Best MLB Total Bases Matchups — Saturday, June 13, 2026
Top total bases spot: Shea Langeliers
Shea Langeliers (ATH) tops the board at 100, facing LHP Kyle Freeland. The righty is racking up bases at .671 TB/PA against lefties this year — and 1.167 over the last two weeks, an elite bat that turns into a total base in about 57% of his trips. And Kyle Freeland has been getting squared up by lefties lately — .500 total bases per batter faced. The bullpen behind him is roughly average to that side. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.5 trips, so the volume's there. He's owned Kyle Freeland too — 1.000 across 2 career trips. It all sets up in a neutral park, weather helping.
The rest of the top of the board
- Jonah Heim (ATH) (92) vs LHP Kyle Freeland: an excellent bat at .548 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.500).
- Hunter Goodman (COL) (84) vs RHP Joey Estes: an excellent bat at .488 into an arm with little track record against the same side, due to bounce back.
- Ben Rice (NYY) (78) vs RHP Kevin Gausman: a strong bat at .480 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.643).
- Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) (78) vs RHP Trevor McDonald: a strong bat at .477 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.448).
- Nick Kurtz (ATH) (76) vs LHP Kyle Freeland: a strong bat at .453 into an arm tough on the same side (.125), hot bat.
- JJ Bleday (CIN) (76) vs RHP Michael Soroka: a strong bat at .464 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.486).
- Colby Thomas (ATH) (71) vs LHP Kyle Freeland: a solid bat at .385 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.500).
Arms giving up extra bases today
- RHP Joey Estes has been getting squared up by righties — .493 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Hunter Goodman (COL), TJ Rumfield (COL), and Willi Castro (COL).
- LHP Joey Cantillo has been getting squared up by lefties — .466 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Gleyber Torres (DET), Matt Vierling (DET), and Dillon Dingler (DET).
- LHP Kyle Freeland has been getting squared up by lefties — .459 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Shea Langeliers (ATH), Jonah Heim (ATH), and Nick Kurtz (ATH).
- RHP Mike Burrows has been getting squared up by righties — .446 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Vinnie Pasquantino (KC), Carter Jensen (KC), and Bobby Witt Jr. (KC).
Platoon edges to target
- Shea Langeliers (ATH) — righty bat vs LHP, .671 against lefties this year.
- Jonah Heim (ATH) — righty bat vs LHP, .674 against lefties this year.
- Ben Rice (NYY) — lefty bat vs RHP, .546 against righties this year.
- Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) — lefty bat vs RHP, .402 against righties this year.
- JJ Bleday (CIN) — lefty bat vs RHP, .540 against righties this year.
How it played out
5 of the top 10 total bases matchups landed at least one total base. Top play Shea Langeliers finished with 2 total bases. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.
How to read these total bases matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's total bases per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.