Best MLB Singles Matchups — Saturday, October 17, 2026
Top singles spot: Chandler Simpson
Chandler Simpson (TB) tops the board at 100, facing RHP Shawn Armstrong. The lefty is lining singles at .259 1B/PA against righties this year, an elite bat that turns into a single in about 24% of his trips. And Shawn Armstrong has been thin against righties lately. The bullpen behind him is roughly average to that side. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.5 trips, so the volume's there. He's just .000 in 1 career PA against Shawn Armstrong, but that's a tiny sample and the matchup says regression. It all sets up in a neutral park.
The rest of the top of the board
- Steven Kwan (CLE) (81) vs RHP Nick Martinez: an elite bat at .201 into an arm getting picked apart by the same side (.222).
- Yandy Díaz (TB) (81) vs RHP Shawn Armstrong: an elite bat at .200 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Jonathan Aranda (TB) (39) vs RHP Shawn Armstrong: a solid bat at .152 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Chase DeLauter (CLE) (34) vs RHP Nick Martinez: a solid bat at .147 into an arm getting picked apart by the same side (.222).
- Liam Hicks (TB) (33) vs RHP Shawn Armstrong: a strong bat at .160 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Junior Caminero (TB) (28) vs RHP Shawn Armstrong: a solid bat at .141 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- José Ramírez (CLE) (24) vs RHP Nick Martinez: a league-average bat at .127 into an arm getting picked apart by the same side (.222).
Platoon edges to target
- Chandler Simpson (TB) — lefty bat vs RHP, .259 against righties this year.
- Steven Kwan (CLE) — lefty bat vs RHP, .211 against righties this year.
- Jonathan Aranda (TB) — lefty bat vs RHP, .163 against righties this year.
- Chase DeLauter (CLE) — lefty bat vs RHP, .147 against righties this year.
- Liam Hicks (TB) — lefty bat vs RHP, .190 against righties this year.
Hot bats and bounce-back spots
Swinging hot bats: Jonny DeLuca (TB) and Petey Halpin (CLE).
How it played out
4 of the top 10 singles matchups landed at least one single. Top play Chandler Simpson finished with 0 singles. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.
How to read these singles matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's singles per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.