MatchWiz

Blake Dunn

Blake Dunn — hitting .279 in our graded log with 2 home runs. The model's read on his matchups, and where it's been right.

Last scored board
82.4
Doubles · @ PIT · 2026-06-27
Our calls on him · hits
63%
1+ hit in 5/8 top-20 calls
Games graded
35
this season, box-score final
Blake Dunn
CFBats RThrows RCincinnati Reds
Doubles82.4/100proj 0.2Singles82.4/100proj 0.7Triples82.4/100proj 0Hits61.7/100proj 1.1Walks45.2/100proj 0.4H+R+RBI44.7/100proj 1.9Total Bases42.8/100proj 1.6Fantasy Points41.5/100proj 6.8Stolen Bases40.7/100proj 0.1Runs38.3/100proj 0.5RBIs20.5/100proj 0.4Home Runs11.8/100proj 0.1

Not on the current slate

Blake hasn't been scored in 57 days — his last matchup was against Pittsburgh Pirates on Saturday, June 27, 2026. A gap that long usually means an injury, a minor-league option, or a roster move rather than a rest day. Everything below is his most recent real production, not a projection.

Recent form

Blake is 11-for-39 (.282) over his last 10 games, in line with his .279 season line. No hot streak to fade, no slump to buy — the matchup is doing the work in his score, which is the normal case. The full game log is below.

He's a right-handed bat

Blake hits from the right side, so the platoon math runs the other way from a lefty's. Right-handed bats face right-handed pitching most of the time, meaning his baseline is built against the harder side and a left-handed starter is the upgrade. That's why a righty's score can jump on a day nothing else about the matchup changed. The model weighs his rates against the specific handedness he's drawing rather than a blended season number, which is where a lot of the day-to-day movement in his score comes from.

Floor and ceiling

Blake has recorded at least one hit in 24 of 33 games he's batted in — 73% — with 12 multi-hit games among them. That's about average — most regulars land somewhere near it.

Home and away

Blake is hitting .174 at home (12-for-69) and .388 on the road (26-for-67) across the season. That's a real-looking split, and it's the kind of thing that's usually part park and part noise. The model doesn't apply a blanket home-road adjustment — it prices the actual ballpark he's standing in, which is the part that carries signal.

His best game in the log

Blake's biggest night was Wednesday, June 24, 2026 against MIL — 2-for-4 with 1 driven in. That's the ceiling, not the expectation. The projection you'll see on a board is closer to his typical game than his best one, which is the whole point of projecting rather than remembering.

How our calls on Blake have graded

In the 8 games where we ranked Blake a top-20 hitter matchup, he recorded a hit 5 times — 63%. That's a thin sample and we'd treat it as such. Every one of those calls was graded against the real box score, misses included.

Where he lands across our boards

Blake was scored on 12 boards in that matchup, and the spread is the interesting part: doubles graded 82.4/100 while home runs came in at 11.8/100. Same player, same game, same opposing arm — different questions. A spread that wide usually means the matchup favours one kind of outcome over another, and it's the clearest argument for reading the board that matches what you actually care about.

How the model reads him

Blake gets scored the same way a backup infielder does — same inputs, same scale, no thumb on it. What he's done against arms of this handedness, what this particular pitcher and bullpen give up, his likely plate appearances, the ballpark, the conditions, his recent form. The weighting behind those is ours and gets re-tuned weekly against what actually happened. The output is public and graded, which is the only claim worth making.

What we'd flag

Read this page knowing what it can't do. It can't show you a line no book posted — coverage peaks around 87% for confirmed starters. It can't see a lineup change that happens after the projection publishes. And it can't tell you anything useful from one game, because the model is only measurable across a season-sized sample.

Recent game log

DateOppABHHRRRBI
Friday, June 26@ PIT21001
Wednesday, June 24vs MIL42001
Tuesday, June 23vs MIL40000
Monday, June 22vs MIL40010
Sunday, June 21@ NYY42000
Saturday, June 20@ NYY52030
Friday, June 19@ NYY32000
Tuesday, June 16vs NYM31010
Monday, June 15vs NYM51010
Sunday, June 14vs AZ50000
Friday, June 12vs AZ30000
Tuesday, June 9@ SD51010

Blake Dunn — FAQ

Is Blake Dunn playing today?

Blake Dunn isn't in a confirmed lineup on the current slate, and was last scored on Saturday, June 27, 2026. This page updates with fresh projections as soon as he's back in one.

How have MatchWiz's calls on Blake Dunn graded?

In the 8 games where our model ranked Blake a top-20 hitter matchup, he got at least one hit 5 times — 63%. Every call is graded against the real result at the line the market offered, wins and losses both.

How has Blake Dunn been hitting lately?

Blake is 11-for-39 (.282) over his last 10 games, against .279 on the season across 136 at-bats in our log, with 2 home runs. The full game-by-game log is on this page.

Which MatchWiz boards does Blake Dunn appear on?

Blake was scored on 12 boards in his last matchup — doubles, singles, triples, hits, walks. Each one asks a different question about the same game, so his score can be strong on one and weak on another.

Are Blake Dunn's projections betting advice?

No. Every number on this page is a research signal from a statistical model, published alongside its graded record so you can judge it yourself. The model is re-tuned weekly and can be wrong on any given day. Nothing here is a guaranteed outcome. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).

Projections are a research signal from our model, graded against real box-score results — not betting advice. 21+, please play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).