Best MLB walks allowed matchups — Saturday, July 18, 2026 Every starting pitcher on the Saturday, July 18, 2026 slate, scored — ranked by walk risk against today's lineup. His command, the lineup's plate discipline, and his workload. Tap any card for the full breakdown.
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PROJ Some lineups aren't official yet — 31 starts use an opposing lineup projected from that team's last game. The strikeout projection updates automatically once the official lineup posts, ~2 hours before first pitch.
# Pitcher · Matchup Score
1
Brandon Pfaadt⚠ Lineup not final
RHP vs STL lineup
▾ Pitcher walks Rate 6.3% BB / BF vs LHB 7.0%
vs RHB 6.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill) 14.3%
How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload 14.6 BF Expected batters faced 14.6
From recent starts 8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection 1.0 BB Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness 8.0% avg Batter Rate Exp PA 1. JJ Wetherholt (L) 8.2% 2.0
2. Iván Herrera (R) 7.6% 2.0
3. Jordan Walker (R) 7.0% 2.0
4. Alec Burleson (L) 9.0% 2.0
5. Lars Nootbaar (L) 10.5% 2.0
6. Masyn Winn (R) 8.1% 1.6
7. Nathan Church (L) 5.7% 1.0
8. José Fermín (R) 7.6% 1.0
9. Jimmy Crooks (L) 8.1% 1.0
Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Brandon Pfaadt's full player page → 2
Owen Murphy⚠ Lineup not final
RHP vs TEX lineup
▾ Pitcher walks Rate 8.5% BB / BF vs LHB 8.5%
vs RHB 8.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill) 13.0%
How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload 16.6 BF Expected batters faced 16.6
From recent starts 2
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection 1.2 BB Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness 7.3% avg Batter Rate Exp PA 1. Justin Foscue (R) 6.6% 2.0
2. Wyatt Langford (R) 8.6% 2.0
3. Brandon Nimmo (L) 8.2% 2.0
4. Josh Jung (R) 8.0% 2.0
5. Jake Burger (R) 6.4% 2.0
6. Ezequiel Duran (R) 7.4% 2.0
7. Cam Cauley (R) 8.5% 2.0
8. Elias Díaz (R) 5.3% 1.6
9. Nicky Lopez (L) 6.9% 1.0
Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Owen Murphy's full player page → 3
Zack Littell⚠ Lineup not final
RHP vs ATH lineup
▾ Pitcher walks Rate 6.3% BB / BF vs LHB 6.7%
vs RHB 6.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill) 11.7%
How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload 19.8 BF Expected batters faced 19.8
From recent starts 8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection 1.2 BB Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness 8.0% avg Batter Rate Exp PA 1. Jacob Wilson (R) 6.5% 3.0
2. Joshua Kuroda-Grauer (R) 8.5% 2.8
3. Shea Langeliers (R) 7.9% 2.0
4. Jonah Heim (L) 7.2% 2.0
5. Colby Thomas (R) 6.4% 2.0
6. Joey Meneses (R) 9.6% 2.0
7. Lawrence Butler (L) 11.5% 2.0
8. Henry Bolte (R) 8.6% 2.0
9. Alika Williams (R) 5.8% 2.0
Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Zack Littell's full player page → 4
Tarik Skubal⚠ Lineup not final
LHP vs LAA lineup
▾ Pitcher walks Rate 5.6% BB / BF vs LHB 5.2%
vs RHB 6.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill) 21.9%
How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload 22.5 BF Expected batters faced 22.5
From recent starts 8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection 1.4 BB Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness 8.3% avg Batter Rate Exp PA 1. Zach Neto (R) 10.4% 3.0
2. Mike Trout (R) 14.0% 3.0
3. Nolan Schanuel (L) 7.9% 3.0
4. Jorge Soler (R) 9.3% 3.0
5. Jo Adell (R) 6.0% 2.5
6. Josh Lowe (L) 6.3% 2.0
7. Oswald Peraza (R) 5.7% 2.0
8. Denzer Guzman (R) 7.4% 2.0
9. Logan O'Hoppe (R) 8.3% 2.0
Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Tarik Skubal's full player page → 5
Sean Manaea⚠ Lineup not final
LHP vs PHI lineup
▾ Pitcher walks Rate 6.8% BB / BF vs LHB 6.2%
vs RHB 7.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill) 12.2%
How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload 21.6 BF Expected batters faced 21.6
From recent starts 8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection 1.4 BB Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness 8.5% avg Batter Rate Exp PA 1. Trea Turner (R) 8.5% 3.0
2. Kyle Schwarber (L) 8.5% 3.0
3. Bryce Harper (L) 8.5% 3.0
4. Brandon Marsh (L) 8.5% 2.6
5. Alec Bohm (R) 8.5% 2.0
6. Bryson Stott (L) 8.5% 2.0
7. J.T. Realmuto (R) 8.5% 2.0
8. Gabriel Rincones Jr. (L) 8.5% 2.0
9. Justin Crawford (L) 8.5% 2.0
Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Sean Manaea's full player page → 6
Bryan Woo⚠ Lineup not final
RHP vs SF lineup
▾ Pitcher walks Rate 5.7% BB / BF vs LHB 7.0%
vs RHB 4.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill) 18.5%
How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload 23.6 BF Expected batters faced 23.6
From recent starts 8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection 1.5 BB Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness 8.5% avg Batter Rate Exp PA 1. Heliot Ramos (R) 6.1% 3.0
2. Luis Arraez (L) 8.5% 3.0
3. Casey Schmitt (R) 5.3% 3.0
4. Rafael Devers (L) 12.1% 3.0
5. Jung Hoo Lee (L) 6.0% 3.0
6. Bryce Eldridge (L) 12.5% 2.6
7. Willy Adames (R) 8.7% 2.0
8. Drew Gilbert (L) 8.6% 2.0
9. Drew Cavanaugh (L) 8.5% 2.0
Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Bryan Woo's full player page → 7
Davis Martin⚠ Lineup not final
RHP vs TOR lineup
▾ Pitcher walks Rate 9.5% BB / BF vs LHB 11.3%
vs RHB 6.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill) 14.8%
How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload 22.3 BF Expected batters faced 22.3
From recent starts 8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection 1.5 BB Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness 8.3% avg Batter Rate Exp PA 1. Ernie Clement (R) 4.6% 3.0
2. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R) 9.4% 3.0
3. Kazuma Okamoto (R) 9.1% 3.0
4. George Springer (R) 8.9% 3.0
5. Alejandro Kirk (R) 9.3% 2.3
6. Daulton Varsho (L) 8.5% 2.0
7. Brandon Valenzuela (L) 8.6% 2.0
8. Luis Urías (R) 9.1% 2.0
9. Myles Straw (R) 7.4% 2.0
Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Davis Martin's full player page → 8
Tomoyuki Sugano⚠ Lineup not final
RHP vs CIN lineup
▾ Pitcher walks Rate 6.4% BB / BF vs LHB 8.0%
vs RHB 5.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill) 10.4%
How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload 23.1 BF Expected batters faced 23.1
From recent starts 8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection 1.5 BB Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness 8.7% avg Batter Rate Exp PA 1. Elly De La Cruz (L) 9.3% 3.0
2. Sal Stewart (R) 8.9% 3.0
3. JJ Bleday (L) 11.5% 3.0
4. Spencer Steer (R) 8.2% 3.0
5. Eugenio Suárez (R) 8.2% 3.0
6. Tyler Stephenson (R) 8.1% 2.1
7. TJ Friedl (L) 8.2% 2.0
8. Edwin Arroyo (L) 8.5% 2.0
9. Ke'Bryan Hayes (R) 7.2% 2.0
Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Tomoyuki Sugano's full player page → 9
Jesús Luzardo⚠ Lineup not final
LHP vs NYM lineup
▾ Pitcher walks Rate 7.2% BB / BF vs LHB 6.2%
vs RHB 8.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill) 18.6%
How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload 22.7 BF Expected batters faced 22.7
From recent starts 8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection 1.6 BB Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness 8.5% avg Batter Rate Exp PA 1. A.J. Ewing (L) 8.5% 3.0
2. Juan Soto (L) 8.5% 3.0
3. Bo Bichette (R) 8.5% 3.0
4. Francisco Lindor (R) 8.5% 3.0
5. Carson Benge (L) 8.5% 2.7
6. Jorge Polanco (R) 8.5% 2.0
7. Jared Young (L) 8.5% 2.0
8. Brett Baty (L) 8.5% 2.0
9. Francisco Alvarez (R) 8.5% 2.0
Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Jesús Luzardo's full player page → 10
Logan Allen⚠ Lineup not final
LHP vs PIT lineup
▾ Pitcher walks Rate 8.1% BB / BF vs LHB 9.0%
vs RHB 7.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill) 13.1%
How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload 22.0 BF Expected batters faced 22.0
From recent starts 1
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection 1.6 BB Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness 7.8% avg Batter Rate Exp PA 1. Jake Mangum (R) 7.0% 3.0
2. Brandon Lowe (L) 6.4% 3.0
3. Bryan Reynolds (R) 9.4% 3.0
4. Esmerlyn Valdez (R) 8.5% 3.0
5. Ryan O'Hearn (L) 6.7% 2.0
6. Nick Gonzales (R) 7.7% 2.0
7. Marcell Ozuna (R) 10.3% 2.0
8. Jared Triolo (R) 8.2% 2.0
9. Henry Davis (R) 5.9% 2.0
Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Logan Allen's full player page → 11
Ian Seymour⚠ Lineup not final
LHP vs BOS lineup
▾ Pitcher walks Rate 8.2% BB / BF vs LHB 5.8%
vs RHB 10.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill) 17.0%
How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload 19.6 BF Expected batters faced 19.6
From recent starts 8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection 1.6 BB Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness 8.5% avg Batter Rate Exp PA 1. Anthony Seigler (R) 8.5% 3.0
2. Ceddanne Rafaela (R) 7.0% 2.6
3. Wilyer Abreu (L) 10.1% 2.0
4. Caleb Durbin (R) 6.9% 2.0
5. Masataka Yoshida (L) 9.7% 2.0
6. Romy Gonzalez (R) 9.3% 2.0
7. Jarren Duran (L) 9.4% 2.0
8. Carlos Narváez (R) 8.0% 2.0
9. Tsung-Che Cheng (L) 7.9% 2.0
Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Ian Seymour's full player page → 12
Ryan Weathers⚠ Lineup not final
LHP vs LAD lineup
▾ Pitcher walks Rate 6.8% BB / BF vs LHB 6.3%
vs RHB 7.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill) 17.4%
How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload 22.5 BF Expected batters faced 22.5
From recent starts 8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection 1.7 BB Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness 9.3% avg Batter Rate Exp PA 1. Shohei Ohtani (L) 8.2% 3.0
2. Andy Pages (R) 11.5% 3.0
3. Freddie Freeman (L) 9.4% 3.0
4. Mookie Betts (R) 8.9% 3.0
5. Max Muncy (L) 8.8% 2.5
6. Kyle Tucker (L) 9.3% 2.0
7. Teoscar Hernández (R) 10.2% 2.0
8. Dalton Rushing (L) 7.7% 2.0
9. Tommy Edman (R) 9.7% 2.0
Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Ryan Weathers's full player page → 13
Jared Jones
RHP vs CLE lineup
▾ Pitcher walks Rate 7.8% BB / BF vs LHB 8.6%
vs RHB 7.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill) 15.9%
How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload 19.4 BF Expected batters faced 19.4
From recent starts 8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection 1.7 BB Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness 9.3% avg Batter Rate Exp PA 1. Travis Bazzana (L) 10.2% 3.0
2. Brayan Rocchio (L) 8.1% 2.4
3. Chase DeLauter (L) 9.5% 2.0
4. Kyle Manzardo (L) 9.5% 2.0
5. Rhys Hoskins (R) 13.6% 2.0
6. Kahlil Watson (L) 6.9% 2.0
7. Gabriel Arias (R) 6.8% 2.0
8. Austin Hedges (R) 7.6% 2.0
9. Steven Kwan (L) 11.2% 2.0
Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Walks Line · O/U 1.5 we lean Over Book Over Under BOV Bovada -150 +110
DK DraftKings -148 +112
We project 1.7 BB vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Jared Jones's full player page → 14
Matthew Boyd⚠ Lineup not final
LHP vs MIN lineup
▾ Pitcher walks Rate 7.0% BB / BF vs LHB 8.5%
vs RHB 6.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill) 14.6%
How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload 22.5 BF Expected batters faced 22.5
From recent starts 8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection 1.8 BB Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness 8.9% avg Batter Rate Exp PA 1. Trevor Larnach (L) 10.6% 3.0
2. Ryan Jeffers (R) 12.2% 3.0
3. Josh Bell (R) 8.1% 3.0
4. Kody Clemens (L) 8.3% 3.0
5. Royce Lewis (R) 10.0% 2.5
6. Brooks Lee (R) 7.4% 2.0
7. Alan Roden (L) 8.6% 2.0
8. Luke Keaschall (R) 9.0% 2.0
9. Tristan Gray (L) 6.2% 2.0
Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Matthew Boyd's full player page → 15
Patrick Sandoval⚠ Lineup not final
LHP vs TB lineup
▾ Pitcher walks Rate 7.6% BB / BF vs LHB 7.9%
vs RHB 8.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill) 14.6%
How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload 22.0 BF Expected batters faced 22.0
From recent starts 1
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection 1.8 BB Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness 8.3% avg Batter Rate Exp PA 1. Yandy Díaz (R) 8.9% 3.0
2. Jonathan Aranda (L) 10.1% 3.0
3. Junior Caminero (R) 13.1% 3.0
4. Ryan Vilade (R) 7.9% 3.0
5. Jonny DeLuca (R) 7.8% 2.0
6. Chandler Simpson (L) 5.6% 2.0
7. Ben Williamson (R) 6.5% 2.0
8. Taylor Walls (R) 8.5% 2.0
9. Nick Fortes (R) 6.1% 2.0
Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Patrick Sandoval's full player page → 16
Emmet Sheehan⚠ Lineup not final
RHP vs NYY lineup
▾ Pitcher walks Rate 8.1% BB / BF vs LHB 7.6%
vs RHB 8.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill) 16.7%
How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload 20.5 BF Expected batters faced 20.5
From recent starts 8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection 1.8 BB Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness 9.4% avg Batter Rate Exp PA 1. Trent Grisham (L) 11.5% 3.0
2. Ben Rice (L) 13.2% 3.0
3. Paul Goldschmidt (R) 6.4% 2.5
4. Cody Bellinger (L) 10.8% 2.0
5. Jasson Domínguez (L) 7.2% 2.0
6. Jazz Chisholm Jr. (L) 11.0% 2.0
7. José Caballero (R) 6.2% 2.0
8. Ryan McMahon (L) 8.9% 2.0
9. Austin Wells (L) 9.7% 2.0
Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Emmet Sheehan's full player page → 17
Dustin May⚠ Lineup not final
RHP vs AZ lineup
▾ Pitcher walks Rate 8.7% BB / BF vs LHB 10.2%
vs RHB 6.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill) 15.2%
How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload 20.7 BF Expected batters faced 20.7
From recent starts 8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection 1.9 BB Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness 9.0% avg Batter Rate Exp PA 1. Ketel Marte (L) 8.0% 3.0
2. Geraldo Perdomo (L) 11.9% 3.0
3. Corbin Carroll (L) 11.8% 2.7
4. Gabriel Moreno (R) 11.3% 2.0
5. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (R) 6.1% 2.0
6. Ildemaro Vargas (L) 6.8% 2.0
7. Nolan Arenado (R) 8.8% 2.0
8. Tim Tawa (R) 8.2% 2.0
9. Ryan Waldschmidt (R) 7.8% 2.0
Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Dustin May's full player page → 18
MacKenzie Gore⚠ Lineup not final
LHP vs ATL lineup
▾ Pitcher walks Rate 8.4% BB / BF vs LHB 10.0%
vs RHB 8.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill) 17.9%
How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload 23.6 BF Expected batters faced 23.6
From recent starts 8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection 1.9 BB Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness 7.7% avg Batter Rate Exp PA 1. Drake Baldwin (L) 9.2% 3.0
2. Ozzie Albies (R) 5.5% 3.0
3. Matt Olson (L) 7.6% 3.0
4. Michael Harris II (L) 5.9% 3.0
5. Mauricio Dubón (R) 6.9% 3.0
6. Dominic Smith (L) 9.0% 2.6
7. Austin Riley (R) 8.4% 2.0
8. Jim Jarvis (L) 8.5% 2.0
9. Brewer Hicklen (R) 8.2% 2.0
Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
MacKenzie Gore's full player page → 19
Shane Drohan⚠ Lineup not final
LHP vs MIA lineup
▾ Pitcher walks Rate 8.5% BB / BF vs LHB 8.5%
vs RHB 8.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill) 13.0%
How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload 22.5 BF Expected batters faced 22.5
From recent starts 8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection 2.0 BB Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness 8.8% avg Batter Rate Exp PA 1. Liam Hicks (L) 9.5% 3.0
2. Otto Lopez (R) 6.5% 3.0
3. Xavier Edwards (R) 8.6% 3.0
4. Kyle Stowers (L) 8.3% 3.0
5. Heriberto Hernández (R) 10.5% 2.5
6. Griffin Conine (L) 7.3% 2.0
7. Jakob Marsee (L) 12.2% 2.0
8. Joe Mack (L) 9.4% 2.0
9. Javier Sanoja (R) 6.7% 2.0
Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Shane Drohan's full player page → 20
Grayson Rodriguez⚠ Lineup not final
RHP vs DET lineup
▾ Pitcher walks Rate 9.1% BB / BF vs LHB 9.2%
vs RHB 8.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill) 12.0%
How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload 21.5 BF Expected batters faced 21.5
From recent starts 7
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection 2.0 BB Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness 8.4% avg Batter Rate Exp PA 1. Kevin McGonigle (L) 14.0% 3.0
2. Dillon Dingler (R) 5.8% 3.0
3. Colt Keith (L) 8.1% 3.0
4. Riley Greene (L) 10.3% 2.5
5. Spencer Torkelson (R) 8.1% 2.0
6. Kerry Carpenter (L) 8.0% 2.0
7. Zach McKinstry (L) 8.1% 2.0
8. Matt Vierling (R) 6.3% 2.0
9. James Outman (L) 6.9% 2.0
Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Grayson Rodriguez's full player page → 21
Logan Webb⚠ Lineup not final
RHP vs SEA lineup
▾ Pitcher walks Rate 7.0% BB / BF vs LHB 7.9%
vs RHB 6.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill) 13.1%
How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload 24.8 BF Expected batters faced 24.8
From recent starts 8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection 2.0 BB Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness 9.5% avg Batter Rate Exp PA 1. J.P. Crawford (L) 11.3% 3.0
2. Randy Arozarena (R) 11.2% 3.0
3. Cal Raleigh (L) 11.7% 3.0
4. Josh Naylor (L) 8.5% 3.0
5. Mitch Garver (R) 10.5% 3.0
6. Cole Young (L) 8.0% 3.0
7. Victor Robles (R) 7.5% 2.8
8. Weston Wilson (R) 9.5% 2.0
9. Buddy Kennedy (R) 7.1% 2.0
Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Logan Webb's full player page → 22
Rhett Lowder⚠ Lineup not final
RHP vs COL lineup
▾ Pitcher walks Rate 10.9% BB / BF vs LHB 12.9%
vs RHB 7.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill) 10.8%
How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload 20.0 BF Expected batters faced 20.0
From recent starts 8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection 2.1 BB Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness 8.4% avg Batter Rate Exp PA 1. Jake McCarthy (L) 7.2% 3.0
2. Mickey Moniak (L) 7.3% 3.0
3. Hunter Goodman (R) 7.2% 2.0
4. TJ Rumfield (L) 9.8% 2.0
5. Kyle Karros (R) 11.4% 2.0
6. Willi Castro (L) 9.3% 2.0
7. Troy Johnston (L) 10.8% 2.0
8. Tyler Freeman (R) 6.3% 2.0
9. Ezequiel Tovar (R) 6.0% 2.0
Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Rhett Lowder's full player page → 23
Trevor Rogers⚠ Lineup not final
LHP vs HOU lineup
▾ Pitcher walks Rate 9.4% BB / BF vs LHB 8.8%
vs RHB 9.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill) 9.2%
How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload 23.2 BF Expected batters faced 23.2
From recent starts 8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection 2.1 BB Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness 8.5% avg Batter Rate Exp PA 1. Jeremy Peña (R) 7.0% 3.0
2. Yordan Alvarez (L) 7.7% 3.0
3. Isaac Paredes (R) 8.0% 3.0
4. Christian Walker (R) 10.7% 3.0
5. Jose Altuve (R) 9.0% 3.0
6. LaMonte Wade Jr. (L) 8.1% 2.2
7. Cam Smith (R) 9.8% 2.0
8. Lucas Spence (L) 8.5% 2.0
9. Christian Vázquez (R) 7.2% 2.0
Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Trevor Rogers's full player page → 24
Griffin Canning⚠ Lineup not final
RHP vs KC lineup
▾ Pitcher walks Rate 9.9% BB / BF vs LHB 10.4%
vs RHB 9.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill) 13.1%
How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload 19.7 BF Expected batters faced 19.7
From recent starts 8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection 2.1 BB Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness 9.1% avg Batter Rate Exp PA 1. Carter Jensen (L) 10.3% 3.0
2. Bobby Witt Jr. (R) 8.9% 2.7
3. Jac Caglianone (L) 8.0% 2.0
4. Lane Thomas (R) 10.0% 2.0
5. Vinnie Pasquantino (L) 10.2% 2.0
6. Salvador Perez (R) 5.2% 2.0
7. Michael Massey (L) 7.9% 2.0
8. Nick Loftin (R) 9.2% 2.0
9. Isaac Collins (L) 12.6% 2.0
Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Griffin Canning's full player page → 25
Randy Dobnak⚠ Lineup not final
RHP vs SD lineup
▾ Pitcher walks Rate 9.2% BB / BF vs LHB 8.9%
vs RHB 9.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill) 10.0%
How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload 22.0 BF Expected batters faced 22.0
From recent starts 2
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection 2.1 BB Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness 9.1% avg Batter Rate Exp PA 1. Fernando Tatis Jr. (R) 8.0% 3.0
2. Jackson Merrill (L) 7.7% 3.0
3. Xander Bogaerts (R) 10.4% 3.0
4. Manny Machado (R) 10.8% 3.0
5. Gavin Sheets (L) 11.8% 2.0
6. Ty France (R) 6.0% 2.0
7. Jake Cronenworth (L) 9.5% 2.0
8. Miguel Andujar (R) 5.8% 2.0
9. Luis Campusano (R) 12.1% 2.0
Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Randy Dobnak's full player page → 26
Gavin Williams
RHP vs PIT lineup
▾ Pitcher walks Rate 8.3% BB / BF vs LHB 8.0%
vs RHB 9.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill) 15.3%
How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload 22.9 BF Expected batters faced 22.9
From recent starts 8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection 2.2 BB Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness 9.6% avg Batter Rate Exp PA 1. Jake Mangum (L) 6.2% 3.0
2. Brandon Lowe (L) 9.0% 3.0
3. Bryan Reynolds (L) 13.2% 3.0
4. Esmerlyn Valdez (R) 9.1% 3.0
5. Ryan O'Hearn (L) 9.4% 2.9
6. Nick Gonzales (R) 9.3% 2.0
7. Marcell Ozuna (R) 10.5% 2.0
8. Jacob Gonzalez (L) 8.5% 2.0
9. Henry Davis (R) 11.2% 2.0
Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Walks Line · O/U 1.5 we lean Over Book Over Under BOV Bovada -115 -125
DK DraftKings -110 -121
We project 2.2 BB vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.
Gavin Williams's full player page → 27
Taj Bradley⚠ Lineup not final
RHP vs CHC lineup
▾ Pitcher walks Rate 8.1% BB / BF vs LHB 8.5%
vs RHB 7.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill) 15.3%
How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload 24.0 BF Expected batters faced 24.0
From recent starts 8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection 2.2 BB Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness 9.5% avg Batter Rate Exp PA 1. Pete Crow-Armstrong (L) 9.5% 3.0
2. Seiya Suzuki (R) 9.1% 3.0
3. Michael Busch (L) 11.7% 3.0
4. Alex Bregman (R) 7.8% 3.0
5. Ian Happ (L) 11.8% 3.0
6. Nico Hoerner (R) 8.2% 3.0
7. Michael Conforto (L) 9.6% 2.0
8. Carson Kelly (R) 8.8% 2.0
9. Dansby Swanson (R) 9.3% 2.0
Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Taj Bradley's full player page → 28
Max Meyer⚠ Lineup not final
RHP vs MIL lineup
▾ Pitcher walks Rate 8.6% BB / BF vs LHB 9.5%
vs RHB 7.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill) 13.5%
How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload 24.1 BF Expected batters faced 24.1
From recent starts 8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection 2.3 BB Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness 9.2% avg Batter Rate Exp PA 1. Christian Yelich (L) 9.6% 3.0
2. Jackson Chourio (R) 5.8% 3.0
3. Brice Turang (L) 10.6% 3.0
4. William Contreras (R) 7.3% 3.0
5. Jake Bauers (L) 12.4% 3.0
6. Garrett Mitchell (L) 10.3% 3.0
7. Cooper Pratt (R) 11.9% 2.1
8. Sal Frelick (L) 7.4% 2.0
9. Joey Ortiz (R) 7.7% 2.0
Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Max Meyer's full player page → 29
Shane Bieber⚠ Lineup not final
RHP vs CWS lineup
▾ Pitcher walks Rate 10.0% BB / BF vs LHB 11.4%
vs RHB 7.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill) 11.5%
How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload 22.1 BF Expected batters faced 22.1
From recent starts 4
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection 2.6 BB Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness 9.6% avg Batter Rate Exp PA 1. Sam Antonacci (L) 8.0% 3.0
2. Munetaka Murakami (L) 13.2% 3.0
3. Miguel Vargas (R) 10.9% 3.0
4. Colson Montgomery (L) 8.2% 3.0
5. Andrew Benintendi (L) 9.7% 2.1
6. Kyle Teel (L) 10.7% 2.0
7. Braden Montgomery (L) 9.5% 2.0
8. Tristan Peters (L) 6.6% 2.0
9. Chase Meidroth (R) 9.1% 2.0
Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Shane Bieber's full player page → 30
J.T. Ginn⚠ Lineup not final
RHP vs WSH lineup
▾ Pitcher walks Rate 10.0% BB / BF vs LHB 12.0%
vs RHB 6.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill) 18.7%
How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload 23.8 BF Expected batters faced 23.8
From recent starts 8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection 2.8 BB Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness 8.5% avg Batter Rate Exp PA 1. James Wood (L) 18.2% 3.0
2. Luis García Jr. (L) 6.8% 3.0
3. Abimelec Ortiz (L) 8.5% 3.0
4. CJ Abrams (L) 8.3% 3.0
5. Dylan Crews (R) 7.5% 3.0
6. Daylen Lile (L) 5.7% 2.8
7. José Tena (L) 7.1% 2.0
8. Jorbit Vivas (L) 9.4% 2.0
9. Keibert Ruiz (L) 5.2% 2.0
Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
J.T. Ginn's full player page → 31
Spencer Arrighetti⚠ Lineup not final
RHP vs BAL lineup
▾ Pitcher walks Rate 11.7% BB / BF vs LHB 14.0%
vs RHB 7.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill) 14.3%
How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.
Workload 22.7 BF Expected batters faced 22.7
From recent starts 8
How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.
Projection 3.2 BB Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.
Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness 10.3% avg Batter Rate Exp PA 1. Gunnar Henderson (L) 8.8% 3.0
2. Adley Rutschman (L) 9.4% 3.0
3. Taylor Ward (R) 13.4% 3.0
4. Pete Alonso (R) 11.6% 3.0
5. Samuel Basallo (L) 9.1% 2.7
6. Dylan Beavers (L) 10.7% 2.0
7. Colton Cowser (L) 10.0% 2.0
8. Coby Mayo (R) 7.4% 2.0
9. Jackson Holliday (L) 12.2% 2.0
Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.
Spencer Arrighetti's full player page → Best MLB Walks Allowed Matchups — Saturday, July 18, 2026 Brandon Pfaadt (AZ) is the top walks allowed spot on the Saturday, July 18, 2026 board at 100, projected for about 1.0 BB, with Owen Murphy (ATL) right behind. Every starter is ranked by walk risk against today's lineup — his command, the lineup's plate discipline, and his workload. It's the read DFS and pitcher-prop players make before lock.
Top spot: Brandon Pfaadt Brandon Pfaadt (AZ) tops the Saturday, July 18, 2026 board at 100, projected for about 1.0 BB vs STL. His command, the lineup's plate discipline, and his workload.
The rest of the top of the board Owen Murphy (ATL) (88) — about 1.2 BB vs TEX. Zack Littell (WSH) (87) — about 1.2 BB vs ATH. Tarik Skubal (DET) (79) — about 1.4 BB vs LAA. Sean Manaea (NYM) (79) — about 1.4 BB vs PHI. Bryan Woo (SEA) (75) — about 1.5 BB vs SF. How to read the walks allowed board Each starter's score (0–100) ranked by walk risk against today's lineup — his command, the lineup's plate discipline, and his workload. We project a walks count for the start and grade it against what actually happened.
Frequently asked questions
Which pitcher has the best walks allowed matchup today (Saturday, July 18, 2026)? Brandon Pfaadt (AZ) — top of the board at 100, projected for about 1.0 BB against STL.
What are the best pitcher walks props today? The top projected starts on Saturday, July 18, 2026: Brandon Pfaadt (~1.0 BB), Owen Murphy (~1.2 BB), Zack Littell (~1.2 BB), Tarik Skubal (~1.4 BB), Sean Manaea (~1.4 BB). The full board ranks every starter.
How is the walks allowed score calculated? Ranked by walk risk against today's lineup — his command, the lineup's plate discipline, and his workload. Scores are set 0–100 across the slate, with a projected walks count alongside, and graded against the box score.
Can I use this for pitcher props or DFS? Yes — the board surfaces the best walks spots and projects a number. Where there's a posted line we show the over/under and which side our projection leans. We show the data and grade it, not picks. What the walks allowed board is The Walks Allowed board projects how many free passes a starter issues. One statistical model scores every matchup on the slate the same way — a star and a backup judged on the matchup in front of them, not their name — and every number is graded against the real box score once the games go final.
How the model gets its number It isn't a gut call or a name game. The projection is built from a few things:
His control. The lineup's patience. Count leverage. Those pieces combine into one number, and the model re-tunes itself weekly against how its past calls actually landed.
Is there a betting edge here? Walks are near-unpredictable at the margin and the market prices them efficiently. Transparency board.
How to use it A read on a starter's command for the night; no edge to bet.
Everything here is a research signal from the model, graded in public — not betting advice, and no outcome is guaranteed.
Learn more: How the model works · The picks story · Today's plays
