Best MLB Hits Matchups — Wednesday, June 10, 2026
Top hits spot: Pete Crow-Armstrong
Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) tops the board at 100, facing RHP Michael Lorenzen. The lefty is hitting .214 H/PA against righties this year — and .366 over the last two weeks, a strong bat that turns into a hit in about 26% of his trips. And Michael Lorenzen has been getting tattooed by righties lately — .538 hits per batter faced. The bullpen behind him is roughly average to that side. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.7 trips, so the volume's there. No real history against Michael Lorenzen. It all sets up in a hitter's park, weather helping.
The rest of the top of the board
- Moisés Ballesteros (CHC) (89) vs RHP Michael Lorenzen: a solid bat at .245 into an arm getting tattooed by the same side (.538), hitter's park.
- Ian Happ (CHC) (83) vs RHP Michael Lorenzen: a strong bat at .266 into an arm getting tattooed by the same side (.538), hitter's park.
- Michael Busch (CHC) (76) vs RHP Michael Lorenzen: a league-average bat at .223 into an arm getting tattooed by the same side (.538), hitter's park.
- Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) (76) vs LHP Parker Messick: an elite bat at .314 into an arm mostly holding up against the same side (.212).
- Casey Schmitt (SF) (75) vs LHP Foster Griffin: an excellent bat at .297 into an arm mostly holding up against the same side (.226).
- Shohei Ohtani (LAD) (75) vs RHP Jared Jones: a solid bat at .245 into an arm getting tattooed by the same side (.429).
- Willi Castro (COL) (72) vs LHP Shota Imanaga: a strong bat at .258 into an arm getting tattooed by the same side (.290), hitter's park.
Pitchers getting tattooed today
- RHP Michael Lorenzen has been getting tattooed by righties — .313 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC), Moisés Ballesteros (CHC), and Ian Happ (CHC).
- RHP Jared Jones has been vulnerable to righties — .290 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Shohei Ohtani (LAD), Freddie Freeman (LAD), and Max Muncy (LAD).
- RHP Peter Lambert has been vulnerable to righties — .281 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Zach Neto (LAA), Nick Madrigal (LAA), and Oswald Peraza (LAA).
- RHP Brandon Young has been vulnerable to righties — .276 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Randy Arozarena (SEA), Julio Rodríguez (SEA), and Cole Young (SEA).
Platoon edges to target
- Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) — lefty bat vs RHP, .214 against righties this year.
- Ian Happ (CHC) — lefty bat vs RHP, .221 against righties this year.
- Michael Busch (CHC) — lefty bat vs RHP, .206 against righties this year.
- Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) — righty bat vs LHP, .339 against lefties this year.
- Casey Schmitt (SF) — righty bat vs LHP, .375 against lefties this year.
Best parks to hit in today
Coors Field is playing as a real hitter's park today (+6% hits park). Top bat there: Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) at 100.
Hot bats and bounce-back spots
Swinging hot bats: Zach Neto (LAA), Josh Jung (TEX), Yandy Díaz (TB), Randy Arozarena (SEA), Chase Meidroth (CWS), and Seiya Suzuki (CHC). Cold but due to bounce back: George Springer (TOR), Bobby Witt Jr. (KC), Michael Conforto (CHC), Carlos Cortes (ATH), and TJ Rumfield (COL).
How it played out
7 of the top 10 hits matchups landed at least one hit. Top play Pete Crow-Armstrong finished with 1 hit. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.
How to read these hits matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's hits per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.