Who has the best hits matchup today (Friday, June 12, 2026)?

Shea Langeliers (ATH) — top of the board at 100, facing LHP Sean Sullivan. An excellent bat into a beatable arm is what pushes it to No. 1.

What are the best MLB hits matchups today (Friday, June 12, 2026)?

The top hits matchups on Friday, June 12, 2026: Shea Langeliers (100), Jung Hoo Lee (92), Otto Lopez (83), Corbin Carroll (82), Luis Arraez (81). The full board ranks every hitter in every game by hits upside.

Did the top hits matchup get a hit on Friday, June 12, 2026?

Yes — Shea Langeliers got 1 hit.

Which hitters have a platoon edge today?

Shea Langeliers (ATH) — righty bat vs LHP, .329 against lefties this year. Jung Hoo Lee (SF) — lefty bat vs RHP, .332 against righties this year. Luis Arraez (SF) — lefty bat vs RHP, .299 against righties this year. Jackson Chourio (MIL) — righty bat vs LHP, .361 against lefties this year. Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) — lefty bat vs RHP, .216 against righties this year.

Which pitchers are most vulnerable today?

LHP Nick Lodolo has been vulnerable to lefties — .279 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Corbin Carroll (AZ), Ketel Marte (AZ), and Ildemaro Vargas (AZ). RHP Kyle Leahy has been vulnerable to righties — .277 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Trevor Larnach (MIN), Kody Clemens (MIN), and Josh Bell (MIN). RHP Braxton Ashcraft has been giving up plenty to righties — .256 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Otto Lopez (MIA), Liam Hicks (MIA), and Heriberto Hernández (MIA).

How is the hits matchup score calculated?

It's a weighted read of how often he gets a hit against the hand he's facing — last two weeks first, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then the opposing bullpen, his spot in the order, and the yard. Scores run 0–100 across the slate, so today's best matchup is always 100.

It's the share of a hitter's trips to the plate that end in a hit. Around .250 is league average. .300+ is elite. We use it instead of batting average because it's measured per plate appearance — exactly what a daily matchup is asking.

What does the score actually mean?

Higher is better for the hitter. 80s and 90s mean the bat, the arm, and the yard all point the same way. 40s and 50s mean it's neutral to tough. It ranks today's spots against each other — it isn't the odds of a hit.

What's the confidence meter?

It's how much data is behind the call — sample size on both the hitter and the pitcher, plus whether the lineup's official. A high score with low confidence is a thinner read than the same score backed by a deep track record. It's not a probability of a hit.

What is a platoon split (handedness split)?

Most bats hit the opposite hand better, and on a contact board that gap is mostly about seeing the ball early — a lefty picks up a righty's fastball a beat sooner and shoots it the other way. The score leans on each hitter's rate against the hand he's facing today, so the same guy can lead this board on Tuesday and sit mid-pack on Wednesday.

What are park factors?

Parks aren't neutral for base hits. Big outfield gaps and fast turf turn playable balls into singles and doubles; deep foul ground eats an extra out an inning. Above 1.00 bumps the score, below 1.00 trims it.

What do "2W", "SZN" and "2Y" mean?

The timeframes behind each rate: the last two weeks (recent form), the current season, and a trailing two years (a stable baseline). Recent form counts most, and small samples get pulled toward league average so a hot week doesn't fool the model.

What do "≈ est", "Due" and "Not starting" mean?

"≈ est" is a hitter we don't have splits for yet — a rookie or unmatched ID — shown at a league-baseline estimate instead of dropped. "Due" means he hasn't recorded a hit in a while and profiles for regression. "Not starting" means he was projected but didn't make the official lineup, so he slides to the bottom where you can still look him up.

Can I use this for hits props or DFS?

That's what it's built for — pre-slate research. The board surfaces which hitters have the best conditions today, and where one exists, we show the book's "1+ hit" line so you can shop the price. We're not a sportsbook and we don't post picks — we show the matchup data, the line, and the result. (Best-price and all-book odds are a Pro feature.)

How accurate is the model?

We grade every board against the box score, and the top of the hits board lands a hit far more often than the slate as a whole. Weights are re-tuned weekly on a held-out split, and because results sit next to the projections you can audit any past date yourself.

When do lineups update?

Projected lineups (marked "Proj") come from each team's last game. Official lineups usually drop about two hours before first pitch, and the board updates itself as they post. Batting order is a big driver, so it's worth a second look mid-afternoon — rankings shift as lineups lock.

Yes. The full board, every game page, and the daily archive are free, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.

Best MLB hits matchups — Friday, June 12, 2026

Every hitter on the Friday, June 12, 2026 slate — ranked by who's most likely to get a hit. Results show how each call played out.

How the model did — Friday, June 12, 2026

Our top 5 hitters went 4/5 (80%) on 1+ hit, against 64% on the season.

Top 5

4/580%

season 64%

Top 10

9/1090%

season 68%

Full slate

164/27061%

season 56%

Top call Shea Langeliers came through. Jung Hoo Lee didn't.

Each hitter below carries a 0–100 matchup score — a read on the spot in front of him, not a ranking of how good he is, so a star in a brutal matchup can sit below an average hitter in a soft one. Confidence next to it is coverage: how much real data backs the number. Every call here was graded against the box score — wins and misses both, with the record on this page. How this board is built →

Final · 8–3

MIAaway

PIThomeTop matchup83 Final · 10–2

SEAaway

WSHhomeTop matchup67 Final · 3–7

SDaway

BALhomeTop matchup74 Final · 1–10

TEXaway

BOShomeTop matchup63 Final · 2–3

DETaway

CLEhomeTop matchup66 Final · 5–2

AZaway

CINhomeTop matchup82 Final · 5–7

ATLaway

NYMhomeTop matchup60 Final · 5–8

NYYaway

TORhomeTop matchup54 Final · 2–8

LADaway

CWShomeTop matchup69 Final · 0–6

PHIaway

MILhomeTop matchup78 Final · 10–8

HOUaway

KChomeTop matchup67 Final · 8–9

STLaway

MINhomeTop matchup74 Final · 3–4

TBaway

LAAhomeTop matchup63 Final · 4–6

COLaway

ATHhomeTop matchup100 Final · 5–1

CHCaway

SFhomeTop matchup92

Not starting61 not in the official lineup — moved to the bottom

PosSort

#Hitter · Matchup · 331 shownScore

167 with a HLive count — updates as games play

1
Bryce EldridgeDH
SFvsCHC· 3-for-4
3HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #27
T1
Liam HicksC
MIA@PIT· 3-for-4
3HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #30
T1
Yordan AlvarezDH
HOU@KC· 3-for-5
3HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #35
T1
Gunnar HendersonSS
BALvsSD· 3-for-3
3HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #42
T1
Ceddanne RafaelaCF
BOSvsTEX· 3-for-5
3HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #66
T1
Byron BuxtonCF
MINvsSTL· 3-for-3
3HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #88
T1
Miguel Vargas3B
CWSvsLAD· 3-for-4
3HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #115
T1
Wilyer AbreuRF
BOSvsTEX· 3-for-4
3HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #145
T1
Chase Meidroth2B
CWSvsLAD· 3-for-3
3HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #159
T1
Alejandro KirkC
TORvsNYY· 3-for-3
3HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #178
T1
Salvador PerezDH
KCvsHOU· 3-for-5
3HFinal
Proj 0.8 H, #257
12
Nick Kurtz1B
ATHvsCOL· 2-for-5
2HFinal
Proj 1.2 H, #8
T12
Cole Young2B
SEA@WSH· 2-for-5
2HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #16
T12
TJ Rumfield1B
COL@ATH· 2-for-3
2HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #40
T12
JJ Wetherholt2B
STL@MIN· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #45
T12
Kyle Karros3B
COL@ATH· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #47
T12
Heriberto HernándezLF
MIA@PIT· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #55
T12
Dominic CanzoneDH
SEA@WSH· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #56
T12
Iván HerreraDH
STL@MIN· 2-for-5
2HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #70
T12
Ernie Clement2B
TORvsNYY· 2-for-5
2HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #72
T12
Bo Bichette3B
NYMvsATL· 2-for-3
2HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #74
T12
Jonathan Aranda1B
TB@LAA· 2-for-5
2HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #77
T12
Seiya SuzukiRF
CHC@SF· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #82
T12
Tristan GraySS
MINvsSTL· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #86
T12
Kyle Stowers1B
MIA@PIT· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #98
T12
Willson Contreras1B
BOSvsTEX· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #100
T12
Joc PedersonDH
TEX@BOS· 2-for-3
2HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #103
T12
Denzer Guzman3B
LAAvsTB· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #123
T12
Miguel Rojas2B
LAD@CWS· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #127
T12
Juan SotoLF
NYMvsATL· 2-for-3
2HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #130
T12
James WoodRF
WSHvsSEA· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #131
T12
Gavin Sheets1B
SD@BAL· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #134
T12
Ozzie Albies2B
ATL@NYM· 2-for-3
2HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #137
T12
Wyatt LangfordLF
TEX@BOS· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #141
T12
Manny Machado3B
SD@BAL· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #152
T12
Eugenio SuárezDH
CINvsAZ· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #158
T12
Blaze Jordan3B
STL@MIN· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #160
T12
Royce Lewis1B
MINvsSTL· 2-for-3
2HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #161
T12
Chase DeLauterRF
CLEvsDET· 2-for-3
2HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #162
T12
Maikel Garcia3B
KCvsHOU· 2-for-5
2HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #163
T12
Jordan LawlarLF
AZ@CIN· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #172
T12
Max Muncy3B
ATHvsCOL· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #173
T12
Taylor TrammellCF
HOU@KC· 2-for-3
2HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #182
T12
Steven KwanLF
CLEvsDET· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #184
T12
Logan O'HoppeC
LAAvsTB· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #200
T12
Endy RodríguezC
PITvsMIA· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #208
T12
Garrett MitchellCF
MILvsPHI· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #210
T12
Nick Madrigal3B
LAAvsTB· 2-for-3
2HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #216
T12
José CaballeroSS
NYY@TOR· 2-for-3
2HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #219
T12
Tyler O'NeillRF
BALvsSD· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #220
T12
Michael Massey2B
KCvsHOU· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #226
T12
Luis TorrensC
NYMvsATL· 2-for-3
2HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #229
T12
Kameron MisnerCF
KCvsHOU· 2-for-3
2HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #240
T12
Patrick BaileyC
CLEvsDET· 2-for-3
2HFinal
Proj 0.8 H, #247
T12
Joey OrtizSS
MILvsPHI· 2-for-4
2HFinal
Proj 0.8 H, #251
T12
Lawrence ButlerRF
ATHvsCOL· 2-for-2
2HFinal
Proj 1.0 H
57
Shea LangeliersC
ATHvsCOL· 1-for-5
1HFinal
Proj 1.3 H, #1
T57
Otto LopezSS
MIA@PIT· 1-for-5
1HFinal
Proj 1.2 H, #3
T57
Corbin CarrollRF
AZ@CIN· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.2 H, #4
T57
Luis Arraez2B
SFvsCHC· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.2 H, #5
T57
Jackson ChourioLF
MILvsPHI· 1-for-5
1HFinal
Proj 1.2 H, #6
T57
Pete Crow-ArmstrongCF
CHC@SF· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.2 H, #7
T57
Fernando Tatis Jr.RF
SD@BAL· 1-for-5
1HFinal
Proj 1.2 H, #9
T57
Alec Burleson1B
STL@MIN· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.2 H, #10
T57
Kody Clemens1B
MINvsSTL· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 1.2 H, #14
T57
Alex CallLF
LAD@CWS· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 1.2 H, #15
T57
Jeremy PeñaSS
HOU@KC· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #17
T57
Nick Gonzales3B
PITvsMIA· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #19
T57
Sam AntonacciLF
CWSvsLAD· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #20
T57
Josh BellDH
MINvsSTL· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #21
T57
Jordan WalkerRF
STL@MIN· 1-for-5
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #23
T57
Michael Busch1B
CHC@SF· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #24
T57
Josh Jung3B
TEX@BOS· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #25
T57
Yandy DíazDH
TB@LAA· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #28
T57
Mickey GasperC
BOSvsTEX· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #29
T57
Jo AdellRF
LAAvsTB· 1-for-5
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #31
T57
Willi Castro2B
COL@ATH· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #32
T57
Jonah HeimC
ATHvsCOL· 1-for-2
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #34
T57
Ketel Marte2B
AZ@CIN· 1-for-5
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #36
T57
Michael Harris IICF
ATL@NYM· 1-for-5
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #41
T57
Taylor WardDH
BALvsSD· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #44
T57
Trey Mancini1B
LAAvsTB· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #48
T57
Zach NetoSS
LAAvsTB· 1-for-5
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #50
T57
Matt Olson1B
ATL@NYM· 1-for-5
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #59
T57
Trent GrishamCF
NYY@TOR· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #60
T57
Samuel BasalloC
BALvsSD· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #63
T57
JJ BledayLF
CINvsAZ· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #64
T57
Randy ArozarenaLF
SEA@WSH· 1-for-2
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #65
T57
Mauricio DubónLF
ATL@NYM· 1-for-5
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #67
T57
Julio RodríguezCF
SEA@WSH· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #71
T57
William ContrerasC
MILvsPHI· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 1.1 H, #76
T57
Zack Gelof3B
ATHvsCOL· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #78
T57
Brandon Lowe2B
PITvsMIA· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #79
T57
Vinnie Pasquantino1B
KCvsHOU· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #81
T57
Xavier Edwards2B
MIA@PIT· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #83
T57
Pete Alonso1B
BALvsSD· 1-for-1
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #85
T57
Gabriel MorenoC
AZ@CIN· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #87
T57
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.1B
TORvsNYY· 1-for-5
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #92
T57
Mike TroutCF
LAAvsTB· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #93
T57
Tristan PetersCF
CWSvsLAD· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #96
T57
Josh Naylor1B
SEA@WSH· 1-for-5
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #99
T57
Brice Turang2B
MILvsPHI· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #101
T57
Victor CaratiniC
MINvsSTL· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #102
T57
Jhonny PeredaC
SEA@WSH· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #104
T57
Samad TaylorLF
SD@BAL· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #105
T57
Alex Bregman3B
CHC@SF· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #106
T57
Oswald Peraza2B
LAAvsTB· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #107
T57
Nathan LukesRF
TORvsNYY· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #108
T57
Henry BolteCF
ATHvsCOL· 1-for-2
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #111
T57
Christian Walker1B
HOU@KC· 1-for-5
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #114
T57
Jake Bauers1B
MILvsPHI· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #122
T57
Bobby Witt Jr.SS
KCvsHOU· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #124
T57
Andrew BenintendiDH
CWSvsLAD· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #125
T57
Luke RaleyRF
SEA@WSH· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #128
T57
Dominic SmithDH
ATL@NYM· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #129
T57
Cody BellingerLF
NYY@TOR· 1-for-5
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #136
T57
Lars NootbaarLF
STL@MIN· 1-for-5
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #139
T57
Bryan ReynoldsLF
PITvsMIA· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #144
T57
Isiah Kiner-Falefa2B
BOSvsTEX· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #147
T57
Paul Goldschmidt1B
NYY@TOR· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #148
T57
Xander BogaertsSS
SD@BAL· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #149
T57
Brooks Lee3B
MINvsSTL· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #151
T57
George SpringerDH
TORvsNYY· 1-for-2
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #155
T57
Cole CarriggCF
COL@ATH· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #156
T57
Miles Mastrobuoni3B
SEA@WSH· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #166
T57
Jose Altuve2B
HOU@KC· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 1.0 H, #170
T57
Geraldo PerdomoSS
AZ@CIN· 1-for-5
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #175
T57
Masyn WinnSS
STL@MIN· 1-for-5
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #177
T57
Kazuma Okamoto3B
TORvsNYY· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #181
T57
Carter JensenC
KCvsHOU· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #187
T57
Rhys Hoskins1B
CLEvsDET· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #188
T57
Jose SiriCF
LAAvsTB· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #189
T57
Kyle SchwarberDH
PHI@MIL· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #190
T57
LuJames Groover1B
AZ@CIN· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #192
T57
Jarren DuranLF
BOSvsTEX· 1-for-5
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #193
T57
Marcus Semien2B
NYMvsATL· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #194
T57
Colt EmersonSS
SEA@WSH· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #195
T57
Owen CaissieRF
MIA@PIT· 1-for-5
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #201
T57
Ben Williamson2B
TB@LAA· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #202
T57
Angel MartínezLF
CLEvsDET· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #205
T57
Santiago Espinal3B
LAD@CWS· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #207
T57
Nicky Lopez2B
TEX@BOS· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #211
T57
Noelvi MarteRF
CINvsAZ· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #212
T57
Javier Sanoja3B
MIA@PIT· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #213
T57
Mike YastrzemskiLF
ATL@NYM· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #215
T57
Austin SlaterRF
TB@LAA· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #221
T57
Dylan CrewsRF
WSHvsSEA· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #228
T57
Andrés GiménezSS
TORvsNYY· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #231
T57
Jimmy CrooksC
STL@MIN· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #232
T57
Braxton FulfordDH
COL@ATH· 1-for-2
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #236
T57
Brayan RocchioSS
CLEvsDET· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #237
T57
Cam SmithRF
HOU@KC· 1-for-5
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #238
T57
Jazz Chisholm Jr.2B
NYY@TOR· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #241
T57
Spencer Torkelson1B
DET@CLE· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H, #242
T57
Nick FortesC
TB@LAA· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 0.8 H, #250
T57
MJ MelendezDH
NYMvsATL· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 0.8 H, #252
T57
Jorbit Vivas3B
WSHvsSEA· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 0.8 H, #254
T57
Jared TrioloSS
PITvsMIA· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 0.8 H, #255
T57
James OutmanCF
DET@CLE· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 0.8 H, #256
T57
Austin Riley3B
ATL@NYM· 1-for-2
1HFinal
Proj 0.8 H, #258
T57
Dansby SwansonSS
CHC@SF· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 0.8 H, #263
T57
Taylor WallsSS
TB@LAA· 1-for-3
1HFinal
Proj 0.8 H, #265
T57
Isaac CollinsLF
KCvsHOU· 1-for-2
1HFinal
Proj 0.8 H, #266
T57
Drew RomoC
CWSvsLAD· 1-for-4
1HFinal
Proj 0.8 H, #267
T57
J.C. EscarraC
NYY@TOR· 1-for-2
1HFinal
Proj 0.8 H, #269
T57
Sal FrelickRF
MILvsPHI· 1-for-1
1HFinal
Proj 0.9 H
T57
Brice MatthewsCF
HOU@KC· 1-for-1
1HFinal
Proj 0.8 H

Best MLB Hits Matchups — Friday, June 12, 2026

Shea Langeliers (ATH) is the top hits matchup on the Friday, June 12, 2026 board at 100, with Jung Hoo Lee (SF) and Otto Lopez (MIA) right behind. Every hitter on the slate is ranked by who's most likely to get a hit — handedness splits, the pitcher and bullpen they're facing, batting order, park, and weather. It's the read DFS and prop players make before lock.

Top hits spot: Shea Langeliers

Shea Langeliers (ATH) tops the board at 100, facing LHP Sean Sullivan. The righty is hitting .329 H/PA against lefties this year — and .444 over the last two weeks, an excellent bat that turns into a hit in about 30% of his trips. And Sean Sullivan has been thin against lefties lately. One catch: the bullpen behind him has been stingy to that side late. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.7 trips, so the volume's there. No real history against Sean Sullivan. It all sets up in a neutral park, weather helping.

The rest of the top of the board

Jung Hoo Lee (SF) (92) vs RHP Javier Assad: an elite bat at .351 into an arm tough on the same side (.000), hot bat.
Otto Lopez (MIA) (83) vs RHP Braxton Ashcraft: an excellent bat at .274 into an arm getting tattooed by the same side (.364), hot bat.
Corbin Carroll (AZ) (82) vs LHP Nick Lodolo: an excellent bat at .273 into an arm getting tattooed by the same side (.429).
Luis Arraez (SF) (81) vs RHP Javier Assad: an excellent bat at .274 into an arm tough on the same side (.000), hot bat.
Jackson Chourio (MIL) (78) vs LHP Tanner Banks: an elite bat at .314 into an arm mostly holding up against the same side (.222).
Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) (77) vs RHP Landen Roupp: a strong bat at .263 into an arm getting tattooed by the same side (.321).
Nick Kurtz (ATH) (75) vs LHP Sean Sullivan: a solid bat at .243 into an arm with little track record against the same side.

Pitchers getting tattooed today

LHP Nick Lodolo has been vulnerable to lefties — .279 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Corbin Carroll (AZ), Ketel Marte (AZ), and Ildemaro Vargas (AZ).
RHP Kyle Leahy has been vulnerable to righties — .277 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Trevor Larnach (MIN), Kody Clemens (MIN), and Josh Bell (MIN).
RHP Braxton Ashcraft has been giving up plenty to righties — .256 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Otto Lopez (MIA), Liam Hicks (MIA), and Heriberto Hernández (MIA).

Platoon edges to target

Shea Langeliers (ATH) — righty bat vs LHP, .329 against lefties this year.
Jung Hoo Lee (SF) — lefty bat vs RHP, .332 against righties this year.
Luis Arraez (SF) — lefty bat vs RHP, .299 against righties this year.
Jackson Chourio (MIL) — righty bat vs LHP, .361 against lefties this year.
Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) — lefty bat vs RHP, .216 against righties this year.

Hot bats and bounce-back spots

Swinging hot bats: Shea Langeliers (ATH), Jung Hoo Lee (SF), Otto Lopez (MIA), Luis Arraez (SF), Alec Burleson (STL), and Dane Myers (CIN). Cold but due to bounce back: Jeremy Peña (HOU), Mickey Gasper (BOS), Kyle Karros (COL), Trey Mancini (LAA), and Ildemaro Vargas (AZ).

How it played out

9 of the top 10 hits matchups landed at least one hit. Top play Shea Langeliers finished with 1 hit. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.

How to read these hits matchups

Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's hits per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.

Keep reading

What the hits board is

The Hits board projects the chance a hitter records at least one hit, matchup-adjusted. One statistical model scores every matchup on the slate the same way — a star and a backup judged on the matchup in front of them, not their name — and every number is graded against the real box score once the games go final.

How the model gets its number

It isn't a gut call or a name game. The projection is built from a few things:

The hitter's contact rate vs this pitcher's hand.
The starter's hit-suppression and the park.
Recent form, without over-reacting to a hot or cold week.

Those pieces combine into one number, and the model re-tunes itself weekly against how its past calls actually landed.

Is there a betting edge here?

Hits is an efficient market — the book prices a 1+ hit line about as well as we do, so we publish our number as graded transparency, not a play. Our projection is sharp (the ranking is well-calibrated); the book just isn't leaving room on it.

How to use it

Use it to see who the model likes to square one up, and how that squares with the price — but there's no systematic edge here, so treat it as research, not a lean.

Everything here is a research signal from the model, graded in public — not betting advice, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Learn more: How the model works · The picks story · Today's plays

Frequently asked questions

Who has the best hits matchup today (Friday, June 12, 2026)?: Shea Langeliers (ATH) — top of the board at 100, facing LHP Sean Sullivan. An excellent bat into a beatable arm is what pushes it to No. 1.
What are the best MLB hits matchups today (Friday, June 12, 2026)?: The top hits matchups on Friday, June 12, 2026: Shea Langeliers (100), Jung Hoo Lee (92), Otto Lopez (83), Corbin Carroll (82), Luis Arraez (81). The full board ranks every hitter in every game by hits upside.
Did the top hits matchup get a hit on Friday, June 12, 2026?: Yes — Shea Langeliers got 1 hit.
Which hitters have a platoon edge today?: Shea Langeliers (ATH) — righty bat vs LHP, .329 against lefties this year. Jung Hoo Lee (SF) — lefty bat vs RHP, .332 against righties this year. Luis Arraez (SF) — lefty bat vs RHP, .299 against righties this year. Jackson Chourio (MIL) — righty bat vs LHP, .361 against lefties this year. Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) — lefty bat vs RHP, .216 against righties this year.
Which pitchers are most vulnerable today?: LHP Nick Lodolo has been vulnerable to lefties — .279 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Corbin Carroll (AZ), Ketel Marte (AZ), and Ildemaro Vargas (AZ). RHP Kyle Leahy has been vulnerable to righties — .277 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Trevor Larnach (MIN), Kody Clemens (MIN), and Josh Bell (MIN). RHP Braxton Ashcraft has been giving up plenty to righties — .256 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Otto Lopez (MIA), Liam Hicks (MIA), and Heriberto Hernández (MIA).
Are any hitters hot or due today?: Swinging hot bats: Shea Langeliers (ATH), Jung Hoo Lee (SF), Otto Lopez (MIA), Luis Arraez (SF), Alec Burleson (STL), and Dane Myers (CIN). Cold but due to bounce back: Jeremy Peña (HOU), Mickey Gasper (BOS), Kyle Karros (COL), Trey Mancini (LAA), and Ildemaro Vargas (AZ).
How is the hits matchup score calculated?: It's a weighted read of how often he gets a hit against the hand he's facing — last two weeks first, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then the opposing bullpen, his spot in the order, and the yard. Scores run 0–100 across the slate, so today's best matchup is always 100.
What does H/PA mean?: It's the share of a hitter's trips to the plate that end in a hit. Around .250 is league average. .300+ is elite. We use it instead of batting average because it's measured per plate appearance — exactly what a daily matchup is asking.
What does the score actually mean?: Higher is better for the hitter. 80s and 90s mean the bat, the arm, and the yard all point the same way. 40s and 50s mean it's neutral to tough. It ranks today's spots against each other — it isn't the odds of a hit.
What's the confidence meter?: It's how much data is behind the call — sample size on both the hitter and the pitcher, plus whether the lineup's official. A high score with low confidence is a thinner read than the same score backed by a deep track record. It's not a probability of a hit.
What is a platoon split (handedness split)?: Most bats hit the opposite hand better, and on a contact board that gap is mostly about seeing the ball early — a lefty picks up a righty's fastball a beat sooner and shoots it the other way. The score leans on each hitter's rate against the hand he's facing today, so the same guy can lead this board on Tuesday and sit mid-pack on Wednesday.
What are park factors?: Parks aren't neutral for base hits. Big outfield gaps and fast turf turn playable balls into singles and doubles; deep foul ground eats an extra out an inning. Above 1.00 bumps the score, below 1.00 trims it.
What do "2W", "SZN" and "2Y" mean?: The timeframes behind each rate: the last two weeks (recent form), the current season, and a trailing two years (a stable baseline). Recent form counts most, and small samples get pulled toward league average so a hot week doesn't fool the model.
What do "≈ est", "Due" and "Not starting" mean?: "≈ est" is a hitter we don't have splits for yet — a rookie or unmatched ID — shown at a league-baseline estimate instead of dropped. "Due" means he hasn't recorded a hit in a while and profiles for regression. "Not starting" means he was projected but didn't make the official lineup, so he slides to the bottom where you can still look him up.
Can I use this for hits props or DFS?: That's what it's built for — pre-slate research. The board surfaces which hitters have the best conditions today, and where one exists, we show the book's "1+ hit" line so you can shop the price. We're not a sportsbook and we don't post picks — we show the matchup data, the line, and the result. (Best-price and all-book odds are a Pro feature.)
How accurate is the model?: We grade every board against the box score, and the top of the hits board lands a hit far more often than the slate as a whole. Weights are re-tuned weekly on a held-out split, and because results sit next to the projections you can audit any past date yourself.
When do lineups update?: Projected lineups (marked "Proj") come from each team's last game. Official lineups usually drop about two hours before first pitch, and the board updates itself as they post. Batting order is a big driver, so it's worth a second look mid-afternoon — rankings shift as lineups lock.
Is MatchWiz free?: Yes. The full board, every game page, and the daily archive are free, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.