Last scored matchup
Jarred isn't on today's slate. He was last scored 3 days ago, at home against Washington Nationals on Thursday, August 20, 2026, where he landed on hits (48.9/100), singles (40.6/100), h+r+rbi (33.5/100). This page refreshes with new projections as soon as he's back in a lineup.
Small sample, handle with care
Jarred has just 58 at-bats in our graded season log — not enough to say much. He's hitting .190 across them, but a number built on this little data moves wildly with one good week. His confidence rating on any board reflects that: the model will still score his matchup, it's just honest that it's working with thin information. Treat the projection as a starting point, not a read.
He's a left-handed bat
Jarred hits from the left side, and that's the first thing the model looks at. Left-handed hitters see right-handed pitching most nights, which is the favourable side — so a lefty bat's baseline is set against righties, and drawing a left-handed starter is a genuine downgrade rather than a rounding error. When you see his score fall on a day he's still in the lineup, an opposing lefty is usually why. Handedness also shapes the park read: pull-side geometry matters more for a left-handed swing than the raw park factor suggests.
Floor and ceiling
Jarred has recorded at least one hit in 8 of 23 games he's batted in — 35% — with 2 multi-hit games among them. That's a boom-or-bust profile. He'll carry a game outright and then go quiet for three, so his hits-board score tends to sit below hitters with worse power and better contact.
No graded record on him yet
We haven't ranked Jarred a top-20 hitter matchup often enough this season to have a record worth publishing — 1 time so far. He's appeared in 28 graded games, so the log below is real; there just isn't a track record on our calls to show. It'll build here if the matchups start landing his way.
Where he lands across our boards
Jarred was scored on 12 boards in that matchup, and the spread is the interesting part: hits graded 48.9/100 while stolen bases came in at 11/100. Same player, same game, same opposing arm — different questions. A spread that wide usually means the matchup favours one kind of outcome over another, and it's the clearest argument for reading the board that matches what you actually care about.
How the model reads him
Take the name off Jarred and the model still produces the same number, because it's scoring the matchup rather than the player. His splits against this handedness, what the opposing starter and bullpen actually allow, how many plate appearances he's likely to get, the park, the weather, how he's swinging lately. All of it lands on a 0–100 scale against everyone else playing today. We don't publish how it's weighted. We publish every result it produces.
What we'd flag
Three caveats worth carrying. Not every player gets a posted line — book coverage runs to about 87% for confirmed starters, so a blank line is the market's silence, not ours. Lineup changes land late enough to strand a projection published hours earlier. And judging any of this on a single night is meaningless; the model is tuned on hundreds of settled outcomes. For Jarred specifically, his sample is small (58 at-bats logged), and we don't have a meaningful graded record on him yet.