MatchWiz

Best MLB outs recorded matchupsFriday, July 24, 2026

Every starting pitcher on the Friday, July 24, 2026 slate — ranked by how deep they're projected to go (outs / IP). Tap any card for the full breakdown.

PROJ28 on a projected lineup — updates ~2h before first pitch
#Pitcher · MatchupScore

Projected Workload19.9 outs

Innings (IP)6.6
From recent starts8

How deep he's projected to go, from his recent outs per start (shrunk toward the league starter baseline).

Logan Webb's full player page →

Projected Workload17.4 outs

Innings (IP)5.8
From recent starts8

How deep he's projected to go, from his recent outs per start (shrunk toward the league starter baseline).

Bryce Miller's full player page →

Projected Workload17.2 outs

Innings (IP)5.7
From recent starts8

How deep he's projected to go, from his recent outs per start (shrunk toward the league starter baseline).

Zebby Matthews's full player page →

Projected Workload17.1 outs

Innings (IP)5.7
From recent starts8

How deep he's projected to go, from his recent outs per start (shrunk toward the league starter baseline).

Tarik Skubal's full player page →

Projected Workload16.6 outs

Innings (IP)5.5
From recent starts8

How deep he's projected to go, from his recent outs per start (shrunk toward the league starter baseline).

Shane Drohan's full player page →

Projected Workload16.6 outs

Innings (IP)5.5
From recent starts8

How deep he's projected to go, from his recent outs per start (shrunk toward the league starter baseline).

MacKenzie Gore's full player page →

Projected Workload16.3 outs

Innings (IP)5.4
From recent starts8

How deep he's projected to go, from his recent outs per start (shrunk toward the league starter baseline).

Trey Yesavage's full player page →

Projected Workload16.3 outs

Innings (IP)5.4
From recent starts8

How deep he's projected to go, from his recent outs per start (shrunk toward the league starter baseline).

Joey Cantillo's full player page →

Projected Workload16.2 outs

Innings (IP)5.4
From recent starts8

How deep he's projected to go, from his recent outs per start (shrunk toward the league starter baseline).

Tomoyuki Sugano's full player page →

Projected Workload16.1 outs

Innings (IP)5.4
From recent starts8

How deep he's projected to go, from his recent outs per start (shrunk toward the league starter baseline).

Jesús Luzardo's full player page →

Projected Workload15.9 outs

Innings (IP)5.3
From recent starts8

How deep he's projected to go, from his recent outs per start (shrunk toward the league starter baseline).

Matthew Boyd's full player page →

Projected Workload15.3 outs

Innings (IP)5.1
From recent starts8

How deep he's projected to go, from his recent outs per start (shrunk toward the league starter baseline).

Roki Sasaki's full player page →

Projected Workload15.3 outs

Innings (IP)5.1
From recent starts8

How deep he's projected to go, from his recent outs per start (shrunk toward the league starter baseline).

Shane McClanahan's full player page →

Projected Workload15.2 outs

Innings (IP)5.1
From recent starts8

How deep he's projected to go, from his recent outs per start (shrunk toward the league starter baseline).

Sean Manaea's full player page →

Projected Workload15.0 outs

Innings (IP)5
From recent starts8

How deep he's projected to go, from his recent outs per start (shrunk toward the league starter baseline).

Spencer Arrighetti's full player page →

Projected Workload14.7 outs

Innings (IP)4.9
From recent starts8

How deep he's projected to go, from his recent outs per start (shrunk toward the league starter baseline).

Eduardo Rodriguez's full player page →

Projected Workload14.4 outs

Innings (IP)4.8
From recent starts8

How deep he's projected to go, from his recent outs per start (shrunk toward the league starter baseline).

Davis Martin's full player page →

Projected Workload14.3 outs

Innings (IP)4.8
From recent starts2

How deep he's projected to go, from his recent outs per start (shrunk toward the league starter baseline).

Patrick Sandoval's full player page →

Projected Workload14.0 outs

Innings (IP)4.7
From recent starts8

How deep he's projected to go, from his recent outs per start (shrunk toward the league starter baseline).

Dustin May's full player page →

Projected Workload13.9 outs

Innings (IP)4.6
From recent starts8

How deep he's projected to go, from his recent outs per start (shrunk toward the league starter baseline).

Germán Márquez's full player page →

Projected Workload13.6 outs

Innings (IP)4.5
From recent starts8

How deep he's projected to go, from his recent outs per start (shrunk toward the league starter baseline).

Jared Jones's full player page →

Projected Workload13.4 outs

Innings (IP)4.5
From recent starts8

How deep he's projected to go, from his recent outs per start (shrunk toward the league starter baseline).

Grant Holmes's full player page →

Projected Workload13.3 outs

Innings (IP)4.4
From recent starts8

How deep he's projected to go, from his recent outs per start (shrunk toward the league starter baseline).

Grayson Rodriguez's full player page →

Projected Workload13.2 outs

Innings (IP)4.4
From recent starts8

How deep he's projected to go, from his recent outs per start (shrunk toward the league starter baseline).

Will Warren's full player page →

Projected Workload11.9 outs

Innings (IP)4
From recent starts8

How deep he's projected to go, from his recent outs per start (shrunk toward the league starter baseline).

Rhett Lowder's full player page →

Projected Workload11.6 outs

Innings (IP)3.9
From recent starts8

How deep he's projected to go, from his recent outs per start (shrunk toward the league starter baseline).

Jacob Lopez's full player page →

Projected Workload6.1 outs

Innings (IP)2
From recent starts7

How deep he's projected to go, from his recent outs per start (shrunk toward the league starter baseline).

Carson Palmquist's full player page →

Projected Workload4.6 outs

Innings (IP)1.5
From recent starts8

How deep he's projected to go, from his recent outs per start (shrunk toward the league starter baseline).

Beck Way's full player page →

What the outs recorded board is

The Outs Recorded board projects how deep a starter goes — his projected outs. One statistical model scores every matchup on the slate the same way — a star and a backup judged on the matchup in front of them, not their name — and every number is graded against the real box score once the games go final.

How the model gets its number

It isn't a gut call or a name game. The projection is built from a few things:

  • His workload and recent pitch counts.
  • The matchup difficulty.
  • The game script.

Those pieces combine into one number, and the model re-tunes itself weekly against how its past calls actually landed.

Is there a betting edge here?

Transparency board, and a key input to the team run model (how many innings the starter covers vs the bullpen).

How to use it

Useful for DFS (a starter who goes deep banks more) and as context; not a standalone edge.

Everything here is a research signal from the model, graded in public — not betting advice, and no outcome is guaranteed.