Best MLB Doubles Matchups — Sunday, October 11, 2026
Top doubles spot: Andrew Vaughn
Andrew Vaughn (MIL) tops the board at 100, facing LHP Tarik Skubal. The righty is driving the ball at .098 2B/PA against lefties this year, an elite bat that turns into a double in about 8% of his trips. And Tarik Skubal has been tough to drive against lefties lately — .000 doubles per batter faced. The bullpen behind him is roughly average to that side. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.3 trips, so the volume's there. He's a fine .217 in 23 career PA against Tarik Skubal. It all sets up in a neutral park.
The rest of the top of the board
- Jackson Chourio (MIL) (61) vs LHP Tarik Skubal: a strong bat at .049 into an arm tough to drive against the same side (.000), hot bat.
- William Contreras (MIL) (46) vs LHP Tarik Skubal: a solid bat at .045 into an arm tough to drive against the same side (.000).
- Jake Bauers (MIL) (43) vs LHP Tarik Skubal: a solid bat at .048 into an arm tough to drive against the same side (.000).
- Freddie Freeman (LAD) (40) vs RHP Jacob Misiorowski: a strong bat at .050 into an arm tough to drive against the same side (.000), due to bounce back.
- Mookie Betts (LAD) (32) vs RHP Jacob Misiorowski: a solid bat at .046 into an arm tough to drive against the same side (.000).
- Brice Turang (MIL) (31) vs LHP Tarik Skubal: a league-average bat at .037 into an arm tough to drive against the same side (.000), hot bat.
- Teoscar Hernández (LAD) (30) vs RHP Jacob Misiorowski: a strong bat at .051 into an arm tough to drive against the same side (.000).
Platoon edges to target
- Andrew Vaughn (MIL) — righty bat vs LHP, .098 against lefties this year.
- Jackson Chourio (MIL) — righty bat vs LHP, .059 against lefties this year.
- William Contreras (MIL) — righty bat vs LHP, .049 against lefties this year.
- Freddie Freeman (LAD) — lefty bat vs RHP, .057 against righties this year.
- Shohei Ohtani (LAD) — lefty bat vs RHP, .039 against righties this year.
Hot bats and bounce-back spots
Swinging hot bats: Jackson Chourio (MIL) and Brice Turang (MIL). Cold but due to bounce back: Andrew Vaughn (MIL) and Freddie Freeman (LAD).
How it played out
1 of the top 10 doubles matchups landed at least one double. Top play Andrew Vaughn finished with 1 double. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.
How to read these doubles matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's doubles per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.