Best MLB Total Bases Matchups — Thursday, June 11, 2026
Top total bases spot: Cole Young
Cole Young (SEA) tops the board at 100, facing RHP Kyle Bradish. The lefty is racking up bases at — TB/PA against righties this year, a solid bat that turns into a total base in about 37% of his trips. And Kyle Bradish has been thin against righties lately. The bullpen behind him is roughly average to that side. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.7 trips, so the volume's there. No real history against Kyle Bradish. It all sets up in a neutral park, weather helping.
The rest of the top of the board
- Carson Benge (NYM) (100) vs RHP Hunter Dobbins: a solid bat at .370 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- JJ Wetherholt (STL) (100) vs RHP Christian Scott: a solid bat at .370 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Nick Gonzales (PIT) (92) vs LHP Justin Wrobleski: a solid bat at .370 into an arm with little track record against the same side, due to bounce back.
- Taylor Ward (BAL) (92) vs RHP Bryan Woo: a solid bat at .370 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
- Edouard Julien (COL) (92) vs RHP Edward Cabrera: a solid bat at .370 into an arm with little track record against the same side, hitter's park.
- Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) (92) vs RHP Ryan Feltner: a solid bat at .370 into an arm with little track record against the same side, hitter's park.
- Gunnar Henderson (BAL) (91) vs RHP Bryan Woo: a solid bat at .370 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
Arms giving up extra bases today
- RHP Kyle Bradish has been giving up bases to righties — .360 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Cole Young (SEA), Julio Rodríguez (SEA), and Josh Naylor (SEA).
- RHP Hunter Dobbins has been giving up bases to righties — .360 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Carson Benge (NYM), Bo Bichette (NYM), and Juan Soto (NYM).
- RHP Christian Scott has been giving up bases to righties — .360 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: JJ Wetherholt (STL), Iván Herrera (STL), and Alec Burleson (STL).
- LHP Justin Wrobleski has been giving up bases to lefties — .360 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Nick Gonzales (PIT), Brandon Lowe (PIT), and Bryan Reynolds (PIT).
Best parks for total bases today
Coors Field is playing as a real hitter's park today (+6% extra-base park). Top bat there: Edouard Julien (COL) at 92.
How it played out
8 of the top 10 total bases matchups landed at least one total base. Top play Cole Young finished with 6 total bases. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.
How to read these total bases matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's total bases per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.