MatchWiz

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Every play our model likes more than the book does, across every sport, in one table. Beside each one: how plays like it have actually done. Sort it, filter it, tag what you like and cast it as a slip.

174plays today73strong31–133–10graded so far
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Show174/174
  1. SoccerLa LigaYassir Zabiri 1+ GoalsYassir Zabiri · Anytime ScorerOsasuna v Racing Santander · La LigaWizLine61.8%Book36.4% +175draftkings+25.5%strong18% on 1413 plays · −41.6% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 2–0✗—
  2. SoccerLa LigaAndrés Martín 2+ Shots on TargetAndrés Martín · Shots on TargetOsasuna v Racing Santander · La LigaWizLine47.5%Book23.8% +320fanduel+23.6%strong18% on 1413 plays · −41.6% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 2–0✗—
  3. SoccerLa LigaSergio Gómez 1+ ShotsSergio Gómez · ShotsMálaga v Real Sociedad · La LigaWizLine70.0%Book48.8% +105fanduel+21.2%strong18% on 1413 plays · −41.6% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 2–5✗—
  4. SoccerBundesligaAdam Daghim 3+ ShotsAdam Daghim · ShotsBorussia Mönchengladbach v TSG Hoffenheim · BundesligaWizLine42.8%Book21.7% +360fanduel+21.1%strong18% on 1413 plays · −41.6% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 1–2✗—
  5. SoccerLa LigaSergio Gómez 2+ ShotsSergio Gómez · ShotsMálaga v Real Sociedad · La LigaWizLine33.9%Book13.3% +650fanduel+20.5%strong18% on 1413 plays · −41.6% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 2–5✗—
  6. SoccerLa LigaAndrés Martín 4+ ShotsAndrés Martín · ShotsOsasuna v Racing Santander · La LigaWizLine49.8%Book29.4% +240fanduel+20.4%strong18% on 1413 plays · −41.6% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 2–0✗—
  7. SoccerBundesligaAdam Daghim 2+ ShotsAdam Daghim · ShotsBorussia Mönchengladbach v TSG Hoffenheim · BundesligaWizLine69.0%Book48.8% +105fanduel+20.2%strong18% on 1413 plays · −41.6% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 1–2✗—
  8. SoccerBundesligaLeon Avdullahu 1+ ShotsLeon Avdullahu · ShotsBorussia Mönchengladbach v TSG Hoffenheim · BundesligaWizLine61.7%Book41.7% +140fanduel+20.0%strong18% on 1413 plays · −41.6% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 1–2✗—
  9. SoccerLa LigaAndrés Martín 3+ ShotsAndrés Martín · ShotsOsasuna v Racing Santander · La LigaWizLine70.8%Book52.4% −110fanduel+18.4%strong18% on 1413 plays · −41.6% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 2–0✗—
  10. SoccerMLSBrais Méndez 2+ Shots on TargetBrais Méndez · Shots on TargetFC Cincinnati v Columbus Crew · MLSWizLine56.0%Book37.7% +165fanduel+18.3%strong18% on 1413 plays · −41.6% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 0–2✗—
  11. SoccerLa LigaAndrés Martín 1+ Shots on TargetAndrés Martín · Shots on TargetOsasuna v Racing Santander · La LigaWizLine79.8%Book62.3% −165fanduel+17.5%strong18% on 1413 plays · −41.6% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 2–0✗—
  12. SoccerSerie AUnder 2.5 goalsAC Milan · Over/Under 2.5AC Milan v Atalanta · Serie AWizLine58.6%Book41.1%+17.4%strong39% on 94 plays since Feb 21 · −25.8% ROI · no better than betting every over (54%)FT 3–2✗—
  13. SoccerLa LigaOver 2.5 goalsOsasuna · Over/Under 2.5Osasuna v Racing Santander · La LigaWizLine75.8%Book58.5%+17.3%strong39% on 94 plays since Feb 21 · −25.8% ROI · no better than betting every over (54%)FT 2–0✗—
  14. SoccerBundesligaFacundo Medina 1+ Shots on TargetFacundo Medina · Shots on TargetBayer Leverkusen v SC Freiburg · BundesligaWizLine30.3%Book13.3% +650fanduel+17.0%strong18% on 1413 plays · −41.6% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 2–1✗—
  15. SoccerBundesligaPatrick Osterhage 1+ Shots on TargetPatrick Osterhage · Shots on TargetBayer Leverkusen v SC Freiburg · BundesligaWizLine32.3%Book15.4% +550fanduel+16.9%strong18% on 1413 plays · −41.6% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 2–1✗—
  16. SoccerLa LigaAndrés Martín 5+ ShotsAndrés Martín · ShotsOsasuna v Racing Santander · La LigaWizLine30.5%Book15.4% +550fanduel+15.2%strong18% on 1413 plays · −41.6% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 2–0✗—
  17. SoccerBundesligaLeon Avdullahu 2+ ShotsLeon Avdullahu · ShotsBorussia Mönchengladbach v TSG Hoffenheim · BundesligaWizLine24.9%Book10.0% +900fanduel+14.9%strong18% on 1413 plays · −41.6% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 1–2✗—
  18. SoccerMLSBrais Méndez 3+ Shots on TargetBrais Méndez · Shots on TargetFC Cincinnati v Columbus Crew · MLSWizLine29.1%Book14.3% +600fanduel+14.8%strong18% on 1413 plays · −41.6% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 0–2✗—
  19. SoccerLa LigaIñigo Vicente 2+ ShotsIñigo Vicente · ShotsOsasuna v Racing Santander · La LigaWizLine59.1%Book44.4% +125fanduel+14.7%strong18% on 1413 plays · −41.6% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 2–0✗—
  20. SoccerSerie AReda Belahyane 1+ ShotsReda Belahyane · ShotsJuventus v Lazio · Serie AWizLine51.7%Book37.0% +170fanduel+14.6%strong18% on 1413 plays · −41.6% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 0–3✗—
  21. SoccerLa LigaAndrés Martín 3+ Shots on TargetAndrés Martín · Shots on TargetOsasuna v Racing Santander · La LigaWizLine21.6%Book7.1% +1300fanduel+14.5%strong18% on 1413 plays · −41.6% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 2–0✗—
  22. SoccerSerie AUnder 2.5 goalsJuventus · Over/Under 2.5Juventus v Lazio · Serie AWizLine62.3%Book47.9%+14.4%strong39% on 94 plays since Feb 21 · −25.8% ROI · no better than betting every over (54%)FT 0–3✗—
  23. SoccerBundesligaAdam Daghim 4+ ShotsAdam Daghim · ShotsBorussia Mönchengladbach v TSG Hoffenheim · BundesligaWizLine21.9%Book7.7% +1200fanduel+14.3%strong18% on 1413 plays · −41.6% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 1–2✗—
  24. SoccerLigue 1Both teams to score — NoLyon · Both teams to scoreLyon v Nice · Ligue 1WizLine53.8%Book39.6%+14.2%strong35% on 55 plays since Aug 21 · −30.7% ROI · no better than betting yes every time (65%)FT 2–1✗—
  25. SoccerLa LigaIñigo Vicente 3+ ShotsIñigo Vicente · ShotsOsasuna v Racing Santander · La LigaWizLine32.0%Book18.9% +430fanduel+13.2%strong18% on 1413 plays · −41.6% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 2–0✗—
  26. SoccerLa LigaBoth teams to score — YesOsasuna · Both teams to scoreOsasuna v Racing Santander · La LigaWizLine74.1%Book61.4%+12.7%strong35% on 55 plays since Aug 21 · −30.7% ROI · no better than betting yes every time (65%)FT 2–0✗—
  27. SoccerLa LigaAndrés Martín 2+ ShotsAndrés Martín · ShotsOsasuna v Racing Santander · La LigaWizLine88.0%Book75.6% −310fanduel+12.4%strong18% on 1413 plays · −41.6% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 2–0✗—
  28. SoccerBundesligaPhilipp Lienhart 1+ ShotsPhilipp Lienhart · ShotsBayer Leverkusen v SC Freiburg · BundesligaWizLine39.1%Book27.0% +270fanduel+12.0%strong18% on 1413 plays · −41.6% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 2–1✗—
  29. SoccerBundesligaBorussia Mönchengladbach to winBorussia Mönchengladbach · Match resultBorussia Mönchengladbach v TSG Hoffenheim · BundesligaWizLine43.5%Book31.8%+11.7%strong35% on 113 plays since Feb 21 · +2.5% ROI · worse than backing the home side (44%)FT 1–2✗—
  30. SoccerSerie ATrevoh Chalobah 1+ ShotsTrevoh Chalobah · ShotsFiorentina v Como · Serie AWizLine61.2%Book50.0% +100fanduel+11.2%strong18% on 1413 plays · −41.6% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 1–3✗—
  31. SoccerSerie ATrevoh Chalobah 2+ ShotsTrevoh Chalobah · ShotsFiorentina v Como · Serie AWizLine24.4%Book13.3% +650fanduel+11.1%strong18% on 1413 plays · −41.6% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 1–3✗—
  32. SoccerLa LigaSergio Gómez 1+ Shots on TargetSergio Gómez · Shots on TargetMálaga v Real Sociedad · La LigaWizLine31.4%Book20.4% +390fanduel+10.9%strong18% on 1413 plays · −41.6% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 2–5✗—
  33. SoccerSerie AComo to winComo · Match resultFiorentina v Como · Serie AWizLine55.5%Book44.7%+10.8%strong35% on 113 plays since Feb 21 · +2.5% ROI · worse than backing the home side (44%)FT 1–3✓—
  34. SoccerBundesligaJordy Makengo 1+ ShotsJordy Makengo · ShotsBayer Leverkusen v SC Freiburg · BundesligaWizLine35.1%Book24.4% +310fanduel+10.7%strong18% on 1413 plays · −41.6% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 2–1✗—
  35. SoccerLigue 1Under 2.5 goalsLyon · Over/Under 2.5Lyon v Nice · Ligue 1WizLine53.5%Book43.0%+10.4%strong39% on 94 plays since Feb 21 · −25.8% ROI · no better than betting every over (54%)FT 2–1✗—
  36. SoccerMLSBrais Méndez 1+ Shots on TargetBrais Méndez · Shots on TargetFC Cincinnati v Columbus Crew · MLSWizLine84.7%Book74.4% −290fanduel+10.4%strong18% on 1413 plays · −41.6% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 0–2✗—
  37. SoccerLigue 1Zachary Athekame 1+ GoalsZachary Athekame · Anytime ScorerLyon v Nice · Ligue 1WizLine19.4%Book9.1% +1200fanduel+10.3%strong18% on 1413 plays · −41.6% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 2–1✗—
  38. SoccerEPLLuke Shaw 1+ ShotsLuke Shaw · ShotsLeeds United v Manchester United · EPLWizLine50.3%Book40.0% +150fanduel+10.3%strong18% on 1413 plays · −41.6% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 1–1=—
  39. SoccerLa LigaYassir Zabiri 2+ Shots on TargetYassir Zabiri · Shots on TargetOsasuna v Racing Santander · La LigaWizLine48.8%Book38.5% +160fanduel+10.3%strong18% on 1413 plays · −41.6% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 2–0✗—
  40. SoccerLa LigaAndrés Martín 1+ GoalsAndrés Martín · Anytime ScorerOsasuna v Racing Santander · La LigaWizLine38.0%Book27.8% +280draftkings+10.2%strong18% on 1413 plays · −41.6% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 2–0✗—
  41. SoccerLa LigaIñigo Vicente 1+ Shots on TargetIñigo Vicente · Shots on TargetOsasuna v Racing Santander · La LigaWizLine55.4%Book45.5% +120fanduel+10.0%strong18% on 1413 plays · −41.6% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 2–0✗—
  42. SoccerEPLOver 2.5 goalsAFC Bournemouth · Over/Under 2.5AFC Bournemouth v Sunderland · EPLWizLine52.7%Book42.9%+9.9%strong39% on 94 plays since Feb 21 · −25.8% ROI · no better than betting every over (54%)FT 2–0✗—
  43. SoccerBundesligaMaximilian Eggestein 1+ GoalsMaximilian Eggestein · Anytime ScorerBayer Leverkusen v SC Freiburg · BundesligaWizLine21.0%Book11.1% +850fanduel+9.9%strong18% on 1413 plays · −41.6% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 2–1✗—
  44. SoccerLigue 1Lyon to winLyon · Match resultLyon v Nice · Ligue 1WizLine59.0%Book49.2%+9.9%strong35% on 113 plays since Feb 21 · +2.5% ROI · worse than backing the home side (44%)FT 2–1✓—
  45. SoccerBundesligaNathan Tella 2+ Shots on TargetNathan Tella · Shots on TargetBayer Leverkusen v SC Freiburg · BundesligaWizLine31.6%Book21.7% +360fanduel+9.8%strong18% on 1413 plays · −41.6% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 2–1✗—
  46. SoccerLigue 1Christian Mawissa 1+ ShotsChristian Mawissa · ShotsLorient v AS Monaco · Ligue 1WizLine37.5%Book27.8% +260fanduel+9.7%strong18% on 1413 plays · −41.6% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 1–0✗—
  47. SoccerLigue 1Under 2.5 goalsAngers · Over/Under 2.5Angers v Marseille · Ligue 1WizLine50.8%Book41.1%+9.7%strong39% on 94 plays since Feb 21 · −25.8% ROI · no better than betting every over (54%)FT 2–5✗—
  48. SoccerSerie ABoth teams to score — NoAC Milan · Both teams to scoreAC Milan v Atalanta · Serie AWizLine51.7%Book42.2%+9.4%strong35% on 55 plays since Aug 21 · −30.7% ROI · no better than betting yes every time (65%)FT 3–2✗—
  49. SoccerLa LigaAndrés Martín 6+ ShotsAndrés Martín · ShotsOsasuna v Racing Santander · La LigaWizLine16.4%Book7.1% +1300fanduel+9.3%strong18% on 1413 plays · −41.6% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 2–0✗—
  50. SoccerBundesligaIgor Matanovic 1+ GoalsIgor Matanovic · Anytime ScorerBayer Leverkusen v SC Freiburg · BundesligaWizLine37.8%Book28.6% +250draftkings+9.2%strong18% on 1413 plays · −41.6% ROI · worse than break-evenFT 2–1✗—

How to read it

Every row is one play our model likes more than the book does. The WizLine is our number, Book is theirs with the best price we found, and the WizEdge is the gap between them. Gold rows are the biggest gaps for that market. The bar a play has to clear is set per sport and market, because a 1.5-strikeout gap in baseball and a four-point lean in soccer aren't the same thing, and “Elite” is just a filter for the very biggest ones.

Track record is the honest column. It's how plays like this one have actually done — hit rate, how many, since when, and whether that beats the dumbest possible rule, like betting every over. Some rows say we haven't measured that yet, or that plays like this have run worse than the blind rule. We show those anyway and say so, rather than hide them. “Has a track record” hides the unmeasured ones with one tap.

Two markets never appear: NBA game totals and team totals. We've graded them and lost, so they stay on their own board under a caveat. The graded so far tile counts only plays a sport has actually graded; a finished game whose grader hasn't run yet sits under awaiting grade.

Sports on this build: NFL · CFB · NBA · NHL · MLB · Soccer · Golf · UFC. Boards: Plays of the Day · MLB leans · NFL · NHL · NBA · SlipCast.