Best MLB Hits Matchups — Monday, July 6, 2026
Top hits spot: Brice Turang
Brice Turang (MIL) tops the board at 100, facing RHP Dustin May. The lefty is hitting .254 H/PA against righties this year — and .292 over the last two weeks, a strong bat that turns into a hit in about 26% of his trips. And Dustin May has been getting tattooed by righties lately — .571 hits per batter faced. One catch: the bullpen behind him has been stingy to that side late. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.7 trips, so the volume's there. He's just .000 in 3 career PA against Dustin May, but that's a tiny sample and the matchup says regression. It all sets up in a neutral park.
The rest of the top of the board
- Jake McCarthy (COL) (100) vs LHP Eric Lauer: an elite bat at .304 into an arm tough on the same side (.125).
- Andy Pages (LAD) (93) vs LHP Kyle Freeland: a strong bat at .252 into an arm getting tattooed by the same side (.333).
- Luis García Jr. (WSH) (88) vs RHP Mike Burrows: an excellent bat at .287 into an arm vulnerable to the same side (.261).
- Luis Arraez (SF) (85) vs RHP Kevin Gausman: an excellent bat at .284 into an arm giving up plenty to the same side (.242).
- Miguel Rojas (LAD) (80) vs LHP Kyle Freeland: an excellent bat at .285 into an arm getting tattooed by the same side (.333), hot bat.
- Yordan Alvarez (HOU) (80) vs RHP Miles Mikolas: a strong bat at .260 into an arm getting tattooed by the same side (.320).
- Teoscar Hernández (LAD) (80) vs LHP Kyle Freeland: a solid bat at .244 into an arm getting tattooed by the same side (.333), due to bounce back.
Pitchers getting tattooed today
- LHP Kyle Freeland has been vulnerable to lefties — .287 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Andy Pages (LAD), Miguel Rojas (LAD), and Teoscar Hernández (LAD).
- RHP Dustin May has been vulnerable to righties — .285 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Brice Turang (MIL), Jackson Chourio (MIL), and Christian Yelich (MIL).
- LHP Noah Cameron has been vulnerable to lefties — .268 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Bryce Harper (PHI), Kyle Schwarber (PHI), and Brandon Marsh (PHI).
- RHP Miles Mikolas has been vulnerable to righties — .264 hits per batter faced. Bats to target: Yordan Alvarez (HOU), Jose Altuve (HOU), and Isaac Paredes (HOU).
Platoon edges to target
- Brice Turang (MIL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .254 against righties this year.
- Andy Pages (LAD) — righty bat vs LHP, .230 against lefties this year.
- Luis García Jr. (WSH) — lefty bat vs RHP, .271 against righties this year.
- Luis Arraez (SF) — lefty bat vs RHP, .303 against righties this year.
- Miguel Rojas (LAD) — righty bat vs LHP, .306 against lefties this year.
Hot bats and bounce-back spots
Swinging hot bats: Brice Turang (MIL), Miguel Rojas (LAD), Michael Harris II (ATL), Jackson Chourio (MIL), Chandler Simpson (TB), and Gavin Sheets (SD). Cold but due to bounce back: Teoscar Hernández (LAD), Alex Call (LAD), Jake Cronenworth (SD), Kazuma Okamoto (TOR), and Mickey Moniak (COL).
Lineup watch
144 of today's hitters are still on projected lineups, drawn from each team's last game. Batting order drives the score, so these flip the moment official lineups post — usually about two hours before first pitch. Anyone who doesn't make the official card gets flagged "Not starting" and drops to the bottom.
How to read these hits matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's hits per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.