Best MLB Hits Matchups — Friday, June 12, 2026
Top hits spot: Shea Langeliers
Shea Langeliers (ATH) tops the board at 100, facing LHP Sean Sullivan. The righty is hitting .329 H/PA against lefties this year — and .444 over the last two weeks, an excellent bat that turns into a hit in about 30% of his trips. And Sean Sullivan has been thin against lefties lately. One catch: the bullpen behind him has been stingy to that side late. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.7 trips, so the volume's there. No real history against Sean Sullivan. It all sets up in a neutral park, weather helping.
The rest of the top of the board
- Jung Hoo Lee (SF) (92) vs RHP Javier Assad: an elite bat at .351 into an arm tough on the same side (.000), hot bat.
- Otto Lopez (MIA) (83) vs RHP Braxton Ashcraft: an excellent bat at .274 into an arm getting tattooed by the same side (.364), hot bat.
- Corbin Carroll (AZ) (82) vs LHP Nick Lodolo: an excellent bat at .273 into an arm getting tattooed by the same side (.429).
- Luis Arraez (SF) (81) vs RHP Javier Assad: an excellent bat at .274 into an arm tough on the same side (.000), hot bat.
- Jackson Chourio (MIL) (78) vs LHP Tanner Banks: an elite bat at .314 into an arm mostly holding up against the same side (.222).
- Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) (77) vs RHP Landen Roupp: a strong bat at .263 into an arm getting tattooed by the same side (.321).
- Nick Kurtz (ATH) (75) vs LHP Sean Sullivan: a solid bat at .243 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
Pitchers getting tattooed today
- LHP Nick Lodolo has been vulnerable to lefties — .279 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Corbin Carroll (AZ), Ketel Marte (AZ), and Ildemaro Vargas (AZ).
- RHP Kyle Leahy has been vulnerable to righties — .277 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Trevor Larnach (MIN), Kody Clemens (MIN), and Josh Bell (MIN).
- RHP Braxton Ashcraft has been giving up plenty to righties — .256 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Otto Lopez (MIA), Liam Hicks (MIA), and Heriberto Hernández (MIA).
Platoon edges to target
- Shea Langeliers (ATH) — righty bat vs LHP, .329 against lefties this year.
- Jung Hoo Lee (SF) — lefty bat vs RHP, .332 against righties this year.
- Luis Arraez (SF) — lefty bat vs RHP, .299 against righties this year.
- Jackson Chourio (MIL) — righty bat vs LHP, .361 against lefties this year.
- Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) — lefty bat vs RHP, .216 against righties this year.
Hot bats and bounce-back spots
Swinging hot bats: Shea Langeliers (ATH), Jung Hoo Lee (SF), Otto Lopez (MIA), Luis Arraez (SF), Alec Burleson (STL), and Dane Myers (CIN). Cold but due to bounce back: Jeremy Peña (HOU), Mickey Gasper (BOS), Kyle Karros (COL), Trey Mancini (LAA), and Ildemaro Vargas (AZ).
How it played out
9 of the top 10 hits matchups landed at least one hit. Top play Shea Langeliers finished with 1 hit. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.
How to read these hits matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's hits per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.