Best MLB Total Bases Matchups — Sunday, June 14, 2026
Top total bases spot: Nick Kurtz
Nick Kurtz (ATH) tops the board at 100, facing RHP Tomoyuki Sugano. The lefty is racking up bases at .429 TB/PA against righties this year — and .600 over the last two weeks, a strong bat that turns into a total base in about 46% of his trips. And Tomoyuki Sugano has been getting squared up by righties lately — .611 total bases per batter faced. The bullpen behind him hasn't been any better to that side, so there's no relief late. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.5 trips, so the volume's there. He's owned Tomoyuki Sugano too — .333 across 3 career trips. It all sets up in a neutral park, weather helping.
The rest of the top of the board
- Alec Burleson (STL) (95) vs RHP Taj Bradley: an excellent bat at .528 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.500), hot bat.
- Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) (92) vs LHP Patrick Corbin: an excellent bat at .496 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.556), hot bat.
- Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) (90) vs RHP Logan Webb: an excellent bat at .518 into an arm tough on the same side (.158).
- Byron Buxton (MIN) (86) vs RHP Michael McGreevy: an excellent bat at .501 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.458).
- Yordan Alvarez (HOU) (83) vs RHP Stephen Kolek: an excellent bat at .502 into an arm tough on the same side (.300).
- Kody Clemens (MIN) (83) vs RHP Michael McGreevy: an excellent bat at .503 into an arm tough on the same side (.273).
- Dillon Dingler (DET) (81) vs RHP Gavin Williams: an excellent bat at .512 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.750).
Arms giving up extra bases today
- LHP Jeffrey Springs has been getting squared up by lefties — .457 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Tyler Freeman (COL), Willi Castro (COL), and Hunter Goodman (COL).
- RHP Tomoyuki Sugano has been getting squared up by righties — .453 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Nick Kurtz (ATH), Lawrence Butler (ATH), and Tyler Soderstrom (ATH).
- RHP Casey Legumina has been getting squared up by righties — .431 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Zach Neto (LAA), Mike Trout (LAA), and Wade Meckler (LAA).
- RHP Nathan Eovaldi has been getting squared up by righties — .428 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Wilyer Abreu (BOS), Ceddanne Rafaela (BOS), and Willson Contreras (BOS).
Platoon edges to target
- Nick Kurtz (ATH) — lefty bat vs RHP, .429 against righties this year.
- Alec Burleson (STL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .522 against righties this year.
- Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) — righty bat vs LHP, .643 against lefties this year.
- Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) — lefty bat vs RHP, .431 against righties this year.
- Yordan Alvarez (HOU) — lefty bat vs RHP, .529 against righties this year.
How it played out
9 of the top 10 total bases matchups landed at least one total base. Top play Nick Kurtz finished with 2 total bases. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.
How to read these total bases matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's total bases per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.