Who has the best total bases matchup today (Friday, June 19, 2026)?

Freddie Freeman (LAD) — top of the board at 100, facing RHP Trey Gibson. A strong bat into a beatable arm is what pushes it to No. 1.

What are the best MLB total bases matchups today (Friday, June 19, 2026)?

The top total bases matchups on Friday, June 19, 2026: Freddie Freeman (100), Zach Neto (100), Pete Alonso (94), Nick Kurtz (93), Kody Clemens (92). The full board ranks every hitter in every game by total bases upside.

Did the top total bases matchup get a total base on Friday, June 19, 2026?

No — Freddie Freeman didn't record a total base.

Which hitters have a platoon edge today?

Freddie Freeman (LAD) — lefty bat vs RHP, .457 against righties this year. Zach Neto (LAA) — righty bat vs LHP, .379 against lefties this year. Nick Kurtz (ATH) — lefty bat vs RHP, .457 against righties this year. Kody Clemens (MIN) — lefty bat vs RHP, .460 against righties this year. Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) — lefty bat vs RHP, .472 against righties this year.

Which pitchers are most vulnerable today?

LHP Jeffrey Springs has been getting squared up by lefties — .472 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Zach Neto (LAA), Jo Adell (LAA), and Oswald Peraza (LAA). RHP Randy Vásquez has been getting squared up by righties — .436 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Josh Jung (TEX), Wyatt Langford (TEX), and Joc Pederson (TEX). LHP Brandon Eisert has been getting squared up by lefties — .429 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Kevin McGonigle (DET), Dillon Dingler (DET), and Riley Greene (DET). RHP Seth Lugo has been getting squared up by righties — .426 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Alec Burleson (STL), JJ Wetherholt (STL), and Jordan Walker (STL).

How is the total bases matchup score calculated?

It's his bases-per-trip rate against that hand, recent form weighted heaviest, over a two-year baseline. Because this counts extra-base damage, slug matters as much as contact. Then the bullpen, order spot, and the yard. 0–100 across the slate.

What does TB/PA mean?

Total bases is 1 for a single, 2 for a double, 3 for a triple, 4 for a homer — so it rewards power, not just contact. Per plate appearance, around .37 is league average; .50+ is big-time slug. It's the cleanest power matchup we run: both the bat's slug and the arm's slug-against are real.

What does the score actually mean?

Higher is better. Total bases rewards the guys who do damage rather than just make contact, so this board leans slugger where the hits board leans average. It ranks today's spots, not the odds of any particular number.

What's the confidence meter?

It's how much data is behind the call — sample size on both the hitter and the pitcher, plus whether the lineup's official. A high score with low confidence is a thinner read than the same score backed by a deep track record. It's not a probability of a total base.

What is a platoon split (handedness split)?

Total bases blends contact and power, so the platoon gap cuts twice: the opposite hand means both more balls in play and more of them driven. A hitter with a big split can swing a full base per game between the two matchups.

What are park factors?

Every extra foot of outfield is a base. Gaps and altitude turn singles into doubles and doubles into triples, while a small park trades the same batted ball for a home run. Above 1.00 bumps the score, below 1.00 trims it.

What do "2W", "SZN" and "2Y" mean?

The timeframes behind each rate: the last two weeks (recent form), the current season, and a trailing two years (a stable baseline). Recent form counts most, and small samples get pulled toward league average so a hot week doesn't fool the model.

What do "≈ est", "Due" and "Not starting" mean?

"≈ est" is a hitter we don't have splits for yet — a rookie or unmatched ID — shown at a league-baseline estimate instead of dropped. "Due" means he hasn't recorded a total base in a while and profiles for regression. "Not starting" means he was projected but didn't make the official lineup, so he slides to the bottom where you can still look him up.

Can I use this for total bases props or DFS?

That's what it's built for — pre-slate research. The board surfaces which hitters have the best conditions today, and where one exists, we show the book's "1+ total base" line so you can shop the price. We're not a sportsbook and we don't post picks — we show the matchup data, the line, and the result. (Best-price and all-book odds are a Pro feature.)

How accurate is the model?

We grade every board against the box score. Total bases is one of the steadier props we publish — more ways to clear the line means less variance — and the top of the board beats the slate consistently. Every past date is auditable.

When do lineups update?

Projected lineups (marked "Proj") come from each team's last game. Official lineups usually drop about two hours before first pitch, and the board updates itself as they post. Batting order is a big driver, so it's worth a second look mid-afternoon — rankings shift as lineups lock.

Yes. The full board, every game page, and the daily archive are free, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.

Best MLB total bases matchups — Friday, June 19, 2026

Every hitter on the Friday, June 19, 2026 slate — ranked by total-base upside — the best power and extra-base spots. Results show how each call played out.

How the model did — Friday, June 19, 2026

Our top 5 hitters went 2/5 (40%) on our total-bases over/under, against 50% on the season.

Top 5

2/540%

season 50%

Top 10

5/1050%

season 50%

Full slate

143/24858%

season 52%

Top call Zach Neto came through. Freddie Freeman didn't.

Each hitter below carries a 0–100 matchup score — a read on the spot in front of him, not a ranking of how good he is, so a star in a brutal matchup can sit below an average hitter in a soft one. Confidence next to it is coverage: how much real data backs the number. Every call here was graded against the box score — wins and misses both, with the record on this page. How this board is built →

Final · 2–16

TORaway

CHChomeTop matchup91 Final · 3–4

CWSaway

DEThomeTop matchup67 Final · 0–5

CINaway

NYYhomeTop matchup65 Final · 2–5

WSHaway

TBhomeTop matchup59 Final · 3–4

SFaway

MIAhomeTop matchup58 Final · 2–3

MILaway

ATLhomeTop matchup66 Final · 7–9

SDaway

TEXhomeTop matchup48 Final · 3–9

CLEaway

HOUhomeTop matchup69 Final · 5–6

STLaway

KChomeTop matchup90 Final · 3–4

PITaway

COLhomeTop matchup70 Final · 11–12

LAAaway

ATHhomeTop matchup100 Final · 5–9

MINaway

AZhomeTop matchup92 Final · 5–6

BALaway

LADhomeTop matchup100 Final · 6–2

BOSaway

SEAhomeTop matchup75

Not starting45 not in the official lineup — moved to the bottom

PosSort

#Hitter · Matchup · 297 shownScore

174 with a TBLive count — updates as games play

1
Ty France1B
SD@TEX· 3-for-4
10TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #234
2
Jeremy PeñaSS
HOUvsCLE· 3-for-5
9TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #122
3
Mookie BettsSS
LADvsBAL· 3-for-5
7TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #45
T3
Wyatt LangfordLF
TEXvsSD· 3-for-5
7TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #78
T3
Owen CaissieRF
MIAvsSF· 3-for-3
7TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #102
T3
Caleb Durbin3B
BOS@SEA· 3-for-4
7TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #196
7
Corbin CarrollRF
AZvsMIN· 3-for-4
6TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #14
T7
Randal GrichukDH
CWS@DET· 2-for-3
6TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #44
T7
Logan O'HoppeC
LAA@ATH· 3-for-4
6TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #123
T7
Jose Altuve2B
HOUvsCLE· 2-for-4
6TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #163
T7
Jacob WilsonSS
ATHvsLAA· 2-for-5
6TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #202
12
Ben RiceDH
NYYvsCIN· 2-for-4
5TBFinal
Proj 1.9 TB, #29
T12
TJ Rumfield1B
COLvsPIT· 2-for-4
5TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #50
T12
Luis García Jr.1B
WSH@TB· 2-for-3
5TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #53
T12
Jac CaglianoneRF
KCvsSTL· 2-for-4
5TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #67
T12
George SpringerDH
TOR@CHC· 2-for-4
5TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #90
T12
Rafael Devers1B
SF@MIA· 2-for-3
5TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #137
T12
Lawrence ButlerRF
ATHvsLAA· 2-for-4
5TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #146
T12
Gavin Sheets1B
SD@TEX· 2-for-4
5TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #153
T12
Junior PerezCF
CWS@DET· 2-for-3
5TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #180
T12
Carson KellyC
CHCvsTOR· 2-for-4
5TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #222
22
Zach NetoSS
LAA@ATH· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 2.0 TB, #2
T22
Pete Alonso1B
BAL@LAD· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.9 TB, #3
T22
Oswald Peraza2B
LAA@ATH· 3-for-5
4TBFinal
Proj 1.9 TB, #12
T22
Ketel Marte2B
AZvsMIN· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.9 TB, #13
T22
Nolan Schanuel1B
LAA@ATH· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #16
T22
Gunnar HendersonSS
BAL@LAD· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #32
T22
Julio RodríguezCF
SEAvsBOS· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #46
T22
Josh BellDH
MIN@AZ· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #49
T22
Seiya SuzukiRF
CHCvsTOR· 3-for-5
4TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #52
T22
Tyler SoderstromLF
ATHvsLAA· 3-for-3
4TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #54
T22
Tommy Edman2B
LADvsBAL· 3-for-5
4TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #77
T22
Jonny DeLucaRF
TBvsWSH· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #88
T22
Denzer Guzman3B
LAA@ATH· 1-for-5
4TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #99
T22
Jonathan Aranda1B
TBvsWSH· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #106
T22
Brandon NimmoRF
TEXvsSD· 2-for-5
4TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #107
T22
Victor CaratiniC
MIN@AZ· 1-for-2
4TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #118
T22
Matt VierlingCF
DETvsCWS· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #121
T22
CJ AbramsSS
WSH@TB· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #129
T22
Jose SiriCF
LAA@ATH· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #143
T22
Jazz Chisholm Jr.2B
NYYvsCIN· 1-for-3
4TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #175
T22
Royce Lewis1B
MIN@AZ· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #186
T22
Rhys Hoskins1B
CLE@HOU· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #203
T22
Nico Hoerner2B
CHCvsTOR· 3-for-6
4TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #228
T22
Mike YastrzemskiLF
ATLvsMIL· 1-for-3
4TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #236
T22
Isaac CollinsLF
KCvsSTL· 2-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #242
T22
Jonah HeimC
ATHvsLAA· 1-for-1
4TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB
48
Pete Crow-ArmstrongCF
CHCvsTOR· 3-for-3
3TBFinal
Proj 2.1 TB, #6
T48
Nick Gonzales3B
PIT@COL· 1-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.9 TB, #19
T48
Travis Bazzana2B
CLE@HOU· 2-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #47
T48
Andrew Vaughn1B
MIL@ATL· 2-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #63
T48
Dillon DinglerC
DETvsCWS· 3-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #76
T48
Samad TaylorLF
SD@TEX· 3-for-5
3TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #83
T48
Jared TrioloSS
PIT@COL· 2-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #89
T48
Jasson DomínguezRF
NYYvsCIN· 2-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #103
T48
Blake DunnCF
CIN@NYY· 2-for-3
3TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #112
T48
Brayan RocchioSS
CLE@HOU· 2-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #126
T48
Jung Hoo LeeRF
SF@MIA· 2-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #147
T48
Nathan ChurchCF
STL@KC· 1-for-1
3TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #159
T48
Dominic SmithDH
ATLvsMIL· 2-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #172
T48
Sam AntonacciLF
CWS@DET· 2-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #215
T48
Alejandro OsunaLF
TEXvsSD· 2-for-3
3TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #232
T48
Marcelo Mayer2B
BOS@SEA· 2-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #249
T48
Javier Sanoja3B
MIAvsSF· 2-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.2 TB, #252
65
Alec Burleson1B
STL@KC· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 2.1 TB, #7
T65
Byron BuxtonCF
MIN@AZ· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.9 TB, #10
T65
Andy PagesCF
LADvsBAL· 1-for-5
2TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #11
T65
Josh Naylor1B
SEAvsBOS· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #22
T65
Ceddanne RafaelaCF
BOS@SEA· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #24
T65
Jackson ChourioLF
MIL@ATL· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.9 TB, #26
T65
Kevin McGonigleSS
DETvsCWS· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.9 TB, #30
T65
Jake McCarthyLF
COLvsPIT· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #48
T65
Lane ThomasLF
KCvsSTL· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #55
T65
Willi Castro2B
COLvsPIT· 1-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #57
T65
Esmerlyn ValdezRF
PIT@COL· 1-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #59
T65
Yandy DíazDH
TBvsWSH· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #68
T65
Josh Jung3B
TEXvsSD· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #71
T65
Jordan WalkerRF
STL@KC· 2-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #75
T65
Ian HappLF
CHCvsTOR· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #98
T65
Isaac Paredes3B
HOUvsCLE· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #113
T65
Nathan LukesRF
TOR@CHC· 1-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #117
T65
Brandon Lowe2B
PIT@COL· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #119
T65
Heriberto HernándezLF
MIAvsSF· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #125
T65
Junior Caminero3B
TBvsWSH· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #127
T65
Salvador PerezDH
KCvsSTL· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #133
T65
Kerry CarpenterRF
DETvsCWS· 1-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #141
T65
Shea LangeliersC
ATHvsLAA· 1-for-5
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #142
T65
John RaveRF
KCvsSTL· 1-for-2
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #145
T65
Richie Palacios2B
TBvsWSH· 1-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #150
T65
Jake Burger1B
TEXvsSD· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #157
T65
Casey SchmittLF
SF@MIA· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #158
T65
Brice Turang2B
MIL@ATL· 2-for-5
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #162
T65
Nolan Arenado3B
AZvsMIN· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #168
T65
Yainer DiazC
HOUvsCLE· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #176
T65
Wade MecklerLF
LAA@ATH· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #178
T65
Jordan LawlarLF
AZvsMIN· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #179
T65
LuJames Groover1B
AZvsMIN· 1-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #181
T65
Anthony VolpeSS
NYYvsCIN· 2-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #195
T65
Gabriel Arias3B
CLE@HOU· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #201
T65
Masyn WinnSS
STL@KC· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #206
T65
Garrett MitchellCF
MIL@ATL· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #208
T65
Andrés GiménezSS
TOR@CHC· 1-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #210
T65
Will WagnerDH
SD@TEX· 2-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #212
T65
Ezequiel TovarSS
COLvsPIT· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #224
T65
Jake MeyersCF
HOUvsCLE· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #233
T65
Alex Freeland2B
LADvsBAL· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #235
T65
Joey LoperfidoLF
HOUvsCLE· 1-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #238
108
Kody Clemens1B
MIN@AZ· 1-for-5
1TBFinal
Proj 2.0 TB, #5
T108
Kyle TuckerRF
LADvsBAL· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #9
T108
Max Muncy3B
LADvsBAL· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #15
T108
Willson Contreras1B
BOS@SEA· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #17
T108
Trevor LarnachLF
MIN@AZ· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #20
T108
Yordan AlvarezDH
HOUvsCLE· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.9 TB, #21
T108
Marcell OzunaDH
PIT@COL· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.9 TB, #25
T108
Zack Gelof3B
ATHvsLAA· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #27
T108
Taylor WardDH
BAL@LAD· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #31
T108
Carter JensenC
KCvsSTL· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #36
T108
Wilyer AbreuRF
BOS@SEA· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #40
T108
Liam HicksC
MIAvsSF· 1-for-5
1TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #41
T108
Dalton RushingC
LADvsBAL· 1-for-5
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #51
T108
Gabriel MorenoC
AZvsMIN· 1-for-5
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #60
T108
Miguel Vargas3B
CWS@DET· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #69
T108
Jeremiah Jackson2B
BAL@LAD· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #70
T108
Jarren DuranLF
BOS@SEA· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #73
T108
Alex Bregman3B
CHCvsTOR· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #80
T108
Colton CowserCF
BAL@LAD· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #82
T108
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.LF
AZvsMIN· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #86
T108
Michael Massey2B
KCvsSTL· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #92
T108
Christian YelichDH
MIL@ATL· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #94
T108
Lars NootbaarLF
STL@KC· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #95
T108
Ezequiel DuranSS
TEXvsSD· 1-for-2
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #105
T108
Iván HerreraDH
STL@KC· 1-for-2
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #116
T108
Michael Busch1B
CHCvsTOR· 1-for-5
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #120
T108
Cedric MullinsCF
TBvsWSH· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #130
T108
Cole CarriggCF
COLvsPIT· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #131
T108
Nathaniel Lowe1B
CIN@NYY· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #135
T108
Mauricio DubónLF
ATLvsMIL· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #136
T108
Eugenio SuárezDH
CIN@NYY· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #138
T108
Keibert RuizC
WSH@TB· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #139
T108
Jackson Holliday2B
BAL@LAD· 1-for-2
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #140
T108
Ildemaro Vargas1B
AZvsMIN· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #148
T108
Otto LopezSS
MIAvsSF· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #164
T108
Willy AdamesSS
SF@MIA· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #165
T108
Davis SchneiderLF
TOR@CHC· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #166
T108
Blake PerkinsCF
MIL@ATL· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #167
T108
Hao-Yu Lee2B
DETvsCWS· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #169
T108
Tyler FreemanRF
COLvsPIT· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #174
T108
Chandler SimpsonLF
TBvsWSH· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #177
T108
Ryan McMahon3B
NYYvsCIN· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #182
T108
Elias DíazC
TEXvsSD· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #183
T108
Ozzie Albies2B
ATLvsMIL· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #191
T108
Blaze Jordan3B
STL@KC· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #192
T108
Jakob MarseeCF
MIAvsSF· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #193
T108
Cam SmithRF
HOUvsCLE· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #197
T108
Nicky Lopez2B
TEXvsSD· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #198
T108
Coby Mayo3B
BAL@LAD· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #199
T108
Patrick BaileyC
CLE@HOU· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #200
T108
Cooper PrattSS
MIL@ATL· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #205
T108
Nasim Nuñez2B
WSH@TB· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #213
T108
Tristan GraySS
MIN@AZ· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #216
T108
Connor Norby2B
MIAvsSF· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #217
T108
Jorge MateoSS
ATLvsMIL· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #225
T108
Luisangel AcuñaSS
CWS@DET· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #226
T108
Austin Riley3B
ATLvsMIL· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #227
T108
Jorbit Vivas3B
WSH@TB· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #237
T108
Joey OrtizSS
MIL@ATL· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #239
T108
Dansby SwansonSS
CHCvsTOR· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #240
T108
Drew GilbertCF
SF@MIA· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #243
T108
Taylor WallsSS
TBvsWSH· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #246
T108
Luke Keaschall2B
MIN@AZ· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #247
T108
Daniel SusacC
SF@MIA· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.2 TB, #248
T108
Andruw MonasterioSS
BOS@SEA· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #250
T108
Henry BolteCF
ATHvsLAA· 1-for-2
1TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #251
T108
Bryan ReynoldsLF
PIT@COL· 1-for-1
1TBFinal
Proj 2.2 TB

Best MLB Total Bases Matchups — Friday, June 19, 2026

Freddie Freeman (LAD) is the top total bases matchup on the Friday, June 19, 2026 board at 100, with Zach Neto (LAA) and Pete Alonso (BAL) right behind. Every hitter on the slate is ranked by total-base upside — the best power and extra-base spots — raw power, the arm and bullpen they face, batting order, park, and weather. It's the read DFS and prop players make before lock.

Top total bases spot: Freddie Freeman

Freddie Freeman (LAD) tops the board at 100, facing RHP Trey Gibson. The lefty is racking up bases at .457 TB/PA against righties this year — and .513 over the last two weeks, a strong bat that turns into a total base in about 43% of his trips. And Trey Gibson has been getting squared up by righties lately — .438 total bases per batter faced. The bullpen behind him is roughly average to that side. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.5 trips, so the volume's there. No real history against Trey Gibson. It all sets up in a neutral park, weather helping.

The rest of the top of the board

Zach Neto (LAA) (100) vs LHP Jeffrey Springs: a solid bat at .413 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.793).
Pete Alonso (BAL) (94) vs RHP Roki Sasaki: a strong bat at .429 into an arm giving up bases to the same side (.364).
Nick Kurtz (ATH) (93) vs RHP José Soriano: an excellent bat at .481 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.457), hot bat.
Kody Clemens (MIN) (92) vs RHP Michael Soroka: an excellent bat at .513 into an arm tough on the same side (.259).
Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) (91) vs RHP Kevin Gausman: an elite bat at .550 into an arm giving up bases to the same side (.367), hot bat.
Alec Burleson (STL) (90) vs RHP Seth Lugo: an excellent bat at .538 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.750).
Jo Adell (LAA) (88) vs LHP Jeffrey Springs: a solid bat at .407 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.793), due to bounce back.

Arms giving up extra bases today

LHP Jeffrey Springs has been getting squared up by lefties — .472 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Zach Neto (LAA), Jo Adell (LAA), and Oswald Peraza (LAA).
RHP Randy Vásquez has been getting squared up by righties — .436 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Josh Jung (TEX), Wyatt Langford (TEX), and Joc Pederson (TEX).
LHP Brandon Eisert has been getting squared up by lefties — .429 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Kevin McGonigle (DET), Dillon Dingler (DET), and Riley Greene (DET).
RHP Seth Lugo has been getting squared up by righties — .426 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Alec Burleson (STL), JJ Wetherholt (STL), and Jordan Walker (STL).

Platoon edges to target

Freddie Freeman (LAD) — lefty bat vs RHP, .457 against righties this year.
Zach Neto (LAA) — righty bat vs LHP, .379 against lefties this year.
Nick Kurtz (ATH) — lefty bat vs RHP, .457 against righties this year.
Kody Clemens (MIN) — lefty bat vs RHP, .460 against righties this year.
Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) — lefty bat vs RHP, .472 against righties this year.

Best parks for total bases today

Coors Field is playing as a real hitter's park today (+6% extra-base park). Top bat there: Ryan O'Hearn (PIT) at 70.

How it played out

7 of the top 10 total bases matchups landed at least one total base. Top play Freddie Freeman finished with 0 total bases. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.

How to read these total bases matchups

Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's total bases per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.

Keep reading

What the total bases board is

The Total Bases board projects how many bases a hitter racks up vs the posted total-bases line. One statistical model scores every matchup on the slate the same way — a star and a backup judged on the matchup in front of them, not their name — and every number is graded against the real box score once the games go final.

How the model gets its number

It isn't a gut call or a name game. The projection is built from a few things:

His extra-base pop vs this arm.
The park.
Recent contact quality.

Those pieces combine into one number, and the model re-tunes itself weekly against how its past calls actually landed.

Is there a betting edge here?

Total bases grades right at break-even even when we tune it to the hilt — the book prices the marginal leans efficiently. Transparency board.

How to use it

See who the model projects for extra-base damage; no systematic edge to bet.

Everything here is a research signal from the model, graded in public — not betting advice, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Learn more: How the model works · The picks story · Today's plays

Frequently asked questions

Who has the best total bases matchup today (Friday, June 19, 2026)?: Freddie Freeman (LAD) — top of the board at 100, facing RHP Trey Gibson. A strong bat into a beatable arm is what pushes it to No. 1.
What are the best MLB total bases matchups today (Friday, June 19, 2026)?: The top total bases matchups on Friday, June 19, 2026: Freddie Freeman (100), Zach Neto (100), Pete Alonso (94), Nick Kurtz (93), Kody Clemens (92). The full board ranks every hitter in every game by total bases upside.
Did the top total bases matchup get a total base on Friday, June 19, 2026?: No — Freddie Freeman didn't record a total base.
Which hitters have a platoon edge today?: Freddie Freeman (LAD) — lefty bat vs RHP, .457 against righties this year. Zach Neto (LAA) — righty bat vs LHP, .379 against lefties this year. Nick Kurtz (ATH) — lefty bat vs RHP, .457 against righties this year. Kody Clemens (MIN) — lefty bat vs RHP, .460 against righties this year. Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) — lefty bat vs RHP, .472 against righties this year.
Which parks favor total bases today?: Coors Field is playing as a real hitter's park today (+6% extra-base park). Top bat there: Ryan O'Hearn (PIT) at 70.
Which pitchers are most vulnerable today?: LHP Jeffrey Springs has been getting squared up by lefties — .472 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Zach Neto (LAA), Jo Adell (LAA), and Oswald Peraza (LAA). RHP Randy Vásquez has been getting squared up by righties — .436 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Josh Jung (TEX), Wyatt Langford (TEX), and Joc Pederson (TEX). LHP Brandon Eisert has been getting squared up by lefties — .429 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Kevin McGonigle (DET), Dillon Dingler (DET), and Riley Greene (DET). RHP Seth Lugo has been getting squared up by righties — .426 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Alec Burleson (STL), JJ Wetherholt (STL), and Jordan Walker (STL).
How is the total bases matchup score calculated?: It's his bases-per-trip rate against that hand, recent form weighted heaviest, over a two-year baseline. Because this counts extra-base damage, slug matters as much as contact. Then the bullpen, order spot, and the yard. 0–100 across the slate.
What does TB/PA mean?: Total bases is 1 for a single, 2 for a double, 3 for a triple, 4 for a homer — so it rewards power, not just contact. Per plate appearance, around .37 is league average; .50+ is big-time slug. It's the cleanest power matchup we run: both the bat's slug and the arm's slug-against are real.
What does the score actually mean?: Higher is better. Total bases rewards the guys who do damage rather than just make contact, so this board leans slugger where the hits board leans average. It ranks today's spots, not the odds of any particular number.
What's the confidence meter?: It's how much data is behind the call — sample size on both the hitter and the pitcher, plus whether the lineup's official. A high score with low confidence is a thinner read than the same score backed by a deep track record. It's not a probability of a total base.
What is a platoon split (handedness split)?: Total bases blends contact and power, so the platoon gap cuts twice: the opposite hand means both more balls in play and more of them driven. A hitter with a big split can swing a full base per game between the two matchups.
What are park factors?: Every extra foot of outfield is a base. Gaps and altitude turn singles into doubles and doubles into triples, while a small park trades the same batted ball for a home run. Above 1.00 bumps the score, below 1.00 trims it.
What do "2W", "SZN" and "2Y" mean?: The timeframes behind each rate: the last two weeks (recent form), the current season, and a trailing two years (a stable baseline). Recent form counts most, and small samples get pulled toward league average so a hot week doesn't fool the model.
What do "≈ est", "Due" and "Not starting" mean?: "≈ est" is a hitter we don't have splits for yet — a rookie or unmatched ID — shown at a league-baseline estimate instead of dropped. "Due" means he hasn't recorded a total base in a while and profiles for regression. "Not starting" means he was projected but didn't make the official lineup, so he slides to the bottom where you can still look him up.
Can I use this for total bases props or DFS?: That's what it's built for — pre-slate research. The board surfaces which hitters have the best conditions today, and where one exists, we show the book's "1+ total base" line so you can shop the price. We're not a sportsbook and we don't post picks — we show the matchup data, the line, and the result. (Best-price and all-book odds are a Pro feature.)
How accurate is the model?: We grade every board against the box score. Total bases is one of the steadier props we publish — more ways to clear the line means less variance — and the top of the board beats the slate consistently. Every past date is auditable.
When do lineups update?: Projected lineups (marked "Proj") come from each team's last game. Official lineups usually drop about two hours before first pitch, and the board updates itself as they post. Batting order is a big driver, so it's worth a second look mid-afternoon — rankings shift as lineups lock.
Is MatchWiz free?: Yes. The full board, every game page, and the daily archive are free, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.