Who has the best hits matchup today (Wednesday, June 10, 2026)?

Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) — top of the board at 100, facing RHP Michael Lorenzen. A strong bat into a beatable arm is what pushes it to No. 1.

What are the best MLB hits matchups today (Wednesday, June 10, 2026)?

The top hits matchups on Wednesday, June 10, 2026: Pete Crow-Armstrong (100), Moisés Ballesteros (89), Ian Happ (83), Michael Busch (76), Paul Goldschmidt (76). The full board ranks every hitter in every game by hits upside.

Did the top hits matchup get a hit on Wednesday, June 10, 2026?

Yes — Pete Crow-Armstrong got 1 hit.

Which hitters have a platoon edge today?

Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) — lefty bat vs RHP, .214 against righties this year. Ian Happ (CHC) — lefty bat vs RHP, .221 against righties this year. Michael Busch (CHC) — lefty bat vs RHP, .206 against righties this year. Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) — righty bat vs LHP, .339 against lefties this year. Casey Schmitt (SF) — righty bat vs LHP, .375 against lefties this year.

Which pitchers are most vulnerable today?

RHP Michael Lorenzen has been getting tattooed by righties — .313 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC), Moisés Ballesteros (CHC), and Ian Happ (CHC). RHP Jared Jones has been vulnerable to righties — .290 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Shohei Ohtani (LAD), Freddie Freeman (LAD), and Max Muncy (LAD). RHP Peter Lambert has been vulnerable to righties — .281 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Zach Neto (LAA), Nick Madrigal (LAA), and Oswald Peraza (LAA). RHP Brandon Young has been vulnerable to righties — .276 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Randy Arozarena (SEA), Julio Rodríguez (SEA), and Cole Young (SEA).

How is the hits matchup score calculated?

It's a weighted read of how often he gets a hit against the hand he's facing — last two weeks first, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then the opposing bullpen, his spot in the order, and the yard. Scores run 0–100 across the slate, so today's best matchup is always 100.

It's the share of a hitter's trips to the plate that end in a hit. Around .250 is league average. .300+ is elite. We use it instead of batting average because it's measured per plate appearance — exactly what a daily matchup is asking.

What does the score actually mean?

Higher is better for the hitter. 80s and 90s mean the bat, the arm, and the yard all point the same way. 40s and 50s mean it's neutral to tough. It ranks today's spots against each other — it isn't the odds of a hit.

What's the confidence meter?

It's how much data is behind the call — sample size on both the hitter and the pitcher, plus whether the lineup's official. A high score with low confidence is a thinner read than the same score backed by a deep track record. It's not a probability of a hit.

What is a platoon split (handedness split)?

Most bats hit the opposite hand better, and on a contact board that gap is mostly about seeing the ball early — a lefty picks up a righty's fastball a beat sooner and shoots it the other way. The score leans on each hitter's rate against the hand he's facing today, so the same guy can lead this board on Tuesday and sit mid-pack on Wednesday.

What are park factors?

Parks aren't neutral for base hits. Big outfield gaps and fast turf turn playable balls into singles and doubles; deep foul ground eats an extra out an inning. Above 1.00 bumps the score, below 1.00 trims it.

What do "2W", "SZN" and "2Y" mean?

The timeframes behind each rate: the last two weeks (recent form), the current season, and a trailing two years (a stable baseline). Recent form counts most, and small samples get pulled toward league average so a hot week doesn't fool the model.

What do "≈ est", "Due" and "Not starting" mean?

"≈ est" is a hitter we don't have splits for yet — a rookie or unmatched ID — shown at a league-baseline estimate instead of dropped. "Due" means he hasn't recorded a hit in a while and profiles for regression. "Not starting" means he was projected but didn't make the official lineup, so he slides to the bottom where you can still look him up.

Can I use this for hits props or DFS?

That's what it's built for — pre-slate research. The board surfaces which hitters have the best conditions today, and where one exists, we show the book's "1+ hit" line so you can shop the price. We're not a sportsbook and we don't post picks — we show the matchup data, the line, and the result. (Best-price and all-book odds are a Pro feature.)

How accurate is the model?

We grade every board against the box score, and the top of the hits board lands a hit far more often than the slate as a whole. Weights are re-tuned weekly on a held-out split, and because results sit next to the projections you can audit any past date yourself.

When do lineups update?

Projected lineups (marked "Proj") come from each team's last game. Official lineups usually drop about two hours before first pitch, and the board updates itself as they post. Batting order is a big driver, so it's worth a second look mid-afternoon — rankings shift as lineups lock.

Yes. The full board, every game page, and the daily archive are free, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.

Best MLB hits matchups — Wednesday, June 10, 2026

Every hitter on the Wednesday, June 10, 2026 slate — ranked by who's most likely to get a hit. Results show how each call played out.

How the model did — Wednesday, June 10, 2026

Our top 5 hitters went 4/5 (80%) on 1+ hit, against 63% on the season.

Top 5

4/580%

season 63%

Top 10

7/1070%

season 67%

Full slate

182/27067%

season 56%

Top call Pete Crow-Armstrong came through. Moisés Ballesteros didn't.

Each hitter below carries a 0–100 matchup score — a read on the spot in front of him, not a ranking of how good he is, so a star in a brutal matchup can sit below an average hitter in a soft one. Confidence next to it is coverage: how much real data backs the number. Every call here was graded against the box score — wins and misses both, with the record on this page. How this board is built →

Final · 5–7

BOSaway

TBhomeTop matchup66 Final · 8–4

NYYaway

CLEhomeTop matchup76 Final · 10–11

WSHaway

SFhomeTop matchup75 Final · 4–5

CINaway

SDhomeTop matchup51 Final · 2–7

SEAaway

BALhomeTop matchup62 Final · 8–9

LADaway

PIThomeTop matchup75 Final · 6–4

MINaway

DEThomeTop matchup67 Final · 0–8

AZaway

MIAhomeTop matchup54 Final · 7–4

PHIaway

TORhomeTop matchup62 Final · 9–2

STLaway

NYMhomeTop matchup59 Final · 1–2

ATLaway

CWShomeTop matchup62 Final · 6–4

TEXaway

KChomeTop matchup66 Final · 2–3

CHCaway

COLhomeTop matchup100 Final · 3–4

MILaway

ATHhomeTop matchup61 Final · 2–3

HOUaway

LAAhomeTop matchup67

Not starting83 not in the official lineup — moved to the bottom

PosSort

#Hitter · Matchup · 353 shownScore

193 with a HLive count — updates as games play

1
Daylen LileLF
WSH@SF· 4-for-5
4HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #89
T1
Matt Chapman3B
SFvsWSH· 4-for-5
4HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #128
T1
Jac CaglianoneRF
KCvsTEX· 4-for-5
4HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #188
T1
Nick FortesC
TBvsBOS· 4-for-4
4HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #254
5
Yandy DíazDH
TBvsBOS· 3-for-5
3HFinal
Proj 1.2 H, #13
T5
Gleyber Torres2B
DETvsMIN· 3-for-4
3HFinal
Proj 1.2 H, #14
T5
JJ Wetherholt2B
STL@NYM· 3-for-5
3HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #68
T5
Jake MangumCF
PITvsLAD· 3-for-4
3HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #213
T5
Myles StrawCF
TORvsPHI· 3-for-4
3HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #236
T5
Caleb Durbin3B
BOS@TB· 3-for-4
3HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #244
11
Paul Goldschmidt1B
NYY@CLE· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 1.3 H, #5
T11
Bobby Witt Jr.SS
KCvsTEX· 2-for-5
2HFinal
Proj 1.2 H, #24
T11
Lane ThomasLF
KCvsTEX· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #31
T11
Luis Arraez2B
SFvsWSH· 2-for-5
2HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #36
T11
Byron BuxtonCF
MIN@DET· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #41
T11
TJ Rumfield1B
COLvsCHC· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #44
T11
Otto LopezSS
MIAvsAZ· 2-for-5
2HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #45
T11
Fernando Tatis Jr.RF
SDvsCIN· 2-for-5
2HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #57
T11
Jackson ChourioLF
MIL@ATH· 2-for-5
2HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #58
T11
Andrew Vaughn1B
MIL@ATH· 2-for-3
2HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #60
T11
Hunter GoodmanC
COLvsCHC· 2-for-3
2HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #64
T11
Curtis Mead3B
WSH@SF· 2-for-5
2HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #71
T11
Liam HicksC
MIAvsAZ· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #76
T11
Pete Alonso1B
BALvsSEA· 2-for-5
2HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #82
T11
Gabriel MorenoC
AZ@MIA· 2-for-3
2HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #87
T11
Jordan WalkerRF
STL@NYM· 2-for-5
2HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #88
T11
Kyle TuckerRF
LAD@PIT· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #90
T11
Jung Hoo LeeRF
SFvsWSH· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #91
T11
Kyle SchwarberDH
PHI@TOR· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #106
T11
Will WagnerDH
SDvsCIN· 2-for-2
2HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #107
T11
Brandon NimmoRF
TEX@KC· 2-for-6
2HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #111
T11
Ezequiel TovarSS
COLvsCHC· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #114
T11
Spencer Horwitz1B
PITvsLAD· 2-for-5
2HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #120
T11
Jackson MerrillCF
SDvsCIN· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #123
T11
Heriberto HernándezLF
MIAvsAZ· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #127
T11
Jorbit Vivas3B
WSH@SF· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #131
T11
Leody TaverasCF
BALvsSEA· 2-for-3
2HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #137
T11
Alec Bohm3B
PHI@TOR· 2-for-5
2HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #142
T11
Trent GrishamCF
NYY@CLE· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #143
T11
Bryce Harper1B
PHI@TOR· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #145
T11
Gary SánchezC
MIL@ATH· 2-for-3
2HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #147
T11
Braden MontgomeryRF
CWSvsATL· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #156
T11
Angel MartínezLF
CLEvsNYY· 2-for-5
2HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #157
T11
Sal FrelickRF
MIL@ATH· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #161
T11
José CaballeroSS
NYY@CLE· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #173
T11
Daniel SusacC
SFvsWSH· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #181
T11
Nicky Lopez2B
TEX@KC· 2-for-3
2HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #183
T11
Alika WilliamsSS
ATHvsMIL· 2-for-3
2HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #194
T11
Alex JacksonC
MIN@DET· 2-for-3
2HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #209
T11
Jorge MateoSS
ATL@CWS· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #210
T11
Noelvi MarteRF
CIN@SD· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #218
T11
Tyler O'NeillRF
BALvsSEA· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #219
T11
Luisangel AcuñaSS
CWSvsATL· 2-for-3
2HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #234
T11
Bryson Stott2B
PHI@TOR· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #240
T11
Isaac CollinsLF
KCvsTEX· 2-for-5
2HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #241
T11
Tyler CallihanLF
PITvsLAD· 2-for-2
2HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #243
T11
Logan O'HoppeC
LAAvsHOU· 2-for-2
2HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #246
T11
Eugenio SuárezDH
CIN@SD· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #258
T11
Austin HedgesC
CLEvsNYY· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #259
T11
José FermínLF
STL@NYM· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #261
T11
Taylor WallsSS
TBvsBOS· 2-for-3
2HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #264
T11
Jake Burger1B
TEX@KC· 2-for-2
2HFinal
Proj 1.1 H
63
Pete Crow-ArmstrongCF
CHC@COL· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.4 H, #1
T63
Ian HappLF
CHC@COL· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.3 H, #3
T63
Michael Busch1B
CHC@COL· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.3 H, #4
T63
Casey SchmittLF
SFvsWSH· 1-for-5
1HFinal
Proj 1.2 H, #6
T63
Shohei OhtaniTWP
LAD@PIT· 1-for-5
1HFinal
Proj 1.2 H, #7
T63
Freddie Freeman1B
LAD@PIT· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.2 H, #10
T63
Josh Jung3B
TEX@KC· 1-for-5
1HFinal
Proj 1.2 H, #12
T63
Chase Meidroth2B
CWSvsATL· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.2 H, #17
T63
Seiya SuzukiRF
CHC@COL· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.2 H, #19
T63
George SpringerDH
TORvsPHI· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 1.2 H, #20
T63
James WoodRF
WSH@SF· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.2 H, #21
T63
Christian YelichDH
MIL@ATH· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.2 H, #22
T63
Zack Gelof3B
ATHvsMIL· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.2 H, #23
T63
Tyler SoderstromLF
ATHvsMIL· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #29
T63
Alec Burleson1B
STL@NYM· 1-for-5
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #30
T63
Nick Kurtz1B
ATHvsMIL· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #33
T63
Nick Madrigal3B
LAAvsHOU· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #34
T63
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.1B
TORvsPHI· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #35
T63
Ernie Clement2B
TORvsPHI· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #37
T63
Max Muncy3B
LAD@PIT· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #38
T63
Yordan AlvarezDH
HOU@LAA· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #39
T63
Randal GrichukDH
CWSvsATL· 1-for-2
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #40
T63
Carlos CortesRF
ATHvsMIL· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #42
T63
Andy PagesCF
LAD@PIT· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #43
T63
Kerry CarpenterRF
DETvsMIN· 1-for-2
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #48
T63
Oswald Peraza2B
LAAvsHOU· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #53
T63
Austin MartinRF
MIN@DET· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #54
T63
Trea TurnerSS
PHI@TOR· 1-for-5
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #56
T63
Cole Young2B
SEA@BAL· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #61
T63
Ceddanne RafaelaCF
BOS@TB· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #62
T63
Miguel Vargas3B
CWSvsATL· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #63
T63
Ben RiceDH
NYY@CLE· 1-for-5
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #66
T63
Taylor WardDH
BALvsSEA· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #69
T63
Jared Young1B
NYMvsSTL· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #72
T63
Matt McLain2B
CIN@SD· 1-for-5
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #73
T63
Lawrence ButlerRF
ATHvsMIL· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #74
T63
Josh Naylor1B
SEA@BAL· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #77
T63
Dillon DinglerC
DETvsMIN· 1-for-5
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #78
T63
Ryan WardLF
LAD@PIT· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #79
T63
Ezequiel DuranSS
TEX@KC· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #80
T63
Shea LangeliersC
ATHvsMIL· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #81
T63
Jarren DuranLF
BOS@TB· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #83
T63
Dominic CanzoneDH
SEA@BAL· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #85
T63
Bryce EldridgeDH
SFvsWSH· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #92
T63
Orlando ArciaSS
MIN@DET· 1-for-5
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #93
T63
JJ BledayLF
CIN@SD· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #94
T63
Cody BellingerLF
NYY@CLE· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #95
T63
Gunnar HendersonSS
BALvsSEA· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #96
T63
Sal Stewart1B
CIN@SD· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #97
T63
Dominic SmithDH
ATL@CWS· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #98
T63
Austin SlaterRF
TBvsBOS· 1-for-5
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #100
T63
Matt Olson1B
ATL@CWS· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #102
T63
Christian Walker1B
HOU@LAA· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #103
T63
Wyatt LangfordLF
TEX@KC· 1-for-5
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #108
T63
Henry BolteCF
ATHvsMIL· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #109
T63
Mauricio DubónLF
ATL@CWS· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #113
T63
Nico Hoerner2B
CHC@COL· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #115
T63
Mike TroutCF
LAAvsHOU· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #116
T63
Junior Caminero3B
TBvsBOS· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #117
T63
José Ramírez3B
CLEvsNYY· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #118
T63
Jose SiriCF
LAAvsHOU· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #119
T63
Jonathan Aranda1B
TBvsBOS· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #121
T63
Kyle Stowers1B
MIAvsAZ· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #124
T63
Amed Rosario3B
NYY@CLE· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #125
T63
Nolan Arenado3B
AZ@MIA· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #126
T63
Travis Bazzana2B
CLEvsNYY· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #130
T63
Spencer Steer1B
CIN@SD· 1-for-5
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #134
T63
Brooks Lee3B
MIN@DET· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #138
T63
Cam SmithRF
HOU@LAA· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #140
T63
Brandon Lowe2B
PITvsLAD· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #141
T63
Ozzie Albies2B
ATL@CWS· 1-for-5
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #146
T63
Blaze Alexander3B
BALvsSEA· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #148
T63
Corbin CarrollRF
AZ@MIA· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #149
T63
Gavin Sheets1B
SDvsCIN· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #152
T63
Jackson Holliday2B
BALvsSEA· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #153
T63
Starling MarteRF
KCvsTEX· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #155
T63
Nathaniel Lowe1B
CIN@SD· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #158
T63
Samad TaylorLF
SDvsCIN· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #160
T63
Ryan O'HearnRF
PITvsLAD· 1-for-5
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #162
T63
Dylan CrewsRF
WSH@SF· 1-for-5
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #163
T63
Vinnie Pasquantino1B
KCvsTEX· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #165
T63
Luke Keaschall2B
MIN@DET· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #166
T63
Geraldo PerdomoSS
AZ@MIA· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #167
T63
Iván HerreraDH
STL@NYM· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #170
T63
Royce Lewis1B
MIN@DET· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #177
T63
Brandon ValenzuelaC
TORvsPHI· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #178
T63
Owen CaissieRF
MIAvsAZ· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #179
T63
Rafael Devers1B
SFvsWSH· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #180
T63
Josh BellDH
MIN@DET· 1-for-5
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #185
T63
Nick Loftin3B
KCvsTEX· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #190
T63
Dane MyersCF
CIN@SD· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #193
T63
David Hamilton3B
MIL@ATH· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #196
T63
Evan CarterCF
TEX@KC· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #199
T63
Rodolfo DuránC
SDvsCIN· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #200
T63
Miles Mastrobuoni3B
SEA@BAL· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #201
T63
Bryan ReynoldsLF
PITvsLAD· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #202
T63
Derek HillCF
CWSvsATL· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #203
T63
Sung-Mun Song2B
SDvsCIN· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #205
T63
Jakob MarseeCF
MIAvsAZ· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #206
T63
Ryan WaldschmidtCF
AZ@MIA· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #208
T63
Keibert RuizC
WSH@SF· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #211
T63
Jacob YoungCF
WSH@SF· 1-for-5
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #212
T63
Brett Baty3B
NYMvsSTL· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #214
T63
Manny Machado3B
SDvsCIN· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #216
T63
Sam HuffC
BALvsSEA· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #217
T63
Ryan KreidlerSS
MIN@DET· 1-for-2
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #220
T63
Nasim Nuñez2B
WSH@SF· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #221
T63
Anthony VolpeSS
NYY@CLE· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #224
T63
Francisco AlvarezC
NYMvsSTL· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #226
T63
Jonah CoxCF
SFvsWSH· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #228
T63
Justin CrawfordCF
PHI@TOR· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #230
T63
Masataka YoshidaDH
BOS@TB· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #232
T63
Nelson VelázquezLF
STL@NYM· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #235
T63
Jazz Chisholm Jr.2B
NYY@CLE· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #237
T63
Cedric MullinsCF
TBvsBOS· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #247
T63
Mike YastrzemskiLF
ATL@CWS· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #248
T63
Shay Whitcomb3B
HOU@LAA· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #249
T63
Masyn WinnSS
STL@NYM· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #252
T63
Javier Sanoja3B
MIAvsAZ· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #262
T63
Nathan LukesRF
TORvsPHI· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 0.8 H, #266
T63
Jared TrioloSS
PITvsLAD· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 0.8 H, #270
T63
Luis García Jr.1B
WSH@SF· 1-for-2
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H
T63
Edouard Julien2B
COLvsCHC· 1-for-1
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H
T63
Sterlin ThompsonRF
COLvsCHC· 1-for-1
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H
T63
Brett SullivanC
COLvsCHC· 1-for-1
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H
T63
Kody Clemens1B
MIN@DET· 1-for-2
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H
T63
Elias DíazC
TEX@KC· 1-for-1
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H
T63
Donovan Walton2B
LAAvsHOU· 1-for-1
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H
T63
Miguel Rojas2B
LAD@PIT· 1-for-1
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H
T63
Luis RengifoLF
MIL@ATH· 1-for-1
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H
T63
Wenceel PérezRF
DETvsMIN· 1-for-2
1HFinal
Proj 0.8 H

Best MLB Hits Matchups — Wednesday, June 10, 2026

Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) is the top hits matchup on the Wednesday, June 10, 2026 board at 100, with Moisés Ballesteros (CHC) and Ian Happ (CHC) right behind. Every hitter on the slate is ranked by who's most likely to get a hit — handedness splits, the pitcher and bullpen they're facing, batting order, park, and weather. It's the read DFS and prop players make before lock.

Top hits spot: Pete Crow-Armstrong

Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) tops the board at 100, facing RHP Michael Lorenzen. The lefty is hitting .214 H/PA against righties this year — and .366 over the last two weeks, a strong bat that turns into a hit in about 26% of his trips. And Michael Lorenzen has been getting tattooed by righties lately — .538 hits per batter faced. The bullpen behind him is roughly average to that side. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.7 trips, so the volume's there. No real history against Michael Lorenzen. It all sets up in a hitter's park, weather helping.

The rest of the top of the board

Moisés Ballesteros (CHC) (89) vs RHP Michael Lorenzen: a solid bat at .245 into an arm getting tattooed by the same side (.538), hitter's park.
Ian Happ (CHC) (83) vs RHP Michael Lorenzen: a strong bat at .266 into an arm getting tattooed by the same side (.538), hitter's park.
Michael Busch (CHC) (76) vs RHP Michael Lorenzen: a league-average bat at .223 into an arm getting tattooed by the same side (.538), hitter's park.
Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) (76) vs LHP Parker Messick: an elite bat at .314 into an arm mostly holding up against the same side (.212).
Casey Schmitt (SF) (75) vs LHP Foster Griffin: an excellent bat at .297 into an arm mostly holding up against the same side (.226).
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) (75) vs RHP Jared Jones: a solid bat at .245 into an arm getting tattooed by the same side (.429).
Willi Castro (COL) (72) vs LHP Shota Imanaga: a strong bat at .258 into an arm getting tattooed by the same side (.290), hitter's park.

Pitchers getting tattooed today

RHP Michael Lorenzen has been getting tattooed by righties — .313 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC), Moisés Ballesteros (CHC), and Ian Happ (CHC).
RHP Jared Jones has been vulnerable to righties — .290 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Shohei Ohtani (LAD), Freddie Freeman (LAD), and Max Muncy (LAD).
RHP Peter Lambert has been vulnerable to righties — .281 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Zach Neto (LAA), Nick Madrigal (LAA), and Oswald Peraza (LAA).
RHP Brandon Young has been vulnerable to righties — .276 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Randy Arozarena (SEA), Julio Rodríguez (SEA), and Cole Young (SEA).

Platoon edges to target

Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) — lefty bat vs RHP, .214 against righties this year.
Ian Happ (CHC) — lefty bat vs RHP, .221 against righties this year.
Michael Busch (CHC) — lefty bat vs RHP, .206 against righties this year.
Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) — righty bat vs LHP, .339 against lefties this year.
Casey Schmitt (SF) — righty bat vs LHP, .375 against lefties this year.

Best parks to hit in today

Coors Field is playing as a real hitter's park today (+6% hits park). Top bat there: Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) at 100.

Hot bats and bounce-back spots

Swinging hot bats: Zach Neto (LAA), Josh Jung (TEX), Yandy Díaz (TB), Randy Arozarena (SEA), Chase Meidroth (CWS), and Seiya Suzuki (CHC). Cold but due to bounce back: George Springer (TOR), Bobby Witt Jr. (KC), Michael Conforto (CHC), Carlos Cortes (ATH), and TJ Rumfield (COL).

How it played out

7 of the top 10 hits matchups landed at least one hit. Top play Pete Crow-Armstrong finished with 1 hit. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.

How to read these hits matchups

Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's hits per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.

Keep reading

What the hits board is

The Hits board projects the chance a hitter records at least one hit, matchup-adjusted. One statistical model scores every matchup on the slate the same way — a star and a backup judged on the matchup in front of them, not their name — and every number is graded against the real box score once the games go final.

How the model gets its number

It isn't a gut call or a name game. The projection is built from a few things:

The hitter's contact rate vs this pitcher's hand.
The starter's hit-suppression and the park.
Recent form, without over-reacting to a hot or cold week.

Those pieces combine into one number, and the model re-tunes itself weekly against how its past calls actually landed.

Is there a betting edge here?

Hits is an efficient market — the book prices a 1+ hit line about as well as we do, so we publish our number as graded transparency, not a play. Our projection is sharp (the ranking is well-calibrated); the book just isn't leaving room on it.

How to use it

Use it to see who the model likes to square one up, and how that squares with the price — but there's no systematic edge here, so treat it as research, not a lean.

Everything here is a research signal from the model, graded in public — not betting advice, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Learn more: How the model works · The picks story · Today's plays

Frequently asked questions

Who has the best hits matchup today (Wednesday, June 10, 2026)?: Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) — top of the board at 100, facing RHP Michael Lorenzen. A strong bat into a beatable arm is what pushes it to No. 1.
What are the best MLB hits matchups today (Wednesday, June 10, 2026)?: The top hits matchups on Wednesday, June 10, 2026: Pete Crow-Armstrong (100), Moisés Ballesteros (89), Ian Happ (83), Michael Busch (76), Paul Goldschmidt (76). The full board ranks every hitter in every game by hits upside.
Did the top hits matchup get a hit on Wednesday, June 10, 2026?: Yes — Pete Crow-Armstrong got 1 hit.
Which hitters have a platoon edge today?: Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) — lefty bat vs RHP, .214 against righties this year. Ian Happ (CHC) — lefty bat vs RHP, .221 against righties this year. Michael Busch (CHC) — lefty bat vs RHP, .206 against righties this year. Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) — righty bat vs LHP, .339 against lefties this year. Casey Schmitt (SF) — righty bat vs LHP, .375 against lefties this year.
Which parks favor hits today?: Coors Field is playing as a real hitter's park today (+6% hits park). Top bat there: Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) at 100.
Which pitchers are most vulnerable today?: RHP Michael Lorenzen has been getting tattooed by righties — .313 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC), Moisés Ballesteros (CHC), and Ian Happ (CHC). RHP Jared Jones has been vulnerable to righties — .290 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Shohei Ohtani (LAD), Freddie Freeman (LAD), and Max Muncy (LAD). RHP Peter Lambert has been vulnerable to righties — .281 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Zach Neto (LAA), Nick Madrigal (LAA), and Oswald Peraza (LAA). RHP Brandon Young has been vulnerable to righties — .276 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Randy Arozarena (SEA), Julio Rodríguez (SEA), and Cole Young (SEA).
Are any hitters hot or due today?: Swinging hot bats: Zach Neto (LAA), Josh Jung (TEX), Yandy Díaz (TB), Randy Arozarena (SEA), Chase Meidroth (CWS), and Seiya Suzuki (CHC). Cold but due to bounce back: George Springer (TOR), Bobby Witt Jr. (KC), Michael Conforto (CHC), Carlos Cortes (ATH), and TJ Rumfield (COL).
How is the hits matchup score calculated?: It's a weighted read of how often he gets a hit against the hand he's facing — last two weeks first, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then the opposing bullpen, his spot in the order, and the yard. Scores run 0–100 across the slate, so today's best matchup is always 100.
What does H/PA mean?: It's the share of a hitter's trips to the plate that end in a hit. Around .250 is league average. .300+ is elite. We use it instead of batting average because it's measured per plate appearance — exactly what a daily matchup is asking.
What does the score actually mean?: Higher is better for the hitter. 80s and 90s mean the bat, the arm, and the yard all point the same way. 40s and 50s mean it's neutral to tough. It ranks today's spots against each other — it isn't the odds of a hit.
What's the confidence meter?: It's how much data is behind the call — sample size on both the hitter and the pitcher, plus whether the lineup's official. A high score with low confidence is a thinner read than the same score backed by a deep track record. It's not a probability of a hit.
What is a platoon split (handedness split)?: Most bats hit the opposite hand better, and on a contact board that gap is mostly about seeing the ball early — a lefty picks up a righty's fastball a beat sooner and shoots it the other way. The score leans on each hitter's rate against the hand he's facing today, so the same guy can lead this board on Tuesday and sit mid-pack on Wednesday.
What are park factors?: Parks aren't neutral for base hits. Big outfield gaps and fast turf turn playable balls into singles and doubles; deep foul ground eats an extra out an inning. Above 1.00 bumps the score, below 1.00 trims it.
What do "2W", "SZN" and "2Y" mean?: The timeframes behind each rate: the last two weeks (recent form), the current season, and a trailing two years (a stable baseline). Recent form counts most, and small samples get pulled toward league average so a hot week doesn't fool the model.
What do "≈ est", "Due" and "Not starting" mean?: "≈ est" is a hitter we don't have splits for yet — a rookie or unmatched ID — shown at a league-baseline estimate instead of dropped. "Due" means he hasn't recorded a hit in a while and profiles for regression. "Not starting" means he was projected but didn't make the official lineup, so he slides to the bottom where you can still look him up.
Can I use this for hits props or DFS?: That's what it's built for — pre-slate research. The board surfaces which hitters have the best conditions today, and where one exists, we show the book's "1+ hit" line so you can shop the price. We're not a sportsbook and we don't post picks — we show the matchup data, the line, and the result. (Best-price and all-book odds are a Pro feature.)
How accurate is the model?: We grade every board against the box score, and the top of the hits board lands a hit far more often than the slate as a whole. Weights are re-tuned weekly on a held-out split, and because results sit next to the projections you can audit any past date yourself.
When do lineups update?: Projected lineups (marked "Proj") come from each team's last game. Official lineups usually drop about two hours before first pitch, and the board updates itself as they post. Batting order is a big driver, so it's worth a second look mid-afternoon — rankings shift as lineups lock.
Is MatchWiz free?: Yes. The full board, every game page, and the daily archive are free, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.