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Best MLB walks allowed matchups — Monday, July 20, 2026

Every starting pitcher on the Monday, July 20, 2026 slate — ranked by walk risk against today's lineup. Tap any card for the full breakdown.

● 2–9 · Top 6MINMINawayCLECLEhomeTop matchup80● 5–8 · End 3PITPITawayNYYNYYhomeTop matchup67● 3–1 · Top 5TBTBawayTORTORhomeTop matchup100● 2–3 · Bot 5BALBALawayBOSBOShomeTop matchup39● 1–4 · Top 4LADLADawayPHIPHIhomeTop matchup86● 1–1 · Bot 5SDSDawayATLATLhomeTop matchup87● 1–3 · Top 3NYMNYMawayMILMILhomeTop matchup32● 0–0 · Bot 3SFSFawayKCKChomeTop matchup848:05 PM ETDETDETawayCHCCHChomeTop matchup71● 0–0 · Bot 1CWSCWSawayTEXTEXhomeTop matchup77● 0–0 · Bot 1MIAMIAawayHOUHOUhomeTop matchup968:40 PM ETWSHWSHawayCOLCOLhomeTop matchup969:40 PM ETCINCINawaySEASEAhomeTop matchup1009:40 PM ETATHATHawayAZAZhomeTop matchup5410:10 PM ETSTLSTLawayLAALAAhomeTop matchup93
#Pitcher · MatchupScore

Pitcher walks Rate5.0% BB / BF

vs LHB5.9%
vs RHB4.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)10.4%

How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.0 BF

Expected batters faced21.0
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection0.9 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness7.7% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Ernie Clement (R)3.8%3.0
2. Nathan Lukes (L)7.3%3.0
3. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R)9.9%3.0
4. George Springer (R)9.5%2.0
5. Kazuma Okamoto (R)9.2%2.0
6. Daulton Varsho (L)8.1%2.0
7. Alejandro Kirk (R)9.3%2.0
8. Andrés Giménez (L)5.3%2.0
9. Myles Straw (R)6.6%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Walks Line · O/U 0.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
BOVBovada-220+155
DKDraftKings-209+156

We project 0.9 BB vs the 0.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Nick Martinez's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate5.0% BB / BF

vs LHB6.8%
vs RHB3.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)20.7%

How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.9 BF

Expected batters faced24.9
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.2 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness9.1% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Elly De La Cruz (L)10.4%3.0
2. Sal Stewart (R)9.3%3.0
3. JJ Bleday (L)12.7%3.0
4. Spencer Steer (R)8.3%3.0
5. Eugenio Suárez (R)6.1%3.0
6. Tyler Stephenson (R)9.0%3.0
7. Dane Myers (R)9.3%2.9
8. Edwin Arroyo (L)8.5%2.0
9. Ke'Bryan Hayes (R)8.5%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Walks Line · O/U 0.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
BOVBovada-250+170
DKDraftKings-231+171

We project 1.2 BB vs the 0.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

George Kirby's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate4.9% BB / BF

vs LHB4.1%
vs RHB5.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%

How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.5 BF

Expected batters faced24.5
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.3 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness9.3% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. James Wood (L)9.0%3.0
2. Curtis Mead (R)8.5%3.0
3. Andrés Chaparro (R)13.3%3.0
4. CJ Abrams (L)5.3%3.0
5. Dylan Crews (R)7.5%3.0
6. Jacob Young (R)7.9%3.0
7. Harry Ford (R)9.3%2.5
8. Luis García Jr. (L)8.5%2.0
9. Nasim Nuñez (R)13.9%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Kyle Freeland's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate4.9% BB / BF

vs LHB6.1%
vs RHB3.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.2%

How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.9 BF

Expected batters faced22.9
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.3 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness9.4% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Jeremy Peña (R)6.2%3.0
2. Yordan Alvarez (L)16.2%3.0
3. Isaac Paredes (R)11.1%3.0
4. Jose Altuve (R)8.1%3.0
5. LaMonte Wade Jr. (L)12.2%2.9
6. Yainer Diaz (R)3.4%2.0
7. Taylor Trammell (L)8.5%2.0
8. Zach Dezenzo (R)8.5%2.0
9. Lucas Spence (L)10.0%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Janson Junk's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate8.0% BB / BF

vs LHB11.2%
vs RHB4.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.0%

How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload20.7 BF

Expected batters faced20.7
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.4 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.2% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Zach Neto (R)7.6%3.0
2. Mike Trout (R)17.1%3.0
3. Nolan Schanuel (L)10.4%2.7
4. Jorge Soler (R)10.4%2.0
5. Vaughn Grissom (R)5.7%2.0
6. Josh Lowe (L)7.2%2.0
7. Jo Adell (R)4.7%2.0
8. Denzer Guzman (R)5.4%2.0
9. Logan O'Hoppe (R)5.7%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Walks Line · O/U 1.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
BOVBovada-105-135
DKDraftKings-103-129

We project 1.4 BB vs the 1.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Kyle Leahy's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate6.8% BB / BF

vs LHB5.7%
vs RHB7.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.8%

How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.1 BF

Expected batters faced22.1
From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.1 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness6.7% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Drake Baldwin (L)8.5%3.0
2. Ozzie Albies (R)3.5%3.0
3. Matt Olson (L)7.6%3.0
4. Austin Riley (R)8.0%3.0
5. Michael Harris II (L)4.3%2.1
6. Mauricio Dubón (R)6.3%2.0
7. Joey Bart (R)8.6%2.0
8. Jim Jarvis (L)6.1%2.0
9. Eli White (R)7.5%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Walks Line · O/U 1.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
BOVBovada+130-170
DKDraftKings+126-167

We project 1.1 BB vs the 1.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

JP Sears's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate5.1% BB / BF

vs LHB3.4%
vs RHB5.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.6%

How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.1 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.6% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Shohei Ohtani (L)8.3%3.0
2. Andy Pages (R)8.5%3.0
3. Tommy Edman (R)6.7%3.0
4. Freddie Freeman (L)9.1%3.0
5. Mookie Betts (R)9.9%3.0
6. Miguel Rojas (R)8.2%2.0
7. Teoscar Hernández (R)9.5%2.0
8. Alex Call (R)8.7%2.0
9. Dalton Rushing (L)8.5%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Walks Line · O/U 1.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
BOVBovada+120-160
DKDraftKings+118-156

We project 1.1 BB vs the 1.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Cristopher Sánchez's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate6.6% BB / BF

vs LHB6.3%
vs RHB6.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.3%

How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.4 BF

Expected batters faced23.4
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.5 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.1% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Luis Arraez (L)6.2%3.0
2. Bryce Eldridge (L)14.0%3.0
3. Casey Schmitt (R)4.4%3.0
4. Rafael Devers (L)13.7%3.0
5. Heliot Ramos (R)6.1%3.0
6. Jung Hoo Lee (L)6.5%2.4
7. Willy Adames (R)9.0%2.0
8. Drew Gilbert (L)8.6%2.0
9. Daniel Susac (R)4.6%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Walks Line · O/U 1.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
BOVBovada+135-175
DKDraftKings+130-174

We project 1.5 BB vs the 1.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Michael Wacha's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate5.6% BB / BF

vs LHB5.1%
vs RHB6.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)24.5%

How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.9 BF

Expected batters faced21.9
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.3 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.9% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Steven Kwan (L)10.7%3.0
2. Travis Bazzana (L)11.0%3.0
3. Chase DeLauter (L)10.4%3.0
4. Brayan Rocchio (L)7.3%2.9
5. Rhys Hoskins (R)12.4%2.0
6. Daniel Schneemann (L)8.2%2.0
7. David Fry (R)8.4%2.0
8. Patrick Bailey (L)6.0%2.0
9. Petey Halpin (L)5.5%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Walks Line · O/U 1.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
BOVBovada+110-150
DKDraftKings+111-148

We project 1.3 BB vs the 1.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Joe Ryan's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate5.5% BB / BF

vs LHB5.9%
vs RHB5.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)21.8%

How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.2 BF

Expected batters faced23.2
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.6 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness9.8% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Sam Antonacci (L)8.1%3.0
2. Munetaka Murakami (L)16.5%3.0
3. Miguel Vargas (R)11.2%3.0
4. Colson Montgomery (L)9.6%3.0
5. Andrew Benintendi (L)9.5%3.0
6. Kyle Teel (L)8.5%2.2
7. Braden Montgomery (L)9.4%2.0
8. Tristan Peters (L)6.6%2.0
9. Chase Meidroth (R)9.1%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Walks Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
BOVBovada-105-135
DKDraftKings-101-132

We project 1.6 BB vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Jacob deGrom's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate6.9% BB / BF

vs LHB7.8%
vs RHB6.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.2%

How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.6 BF

Expected batters faced21.6
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.7 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness9.0% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Carter Jensen (L)10.7%3.0
2. Bobby Witt Jr. (R)8.8%3.0
3. Jac Caglianone (L)9.1%3.0
4. Lane Thomas (R)9.9%2.6
5. Vinnie Pasquantino (L)9.5%2.0
6. Salvador Perez (R)4.6%2.0
7. Michael Massey (L)5.8%2.0
8. Josh Rojas (L)8.6%2.0
9. Isaac Collins (L)14.2%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Walks Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
BOVBovada+100-140
DKDraftKings+100-132

We project 1.7 BB vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Trevor McDonald's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate10.2% BB / BF

vs LHB7.4%
vs RHB11.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.1%

How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload19.7 BF

Expected batters faced19.7
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.7 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness7.1% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Jake McCarthy (L)3.1%3.0
2. Kyle Karros (R)9.3%2.7
3. Cole Carrigg (R)7.2%2.0
4. Hunter Goodman (R)9.1%2.0
5. TJ Rumfield (L)9.3%2.0
6. Willi Castro (R)5.9%2.0
7. Braxton Fulford (R)7.0%2.0
8. Tyler Freeman (R)4.5%2.0
9. Ezequiel Tovar (R)8.5%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Walks Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
DKDraftKings-116-115

We project 1.7 BB vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Andrew Alvarez's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate6.4% BB / BF

vs LHB8.7%
vs RHB4.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.5%

How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.8 BF

Expected batters faced21.8
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.7 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.6% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Kevin McGonigle (L)15.6%3.0
2. Gleyber Torres (R)8.5%3.0
3. Colt Keith (L)7.7%3.0
4. Riley Greene (L)9.0%2.8
5. Dillon Dingler (R)4.9%2.0
6. Kerry Carpenter (L)6.2%2.0
7. Spencer Torkelson (R)9.5%2.0
8. Zach McKinstry (L)8.5%2.0
9. James Outman (L)7.6%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Walks Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
BOVBovada+125-165
DKDraftKings+125-167

We project 1.7 BB vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Jameson Taillon's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate6.7% BB / BF

vs LHB5.5%
vs RHB7.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.5%

How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.5 BF

Expected batters faced22.5
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.5 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.1% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Nick Gonzales (R)7.5%3.0
2. Brandon Lowe (L)5.5%3.0
3. Bryan Reynolds (R)10.7%3.0
4. Esmerlyn Valdez (R)11.2%3.0
5. Ryan O'Hearn (L)6.7%2.5
6. Marcell Ozuna (R)14.4%2.0
7. Jared Triolo (R)9.1%2.0
8. Henry Davis (R)4.5%2.0
9. Billy Cook (R)3.2%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Walks Line · O/U 1.5we lean Under

BookOverUnder
BOVBovada-115-125
DKDraftKings-109-121

We project 1.5 BB vs the 1.5 line — leaning Under. Display only — not betting advice.

Ryan Weathers's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate7.1% BB / BF

vs LHB7.9%
vs RHB6.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%

How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.6 BF

Expected batters faced23.6
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.6 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness7.7% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Trevor Larnach (L)10.9%3.0
2. Byron Buxton (R)6.9%3.0
3. Kody Clemens (L)6.9%3.0
4. Josh Bell (L)9.5%3.0
5. Royce Lewis (R)7.2%3.0
6. Victor Caratini (L)8.6%2.6
7. Brooks Lee (L)7.5%2.0
8. Alan Roden (L)6.2%2.0
9. Ryan Kreidler (R)5.6%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Walks Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
BOVBovada-135-105
DKDraftKings-130-102

We project 1.6 BB vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Tanner Bibee's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate8.5% BB / BF

vs LHB6.1%
vs RHB9.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)8.9%

How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.2 BF

Expected batters faced23.2
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.9 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.6% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Randy Arozarena (R)7.5%3.0
2. Julio Rodríguez (R)8.9%3.0
3. Dominic Canzone (L)13.3%3.0
4. Cal Raleigh (R)9.3%3.0
5. Josh Naylor (L)6.3%3.0
6. Cole Young (L)6.3%2.2
7. Victor Robles (R)5.4%2.0
8. Buddy Kennedy (R)13.6%2.0
9. Colt Emerson (L)7.1%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Walks Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
BOVBovada-135-105
DKDraftKings-128-104

We project 1.9 BB vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Andrew Abbott's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate7.5% BB / BF

vs LHB8.3%
vs RHB6.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)21.1%

How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload20.5 BF

Expected batters faced20.5
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.7 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.6% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Trea Turner (R)5.3%3.0
2. Kyle Schwarber (L)15.1%3.0
3. Bryce Harper (L)13.3%2.5
4. Alec Bohm (R)6.2%2.0
5. Brandon Marsh (L)7.7%2.0
6. Bryson Stott (L)7.8%2.0
7. J.T. Realmuto (R)7.3%2.0
8. Gabriel Rincones Jr. (L)8.5%2.0
9. Justin Crawford (L)5.9%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Walks Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
BOVBovada-180+140
DKDraftKings-183+137

We project 1.7 BB vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Emmet Sheehan's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate9.5% BB / BF

vs LHB11.4%
vs RHB7.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.6%

How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload20.3 BF

Expected batters faced20.3
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.9 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.3% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Joc Pederson (L)11.7%3.0
2. Wyatt Langford (R)8.8%3.0
3. Josh Jung (R)5.8%2.3
4. Brandon Nimmo (L)9.2%2.0
5. Jake Burger (R)5.5%2.0
6. Ezequiel Duran (R)6.1%2.0
7. Evan Carter (L)11.2%2.0
8. Elias Díaz (R)8.5%2.0
9. Nicky Lopez (L)8.1%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Walks Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
BOVBovada-110-130
DKDraftKings-107-123

We project 1.9 BB vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Erick Fedde's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate8.1% BB / BF

vs LHB7.4%
vs RHB8.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.2%

How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.3 BF

Expected batters faced22.3
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.9 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.8% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Ketel Marte (R)8.7%3.0
2. Geraldo Perdomo (R)11.3%3.0
3. Tim Tawa (R)8.5%3.0
4. Gabriel Moreno (R)9.8%3.0
5. Ildemaro Vargas (R)8.5%2.3
6. Nolan Arenado (R)8.3%2.0
7. Tyler Locklear (R)6.2%2.0
8. Ryan Waldschmidt (R)9.0%2.0
9. Jorge Barrosa (R)8.5%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Walks Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
BOVBovada-180+140
DKDraftKings-179+134

We project 1.9 BB vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Jeffrey Springs's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate7.4% BB / BF

vs LHB8.7%
vs RHB5.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)14.2%

How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.2 BF

Expected batters faced23.2
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.7 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness9.1% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Fernando Tatis Jr. (R)9.1%3.0
2. Jackson Merrill (L)7.2%3.0
3. Manny Machado (R)9.2%3.0
4. Ty France (R)5.1%3.0
5. Gavin Sheets (L)9.5%3.0
6. Xander Bogaerts (R)9.5%2.2
7. Jake Cronenworth (L)12.3%2.0
8. Freddy Fermin (R)7.1%2.0
9. Sung-Mun Song (L)12.9%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Walks Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
BOVBovada-105-135
DKDraftKings-101-131

We project 1.7 BB vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Bryce Elder's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate14.0% BB / BF

vs LHB9.0%
vs RHB15.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)4.2%

How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload19.4 BF

Expected batters faced19.4
From recent starts2

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.0 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness6.2% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Jacob Wilson (R)5.5%3.0
2. Tyler Soderstrom (L)7.0%2.4
3. Shea Langeliers (R)7.5%2.0
4. Colby Thomas (R)6.3%2.0
5. Joshua Kuroda-Grauer (R)3.9%2.0
6. Jonah Heim (R)6.7%2.0
7. Tommy White (R)8.5%2.0
8. Alika Williams (R)6.4%2.0
9. Henry Bolte (R)4.0%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Walks Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
BOVBovada+150-200
DKDraftKings+152-204

We project 2.0 BB vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Mitch Bratt's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate8.9% BB / BF

vs LHB9.4%
vs RHB8.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.8%

How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.7 BF

Expected batters faced24.7
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.0 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness7.8% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Anthony Seigler (L)9.9%3.0
2. Ceddanne Rafaela (R)4.3%3.0
3. Wilyer Abreu (L)9.3%3.0
4. Willson Contreras (R)7.5%3.0
5. Masataka Yoshida (L)7.0%3.0
6. Caleb Durbin (R)6.7%3.0
7. Jarren Duran (L)7.8%2.7
8. Connor Wong (R)8.0%2.0
9. Tsung-Che Cheng (L)9.9%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Walks Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
BOVBovada-170+130
DKDraftKings-170+128

We project 2.0 BB vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Shane Baz's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate7.9% BB / BF

vs LHB4.5%
vs RHB9.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.8%

How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.6 BF

Expected batters faced22.6
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.1 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.4% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Taylor Ward (R)14.8%3.0
2. Pete Alonso (R)9.4%3.0
3. Gunnar Henderson (L)7.0%3.0
4. Tyler O'Neill (R)10.1%3.0
5. Coby Mayo (R)9.4%2.6
6. Leody Taveras (R)9.0%2.0
7. Jeremiah Jackson (R)5.3%2.0
8. Christian Encarnacion-Strand (R)4.1%2.0
9. Sam Huff (R)6.1%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Walks Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
BOVBovada+105-145
DKDraftKings+109-144

We project 2.1 BB vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Payton Tolle's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate9.4% BB / BF

vs LHB11.3%
vs RHB7.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)22.4%

How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.3 BF

Expected batters faced21.3
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.2 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness9.7% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)7.8%3.0
2. Seiya Suzuki (R)10.5%3.0
3. Michael Busch (L)12.1%3.0
4. Alex Bregman (R)8.4%2.3
5. Ian Happ (L)13.9%2.0
6. Nico Hoerner (R)7.9%2.0
7. Pedro Ramírez (L)8.4%2.0
8. Dansby Swanson (R)9.8%2.0
9. Miguel Amaya (R)8.5%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Walks Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
BOVBovada-170+130
DKDraftKings-169+127

We project 2.2 BB vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Jack Flaherty's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate8.0% BB / BF

vs LHB8.8%
vs RHB7.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)20.8%

How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.3 BF

Expected batters faced24.3
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.3 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness9.2% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. A.J. Ewing (L)9.2%3.0
2. Juan Soto (L)18.9%3.0
3. Bo Bichette (R)6.2%3.0
4. Francisco Lindor (L)8.6%3.0
5. Jorge Polanco (L)9.2%3.0
6. Jared Young (L)7.6%3.0
7. Luis Robert Jr. (R)7.3%2.3
8. Brett Baty (L)8.3%2.0
9. Francisco Alvarez (R)7.7%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Jacob Misiorowski's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate6.7% BB / BF

vs LHB8.3%
vs RHB4.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.9%

How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.2 BF

Expected batters faced23.2
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.2 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness10.0% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Trent Grisham (L)13.8%3.0
2. Ben Rice (L)12.0%3.0
3. Paul Goldschmidt (R)5.3%3.0
4. Cody Bellinger (L)11.1%3.0
5. Jazz Chisholm Jr. (L)11.3%3.0
6. Jasson Domínguez (L)8.1%2.2
7. Ryan McMahon (L)10.6%2.0
8. Austin Wells (L)10.2%2.0
9. José Caballero (R)7.3%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Walks Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
BOVBovada+100-140
DKDraftKings+108-143

We project 2.2 BB vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Braxton Ashcraft's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate11.0% BB / BF

vs LHB11.7%
vs RHB10.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.3%

How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.4 BF

Expected batters faced22.4
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.3 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness7.8% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. JJ Wetherholt (L)8.7%3.0
2. Iván Herrera (R)8.4%3.0
3. Alec Burleson (L)8.9%3.0
4. Jordan Walker (R)6.4%3.0
5. Lars Nootbaar (L)12.5%2.4
6. Masyn Winn (R)6.9%2.0
7. Nathan Church (L)5.3%2.0
8. Blaze Jordan (R)5.9%2.0
9. Jimmy Crooks (L)6.7%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Walks Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
BOVBovada-200+150
DKDraftKings-197+147

We project 2.3 BB vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

José Soriano's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate9.5% BB / BF

vs LHB9.9%
vs RHB9.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.6%

How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.7 BF

Expected batters faced22.7
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.6 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness10.1% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Christian Yelich (L)11.0%3.0
2. Jackson Chourio (R)5.6%3.0
3. Brice Turang (L)11.9%3.0
4. William Contreras (R)10.4%3.0
5. Garrett Mitchell (L)11.1%2.7
6. Andrew Vaughn (R)6.4%2.0
7. Jake Bauers (L)13.9%2.0
8. Cooper Pratt (R)12.6%2.0
9. Joey Ortiz (R)7.6%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Walks Line · O/U 2.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
BOVBovada+100-140
DKDraftKings+103-137

We project 2.6 BB vs the 2.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Freddy Peralta's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate10.3% BB / BF

vs LHB11.9%
vs RHB8.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)24.4%

How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.4 BF

Expected batters faced21.4
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.5 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness9.3% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Yandy Díaz (R)8.7%3.0
2. Jonathan Aranda (L)10.6%3.0
3. Junior Caminero (R)8.1%3.0
4. Cedric Mullins (L)9.9%2.4
5. Chandler Simpson (L)5.5%2.0
6. Victor Mesa Jr. (L)12.7%2.0
7. Richie Palacios (L)12.7%2.0
8. Nick Fortes (R)4.1%2.0
9. Taylor Walls (L)11.7%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Walks Line · O/U 1.5we lean Over

BookOverUnder
BOVBovada-190+145
DKDraftKings-192+143

We project 2.5 BB vs the 1.5 line — leaning Over. Display only — not betting advice.

Dylan Cease's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate10.2% BB / BF

vs LHB11.3%
vs RHB9.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.8%

How often he gives up walks to the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0
From recent starts0

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.7 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness9.2% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Kyle Stowers (L)9.9%3.0
2. Heriberto Hernández (R)9.4%3.0
3. Xavier Edwards (L)10.7%3.0
4. Liam Hicks (L)9.8%3.0
5. Griffin Conine (L)9.6%3.0
6. Jakob Marsee (L)11.5%2.0
7. Joe Mack (L)7.3%2.0
8. Graham Pauley (L)8.5%2.0
9. Javier Sanoja (R)5.7%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Ronel Blanco's full player page →

What the walks allowed board is

The Walks Allowed board projects how many free passes a starter issues. One statistical model scores every matchup on the slate the same way — a star and a backup judged on the matchup in front of them, not their name — and every number is graded against the real box score once the games go final.

How the model gets its number

It isn't a gut call or a name game. The projection is built from a few things:

  • His control.
  • The lineup's patience.
  • Count leverage.

Those pieces combine into one number, and the model re-tunes itself weekly against how its past calls actually landed.

Is there a betting edge here?

Walks are near-unpredictable at the margin and the market prices them efficiently. Transparency board.

How to use it

A read on a starter's command for the night; no edge to bet.

Everything here is a research signal from the model, graded in public — not betting advice, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Learn more: How the model works · The picks story · Today's plays