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Best MLB walks allowed matchups — Wednesday, August 5, 2026

Every starting pitcher on the Wednesday, August 5, 2026 slate — ranked by walk risk against today's lineup. Tap any card for the full breakdown.

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PROJ30 on a projected lineup — updates ~2h before first pitch
#Pitcher · MatchupScore

Pitcher walks Rate9.0% BB / BF

vs LHB7.7%
vs RHB10.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.3%

How often he walks the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload10.4 BF

Expected batters faced10.4
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection0.8 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.2% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Cole Young (L)7.7%2.0
2. Randy Arozarena (R)8.5%1.4
3. Dominic Canzone (L)6.7%1.0
4. Julio Rodríguez (R)8.5%1.0
5. Josh Naylor (L)8.5%1.0
6. Cal Raleigh (L)14.0%1.0
7. Victor Robles (R)4.5%1.0
8. Colt Emerson (L)7.0%1.0
9. Leo Rivas (L)8.5%1.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Drew Anderson's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate4.6% BB / BF

vs LHB5.0%
vs RHB4.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.5%

How often he walks the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload20.8 BF

Expected batters faced20.8
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.0 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.4% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Jake McCarthy (L)4.7%3.0
2. Cole Carrigg (L)14.8%3.0
3. Mickey Moniak (L)5.1%2.8
4. Hunter Goodman (R)6.1%2.0
5. TJ Rumfield (L)9.3%2.0
6. Kyle Karros (R)11.8%2.0
7. Willi Castro (L)10.2%2.0
8. Jordan Beck (R)8.5%2.0
9. Ezequiel Tovar (R)4.8%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Nick Martinez's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate5.4% BB / BF

vs LHB7.4%
vs RHB3.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)22.5%

How often he walks the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.6 BF

Expected batters faced23.6
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.0 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.4% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Gleyber Torres (R)11.4%3.0
2. Dillon Dingler (R)5.1%3.0
3. Kevin McGonigle (L)8.5%3.0
4. Eduardo Valencia (R)8.5%3.0
5. Spencer Torkelson (R)8.5%3.0
6. Hao-Yu Lee (R)8.5%2.6
7. Max Clark (L)8.5%2.0
8. Ben Malgeri (R)8.5%2.0
9. Zach McKinstry (L)8.5%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Bryan Woo's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate7.0% BB / BF

vs LHB4.2%
vs RHB8.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.4%

How often he walks the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload15.0 BF

Expected batters faced15.0
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.2 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness9.6% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Jake Mangum (R)5.0%2.0
2. Brandon Lowe (L)5.7%2.0
3. Bryan Reynolds (R)10.7%2.0
4. Esmerlyn Valdez (R)16.9%2.0
5. Spencer Horwitz (L)11.5%2.0
6. Nick Gonzales (R)6.3%2.0
7. Endy Rodríguez (R)13.4%1.0
8. Jacob Gonzalez (L)8.5%1.0
9. Jared Triolo (R)8.5%1.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Kyle Harrison's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate4.9% BB / BF

vs LHB6.6%
vs RHB4.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)16.4%

How often he walks the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.9 BF

Expected batters faced22.9
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.3 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.2% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Shohei Ohtani (L)8.3%3.0
2. Andy Pages (R)8.7%3.0
3. Freddie Freeman (L)8.0%3.0
4. Max Muncy (L)7.5%3.0
5. Mookie Betts (R)8.9%2.9
6. Kyle Tucker (L)12.5%2.0
7. Teoscar Hernández (R)7.5%2.0
8. Tommy Edman (R)5.8%2.0
9. Ben Rortvedt (L)6.3%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Shota Imanaga's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate5.7% BB / BF

vs LHB5.1%
vs RHB6.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.5%

How often he walks the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.7 BF

Expected batters faced21.7
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.3 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.6% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Corbin Carroll (L)10.7%3.0
2. Geraldo Perdomo (L)13.7%3.0
3. Max Kepler (L)10.0%3.0
4. Ketel Marte (L)9.2%2.7
5. Nolan Arenado (R)8.3%2.0
6. Adrian Del Castillo (L)7.5%2.0
7. Tim Tawa (R)8.4%2.0
8. James McCann (R)4.7%2.0
9. Ryan Waldschmidt (R)5.1%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Casey Mize's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate5.2% BB / BF

vs LHB6.1%
vs RHB4.7%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.3%

How often he walks the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.7 BF

Expected batters faced22.7
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.4 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness9.2% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Yandy Díaz (R)8.5%3.0
2. Jonathan Aranda (L)9.2%3.0
3. Junior Caminero (R)7.6%3.0
4. Liam Hicks (L)11.0%3.0
5. Victor Mesa Jr. (L)10.8%2.7
6. Chandler Simpson (L)5.8%2.0
7. Cedric Mullins (L)9.1%2.0
8. Richie Palacios (L)10.5%2.0
9. Taylor Walls (L)10.1%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Tomoyuki Sugano's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate8.3% BB / BF

vs LHB10.0%
vs RHB6.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)22.8%

How often he walks the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload20.9 BF

Expected batters faced20.9
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.4 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness7.5% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. JJ Wetherholt (L)11.0%3.0
2. Iván Herrera (R)6.9%3.0
3. José Fermín (R)8.5%2.9
4. Nelson Velázquez (R)8.5%2.0
5. Masyn Winn (R)7.6%2.0
6. Blaze Jordan (R)4.1%2.0
7. Nathan Church (L)5.7%2.0
8. Pedro Pagés (R)8.5%2.0
9. Bryan Torres (L)6.9%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Will Warren's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate6.7% BB / BF

vs LHB7.2%
vs RHB6.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.3%

How often he walks the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.0 BF

Expected batters faced24.0
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.6 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.2% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. A.J. Ewing (L)8.3%3.0
2. Francisco Lindor (L)9.0%3.0
3. Bo Bichette (R)6.3%3.0
4. Francisco Alvarez (R)10.0%3.0
5. Carson Benge (L)7.5%3.0
6. Luis Robert Jr. (R)8.5%3.0
7. Marcus Semien (R)8.5%2.0
8. Jared Young (L)7.4%2.0
9. Luis Torrens (R)8.5%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Tanner Bibee's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate6.1% BB / BF

vs LHB6.9%
vs RHB5.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.3%

How often he walks the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.9 BF

Expected batters faced24.9
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.7 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness9.7% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Chase Meidroth (R)8.6%3.0
2. Munetaka Murakami (L)17.1%3.0
3. Miguel Vargas (R)10.5%3.0
4. Randal Grichuk (R)8.5%3.0
5. Colson Montgomery (L)8.8%3.0
6. Joey Bart (R)8.5%3.0
7. Brenton Doyle (R)7.1%2.9
8. Braden Montgomery (L)9.7%2.0
9. Luisangel Acuña (R)8.5%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Sonny Gray's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate9.2% BB / BF

vs LHB11.1%
vs RHB7.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)18.1%

How often he walks the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.6 BF

Expected batters faced22.6
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.7 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness7.5% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Nathan Lukes (L)8.2%3.0
2. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R)8.4%3.0
3. Kazuma Okamoto (R)7.9%3.0
4. George Springer (R)10.3%3.0
5. Alejandro Kirk (R)8.8%2.6
6. Jesús Sánchez (L)8.2%2.0
7. Ernie Clement (R)4.3%2.0
8. Andrés Giménez (L)5.0%2.0
9. Myles Straw (R)6.0%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Hunter Brown's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate6.8% BB / BF

vs LHB6.9%
vs RHB6.9%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.6%

How often he walks the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.4 BF

Expected batters faced22.4
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.7 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness9.1% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Pete Crow-Armstrong (L)9.0%3.0
2. Seiya Suzuki (R)14.1%3.0
3. Alex Bregman (R)12.8%3.0
4. Michael Busch (L)9.4%3.0
5. Nico Hoerner (R)4.4%2.4
6. Tyrone Taylor (R)8.5%2.0
7. Dansby Swanson (R)6.2%2.0
8. Pedro Ramírez (R)8.5%2.0
9. Miguel Amaya (R)8.8%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Eric Lauer's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate7.4% BB / BF

vs LHB8.6%
vs RHB6.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)15.7%

How often he walks the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.2 BF

Expected batters faced22.2
From recent starts7

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.7 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.4% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Carter Jensen (L)11.0%3.0
2. Bobby Witt Jr. (R)9.3%3.0
3. Jac Caglianone (L)8.4%3.0
4. Salvador Perez (R)5.3%3.0
5. Michael Massey (L)4.7%2.2
6. Nick Loftin (R)7.2%2.0
7. Isaac Collins (L)12.9%2.0
8. John Rave (L)8.5%2.0
9. Kyle Isbel (L)8.5%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Dean Kremer's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate8.5% BB / BF

vs LHB10.3%
vs RHB6.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)19.9%

How often he walks the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.7 BF

Expected batters faced23.7
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.7 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness7.3% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Nick Sogard (L)8.5%3.0
2. Ceddanne Rafaela (R)3.9%3.0
3. Wilyer Abreu (L)8.5%3.0
4. Willson Contreras (R)8.8%3.0
5. Masataka Yoshida (L)8.5%3.0
6. Caleb Durbin (R)7.7%2.7
7. Jarren Duran (L)7.4%2.0
8. Andruw Monasterio (R)5.4%2.0
9. Connor Wong (R)6.9%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Sean Burke's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate8.9% BB / BF

vs LHB7.3%
vs RHB11.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)8.4%

How often he walks the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.6 BF

Expected batters faced21.6
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.8 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness7.7% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Dylan Crews (R)7.8%3.0
2. Andrés Chaparro (R)3.9%3.0
3. Brady House (R)4.3%3.0
4. CJ Abrams (L)10.0%2.6
5. Harry Ford (R)10.5%2.0
6. Jacob Young (R)8.5%2.0
7. Daylen Lile (L)6.7%2.0
8. Nasim Nuñez (L)8.6%2.0
9. Jorbit Vivas (L)9.4%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Andrew Painter's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate8.5% BB / BF

vs LHB8.5%
vs RHB8.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%

How often he walks the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0
From recent starts0

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.8 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness7.8% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Osleivis Basabe (R)7.4%3.0
2. Jung Hoo Lee (L)5.5%3.0
3. Willy Adames (R)9.7%3.0
4. Rafael Devers (L)8.2%3.0
5. Daniel Susac (R)7.0%3.0
6. Buddy Kennedy (R)11.9%2.0
7. Eddys Leonard (R)8.5%2.0
8. Grant McCray (L)6.9%2.0
9. Christian Koss (R)5.0%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Cody Bradford's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate6.2% BB / BF

vs LHB7.1%
vs RHB6.2%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.1%

How often he walks the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.2 BF

Expected batters faced24.2
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.8 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness9.7% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Zach Neto (R)8.5%3.0
2. Mike Trout (R)15.0%3.0
3. Nolan Schanuel (L)9.6%3.0
4. Vaughn Grissom (R)11.7%3.0
5. Denzer Guzman (R)8.9%3.0
6. Moisés Ballesteros (L)8.5%3.0
7. Travis d'Arnaud (R)8.5%2.2
8. Jose Siri (R)8.5%2.0
9. Wade Meckler (L)8.5%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Trevor Rogers's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate9.9% BB / BF

vs LHB9.2%
vs RHB10.8%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)17.3%

How often he walks the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload20.8 BF

Expected batters faced20.8
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.8 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness7.5% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Steven Kwan (L)8.5%3.0
2. Jo Adell (R)5.6%3.0
3. Chase DeLauter (L)10.9%2.8
4. Rhys Hoskins (R)8.5%2.0
5. Angel Martínez (L)3.7%2.0
6. Travis Bazzana (L)8.5%2.0
7. Gabriel Arias (R)8.5%2.0
8. Austin Hedges (R)6.9%2.0
9. Brayan Rocchio (L)6.3%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Christian Scott's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate8.6% BB / BF

vs LHB8.8%
vs RHB8.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.9%

How often he walks the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload20.9 BF

Expected batters faced20.9
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.9 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.3% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Kyle Schwarber (L)15.3%3.0
2. Trea Turner (R)5.9%3.0
3. Bryce Harper (L)12.8%2.9
4. Luis Arraez (L)5.2%2.0
5. Alec Bohm (R)5.8%2.0
6. J.T. Realmuto (R)7.4%2.0
7. Brandon Marsh (L)7.3%2.0
8. Bryson Stott (L)10.1%2.0
9. Justin Crawford (L)5.0%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Jake Irvin's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate8.5% BB / BF

vs LHB8.5%
vs RHB8.5%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.0%

How often he walks the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.0 BF

Expected batters faced21.0
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.9 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.5% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Jeremy Peña (R)4.9%3.0
2. Yordan Alvarez (L)15.7%3.0
3. Isaac Paredes (R)11.3%3.0
4. Daulton Varsho (L)8.1%2.0
5. Christian Walker (R)7.4%2.0
6. Jose Altuve (R)7.6%2.0
7. Taylor Trammell (L)11.4%2.0
8. Yainer Diaz (R)4.0%2.0
9. Cam Smith (R)6.6%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Jameson Taillon's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate8.2% BB / BF

vs LHB8.3%
vs RHB8.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)22.9%

How often he walks the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.1 BF

Expected batters faced22.1
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.9 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.7% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Dylan Beavers (L)8.5%3.0
2. Pete Alonso (R)8.5%3.0
3. Gunnar Henderson (L)7.9%3.0
4. Christian Encarnacion-Strand (R)7.7%3.0
5. Jackson Holliday (L)8.5%2.1
6. Coby Mayo (R)9.2%2.0
7. Christian Franklin (R)8.5%2.0
8. Colton Cowser (L)8.2%2.0
9. Carlos Narváez (R)11.3%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Reid Detmers's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate7.1% BB / BF

vs LHB7.9%
vs RHB6.0%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)23.5%

How often he walks the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.2 BF

Expected batters faced23.2
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.9 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness9.5% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Brice Turang (L)11.5%3.0
2. Jackson Chourio (R)5.9%3.0
3. Garrett Mitchell (L)12.1%3.0
4. William Contreras (R)9.9%3.0
5. Christian Yelich (L)10.4%3.0
6. Andrew Vaughn (R)6.2%2.2
7. Luis Lara (L)8.5%2.0
8. Cooper Pratt (R)12.0%2.0
9. David Hamilton (L)9.2%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Paul Skenes's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate8.0% BB / BF

vs LHB6.7%
vs RHB8.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.1%

How often he walks the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.8 BF

Expected batters faced24.8
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection1.9 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.3% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Trevor Larnach (L)8.5%3.0
2. Ryan Jeffers (R)8.5%3.0
3. Josh Bell (R)8.5%3.0
4. Kody Clemens (L)8.5%3.0
5. Royce Lewis (R)8.5%3.0
6. Brooks Lee (R)5.9%3.0
7. Alan Roden (L)8.4%2.8
8. Luke Keaschall (R)9.5%2.0
9. Ryan Kreidler (R)8.5%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Noah Cameron's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate8.4% BB / BF

vs LHB9.9%
vs RHB6.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)12.5%

How often he walks the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload23.0 BF

Expected batters faced23.0
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.0 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.5% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Kyle Stowers (L)10.7%3.0
2. Griffin Conine (L)9.6%3.0
3. Otto Lopez (R)7.3%3.0
4. Owen Caissie (L)7.2%3.0
5. Heriberto Hernández (R)8.5%3.0
6. Jakob Marsee (L)10.6%2.0
7. Leo Jiménez (R)8.2%2.0
8. Joe Mack (L)5.7%2.0
9. Javier Sanoja (R)8.5%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Bryce Elder's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate8.8% BB / BF

vs LHB9.0%
vs RHB8.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.6%

How often he walks the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload21.9 BF

Expected batters faced21.9
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.0 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.6% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Drake Baldwin (L)12.0%3.0
2. Ronald Acuña Jr. (R)8.5%3.0
3. Matt Olson (L)8.5%3.0
4. Michael Harris II (L)8.5%2.9
5. Ozzie Albies (L)8.5%2.0
6. Mike Yastrzemski (L)8.5%2.0
7. Dominic Smith (L)8.5%2.0
8. Austin Riley (R)6.2%2.0
9. Jim Jarvis (L)8.5%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Eury Pérez's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate9.3% BB / BF

vs LHB12.4%
vs RHB5.1%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)13.3%

How often he walks the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload19.4 BF

Expected batters faced19.4
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.0 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.6% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Lawrence Butler (L)10.4%3.0
2. Jacob Wilson (R)4.9%2.4
3. Tyler Soderstrom (L)9.9%2.0
4. Jonah Heim (L)8.5%2.0
5. Jeff McNeil (L)8.6%2.0
6. Tommy White (R)8.5%2.0
7. Donovan Walton (L)10.6%2.0
8. Carlos Cortes (L)8.2%2.0
9. Henry Bolte (R)7.6%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Rhett Lowder's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate8.1% BB / BF

vs LHB8.0%
vs RHB8.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)9.0%

How often he walks the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload24.5 BF

Expected batters faced24.5
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.3 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness9.9% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Trent Grisham (L)12.6%3.0
2. Ben Rice (L)10.9%3.0
3. Luis García Jr. (L)8.5%3.0
4. Heliot Ramos (R)6.2%3.0
5. Spencer Jones (L)11.3%3.0
6. Jazz Chisholm Jr. (L)10.8%3.0
7. Ryan McMahon (L)9.0%2.5
8. George Lombard Jr. (R)8.5%2.0
9. Austin Wells (L)11.0%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Andre Pallante's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate11.0% BB / BF

vs LHB9.3%
vs RHB11.4%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)11.9%

How often he walks the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload18.3 BF

Expected batters faced18.3
From recent starts8

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.4 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness10.2% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Elly De La Cruz (R)8.5%2.3
2. Sal Stewart (R)11.9%2.0
3. JJ Bleday (L)9.1%2.0
4. Tyler Stephenson (R)18.8%2.0
5. Eugenio Suárez (R)8.5%2.0
6. Dane Myers (R)9.3%2.0
7. Héctor Rodríguez (L)8.5%2.0
8. Ke'Bryan Hayes (R)8.5%2.0
9. Matt McLain (R)8.5%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Jacob Lopez's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate12.4% BB / BF

vs LHB8.8%
vs RHB13.3%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)4.5%

How often he walks the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload22.3 BF

Expected batters faced22.3
From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection2.5 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness8.7% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Joc Pederson (L)13.9%3.0
2. Wyatt Langford (R)12.7%3.0
3. Corey Seager (L)8.2%3.0
4. Brandon Nimmo (L)6.6%3.0
5. Ezequiel Duran (R)6.8%2.3
6. Evan Carter (L)10.1%2.0
7. Elias Díaz (R)6.1%2.0
8. Nicky Lopez (L)5.5%2.0
9. Justin Foscue (R)8.5%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Carson Whisenhunt's full player page →

Pitcher walks Rate13.9% BB / BF

vs LHB5.2%
vs RHB17.6%
K-BB% (command-adj. skill)-2.6%

How often he walks the batters he faces, by hand.

Workload20.6 BF

Expected batters faced20.6
From recent starts4

How deep he tends to go — the count multiplier.

Projection3.3 BB

Expected walks — built from how his rate stacks up against each hitter in the lineup, across his projected plate appearances.

Opposing Lineup · walk-proneness9.7% avg

BatterRateExp PA
1. Fernando Tatis Jr. (R)15.2%3.0
2. Jake Cronenworth (L)10.0%3.0
3. Manny Machado (R)10.2%2.6
4. Ty France (R)5.5%2.0
5. Jackson Merrill (L)5.2%2.0
6. Luis Rengifo (R)7.5%2.0
7. Luis Campusano (R)14.3%2.0
8. Xander Bogaerts (R)10.1%2.0
9. Sung-Mun Song (L)9.3%2.0

Each hitter's walks rate vs this pitcher's hand, and the plate appearances he's projected to see.

Mitch Bratt's full player page →

What the walks allowed board is

The Walks Allowed board projects how many free passes a starter issues. One statistical model scores every matchup on the slate the same way — a star and a backup judged on the matchup in front of them, not their name — and every number is graded against the real box score once the games go final.

How the model gets its number

It isn't a gut call or a name game. The projection is built from a few things:

  • His control.
  • The lineup's patience.
  • Count leverage.

Those pieces combine into one number, and the model re-tunes itself weekly against how its past calls actually landed.

Is there a betting edge here?

Walks are near-unpredictable at the margin and the market prices them efficiently. Transparency board.

How to use it

A read on a starter's command for the night; no edge to bet.

Everything here is a research signal from the model, graded in public — not betting advice, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Learn more: How the model works · The picks story · Today's plays