Who has the best total bases matchup today (Saturday, June 20, 2026)?

Brandon Lowe (PIT) — top of the board at 100, facing RHP Tomoyuki Sugano. A strong bat into a beatable arm is what pushes it to No. 1.

What are the best MLB total bases matchups today (Saturday, June 20, 2026)?

The top total bases matchups on Saturday, June 20, 2026: Brandon Lowe (100), Byron Buxton (100), Kody Clemens (95), Nick Kurtz (87), Spencer Horwitz (86). The full board ranks every hitter in every game by total bases upside.

Did the top total bases matchup get a total base on Saturday, June 20, 2026?

Yes — Brandon Lowe got 3 total bases.

Which hitters have a platoon edge today?

Brandon Lowe (PIT) — lefty bat vs RHP, .505 against righties this year. Kody Clemens (MIN) — lefty bat vs RHP, .460 against righties this year. Nick Kurtz (ATH) — lefty bat vs RHP, .457 against righties this year. Spencer Horwitz (PIT) — lefty bat vs RHP, .399 against righties this year. Bryan Reynolds (PIT) — lefty bat vs RHP, .341 against righties this year.

Which pitchers are most vulnerable today?

RHP Trevor McDonald has been getting squared up by righties — .453 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Kyle Stowers (MIA), Jakob Marsee (MIA), and Xavier Edwards (MIA). LHP Joey Cantillo has been getting squared up by lefties — .430 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Jeremy Peña (HOU), Yordan Alvarez (HOU), and Christian Walker (HOU). LHP Patrick Corbin has been getting squared up by lefties — .427 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Seiya Suzuki (CHC), Nico Hoerner (CHC), and Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC). RHP Taj Bradley has been getting squared up by righties — .424 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Corbin Carroll (AZ), Ketel Marte (AZ), and Geraldo Perdomo (AZ).

How is the total bases matchup score calculated?

It's his bases-per-trip rate against that hand, recent form weighted heaviest, over a two-year baseline. Because this counts extra-base damage, slug matters as much as contact. Then the bullpen, order spot, and the yard. 0–100 across the slate.

What does TB/PA mean?

Total bases is 1 for a single, 2 for a double, 3 for a triple, 4 for a homer — so it rewards power, not just contact. Per plate appearance, around .37 is league average; .50+ is big-time slug. It's the cleanest power matchup we run: both the bat's slug and the arm's slug-against are real.

What does the score actually mean?

Higher is better. Total bases rewards the guys who do damage rather than just make contact, so this board leans slugger where the hits board leans average. It ranks today's spots, not the odds of any particular number.

What's the confidence meter?

It's how much data is behind the call — sample size on both the hitter and the pitcher, plus whether the lineup's official. A high score with low confidence is a thinner read than the same score backed by a deep track record. It's not a probability of a total base.

What is a platoon split (handedness split)?

Total bases blends contact and power, so the platoon gap cuts twice: the opposite hand means both more balls in play and more of them driven. A hitter with a big split can swing a full base per game between the two matchups.

What are park factors?

Every extra foot of outfield is a base. Gaps and altitude turn singles into doubles and doubles into triples, while a small park trades the same batted ball for a home run. Above 1.00 bumps the score, below 1.00 trims it.

What do "2W", "SZN" and "2Y" mean?

The timeframes behind each rate: the last two weeks (recent form), the current season, and a trailing two years (a stable baseline). Recent form counts most, and small samples get pulled toward league average so a hot week doesn't fool the model.

What do "≈ est", "Due" and "Not starting" mean?

"≈ est" is a hitter we don't have splits for yet — a rookie or unmatched ID — shown at a league-baseline estimate instead of dropped. "Due" means he hasn't recorded a total base in a while and profiles for regression. "Not starting" means he was projected but didn't make the official lineup, so he slides to the bottom where you can still look him up.

Can I use this for total bases props or DFS?

That's what it's built for — pre-slate research. The board surfaces which hitters have the best conditions today, and where one exists, we show the book's "1+ total base" line so you can shop the price. We're not a sportsbook and we don't post picks — we show the matchup data, the line, and the result. (Best-price and all-book odds are a Pro feature.)

How accurate is the model?

We grade every board against the box score. Total bases is one of the steadier props we publish — more ways to clear the line means less variance — and the top of the board beats the slate consistently. Every past date is auditable.

When do lineups update?

Projected lineups (marked "Proj") come from each team's last game. Official lineups usually drop about two hours before first pitch, and the board updates itself as they post. Batting order is a big driver, so it's worth a second look mid-afternoon — rankings shift as lineups lock.

Yes. The full board, every game page, and the daily archive are free, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.

Best MLB total bases matchups — Saturday, June 20, 2026

Every hitter on the Saturday, June 20, 2026 slate — ranked by total-base upside — the best power and extra-base spots. Results show how each call played out.

How the model did — Saturday, June 20, 2026

Our top 5 hitters went 4/5 (80%) on our total-bases over/under, against 50% on the season.

Top 5

4/580%

season 50%

Top 10

5/956%

season 50%

Full slate

115/24347%

season 51%

Top call Brandon Lowe came through. Kody Clemens didn't.

Each hitter below carries a 0–100 matchup score — a read on the spot in front of him, not a ranking of how good he is, so a star in a brutal matchup can sit below an average hitter in a soft one. Confidence next to it is coverage: how much real data backs the number. Every call here was graded against the box score — wins and misses both, with the record on this page. How this board is built →

Final · 1–4

CWSaway

DEThomeTop matchup78 Final · 10–2

CINaway

NYYhomeTop matchup74 Final · 8–6

TORaway

CHChomeTop matchup75 Final · 6–4

SDaway

TEXhomeTop matchup64 Final · 4–3

WSHaway

TBhomeTop matchup72 Final · 3–6

SFaway

MIAhomeTop matchup73 Final · 3–4

MILaway

ATLhomeTop matchup79 Final · 8–1

CLEaway

HOUhomeTop matchup74 Final · 3–15

NYMaway

PHIhomeTop matchup72 Final · 1–2

PITaway

COLhomeTop matchup100 Final · 7–0

LAAaway

ATHhomeTop matchup87 Final · 5–1

BOSaway

SEAhomeTop matchup62 Final · 16–8

MINaway

AZhomeTop matchup100 Final · 3–2

BALaway

LADhomeTop matchup74

Not starting66 not in the official lineup — moved to the bottom

PosSort

#Hitter · Matchup · 318 shownScore

154 with a TBLive count — updates as games play

1
Kyle SchwarberDH
PHIvsNYM· 4-for-5
13TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #37
2
Bryce Harper1B
PHIvsNYM· 4-for-5
10TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #56
T2
Travis Bazzana2B
CLE@HOU· 4-for-4
10TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #72
4
Ozzie Albies2B
ATLvsMIL· 3-for-4
9TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #70
5
Casey SchmittLF
SF@MIA· 3-for-4
8TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #118
6
Brooks Lee3B
MIN@AZ· 4-for-6
7TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #105
7
Jake McCarthyLF
COLvsPIT· 2-for-4
6TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #48
T7
Manny Machado3B
SD@TEX· 2-for-5
6TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #89
T7
Jorge BarrosaCF
AZvsMIN· 2-for-3
6TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #176
10
Spencer Horwitz1B
PIT@COL· 2-for-4
5TBFinal
Proj 2.0 TB, #5
T10
Sam AntonacciLF
CWS@DET· 2-for-2
5TBFinal
Proj 1.9 TB, #9
T10
Dillon DinglerC
DETvsCWS· 2-for-4
5TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #45
T10
Pete Crow-ArmstrongCF
CHCvsTOR· 2-for-4
5TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #57
T10
Mark Vientos1B
NYM@PHI· 2-for-4
5TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #98
T10
Dylan CrewsRF
WSH@TB· 2-for-4
5TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #144
T10
Ryan KreidlerSS
MIN@AZ· 3-for-4
5TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #145
T10
Kyle Manzardo1B
CLE@HOU· 2-for-4
5TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #152
T10
Jo AdellRF
LAA@ATH· 3-for-5
5TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #158
T10
Edwin Arroyo2B
CIN@NYY· 4-for-5
5TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #196
20
Byron BuxtonCF
MIN@AZ· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 2.1 TB, #2
T20
Paul Goldschmidt1B
NYYvsCIN· 1-for-5
4TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #17
T20
Shohei OhtaniTWP
LADvsBAL· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.9 TB, #19
T20
Kazuma Okamoto3B
TOR@CHC· 1-for-3
4TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #43
T20
CJ AbramsSS
WSH@TB· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #58
T20
Carson BengeRF
NYM@PHI· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #60
T20
Fernando Tatis Jr.RF
SD@TEX· 2-for-5
4TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #66
T20
Wilyer AbreuRF
BOS@SEA· 1-for-3
4TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #73
T20
Matt ShawRF
CHCvsTOR· 1-for-5
4TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #100
T20
Sal Stewart1B
CIN@NYY· 2-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #103
T20
Jung Hoo LeeRF
SF@MIA· 2-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #116
T20
Daulton VarshoCF
TOR@CHC· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #117
T20
Victor CaratiniC
MIN@AZ· 3-for-5
4TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #123
T20
Jake Burger1B
TEXvsSD· 1-for-3
4TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #161
T20
Spencer Steer1B
CIN@NYY· 1-for-5
4TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #166
T20
Donovan Walton2B
LAA@ATH· 3-for-5
4TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #172
T20
Heriberto HernándezLF
MIAvsSF· 1-for-3
4TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #192
T20
Denzer Guzman3B
LAA@ATH· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #209
T20
J.T. RealmutoC
PHIvsNYM· 2-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #227
T20
Drew GilbertCF
SF@MIA· 3-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #234
40
Brandon Lowe2B
PIT@COL· 2-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 2.1 TB, #1
T40
Jakob MarseeCF
MIAvsSF· 2-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #36
T40
Josh BellDH
MIN@AZ· 2-for-5
3TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #49
T40
Jackson MerrillCF
SD@TEX· 3-for-5
3TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #69
T40
Josh Jung3B
TEXvsSD· 2-for-5
3TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #77
T40
Junior Caminero3B
TBvsWSH· 3-for-3
3TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #83
T40
Wyatt LangfordLF
TEXvsSD· 2-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #87
T40
Nathaniel Lowe1B
CIN@NYY· 2-for-3
3TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #95
T40
Dansby SwansonSS
CHCvsTOR· 2-for-3
3TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #150
T40
Justin CrawfordCF
PHIvsNYM· 2-for-3
3TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #212
T40
Luke Keaschall2B
MIN@AZ· 3-for-6
3TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #218
T40
Nasim Nuñez2B
WSH@TB· 2-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #226
T40
Tyler HeinemanC
LAA@ATH· 2-for-3
3TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #233
T40
Patrick BaileyC
CLE@HOU· 3-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.2 TB, #252
54
Nick Kurtz1B
ATHvsLAA· 1-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 2.0 TB, #4
T54
Trevor LarnachLF
MIN@AZ· 2-for-5
2TBFinal
Proj 1.9 TB, #14
T54
James WoodRF
WSH@TB· 1-for-5
2TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #25
T54
Yandy DíazDH
TBvsWSH· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #33
T54
JJ BledayLF
CIN@NYY· 1-for-5
2TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #34
T54
Cody BellingerLF
NYYvsCIN· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #40
T54
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.1B
TOR@CHC· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #55
T54
William ContrerasC
MIL@ATL· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #68
T54
Zach NetoSS
LAA@ATH· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #75
T54
Blake DunnCF
CIN@NYY· 2-for-5
2TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #78
T54
Jake MangumCF
PIT@COL· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #82
T54
Michael Harris IICF
ATLvsMIL· 1-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #85
T54
Pavin Smith1B
AZvsMIN· 2-for-5
2TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #93
T54
Jasson DomínguezRF
NYYvsCIN· 2-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #94
T54
Brandon NimmoRF
TEXvsSD· 2-for-5
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #101
T54
Nolan Schanuel1B
LAA@ATH· 1-for-5
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #113
T54
Noelvi MarteRF
CIN@NYY· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #115
T54
Royce Lewis1B
MIN@AZ· 1-for-5
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #122
T54
Braden MontgomeryRF
CWS@DET· 1-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #126
T54
Trea TurnerSS
PHIvsNYM· 2-for-5
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #129
T54
Jose Altuve2B
HOUvsCLE· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #132
T54
Spencer Torkelson1B
DETvsCWS· 1-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #142
T54
Chandler SimpsonLF
TBvsWSH· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #148
T54
Cole CarriggCF
COLvsPIT· 1-for-2
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #151
T54
Samuel BasalloC
BAL@LAD· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #155
T54
Bryson Stott2B
PHIvsNYM· 1-for-5
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #157
T54
Tommy Edman2B
LADvsBAL· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #167
T54
Taylor WallsSS
TBvsWSH· 1-for-2
2TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #205
T54
Leody TaverasCF
BAL@LAD· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #208
T54
Blaze Alexander3B
BAL@LAD· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #217
T54
Caleb Durbin3B
BOS@SEA· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #219
T54
Cooper PrattSS
MIL@ATL· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #222
T54
Jeff McNeil2B
ATHvsLAA· 1-for-2
2TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #243
T54
Tommy TroyLF
AZvsMIN· 2-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.2 TB, #251
T54
Ildemaro Vargas1B
AZvsMIN· 1-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB
89
Kody Clemens1B
MIN@AZ· 1-for-5
1TBFinal
Proj 2.0 TB, #3
T89
Bryan ReynoldsLF
PIT@COL· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 2.0 TB, #6
T89
Jackson ChourioLF
MIL@ATL· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.9 TB, #7
T89
Brandon ValenzuelaC
TOR@CHC· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #12
T89
George SpringerDH
TOR@CHC· 1-for-5
1TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #21
T89
Jonathan Aranda1B
TBvsWSH· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #22
T89
Brandon MarshLF
PHIvsNYM· 1-for-5
1TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #23
T89
Bo Bichette3B
NYM@PHI· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #24
T89
Curtis Mead3B
WSH@TB· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #27
T89
Seiya SuzukiRF
CHCvsTOR· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #28
T89
Matt Olson1B
ATLvsMIL· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #30
T89
Kevin McGonigleSS
DETvsCWS· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #31
T89
TJ Rumfield1B
COLvsPIT· 1-for-2
1TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #35
T89
Luis Arraez2B
SF@MIA· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #39
T89
Andrew Vaughn1B
MIL@ATL· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #41
T89
Bryce EldridgeDH
SF@MIA· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #42
T89
Samad TaylorLF
SD@TEX· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #44
T89
Cedric MullinsCF
TBvsWSH· 1-for-5
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #61
T89
Anthony Seigler2B
BOS@SEA· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #63
T89
Cal RaleighC
SEAvsBOS· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #64
T89
Juan SotoLF
NYM@PHI· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #67
T89
Josh Naylor1B
SEAvsBOS· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #91
T89
Owen CaissieRF
MIAvsSF· 1-for-2
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #106
T89
Masataka YoshidaDH
BOS@SEA· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #109
T89
Wade MecklerLF
LAA@ATH· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #114
T89
Ian HappLF
CHCvsTOR· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #121
T89
Eli WhiteRF
ATLvsMIL· 1-for-2
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #124
T89
Francisco AlvarezC
NYM@PHI· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #131
T89
Alec Bohm3B
PHIvsNYM· 1-for-5
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #133
T89
Michael Busch1B
CHCvsTOR· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #134
T89
Alex Bregman3B
CHCvsTOR· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #136
T89
Isaac Paredes3B
HOUvsCLE· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #137
T89
Joe MackC
MIAvsSF· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #138
T89
Otto LopezSS
MIAvsSF· 1-for-5
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #149
T89
Mookie BettsSS
LADvsBAL· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #156
T89
Andrés Chaparro1B
WSH@TB· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #159
T89
Blake PerkinsCF
MIL@ATL· 1-for-2
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #160
T89
Keibert RuizC
WSH@TB· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #162
T89
Adrian Del CastilloDH
AZvsMIN· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #163
T89
Taylor WardDH
BAL@LAD· 1-for-5
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #165
T89
Xander BogaertsSS
SD@TEX· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #168
T89
Anthony VolpeSS
NYYvsCIN· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #169
T89
Andrés GiménezSS
TOR@CHC· 1-for-2
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #170
T89
Lawrence ButlerRF
ATHvsLAA· 1-for-2
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #177
T89
Yainer DiazC
HOUvsCLE· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #179
T89
Ali SánchezC
NYYvsCIN· 1-for-2
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #185
T89
Jake RogersC
DETvsCWS· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #186
T89
Matt McLain2B
CIN@NYY· 1-for-5
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #187
T89
Myles StrawCF
TOR@CHC· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #189
T89
Jarred KelenicRF
TEXvsSD· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #190
T89
Luis TorrensC
NYM@PHI· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #193
T89
Sterlin ThompsonRF
COLvsPIT· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #197
T89
Colton CowserCF
BAL@LAD· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #203
T89
Jose SiriCF
LAA@ATH· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #206
T89
Nicky Lopez2B
TEXvsSD· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #211
T89
Zack ShortSS
NYM@PHI· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #224
T89
Jacob WilsonSS
ATHvsLAA· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #228
T89
Marcelo Mayer2B
BOS@SEA· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #240
T89
Joey OrtizSS
MIL@ATL· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.2 TB, #241
T89
Henry BolteCF
ATHvsLAA· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #249
T89
Petey HalpinCF
CLE@HOU· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.2 TB, #250
T89
Alejandro KirkC
TOR@CHC· 1-for-1
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB
T89
Chase Meidroth2B
CWS@DET· 1-for-2
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB
T89
J.C. EscarraC
NYYvsCIN· 1-for-1
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB
T89
Jorbit Vivas3B
WSH@TB· 1-for-1
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB
T89
Joey LoperfidoLF
HOUvsCLE· 1-for-1
1TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB

Best MLB Total Bases Matchups — Saturday, June 20, 2026

Brandon Lowe (PIT) is the top total bases matchup on the Saturday, June 20, 2026 board at 100, with Byron Buxton (MIN) and Kody Clemens (MIN) right behind. Every hitter on the slate is ranked by total-base upside — the best power and extra-base spots — raw power, the arm and bullpen they face, batting order, park, and weather. It's the read DFS and prop players make before lock.

Top total bases spot: Brandon Lowe

Brandon Lowe (PIT) tops the board at 100, facing RHP Tomoyuki Sugano. The lefty is racking up bases at .505 TB/PA against righties this year — and .462 over the last two weeks, a strong bat that turns into a total base in about 44% of his trips. And Tomoyuki Sugano has been giving up bases to righties lately — .379 total bases per batter faced. The bullpen behind him hasn't been any better to that side, so there's no relief late. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.5 trips, so the volume's there. He's owned Tomoyuki Sugano too — .667 across 3 career trips. It all sets up in a hitter's park.

The rest of the top of the board

Byron Buxton (MIN) (100) vs RHP Zac Gallen: an excellent bat at .505 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.560).
Kody Clemens (MIN) (95) vs RHP Zac Gallen: an excellent bat at .513 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.423).
Nick Kurtz (ATH) (87) vs RHP Walbert Ureña: an excellent bat at .481 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.550).
Spencer Horwitz (PIT) (86) vs RHP Tomoyuki Sugano: a solid bat at .374 into an arm giving up bases to the same side (.379), hitter's park.
Bryan Reynolds (PIT) (81) vs RHP Tomoyuki Sugano: a solid bat at .393 into an arm giving up bases to the same side (.379), hitter's park, hot bat.
Jackson Chourio (MIL) (79) vs LHP Chris Sale: an excellent bat at .489 into an arm vulnerable to the same side (.419).
Andrew Benintendi (CWS) (78) vs RHP Troy Melton: a strong bat at .430 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.813).

Arms giving up extra bases today

RHP Trevor McDonald has been getting squared up by righties — .453 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Kyle Stowers (MIA), Jakob Marsee (MIA), and Xavier Edwards (MIA).
LHP Joey Cantillo has been getting squared up by lefties — .430 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Jeremy Peña (HOU), Yordan Alvarez (HOU), and Christian Walker (HOU).
LHP Patrick Corbin has been getting squared up by lefties — .427 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Seiya Suzuki (CHC), Nico Hoerner (CHC), and Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC).
RHP Taj Bradley has been getting squared up by righties — .424 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Corbin Carroll (AZ), Ketel Marte (AZ), and Geraldo Perdomo (AZ).

Platoon edges to target

Brandon Lowe (PIT) — lefty bat vs RHP, .505 against righties this year.
Kody Clemens (MIN) — lefty bat vs RHP, .460 against righties this year.
Nick Kurtz (ATH) — lefty bat vs RHP, .457 against righties this year.
Spencer Horwitz (PIT) — lefty bat vs RHP, .399 against righties this year.
Bryan Reynolds (PIT) — lefty bat vs RHP, .341 against righties this year.

Best parks for total bases today

Coors Field is playing as a real hitter's park today (+6% extra-base park). Top bat there: Brandon Lowe (PIT) at 100.

How it played out

8 of the top 10 total bases matchups landed at least one total base. Top play Brandon Lowe finished with 3 total bases. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.

How to read these total bases matchups

Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's total bases per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.

Keep reading

What the total bases board is

The Total Bases board projects how many bases a hitter racks up vs the posted total-bases line. One statistical model scores every matchup on the slate the same way — a star and a backup judged on the matchup in front of them, not their name — and every number is graded against the real box score once the games go final.

How the model gets its number

It isn't a gut call or a name game. The projection is built from a few things:

His extra-base pop vs this arm.
The park.
Recent contact quality.

Those pieces combine into one number, and the model re-tunes itself weekly against how its past calls actually landed.

Is there a betting edge here?

Total bases grades right at break-even even when we tune it to the hilt — the book prices the marginal leans efficiently. Transparency board.

How to use it

See who the model projects for extra-base damage; no systematic edge to bet.

Everything here is a research signal from the model, graded in public — not betting advice, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Learn more: How the model works · The picks story · Today's plays

Frequently asked questions

Who has the best total bases matchup today (Saturday, June 20, 2026)?: Brandon Lowe (PIT) — top of the board at 100, facing RHP Tomoyuki Sugano. A strong bat into a beatable arm is what pushes it to No. 1.
What are the best MLB total bases matchups today (Saturday, June 20, 2026)?: The top total bases matchups on Saturday, June 20, 2026: Brandon Lowe (100), Byron Buxton (100), Kody Clemens (95), Nick Kurtz (87), Spencer Horwitz (86). The full board ranks every hitter in every game by total bases upside.
Did the top total bases matchup get a total base on Saturday, June 20, 2026?: Yes — Brandon Lowe got 3 total bases.
Which hitters have a platoon edge today?: Brandon Lowe (PIT) — lefty bat vs RHP, .505 against righties this year. Kody Clemens (MIN) — lefty bat vs RHP, .460 against righties this year. Nick Kurtz (ATH) — lefty bat vs RHP, .457 against righties this year. Spencer Horwitz (PIT) — lefty bat vs RHP, .399 against righties this year. Bryan Reynolds (PIT) — lefty bat vs RHP, .341 against righties this year.
Which parks favor total bases today?: Coors Field is playing as a real hitter's park today (+6% extra-base park). Top bat there: Brandon Lowe (PIT) at 100.
Which pitchers are most vulnerable today?: RHP Trevor McDonald has been getting squared up by righties — .453 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Kyle Stowers (MIA), Jakob Marsee (MIA), and Xavier Edwards (MIA). LHP Joey Cantillo has been getting squared up by lefties — .430 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Jeremy Peña (HOU), Yordan Alvarez (HOU), and Christian Walker (HOU). LHP Patrick Corbin has been getting squared up by lefties — .427 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Seiya Suzuki (CHC), Nico Hoerner (CHC), and Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC). RHP Taj Bradley has been getting squared up by righties — .424 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Corbin Carroll (AZ), Ketel Marte (AZ), and Geraldo Perdomo (AZ).
How is the total bases matchup score calculated?: It's his bases-per-trip rate against that hand, recent form weighted heaviest, over a two-year baseline. Because this counts extra-base damage, slug matters as much as contact. Then the bullpen, order spot, and the yard. 0–100 across the slate.
What does TB/PA mean?: Total bases is 1 for a single, 2 for a double, 3 for a triple, 4 for a homer — so it rewards power, not just contact. Per plate appearance, around .37 is league average; .50+ is big-time slug. It's the cleanest power matchup we run: both the bat's slug and the arm's slug-against are real.
What does the score actually mean?: Higher is better. Total bases rewards the guys who do damage rather than just make contact, so this board leans slugger where the hits board leans average. It ranks today's spots, not the odds of any particular number.
What's the confidence meter?: It's how much data is behind the call — sample size on both the hitter and the pitcher, plus whether the lineup's official. A high score with low confidence is a thinner read than the same score backed by a deep track record. It's not a probability of a total base.
What is a platoon split (handedness split)?: Total bases blends contact and power, so the platoon gap cuts twice: the opposite hand means both more balls in play and more of them driven. A hitter with a big split can swing a full base per game between the two matchups.
What are park factors?: Every extra foot of outfield is a base. Gaps and altitude turn singles into doubles and doubles into triples, while a small park trades the same batted ball for a home run. Above 1.00 bumps the score, below 1.00 trims it.
What do "2W", "SZN" and "2Y" mean?: The timeframes behind each rate: the last two weeks (recent form), the current season, and a trailing two years (a stable baseline). Recent form counts most, and small samples get pulled toward league average so a hot week doesn't fool the model.
What do "≈ est", "Due" and "Not starting" mean?: "≈ est" is a hitter we don't have splits for yet — a rookie or unmatched ID — shown at a league-baseline estimate instead of dropped. "Due" means he hasn't recorded a total base in a while and profiles for regression. "Not starting" means he was projected but didn't make the official lineup, so he slides to the bottom where you can still look him up.
Can I use this for total bases props or DFS?: That's what it's built for — pre-slate research. The board surfaces which hitters have the best conditions today, and where one exists, we show the book's "1+ total base" line so you can shop the price. We're not a sportsbook and we don't post picks — we show the matchup data, the line, and the result. (Best-price and all-book odds are a Pro feature.)
How accurate is the model?: We grade every board against the box score. Total bases is one of the steadier props we publish — more ways to clear the line means less variance — and the top of the board beats the slate consistently. Every past date is auditable.
When do lineups update?: Projected lineups (marked "Proj") come from each team's last game. Official lineups usually drop about two hours before first pitch, and the board updates itself as they post. Batting order is a big driver, so it's worth a second look mid-afternoon — rankings shift as lineups lock.
Is MatchWiz free?: Yes. The full board, every game page, and the daily archive are free, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.