Who has the best hits matchup today (Saturday, June 13, 2026)?

Shea Langeliers (ATH) — top of the board at 100, facing LHP Kyle Freeland. An excellent bat into a beatable arm is what pushes it to No. 1.

What are the best MLB hits matchups today (Saturday, June 13, 2026)?

The top hits matchups on Saturday, June 13, 2026: Shea Langeliers (100), Jung Hoo Lee (86), Jonah Heim (82), Nick Kurtz (81), Fernando Tatis Jr. (80). The full board ranks every hitter in every game by hits upside.

Did the top hits matchup get a hit on Saturday, June 13, 2026?

Yes — Shea Langeliers got 1 hit.

Which hitters have a platoon edge today?

Shea Langeliers (ATH) — righty bat vs LHP, .329 against lefties this year. Jung Hoo Lee (SF) — lefty bat vs RHP, .332 against righties this year. Jonah Heim (ATH) — righty bat vs LHP, .283 against lefties this year. Luis Arraez (SF) — lefty bat vs RHP, .299 against righties this year. Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) — lefty bat vs RHP, .216 against righties this year.

Which pitchers are most vulnerable today?

RHP Joey Estes has been vulnerable to righties — .280 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Hunter Goodman (COL), Edouard Julien (COL), and Troy Johnston (COL). LHP Kyle Freeland has been vulnerable to lefties — .280 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Shea Langeliers (ATH), Jonah Heim (ATH), and Nick Kurtz (ATH). RHP Aaron Nola has been vulnerable to righties — .261 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Christian Yelich (MIL), Jackson Chourio (MIL), and Brice Turang (MIL). LHP Joey Cantillo has been vulnerable to lefties — .261 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Matt Vierling (DET), Gleyber Torres (DET), and Kevin McGonigle (DET).

How is the hits matchup score calculated?

It's a weighted read of how often he gets a hit against the hand he's facing — last two weeks first, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then the opposing bullpen, his spot in the order, and the yard. Scores run 0–100 across the slate, so today's best matchup is always 100.

It's the share of a hitter's trips to the plate that end in a hit. Around .250 is league average. .300+ is elite. We use it instead of batting average because it's measured per plate appearance — exactly what a daily matchup is asking.

What does the score actually mean?

Higher is better for the hitter. 80s and 90s mean the bat, the arm, and the yard all point the same way. 40s and 50s mean it's neutral to tough. It ranks today's spots against each other — it isn't the odds of a hit.

What's the confidence meter?

It's how much data is behind the call — sample size on both the hitter and the pitcher, plus whether the lineup's official. A high score with low confidence is a thinner read than the same score backed by a deep track record. It's not a probability of a hit.

What is a platoon split (handedness split)?

Most bats hit the opposite hand better, and on a contact board that gap is mostly about seeing the ball early — a lefty picks up a righty's fastball a beat sooner and shoots it the other way. The score leans on each hitter's rate against the hand he's facing today, so the same guy can lead this board on Tuesday and sit mid-pack on Wednesday.

What are park factors?

Parks aren't neutral for base hits. Big outfield gaps and fast turf turn playable balls into singles and doubles; deep foul ground eats an extra out an inning. Above 1.00 bumps the score, below 1.00 trims it.

What do "2W", "SZN" and "2Y" mean?

The timeframes behind each rate: the last two weeks (recent form), the current season, and a trailing two years (a stable baseline). Recent form counts most, and small samples get pulled toward league average so a hot week doesn't fool the model.

What do "≈ est", "Due" and "Not starting" mean?

"≈ est" is a hitter we don't have splits for yet — a rookie or unmatched ID — shown at a league-baseline estimate instead of dropped. "Due" means he hasn't recorded a hit in a while and profiles for regression. "Not starting" means he was projected but didn't make the official lineup, so he slides to the bottom where you can still look him up.

Can I use this for hits props or DFS?

That's what it's built for — pre-slate research. The board surfaces which hitters have the best conditions today, and where one exists, we show the book's "1+ hit" line so you can shop the price. We're not a sportsbook and we don't post picks — we show the matchup data, the line, and the result. (Best-price and all-book odds are a Pro feature.)

How accurate is the model?

We grade every board against the box score, and the top of the hits board lands a hit far more often than the slate as a whole. Weights are re-tuned weekly on a held-out split, and because results sit next to the projections you can audit any past date yourself.

When do lineups update?

Projected lineups (marked "Proj") come from each team's last game. Official lineups usually drop about two hours before first pitch, and the board updates itself as they post. Batting order is a big driver, so it's worth a second look mid-afternoon — rankings shift as lineups lock.

Yes. The full board, every game page, and the daily archive are free, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.

Best MLB hits matchups — Saturday, June 13, 2026

Every hitter on the Saturday, June 13, 2026 slate — ranked by who's most likely to get a hit. Results show how each call played out.

How the model did — Saturday, June 13, 2026

Our top 5 hitters went 3/5 (60%) on 1+ hit, against 64% on the season.

Top 5

3/560%

season 64%

Top 10

7/1070%

season 68%

Full slate

166/27061%

season 56%

Top call Shea Langeliers came through. Jung Hoo Lee didn't.

Each hitter below carries a 0–100 matchup score — a read on the spot in front of him, not a ranking of how good he is, so a star in a brutal matchup can sit below an average hitter in a soft one. Confidence next to it is coverage: how much real data backs the number. Every call here was graded against the box score — wins and misses both, with the record on this page. How this board is built →

Final · 9–6

STLaway

MINhomeTop matchup72 Final · 3–1

NYYaway

TORhomeTop matchup74 Final · 3–8

SEAaway

WSHhomeTop matchup77 Final · 2–3

MIAaway

PIThomeTop matchup74 Final · 9–3

SDaway

BALhomeTop matchup80 Final · 1–2

AZaway

CINhomeTop matchup69 Final · 1–3

DETaway

CLEhomeTop matchup76 Final · 3–6

TEXaway

BOShomeTop matchup70 Final · 3–1

ATLaway

NYMhomeTop matchup75 Final · 7–1

LADaway

CWShomeTop matchup71 Final · 8–7

HOUaway

KChomeTop matchup62 Final · 9–8

PHIaway

MILhomeTop matchup73 Final · 6–1

CHCaway

SFhomeTop matchup86 Final · 5–7

COLaway

ATHhomeTop matchup100 Final · 0–8

TBaway

LAAhomeTop matchup72

Not starting74 not in the official lineup — moved to the bottom

PosSort

#Hitter · Matchup · 344 shownScore

173 with a HLive count — updates as games play

1
Jackson ChourioLF
MILvsPHI· 4-for-5
4HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #47
T1
Jo AdellRF
LAAvsTB· 4-for-5
4HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #152
3
Pete Crow-ArmstrongCF
CHC@SF· 3-for-5
3HFinal
Proj 1.2 H, #7
T3
Yordan AlvarezDH
HOU@KC· 3-for-5
3HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #46
T3
Wyatt LangfordLF
TEX@BOS· 3-for-5
3HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #48
T3
Pete Alonso1B
BALvsSD· 3-for-5
3HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #49
T3
Kyle SchwarberDH
PHI@MIL· 3-for-5
3HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #55
T3
Bobby Witt Jr.SS
KCvsHOU· 3-for-5
3HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #67
T3
Samad TaylorLF
SD@BAL· 3-for-5
3HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #69
T3
CJ AbramsSS
WSHvsSEA· 3-for-4
3HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #79
T3
Brandon MarshLF
PHI@MIL· 3-for-5
3HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #83
T3
Max Muncy3B
LAD@CWS· 3-for-3
3HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #104
T3
William ContrerasC
MILvsPHI· 3-for-5
3HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #148
T3
Pedro PagésC
STL@MIN· 3-for-4
3HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #154
T3
Blaze Alexander3B
BALvsSD· 3-for-4
3HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #176
T3
Donovan Walton2B
LAAvsTB· 3-for-4
3HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #178
T3
Alika WilliamsSS
ATHvsCOL· 3-for-3
3HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #180
T3
Mookie BettsSS
LAD@CWS· 3-for-5
3HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #197
T3
Edmundo SosaLF
PHI@MIL· 3-for-4
3HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #199
T3
Eli WhiteRF
ATL@NYM· 3-for-4
3HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #221
T3
J.T. RealmutoC
PHI@MIL· 3-for-4
3HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #237
22
Cole Young2B
SEA@WSH· 2-for-5
2HFinal
Proj 1.2 H, #9
T22
Otto LopezSS
MIA@PIT· 2-for-3
2HFinal
Proj 1.2 H, #13
T22
Byron BuxtonCF
MINvsSTL· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #33
T22
Troy JohnstonRF
COL@ATH· 2-for-3
2HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #37
T22
Iván HerreraDH
STL@MIN· 2-for-3
2HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #39
T22
Henry BolteCF
ATHvsCOL· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #44
T22
Ceddanne RafaelaCF
BOSvsTEX· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #58
T22
Gabriel MorenoC
AZ@CIN· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #64
T22
Juan SotoLF
NYMvsATL· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #66
T22
Zack Gelof3B
ATHvsCOL· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #72
T22
Bo Bichette3B
NYMvsATL· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #74
T22
Gleyber Torres2B
DET@CLE· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #85
T22
Royce Lewis1B
MINvsSTL· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #90
T22
TJ Rumfield1B
COL@ATH· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #93
T22
Pedro Ramírez2B
CHC@SF· 2-for-5
2HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #99
T22
Ryan O'HearnRF
PITvsMIA· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #100
T22
Nolan Schanuel1B
LAAvsTB· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #106
T22
Rafael Devers1B
SFvsCHC· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #113
T22
Carter JensenC
KCvsHOU· 2-for-5
2HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #114
T22
Willson Contreras1B
BOSvsTEX· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #116
T22
Corbin CarrollRF
AZ@CIN· 2-for-5
2HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #121
T22
Blaze Jordan3B
STL@MIN· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #126
T22
Isiah Kiner-Falefa2B
BOSvsTEX· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #128
T22
José TenaDH
WSHvsSEA· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #131
T22
Jake MangumCF
PITvsMIA· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #134
T22
Garrett MitchellCF
MILvsPHI· 2-for-5
2HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #138
T22
Ketel Marte2B
AZ@CIN· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #143
T22
Dillon DinglerC
DET@CLE· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #160
T22
Cedric MullinsCF
TB@LAA· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #162
T22
Mitch GarverC
SEA@WSH· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #164
T22
Michael Massey2B
KCvsHOU· 2-for-3
2HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #191
T22
Nicky Lopez2B
TEX@BOS· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #194
T22
Bryson Stott2B
PHI@MIL· 2-for-5
2HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #200
T22
Tyler CallihanLF
PITvsMIA· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #207
T22
Jose Altuve2B
HOU@KC· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #209
T22
Denzer Guzman3B
LAAvsTB· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #231
T22
Stuart FairchildRF
CLEvsDET· 2-for-2
2HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #240
T22
Jake MeyersCF
HOU@KC· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #259
T22
Brice MatthewsCF
HOU@KC· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #260
61
Shea LangeliersC
ATHvsCOL· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.3 H, #1
T61
Nick Kurtz1B
ATHvsCOL· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.2 H, #4
T61
Fernando Tatis Jr.RF
SD@BAL· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.2 H, #5
T61
Luis Arraez2B
SFvsCHC· 1-for-5
1HFinal
Proj 1.2 H, #6
T61
Chase DeLauterRF
CLEvsDET· 1-for-1
1HFinal
Proj 1.2 H, #10
T61
Michael Harris IICF
ATL@NYM· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.2 H, #11
T61
Christian YelichDH
MILvsPHI· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 1.2 H, #15
T61
Jordan WalkerRF
STL@MIN· 1-for-5
1HFinal
Proj 1.2 H, #16
T61
Shohei OhtaniTWP
LAD@CWS· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 1.2 H, #18
T61
Dominic CanzoneDH
SEA@WSH· 1-for-2
1HFinal
Proj 1.2 H, #19
T61
Josh Jung3B
TEX@BOS· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.2 H, #20
T61
Jacob WilsonSS
ATHvsCOL· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.2 H, #21
T61
Edwin Arroyo2B
CINvsAZ· 1-for-2
1HFinal
Proj 1.2 H, #22
T61
Ben RiceDH
NYY@TOR· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #25
T61
Michael Busch1B
CHC@SF· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #28
T61
Edouard Julien2B
COL@ATH· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #31
T61
Ozzie Albies2B
ATL@NYM· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #34
T61
Luis García Jr.1B
WSHvsSEA· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #35
T61
Matt VierlingCF
DET@CLE· 1-for-5
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #40
T61
Bryce EldridgeDH
SFvsCHC· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #41
T61
Jake Burger1B
TEX@BOS· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #42
T61
Liam HicksC
MIA@PIT· 1-for-5
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #43
T61
Vinnie Pasquantino1B
KCvsHOU· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #45
T61
Ian HappLF
CHC@SF· 1-for-5
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #51
T61
Mickey GasperC
BOSvsTEX· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #52
T61
Ezequiel DuranSS
TEX@BOS· 1-for-5
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #53
T61
Nelson VelázquezLF
STL@MIN· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #54
T61
Ernie Clement2B
TORvsNYY· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #57
T61
Victor RoblesRF
SEA@WSH· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #59
T61
Spencer Horwitz1B
PITvsMIA· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #60
T61
José Ramírez3B
CLEvsDET· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #63
T61
Mark Vientos1B
NYMvsATL· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #68
T61
Matt Olson1B
ATL@NYM· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #70
T61
Andy PagesCF
LAD@CWS· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #75
T61
Cody BellingerLF
NYY@TOR· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #78
T61
Zach NetoSS
LAAvsTB· 1-for-5
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #81
T61
Jeremy PeñaSS
HOU@KC· 1-for-5
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #82
T61
Jasson DomínguezRF
NYY@TOR· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #84
T61
Chandler SimpsonLF
TB@LAA· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #86
T61
Jackson MerrillCF
SD@BAL· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #88
T61
James WoodRF
WSHvsSEA· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #91
T61
Kody Clemens1B
MINvsSTL· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #92
T61
Seiya SuzukiRF
CHC@SF· 1-for-2
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #94
T61
Samuel BasalloC
BALvsSD· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #95
T61
Kevin McGonigleSS
DET@CLE· 1-for-5
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #96
T61
Will WagnerDH
SD@BAL· 1-for-2
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #97
T61
Daylen LileLF
WSHvsSEA· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #98
T61
José FermínLF
STL@MIN· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #107
T61
Alec Bohm3B
PHI@MIL· 1-for-5
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #110
T61
Paul Goldschmidt1B
NYY@TOR· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #115
T61
Leody TaverasCF
BALvsSD· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #117
T61
Heriberto HernándezLF
MIA@PIT· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #118
T61
Mauricio DubónLF
ATL@NYM· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #120
T61
Tristan PetersCF
CWSvsLAD· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #122
T61
Trea TurnerSS
PHI@MIL· 1-for-6
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #123
T61
Kazuma Okamoto3B
TORvsNYY· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #124
T61
Jake Bauers1B
MILvsPHI· 1-for-5
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #132
T61
Manny Machado3B
SD@BAL· 1-for-5
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #133
T61
Noelvi MarteRF
CINvsAZ· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #135
T61
Cody Freeman3B
TEX@BOS· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #136
T61
Alec Burleson1B
STL@MIN· 1-for-5
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #140
T61
Casey SchmittLF
SFvsCHC· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #142
T61
Alex Bregman3B
CHC@SF· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #144
T61
Mike TroutCF
LAAvsTB· 1-for-5
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #151
T61
Junior Caminero3B
TB@LAA· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #153
T61
Wilyer AbreuRF
BOSvsTEX· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #156
T61
Kyle Karros3B
COL@ATH· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #158
T61
Yohendrick PiñangoLF
TORvsNYY· 1-for-2
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #165
T61
Colt EmersonSS
SEA@WSH· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #167
T61
Matt Chapman3B
SFvsCHC· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #168
T61
Sterlin ThompsonRF
COL@ATH· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #175
T61
Brandon ValenzuelaC
TORvsNYY· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #177
T61
Bryan ReynoldsLF
PITvsMIA· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #179
T61
Gavin Sheets1B
SD@BAL· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #181
T61
Brett SullivanC
COL@ATH· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #182
T61
Brooks Lee3B
MINvsSTL· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #190
T61
Christian Walker1B
HOU@KC· 1-for-5
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #193
T61
Charles McAdoo2B
TORvsNYY· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #195
T61
Tyler O'NeillRF
BALvsSD· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #196
T61
Riley GreeneLF
DET@CLE· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #201
T61
Jakob MarseeCF
MIA@PIT· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #202
T61
Elias DíazC
TEX@BOS· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #203
T61
Jarren DuranLF
BOSvsTEX· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #204
T61
Luke Keaschall2B
MINvsSTL· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #205
T61
Willy AdamesSS
SFvsCHC· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #210
T61
MJ MelendezDH
NYMvsATL· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #216
T61
Austin HedgesC
CLEvsDET· 1-for-2
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #217
T61
Lane ThomasLF
KCvsHOU· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #219
T61
Nathan ChurchCF
STL@MIN· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #222
T61
Kyle TuckerRF
LAD@CWS· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #225
T61
Travis Bazzana2B
CLEvsDET· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #232
T61
Carlos NarváezC
BOSvsTEX· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #239
T61
Hao-Yu Lee2B
DET@CLE· 1-for-2
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #243
T61
Dylan CrewsRF
WSHvsSEA· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #246
T61
Taylor WallsSS
TB@LAA· 1-for-2
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #248
T61
Kameron MisnerCF
KCvsHOU· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #249
T61
Salvador PerezDH
KCvsHOU· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #250
T61
Logan O'HoppeC
LAAvsTB· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #251
T61
Ryan WaldschmidtCF
AZ@CIN· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #254
T61
Connor Norby2B
MIA@PIT· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #256
T61
Andrés GiménezSS
TORvsNYY· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #257
T61
Marcelo Mayer2B
BOSvsTEX· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #258
T61
Derek HillCF
PHI@MIL· 1-for-5
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #261
T61
Matt McLain2B
CINvsAZ· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 0.8 H, #263
T61
Miguel AmayaC
CHC@SF· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 0.8 H, #267
T61
J.C. EscarraC
NYY@TOR· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 0.8 H, #269
T61
Tyler SoderstromLF
ATHvsCOL· 1-for-2
1HFinal
Proj 1.2 H
T61
Kyle Manzardo1B
CLEvsDET· 1-for-1
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H
T61
Lars NootbaarLF
STL@MIN· 1-for-1
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H
T61
Santiago Espinal3B
LAD@CWS· 1-for-1
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H
T61
Jose SiriCF
LAAvsTB· 1-for-2
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H
T61
Kerry CarpenterRF
DET@CLE· 1-for-1
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H
T61
Coby Mayo3B
BALvsSD· 1-for-2
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H

Best MLB Hits Matchups — Saturday, June 13, 2026

Shea Langeliers (ATH) is the top hits matchup on the Saturday, June 13, 2026 board at 100, with Jung Hoo Lee (SF) and Jonah Heim (ATH) right behind. Every hitter on the slate is ranked by who's most likely to get a hit — handedness splits, the pitcher and bullpen they're facing, batting order, park, and weather. It's the read DFS and prop players make before lock.

Top hits spot: Shea Langeliers

Shea Langeliers (ATH) tops the board at 100, facing LHP Kyle Freeland. The righty is hitting .329 H/PA against lefties this year — and .444 over the last two weeks, an excellent bat that turns into a hit in about 30% of his trips. And Kyle Freeland has been getting tattooed by lefties lately — .309 hits per batter faced. One catch: the bullpen behind him has been stingy to that side late. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.5 trips, so the volume's there. He's owned Kyle Freeland too — 1.000 across 2 career trips. It all sets up in a neutral park, weather helping.

The rest of the top of the board

Jung Hoo Lee (SF) (86) vs RHP Ben Brown: an elite bat at .351 into an arm tough on the same side (.160).
Jonah Heim (ATH) (82) vs LHP Kyle Freeland: an excellent bat at .279 into an arm getting tattooed by the same side (.309).
Nick Kurtz (ATH) (81) vs LHP Kyle Freeland: a solid bat at .243 into an arm tough on the same side (.125), hot bat.
Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) (80) vs RHP Trey Gibson: a strong bat at .266 into an arm getting tattooed by the same side (.300).
Luis Arraez (SF) (79) vs RHP Ben Brown: an excellent bat at .274 into an arm tough on the same side (.160), hot bat.
Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) (79) vs RHP Trevor McDonald: a strong bat at .263 into an arm giving up plenty to the same side (.241).
Colby Thomas (ATH) (77) vs LHP Kyle Freeland: a solid bat at .236 into an arm getting tattooed by the same side (.309).

Pitchers getting tattooed today

RHP Joey Estes has been vulnerable to righties — .280 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Hunter Goodman (COL), Edouard Julien (COL), and Troy Johnston (COL).
LHP Kyle Freeland has been vulnerable to lefties — .280 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Shea Langeliers (ATH), Jonah Heim (ATH), and Nick Kurtz (ATH).
RHP Aaron Nola has been vulnerable to righties — .261 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Christian Yelich (MIL), Jackson Chourio (MIL), and Brice Turang (MIL).
LHP Joey Cantillo has been vulnerable to lefties — .261 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Matt Vierling (DET), Gleyber Torres (DET), and Kevin McGonigle (DET).

Platoon edges to target

Shea Langeliers (ATH) — righty bat vs LHP, .329 against lefties this year.
Jung Hoo Lee (SF) — lefty bat vs RHP, .332 against righties this year.
Jonah Heim (ATH) — righty bat vs LHP, .283 against lefties this year.
Luis Arraez (SF) — lefty bat vs RHP, .299 against righties this year.
Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) — lefty bat vs RHP, .216 against righties this year.

Hot bats and bounce-back spots

Swinging hot bats: Shea Langeliers (ATH), Nick Kurtz (ATH), Luis Arraez (SF), Chase DeLauter (CLE), Nathan Lukes (TOR), and Otto Lopez (MIA). Cold but due to bounce back: Hunter Goodman (COL), Matt Vierling (DET), Mark Vientos (NYM), Brandon Marsh (PHI), and Jasson Domínguez (NYY).

How it played out

7 of the top 10 hits matchups landed at least one hit. Top play Shea Langeliers finished with 1 hit. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.

How to read these hits matchups

Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's hits per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.

Keep reading

What the hits board is

The Hits board projects the chance a hitter records at least one hit, matchup-adjusted. One statistical model scores every matchup on the slate the same way — a star and a backup judged on the matchup in front of them, not their name — and every number is graded against the real box score once the games go final.

How the model gets its number

It isn't a gut call or a name game. The projection is built from a few things:

The hitter's contact rate vs this pitcher's hand.
The starter's hit-suppression and the park.
Recent form, without over-reacting to a hot or cold week.

Those pieces combine into one number, and the model re-tunes itself weekly against how its past calls actually landed.

Is there a betting edge here?

Hits is an efficient market — the book prices a 1+ hit line about as well as we do, so we publish our number as graded transparency, not a play. Our projection is sharp (the ranking is well-calibrated); the book just isn't leaving room on it.

How to use it

Use it to see who the model likes to square one up, and how that squares with the price — but there's no systematic edge here, so treat it as research, not a lean.

Everything here is a research signal from the model, graded in public — not betting advice, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Learn more: How the model works · The picks story · Today's plays

Frequently asked questions

Who has the best hits matchup today (Saturday, June 13, 2026)?: Shea Langeliers (ATH) — top of the board at 100, facing LHP Kyle Freeland. An excellent bat into a beatable arm is what pushes it to No. 1.
What are the best MLB hits matchups today (Saturday, June 13, 2026)?: The top hits matchups on Saturday, June 13, 2026: Shea Langeliers (100), Jung Hoo Lee (86), Jonah Heim (82), Nick Kurtz (81), Fernando Tatis Jr. (80). The full board ranks every hitter in every game by hits upside.
Did the top hits matchup get a hit on Saturday, June 13, 2026?: Yes — Shea Langeliers got 1 hit.
Which hitters have a platoon edge today?: Shea Langeliers (ATH) — righty bat vs LHP, .329 against lefties this year. Jung Hoo Lee (SF) — lefty bat vs RHP, .332 against righties this year. Jonah Heim (ATH) — righty bat vs LHP, .283 against lefties this year. Luis Arraez (SF) — lefty bat vs RHP, .299 against righties this year. Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) — lefty bat vs RHP, .216 against righties this year.
Which pitchers are most vulnerable today?: RHP Joey Estes has been vulnerable to righties — .280 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Hunter Goodman (COL), Edouard Julien (COL), and Troy Johnston (COL). LHP Kyle Freeland has been vulnerable to lefties — .280 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Shea Langeliers (ATH), Jonah Heim (ATH), and Nick Kurtz (ATH). RHP Aaron Nola has been vulnerable to righties — .261 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Christian Yelich (MIL), Jackson Chourio (MIL), and Brice Turang (MIL). LHP Joey Cantillo has been vulnerable to lefties — .261 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Matt Vierling (DET), Gleyber Torres (DET), and Kevin McGonigle (DET).
Are any hitters hot or due today?: Swinging hot bats: Shea Langeliers (ATH), Nick Kurtz (ATH), Luis Arraez (SF), Chase DeLauter (CLE), Nathan Lukes (TOR), and Otto Lopez (MIA). Cold but due to bounce back: Hunter Goodman (COL), Matt Vierling (DET), Mark Vientos (NYM), Brandon Marsh (PHI), and Jasson Domínguez (NYY).
How is the hits matchup score calculated?: It's a weighted read of how often he gets a hit against the hand he's facing — last two weeks first, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then the opposing bullpen, his spot in the order, and the yard. Scores run 0–100 across the slate, so today's best matchup is always 100.
What does H/PA mean?: It's the share of a hitter's trips to the plate that end in a hit. Around .250 is league average. .300+ is elite. We use it instead of batting average because it's measured per plate appearance — exactly what a daily matchup is asking.
What does the score actually mean?: Higher is better for the hitter. 80s and 90s mean the bat, the arm, and the yard all point the same way. 40s and 50s mean it's neutral to tough. It ranks today's spots against each other — it isn't the odds of a hit.
What's the confidence meter?: It's how much data is behind the call — sample size on both the hitter and the pitcher, plus whether the lineup's official. A high score with low confidence is a thinner read than the same score backed by a deep track record. It's not a probability of a hit.
What is a platoon split (handedness split)?: Most bats hit the opposite hand better, and on a contact board that gap is mostly about seeing the ball early — a lefty picks up a righty's fastball a beat sooner and shoots it the other way. The score leans on each hitter's rate against the hand he's facing today, so the same guy can lead this board on Tuesday and sit mid-pack on Wednesday.
What are park factors?: Parks aren't neutral for base hits. Big outfield gaps and fast turf turn playable balls into singles and doubles; deep foul ground eats an extra out an inning. Above 1.00 bumps the score, below 1.00 trims it.
What do "2W", "SZN" and "2Y" mean?: The timeframes behind each rate: the last two weeks (recent form), the current season, and a trailing two years (a stable baseline). Recent form counts most, and small samples get pulled toward league average so a hot week doesn't fool the model.
What do "≈ est", "Due" and "Not starting" mean?: "≈ est" is a hitter we don't have splits for yet — a rookie or unmatched ID — shown at a league-baseline estimate instead of dropped. "Due" means he hasn't recorded a hit in a while and profiles for regression. "Not starting" means he was projected but didn't make the official lineup, so he slides to the bottom where you can still look him up.
Can I use this for hits props or DFS?: That's what it's built for — pre-slate research. The board surfaces which hitters have the best conditions today, and where one exists, we show the book's "1+ hit" line so you can shop the price. We're not a sportsbook and we don't post picks — we show the matchup data, the line, and the result. (Best-price and all-book odds are a Pro feature.)
How accurate is the model?: We grade every board against the box score, and the top of the hits board lands a hit far more often than the slate as a whole. Weights are re-tuned weekly on a held-out split, and because results sit next to the projections you can audit any past date yourself.
When do lineups update?: Projected lineups (marked "Proj") come from each team's last game. Official lineups usually drop about two hours before first pitch, and the board updates itself as they post. Batting order is a big driver, so it's worth a second look mid-afternoon — rankings shift as lineups lock.
Is MatchWiz free?: Yes. The full board, every game page, and the daily archive are free, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.