SAWizLine1.2Book1.5+9.3%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Final 116-104✗—
  35. NBAAusar Thompson Double Double — NoAusar Thompson · Double Double · BOS at DETWizLine3.3%Book12.6%+9.3%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Final 113-121✗—
  36. NBAUnder 26.5 praJalen Williams · PRA · OKC at SAWizLine24.8Book26.5+9.3%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Final 116-104✓—
  37. NBAIsaiah Hartenstein Double Double — NoIsaiah Hartenstein · Double Double · OKC at SAWizLine12.5%Book21.7%+9.2%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Final 116-104✓—
  38. NBAUnder 12.5 praJared McCain · PRA · OKC at SAWizLine11.4Book12.5+9.2%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Final 116-104✗—
  39. NBAOver 5.5 astStephon Castle · Assists · OKC at SAWizLine6.7Book5.5 −1322 books+9.2%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Final 116-104✗—
  40. NHLWSH under 3.5Washington Capitals · Team total · LAK at WSHWizLine59%Book50% −141williamhill us+9.2%strongUnmeasured bar · 45% on 86 plays since Oct 2 · −21.3% ROI · no better than betting every over (41%)Final 5-2✓—
  41. NHLTBL under 3Tampa Bay Lightning · Team total · TBL at VGKWizLine58%Book49% −115betmgm+9.1%strongUnmeasured bar · 45% on 86 plays since Oct 2 · −21.3% ROI · no better than betting every over (41%)Final 6-2✗—
  42. NBAOver 4.5 rebStephon Castle · Rebounds · OKC at SAWizLine5.0Book4.5 −1322 books+9.1%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Final 116-104✓—
  43. NBAUnder 33.5 praJoel Embiid · PRA · PHI at NYWizLine32.2Book33.5+8.9%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Final 106-100✓—
  44. NBAOver 2.5 astDevin Vassell · Assists · OKC at SAWizLine2.4Book2.5 +1223 books+8.9%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Final 116-104✗—
  45. NBAOver 1.5 astChet Holmgren · Assists · OKC at SAWizLine1.5Book1.5 +1403 books+8.9%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Final 116-104✓—
  46. NBAOver 25.5 prJaylen Brown · PR · PHI at NYWizLine26.8Book25.5 −1241 book+8.9%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Final 106-100✓—
  47. NHLUnder 2.5 SOGVince Dunn · Shots on goal · DET at SEAWizLine65% · 2.1 SOGBook57% −155draftkings+8.9%strong54% on 450 plays since Oct 2 · −1.8% ROI · beats betting every over (46%)Final/SO 3-4✓—
  48. NBAOver 13.5 ptsDe'Aaron Fox · Points · OKC at SAWizLine16.6Book13.5 −1271 book+8.8%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Final 116-104✓—
  49. NBAOver 11.5 ptsAjay Mitchell · Points · OKC at SAWizLine12.7Book11.5 −1104 books+8.8%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Final 116-104✗—
  50. NBAUnder 0.5 blkKarl-Anthony Towns · Blocks · PHI at NYWizLine0.6Book0.5+8.7%strongUnmeasured bar · no track record yet.Final 106-100✗—

How to read it

Every row is one play our model likes more than the book does. The WizLine is our number, Book is theirs with the best price we found, and the WizEdge is the gap between them. Gold rows are the biggest gaps for that market. The bar a play has to clear is set per sport and market, because a 1.5-strikeout gap in baseball and a four-point lean in soccer aren't the same thing, and “Elite” is just a filter for the very biggest ones.

Track record is the honest column. It's how plays like this one have actually done — hit rate, how many, since when, and whether that beats the dumbest possible rule, like betting every over. Some rows say we haven't measured that yet, or that plays like this have run worse than the blind rule. We show those anyway and say so, rather than hide them. “Has a track record” hides the unmeasured ones with one tap.

Two markets never appear: NBA game totals and team totals. We've graded them and lost, so they stay on their own board under a caveat. The graded so far tile counts only plays a sport has actually graded; a finished game whose grader hasn't run yet sits under awaiting grade.

Sports on this build: NFL · CFB · NBA · NHL · MLB · Soccer · Golf · UFC. Boards: Plays of the Day · MLB leans · NFL · NHL · NBA · SlipCast.