Who has the best hits matchup today (Tuesday, June 9, 2026)?

Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) — top of the board at 100, facing RHP Tomoyuki Sugano. A strong bat into a beatable arm is what pushes it to No. 1.

What are the best MLB hits matchups today (Tuesday, June 9, 2026)?

The top hits matchups on Tuesday, June 9, 2026: Pete Crow-Armstrong (100), Victor Robles (96), Sam Antonacci (91), Casey Schmitt (91), Ceddanne Rafaela (85). The full board ranks every hitter in every game by hits upside.

Did the top hits matchup get a hit on Tuesday, June 9, 2026?

No — Pete Crow-Armstrong didn't record a hit.

Which hitters have a platoon edge today?

Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) — lefty bat vs RHP, .214 against righties this year. Victor Robles (SEA) — righty bat vs LHP, .333 against lefties this year. Sam Antonacci (CWS) — lefty bat vs RHP, .283 against righties this year. Casey Schmitt (SF) — righty bat vs LHP, .375 against lefties this year. Shea Langeliers (ATH) — righty bat vs LHP, .329 against lefties this year.

Which pitchers are most vulnerable today?

RHP Nick Martinez has been vulnerable to righties — .279 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Ceddanne Rafaela (BOS), Willson Contreras (BOS), and Jarren Duran (BOS). RHP Adrian Houser has been vulnerable to righties — .274 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: James Wood (WSH), CJ Abrams (WSH), and Daylen Lile (WSH). RHP Tomoyuki Sugano has been vulnerable to righties — .262 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC), Pedro Ramírez (CHC), and Ian Happ (CHC). RHP Zac Gallen has been giving up plenty to righties — .258 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Otto Lopez (MIA), Liam Hicks (MIA), and Xavier Edwards (MIA).

How is the hits matchup score calculated?

It's a weighted read of how often he gets a hit against the hand he's facing — last two weeks first, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then the opposing bullpen, his spot in the order, and the yard. Scores run 0–100 across the slate, so today's best matchup is always 100.

It's the share of a hitter's trips to the plate that end in a hit. Around .250 is league average. .300+ is elite. We use it instead of batting average because it's measured per plate appearance — exactly what a daily matchup is asking.

What does the score actually mean?

Higher is better for the hitter. 80s and 90s mean the bat, the arm, and the yard all point the same way. 40s and 50s mean it's neutral to tough. It ranks today's spots against each other — it isn't the odds of a hit.

What's the confidence meter?

It's how much data is behind the call — sample size on both the hitter and the pitcher, plus whether the lineup's official. A high score with low confidence is a thinner read than the same score backed by a deep track record. It's not a probability of a hit.

What is a platoon split (handedness split)?

Most bats hit the opposite hand better, and on a contact board that gap is mostly about seeing the ball early — a lefty picks up a righty's fastball a beat sooner and shoots it the other way. The score leans on each hitter's rate against the hand he's facing today, so the same guy can lead this board on Tuesday and sit mid-pack on Wednesday.

What are park factors?

Parks aren't neutral for base hits. Big outfield gaps and fast turf turn playable balls into singles and doubles; deep foul ground eats an extra out an inning. Above 1.00 bumps the score, below 1.00 trims it.

What do "2W", "SZN" and "2Y" mean?

The timeframes behind each rate: the last two weeks (recent form), the current season, and a trailing two years (a stable baseline). Recent form counts most, and small samples get pulled toward league average so a hot week doesn't fool the model.

What do "≈ est", "Due" and "Not starting" mean?

"≈ est" is a hitter we don't have splits for yet — a rookie or unmatched ID — shown at a league-baseline estimate instead of dropped. "Due" means he hasn't recorded a hit in a while and profiles for regression. "Not starting" means he was projected but didn't make the official lineup, so he slides to the bottom where you can still look him up.

Can I use this for hits props or DFS?

That's what it's built for — pre-slate research. The board surfaces which hitters have the best conditions today, and where one exists, we show the book's "1+ hit" line so you can shop the price. We're not a sportsbook and we don't post picks — we show the matchup data, the line, and the result. (Best-price and all-book odds are a Pro feature.)

How accurate is the model?

We grade every board against the box score, and the top of the hits board lands a hit far more often than the slate as a whole. Weights are re-tuned weekly on a held-out split, and because results sit next to the projections you can audit any past date yourself.

When do lineups update?

Projected lineups (marked "Proj") come from each team's last game. Official lineups usually drop about two hours before first pitch, and the board updates itself as they post. Batting order is a big driver, so it's worth a second look mid-afternoon — rankings shift as lineups lock.

Yes. The full board, every game page, and the daily archive are free, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.

Best MLB hits matchups — Tuesday, June 9, 2026

Every hitter on the Tuesday, June 9, 2026 slate — ranked by who's most likely to get a hit. Results show how each call played out.

How the model did — Tuesday, June 9, 2026

Our top 5 hitters went 2/5 (40%) on 1+ hit, against 63% on the season.

Top 5

2/540%

season 63%

Top 10

5/1050%

season 67%

Full slate

166/27061%

season 56%

Top call Victor Robles came through. Pete Crow-Armstrong didn't.

Each hitter below carries a 0–100 matchup score — a read on the spot in front of him, not a ranking of how good he is, so a star in a brutal matchup can sit below an average hitter in a soft one. Confidence next to it is coverage: how much real data backs the number. Every call here was graded against the box score — wins and misses both, with the record on this page. How this board is built →

Final · 6–5

SEAaway

BALhomeTop matchup96 Final · 12–3

LADaway

PIThomeTop matchup59 Final · 3–4

BOSaway

TBhomeTop matchup85 Final · 4–10

MINaway

DEThomeTop matchup76 Final · 6–10

AZaway

MIAhomeTop matchup71 Final · 3–2

NYYaway

CLEhomeTop matchup78 Final · 2–3

PHIaway

TORhomeTop matchup76 Final · 7–0

STLaway

NYMhomeTop matchup75 Final · 5–6

ATLaway

CWShomeTop matchup91 Final · 3–5

TEXaway

KChomeTop matchup74 Final · 3–7

CHCaway

COLhomeTop matchup100 Final · 1–10

HOUaway

LAAhomeTop matchup61 Final · 5–3

CINaway

SDhomeTop matchup71 Final · 6–3

WSHaway

SFhomeTop matchup91 Final · 5–7

MILaway

ATHhomeTop matchup79

Not starting90 not in the official lineup — moved to the bottom

PosSort

#Hitter · Matchup · 360 shownScore

193 with a HLive count — updates as games play

1
Dillon DinglerC
DETvsMIN· 4-for-5
4HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #65
T1
Fernando Tatis Jr.RF
SDvsCIN· 4-for-6
4HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #73
T1
Joe MackC
MIAvsAZ· 4-for-4
4HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #150
4
Michael Harris IICF
ATL@CWS· 3-for-5
3HFinal
Proj 1.2 H, #9
T4
James WoodRF
WSH@SF· 3-for-5
3HFinal
Proj 1.2 H, #10
T4
Otto LopezSS
MIAvsAZ· 3-for-5
3HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #23
T4
Willi Castro2B
COLvsCHC· 3-for-5
3HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #45
T4
Ozzie Albies2B
ATL@CWS· 3-for-5
3HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #52
T4
Randy ArozarenaLF
SEA@BAL· 3-for-5
3HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #56
T4
Ryan ViladeRF
TBvsBOS· 3-for-4
3HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #87
T4
Jac CaglianoneRF
KCvsTEX· 3-for-3
3HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #114
T4
Jonah HeimC
ATHvsMIL· 3-for-4
3HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #124
T4
Iván HerreraDH
STL@NYM· 3-for-3
3HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #133
T4
Ketel Marte2B
AZ@MIA· 3-for-5
3HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #146
T4
Garrett MitchellCF
MIL@ATH· 3-for-4
3HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #153
T4
Nathan ChurchCF
STL@NYM· 3-for-4
3HFinal
Proj 0.8 H, #257
T4
Jesús SánchezRF
TORvsPHI· 3-for-4
3HFinal
Proj 1.1 H
T4
Max Muncy3B
LAD@PIT· 3-for-3
3HFinal
Proj 1.0 H
19
Victor RoblesRF
SEA@BAL· 2-for-5
2HFinal
Proj 1.3 H, #2
T19
Alec Burleson1B
STL@NYM· 2-for-5
2HFinal
Proj 1.2 H, #14
T19
Josh Jung3B
TEX@KC· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 1.2 H, #15
T19
Luis Arraez2B
SFvsWSH· 2-for-5
2HFinal
Proj 1.2 H, #16
T19
Christian YelichDH
MIL@ATH· 2-for-5
2HFinal
Proj 1.2 H, #18
T19
Jung Hoo LeeRF
SFvsWSH· 2-for-5
2HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #36
T19
Alex Bregman3B
CHC@COL· 2-for-3
2HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #39
T19
Xavier Edwards2B
MIAvsAZ· 2-for-3
2HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #41
T19
Bryce EldridgeDH
SFvsWSH· 2-for-3
2HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #44
T19
Jacob GonzalezSS
CWSvsATL· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #47
T19
Paul Goldschmidt1B
NYY@CLE· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #61
T19
A.J. EwingCF
NYMvsSTL· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #69
T19
Bryan ReynoldsLF
PITvsLAD· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #81
T19
Isiah Kiner-Falefa2B
BOS@TB· 2-for-3
2HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #84
T19
Matt Olson1B
ATL@CWS· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #89
T19
Santiago Espinal3B
LAD@PIT· 2-for-2
2HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #96
T19
José Ramírez3B
CLEvsNYY· 2-for-5
2HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #98
T19
Braden MontgomeryRF
CWSvsATL· 2-for-5
2HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #107
T19
Spencer JonesRF
NYY@CLE· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #109
T19
Kyle Manzardo1B
CLEvsNYY· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #127
T19
Brandon NimmoRF
TEX@KC· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #131
T19
Brooks Lee3B
MIN@DET· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #137
T19
Samad TaylorLF
SDvsCIN· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #154
T19
Jackson MerrillCF
SDvsCIN· 2-for-6
2HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #159
T19
Ryan McMahon3B
NYY@CLE· 2-for-3
2HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #166
T19
Josh BellDH
MIN@DET· 2-for-5
2HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #169
T19
Ben Williamson2B
TBvsBOS· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #188
T19
Edouard Julien2B
COLvsCHC· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #192
T19
Angel MartínezLF
CLEvsNYY· 2-for-5
2HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #205
T19
Jo AdellRF
LAAvsHOU· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #206
T19
Manny Machado3B
SDvsCIN· 2-for-5
2HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #207
T19
Geraldo PerdomoSS
AZ@MIA· 2-for-2
2HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #212
T19
Mookie BettsSS
LAD@PIT· 2-for-6
2HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #213
T19
Alex Freeland2B
LAD@PIT· 2-for-3
2HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #214
T19
Luke Keaschall2B
MIN@DET· 2-for-2
2HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #221
T19
Kyle Karros3B
COLvsCHC· 2-for-3
2HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #237
T19
Royce Lewis1B
MIN@DET· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #254
T19
Jacob YoungCF
WSH@SF· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 0.8 H, #259
T19
Bryson Stott2B
PHI@TOR· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 0.8 H, #260
T19
Nick FortesC
TBvsBOS· 2-for-3
2HFinal
Proj 0.8 H, #262
T19
Zach McKinstry2B
DETvsMIN· 2-for-2
2HFinal
Proj 0.8 H, #269
T19
Freddie Freeman1B
LAD@PIT· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 1.1 H
T19
Yordan AlvarezDH
HOU@LAA· 2-for-2
2HFinal
Proj 1.0 H
T19
Yohendrick PiñangoLF
TORvsPHI· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 1.0 H
T19
Sebastián RiveroC
LAAvsHOU· 2-for-3
2HFinal
Proj 0.9 H
T19
Tyler StephensonC
CIN@SD· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 0.9 H
65
Sam AntonacciLF
CWSvsATL· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.3 H, #3
T65
Shea LangeliersC
ATHvsMIL· 1-for-5
1HFinal
Proj 1.2 H, #7
T65
Gleyber Torres2B
DETvsMIN· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.2 H, #11
T65
Nathan LukesRF
TORvsPHI· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.2 H, #12
T65
CJ AbramsSS
WSH@SF· 1-for-5
1HFinal
Proj 1.2 H, #13
T65
Yandy DíazDH
TBvsBOS· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 1.2 H, #19
T65
Nick Kurtz1B
ATHvsMIL· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 1.2 H, #20
T65
Carson BengeRF
NYMvsSTL· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #21
T65
Blake DunnCF
CIN@SD· 1-for-5
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #22
T65
Tyler SoderstromLF
ATHvsMIL· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #24
T65
Trent GrishamCF
NYY@CLE· 1-for-5
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #25
T65
Jake McCarthyLF
COLvsCHC· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #26
T65
Julio RodríguezCF
SEA@BAL· 1-for-5
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #27
T65
Troy JohnstonRF
COLvsCHC· 1-for-5
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #29
T65
Michael Busch1B
CHC@COL· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #30
T65
Liam HicksC
MIAvsAZ· 1-for-5
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #31
T65
JJ BledayLF
CIN@SD· 1-for-6
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #33
T65
JJ Wetherholt2B
STL@NYM· 1-for-5
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #34
T65
Jarren DuranLF
BOS@TB· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #40
T65
Josh Naylor1B
SEA@BAL· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #42
T65
Brandon MarshLF
PHI@TOR· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #43
T65
Joc PedersonDH
TEX@KC· 1-for-5
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #46
T65
Kyle Stowers1B
MIAvsAZ· 1-for-5
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #48
T65
Wade MecklerLF
LAAvsHOU· 1-for-2
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #51
T65
Vinnie Pasquantino1B
KCvsTEX· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #54
T65
Andrew BenintendiDH
CWSvsATL· 1-for-5
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #55
T65
Daylen LileLF
WSH@SF· 1-for-2
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #57
T65
Seiya SuzukiRF
CHC@COL· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #58
T65
Riley GreeneLF
DETvsMIN· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #62
T65
Andy PagesCF
LAD@PIT· 1-for-5
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #63
T65
Jordan WalkerRF
STL@NYM· 1-for-5
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #68
T65
Chase Meidroth2B
CWSvsATL· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #70
T65
Pete Alonso1B
BALvsSEA· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #71
T65
Juan SotoLF
NYMvsSTL· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #72
T65
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.1B
TORvsPHI· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #77
T65
Corey SeagerSS
TEX@KC· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #79
T65
Jackson ChourioLF
MIL@ATH· 1-for-5
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #82
T65
Michael Massey2B
KCvsTEX· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #83
T65
Taylor WardDH
BALvsSEA· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #85
T65
Byron BuxtonCF
MIN@DET· 1-for-5
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #86
T65
Trea TurnerSS
PHI@TOR· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #88
T65
Daniel SusacC
SFvsWSH· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #90
T65
Maikel Garcia3B
KCvsTEX· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #91
T65
Ezequiel DuranSS
TEX@KC· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #94
T65
Collin PriceC
HOU@LAA· 1-for-2
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #95
T65
Gabriel MorenoC
AZ@MIA· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #97
T65
Sal Stewart1B
CIN@SD· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #99
T65
Ryan O'HearnRF
PITvsLAD· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #102
T65
Miguel Vargas3B
CWSvsATL· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #104
T65
Dane MyersCF
CIN@SD· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #105
T65
Junior Caminero3B
TBvsBOS· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #106
T65
Carter JensenC
KCvsTEX· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #112
T65
Mitch GarverC
SEA@BAL· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #113
T65
Javier Sanoja3B
MIAvsAZ· 1-for-1
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #118
T65
Henry BolteCF
ATHvsMIL· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #119
T65
Cole CarriggCF
COLvsCHC· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #123
T65
Caleb Durbin3B
BOS@TB· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #126
T65
Hunter GoodmanC
COLvsCHC· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #129
T65
Zack Gelof3B
ATHvsMIL· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #130
T65
Jazz Chisholm Jr.2B
NYY@CLE· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #138
T65
Ryan WardLF
LAD@PIT· 1-for-5
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #139
T65
Rhys Hoskins1B
CLEvsNYY· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #140
T65
Sal FrelickRF
MIL@ATH· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #142
T65
Carson KellyC
CHC@COL· 1-for-1
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #143
T65
Nolan Arenado3B
AZ@MIA· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #144
T65
Dalton RushingC
LAD@PIT· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #148
T65
Ryan Bliss2B
SEA@BAL· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #149
T65
Nasim Nuñez2B
WSH@SF· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #151
T65
Oswald Peraza2B
LAAvsHOU· 1-for-5
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #155
T65
Jeremiah Jackson2B
BALvsSEA· 1-for-2
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #156
T65
Patrick Wisdom3B
SEA@BAL· 1-for-5
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #157
T65
Chase DeLauterRF
CLEvsNYY· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #158
T65
Leody TaverasCF
BALvsSEA· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #160
T65
Wilyer AbreuRF
BOS@TB· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #162
T65
Nico Hoerner2B
CHC@COL· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #163
T65
Marcell OzunaDH
PITvsLAD· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #165
T65
Brandon ValenzuelaC
TORvsPHI· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #167
T65
Mauricio DubónLF
ATL@CWS· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #168
T65
Austin SlaterRF
TBvsBOS· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #176
T65
Edwin Arroyo2B
CIN@SD· 1-for-5
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #177
T65
Corbin CarrollRF
AZ@MIA· 1-for-5
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #178
T65
Bryce Harper1B
PHI@TOR· 1-for-2
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #179
T65
Cedric MullinsCF
TBvsBOS· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #181
T65
Ezequiel TovarSS
COLvsCHC· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #183
T65
Jakob MarseeCF
MIAvsAZ· 1-for-5
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #184
T65
Brice MatthewsCF
HOU@LAA· 1-for-1
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #190
T65
Mike TroutCF
LAAvsHOU· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #191
T65
Matt Chapman3B
SFvsWSH· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #200
T65
Esteury RuizRF
MIAvsAZ· 1-for-1
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #203
T65
Jared TrioloSS
PITvsLAD· 1-for-2
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #204
T65
LuJames Groover1B
AZ@MIA· 1-for-5
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #208
T65
Jake Burger1B
TEX@KC· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #223
T65
Mike YastrzemskiLF
ATL@CWS· 1-for-5
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #229
T65
Spencer Torkelson1B
DETvsMIN· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #230
T65
Tyler O'NeillRF
BALvsSEA· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #232
T65
Jake MeyersCF
HOU@LAA· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #234
T65
Austin Riley3B
ATL@CWS· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #235
T65
Daniel SchneemannCF
CLEvsNYY· 1-for-1
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #236
T65
Evan CarterCF
TEX@KC· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #239
T65
Coby Mayo3B
BALvsSEA· 1-for-5
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #240
T65
Kazuma Okamoto3B
TORvsPHI· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #242
T65
Dansby SwansonSS
CHC@COL· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #245
T65
Connor Norby2B
MIAvsAZ· 1-for-1
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #246
T65
Alika WilliamsSS
ATHvsMIL· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #248
T65
Sung-Mun Song2B
SDvsCIN· 1-for-5
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #250
T65
Francisco AlvarezC
NYMvsSTL· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #256
T65
Tommy TroyLF
AZ@MIA· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 0.8 H, #258
T65
Marcelo Mayer2B
BOS@TB· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 0.8 H, #263
T65
Logan O'HoppeC
LAAvsHOU· 1-for-1
1HFinal
Proj 0.8 H, #270
T65
Luis García Jr.1B
WSH@SF· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 1.2 H
T65
Moisés BallesterosDH
CHC@COL· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 1.2 H
T65
Shohei OhtaniTWP
LAD@PIT· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.2 H
T65
Edgar QueroC
CWSvsATL· 1-for-1
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H
T65
Colby ThomasRF
ATHvsMIL· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H
T65
Kerry CarpenterRF
DETvsMIN· 1-for-5
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H
T65
Zach NetoSS
LAAvsHOU· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H
T65
Rob RefsnyderDH
SEA@BAL· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H
T65
Will WagnerDH
SDvsCIN· 1-for-2
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H
T65
Kody Clemens1B
MIN@DET· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H
T65
Nolan Schanuel1B
LAAvsHOU· 1-for-1
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H
T65
Kyle IsbelCF
KCvsTEX· 1-for-2
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H
T65
Jonah CoxCF
SFvsWSH· 1-for-2
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H
T65
Richie Palacios2B
TBvsBOS· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H
T65
Austin HedgesC
CLEvsNYY· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H
T65
Austin WynnsC
ATL@CWS· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H
T65
Eugenio SuárezDH
CIN@SD· 1-for-5
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H
T65
Luis RengifoLF
MIL@ATH· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H
T65
Jackson Holliday2B
BALvsSEA· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H
T65
Sam HuffC
BALvsSEA· 1-for-2
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H

Best MLB Hits Matchups — Tuesday, June 9, 2026

Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) is the top hits matchup on the Tuesday, June 9, 2026 board at 100, with Victor Robles (SEA) and Sam Antonacci (CWS) right behind. Every hitter on the slate is ranked by who's most likely to get a hit — handedness splits, the pitcher and bullpen they're facing, batting order, park, and weather. It's the read DFS and prop players make before lock.

Top hits spot: Pete Crow-Armstrong

Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) tops the board at 100, facing RHP Tomoyuki Sugano. The lefty is hitting .214 H/PA against righties this year — and .333 over the last two weeks, a strong bat that turns into a hit in about 26% of his trips. And Tomoyuki Sugano has been getting tattooed by righties lately — .353 hits per batter faced. The bullpen behind him hasn't been any better to that side, so there's no relief late. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.7 trips, so the volume's there. He's just .000 in 3 career PA against Tomoyuki Sugano, but that's a tiny sample and the matchup says regression. It all sets up in a hitter's park, though the weather fights it.

The rest of the top of the board

Victor Robles (SEA) (96) vs LHP Trevor Rogers: an excellent bat at .272 into an arm mostly holding up against the same side (.229), due to bounce back.
Sam Antonacci (CWS) (91) vs RHP Grant Holmes: an excellent bat at .279 into an arm getting tattooed by the same side (.308).
Casey Schmitt (SF) (91) vs LHP Andrew Alvarez: an excellent bat at .297 into an arm vulnerable to the same side (.269).
Ceddanne Rafaela (BOS) (85) vs RHP Nick Martinez: an excellent bat at .274 into an arm getting tattooed by the same side (.389).
Pedro Ramírez (CHC) (83) vs RHP Tomoyuki Sugano: a solid bat at .245 into an arm getting tattooed by the same side (.353), hitter's park.
Shea Langeliers (ATH) (79) vs LHP Robert Gasser: an excellent bat at .294 into an arm vulnerable to the same side (.273).
Ben Rice (NYY) (78) vs RHP Slade Cecconi: a strong bat at .262 into an arm vulnerable to the same side (.280).

Pitchers getting tattooed today

RHP Nick Martinez has been vulnerable to righties — .279 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Ceddanne Rafaela (BOS), Willson Contreras (BOS), and Jarren Duran (BOS).
RHP Adrian Houser has been vulnerable to righties — .274 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: James Wood (WSH), CJ Abrams (WSH), and Daylen Lile (WSH).
RHP Tomoyuki Sugano has been vulnerable to righties — .262 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC), Pedro Ramírez (CHC), and Ian Happ (CHC).
RHP Zac Gallen has been giving up plenty to righties — .258 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Otto Lopez (MIA), Liam Hicks (MIA), and Xavier Edwards (MIA).

Platoon edges to target

Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) — lefty bat vs RHP, .214 against righties this year.
Victor Robles (SEA) — righty bat vs LHP, .333 against lefties this year.
Sam Antonacci (CWS) — lefty bat vs RHP, .283 against righties this year.
Casey Schmitt (SF) — righty bat vs LHP, .375 against lefties this year.
Shea Langeliers (ATH) — righty bat vs LHP, .329 against lefties this year.

Best parks to hit in today

Coors Field is playing as a real hitter's park today (+6% hits park). Top bat there: Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) at 100.

Hot bats and bounce-back spots

Swinging hot bats: Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC), Alec Burleson (STL), Josh Jung (TEX), Luis Arraez (SF), Yandy Díaz (TB), and Blake Dunn (CIN). Cold but due to bounce back: Victor Robles (SEA), Gleyber Torres (DET), Alex Bregman (CHC), Jarren Duran (BOS), and Joc Pederson (TEX).

How it played out

5 of the top 10 hits matchups landed at least one hit. Top play Pete Crow-Armstrong finished with 0 hits. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.

How to read these hits matchups

Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's hits per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.

Keep reading

What the hits board is

The Hits board projects the chance a hitter records at least one hit, matchup-adjusted. One statistical model scores every matchup on the slate the same way — a star and a backup judged on the matchup in front of them, not their name — and every number is graded against the real box score once the games go final.

How the model gets its number

It isn't a gut call or a name game. The projection is built from a few things:

The hitter's contact rate vs this pitcher's hand.
The starter's hit-suppression and the park.
Recent form, without over-reacting to a hot or cold week.

Those pieces combine into one number, and the model re-tunes itself weekly against how its past calls actually landed.

Is there a betting edge here?

Hits is an efficient market — the book prices a 1+ hit line about as well as we do, so we publish our number as graded transparency, not a play. Our projection is sharp (the ranking is well-calibrated); the book just isn't leaving room on it.

How to use it

Use it to see who the model likes to square one up, and how that squares with the price — but there's no systematic edge here, so treat it as research, not a lean.

Everything here is a research signal from the model, graded in public — not betting advice, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Learn more: How the model works · The picks story · Today's plays

Frequently asked questions

Who has the best hits matchup today (Tuesday, June 9, 2026)?: Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) — top of the board at 100, facing RHP Tomoyuki Sugano. A strong bat into a beatable arm is what pushes it to No. 1.
What are the best MLB hits matchups today (Tuesday, June 9, 2026)?: The top hits matchups on Tuesday, June 9, 2026: Pete Crow-Armstrong (100), Victor Robles (96), Sam Antonacci (91), Casey Schmitt (91), Ceddanne Rafaela (85). The full board ranks every hitter in every game by hits upside.
Did the top hits matchup get a hit on Tuesday, June 9, 2026?: No — Pete Crow-Armstrong didn't record a hit.
Which hitters have a platoon edge today?: Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) — lefty bat vs RHP, .214 against righties this year. Victor Robles (SEA) — righty bat vs LHP, .333 against lefties this year. Sam Antonacci (CWS) — lefty bat vs RHP, .283 against righties this year. Casey Schmitt (SF) — righty bat vs LHP, .375 against lefties this year. Shea Langeliers (ATH) — righty bat vs LHP, .329 against lefties this year.
Which parks favor hits today?: Coors Field is playing as a real hitter's park today (+6% hits park). Top bat there: Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) at 100.
Which pitchers are most vulnerable today?: RHP Nick Martinez has been vulnerable to righties — .279 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Ceddanne Rafaela (BOS), Willson Contreras (BOS), and Jarren Duran (BOS). RHP Adrian Houser has been vulnerable to righties — .274 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: James Wood (WSH), CJ Abrams (WSH), and Daylen Lile (WSH). RHP Tomoyuki Sugano has been vulnerable to righties — .262 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC), Pedro Ramírez (CHC), and Ian Happ (CHC). RHP Zac Gallen has been giving up plenty to righties — .258 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Otto Lopez (MIA), Liam Hicks (MIA), and Xavier Edwards (MIA).
Are any hitters hot or due today?: Swinging hot bats: Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC), Alec Burleson (STL), Josh Jung (TEX), Luis Arraez (SF), Yandy Díaz (TB), and Blake Dunn (CIN). Cold but due to bounce back: Victor Robles (SEA), Gleyber Torres (DET), Alex Bregman (CHC), Jarren Duran (BOS), and Joc Pederson (TEX).
How is the hits matchup score calculated?: It's a weighted read of how often he gets a hit against the hand he's facing — last two weeks first, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then the opposing bullpen, his spot in the order, and the yard. Scores run 0–100 across the slate, so today's best matchup is always 100.
What does H/PA mean?: It's the share of a hitter's trips to the plate that end in a hit. Around .250 is league average. .300+ is elite. We use it instead of batting average because it's measured per plate appearance — exactly what a daily matchup is asking.
What does the score actually mean?: Higher is better for the hitter. 80s and 90s mean the bat, the arm, and the yard all point the same way. 40s and 50s mean it's neutral to tough. It ranks today's spots against each other — it isn't the odds of a hit.
What's the confidence meter?: It's how much data is behind the call — sample size on both the hitter and the pitcher, plus whether the lineup's official. A high score with low confidence is a thinner read than the same score backed by a deep track record. It's not a probability of a hit.
What is a platoon split (handedness split)?: Most bats hit the opposite hand better, and on a contact board that gap is mostly about seeing the ball early — a lefty picks up a righty's fastball a beat sooner and shoots it the other way. The score leans on each hitter's rate against the hand he's facing today, so the same guy can lead this board on Tuesday and sit mid-pack on Wednesday.
What are park factors?: Parks aren't neutral for base hits. Big outfield gaps and fast turf turn playable balls into singles and doubles; deep foul ground eats an extra out an inning. Above 1.00 bumps the score, below 1.00 trims it.
What do "2W", "SZN" and "2Y" mean?: The timeframes behind each rate: the last two weeks (recent form), the current season, and a trailing two years (a stable baseline). Recent form counts most, and small samples get pulled toward league average so a hot week doesn't fool the model.
What do "≈ est", "Due" and "Not starting" mean?: "≈ est" is a hitter we don't have splits for yet — a rookie or unmatched ID — shown at a league-baseline estimate instead of dropped. "Due" means he hasn't recorded a hit in a while and profiles for regression. "Not starting" means he was projected but didn't make the official lineup, so he slides to the bottom where you can still look him up.
Can I use this for hits props or DFS?: That's what it's built for — pre-slate research. The board surfaces which hitters have the best conditions today, and where one exists, we show the book's "1+ hit" line so you can shop the price. We're not a sportsbook and we don't post picks — we show the matchup data, the line, and the result. (Best-price and all-book odds are a Pro feature.)
How accurate is the model?: We grade every board against the box score, and the top of the hits board lands a hit far more often than the slate as a whole. Weights are re-tuned weekly on a held-out split, and because results sit next to the projections you can audit any past date yourself.
When do lineups update?: Projected lineups (marked "Proj") come from each team's last game. Official lineups usually drop about two hours before first pitch, and the board updates itself as they post. Batting order is a big driver, so it's worth a second look mid-afternoon — rankings shift as lineups lock.
Is MatchWiz free?: Yes. The full board, every game page, and the daily archive are free, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.