Best MLB Triples Matchups — Saturday, June 27, 2026
Top triples spot: Luis Arraez
Luis Arraez (SF) tops the board at 100, facing RHP Bryce Elder. The lefty is running the bases at — 3B/PA against righties this year, a solid bat that turns into a triple in about 0% of his trips. And Bryce Elder has been thin against righties lately. The bullpen behind him is roughly average to that side. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.7 trips, so the volume's there. He's owned Bryce Elder too — .333 across 15 career trips. It all sets up in a neutral park, weather helping.
The rest of the top of the board
- Michael Harris II (ATL) (100) vs RHP Logan Webb: a solid bat at .004 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Zach Neto (LAA) (91) vs RHP Jack Perkins: a solid bat at .004 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Henry Bolte (ATH) (91) vs LHP Reid Detmers: a solid bat at .004 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) (91) vs RHP Yoshinobu Yamamoto: a solid bat at .004 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Shohei Ohtani (LAD) (91) vs LHP Kyle Hart: a solid bat at .004 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Casey Schmitt (SF) (90) vs RHP Bryce Elder: a solid bat at .004 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Ozzie Albies (ATL) (90) vs RHP Logan Webb: a solid bat at .004 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
How it played out
5 of the top 10 triples matchups landed at least one triple. Top play Luis Arraez finished with 1 triple. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.
How to read these triples matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's triples per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.