Who has the best total bases matchup today (Tuesday, June 23, 2026)?

Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) — top of the board at 100, facing RHP Kodai Senga. An excellent bat into a beatable arm is what pushes it to No. 1.

What are the best MLB total bases matchups today (Tuesday, June 23, 2026)?

The top total bases matchups on Tuesday, June 23, 2026: Pete Crow-Armstrong (100), Zach Neto (100), Ceddanne Rafaela (100), Travis Bazzana (100), TJ Rumfield (99). The full board ranks every hitter in every game by total bases upside.

Did the top total bases matchup get a total base on Tuesday, June 23, 2026?

Yes — Pete Crow-Armstrong got 4 total bases.

Which hitters have a platoon edge today?

Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) — lefty bat vs RHP, .493 against righties this year. Ceddanne Rafaela (BOS) — righty bat vs LHP, .515 against lefties this year. Travis Bazzana (CLE) — lefty bat vs RHP, .515 against righties this year. TJ Rumfield (COL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .469 against righties this year. Ozzie Albies (ATL) — righty bat vs LHP, .496 against lefties this year.

Which pitchers are most vulnerable today?

RHP Shane Bieber has been getting squared up by righties — .481 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Jose Altuve (HOU), Christian Walker (HOU), and Yordan Alvarez (HOU). RHP Ryan Johnson has been getting squared up by righties — .442 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Pete Alonso (BAL), Gunnar Henderson (BAL), and Samuel Basallo (BAL). RHP Edward Cabrera has been vulnerable to righties — .415 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Juan Soto (NYM), Carson Benge (NYM), and Bo Bichette (NYM). RHP Peter Lambert has been vulnerable to righties — .399 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: George Springer (TOR), Kazuma Okamoto (TOR), and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR).

How is the total bases matchup score calculated?

It's his bases-per-trip rate against that hand, recent form weighted heaviest, over a two-year baseline. Because this counts extra-base damage, slug matters as much as contact. Then the bullpen, order spot, and the yard. 0–100 across the slate.

What does TB/PA mean?

Total bases is 1 for a single, 2 for a double, 3 for a triple, 4 for a homer — so it rewards power, not just contact. Per plate appearance, around .37 is league average; .50+ is big-time slug. It's the cleanest power matchup we run: both the bat's slug and the arm's slug-against are real.

What does the score actually mean?

Higher is better. Total bases rewards the guys who do damage rather than just make contact, so this board leans slugger where the hits board leans average. It ranks today's spots, not the odds of any particular number.

What's the confidence meter?

It's how much data is behind the call — sample size on both the hitter and the pitcher, plus whether the lineup's official. A high score with low confidence is a thinner read than the same score backed by a deep track record. It's not a probability of a total base.

What is a platoon split (handedness split)?

Total bases blends contact and power, so the platoon gap cuts twice: the opposite hand means both more balls in play and more of them driven. A hitter with a big split can swing a full base per game between the two matchups.

What are park factors?

Every extra foot of outfield is a base. Gaps and altitude turn singles into doubles and doubles into triples, while a small park trades the same batted ball for a home run. Above 1.00 bumps the score, below 1.00 trims it.

What do "2W", "SZN" and "2Y" mean?

The timeframes behind each rate: the last two weeks (recent form), the current season, and a trailing two years (a stable baseline). Recent form counts most, and small samples get pulled toward league average so a hot week doesn't fool the model.

What do "≈ est", "Due" and "Not starting" mean?

"≈ est" is a hitter we don't have splits for yet — a rookie or unmatched ID — shown at a league-baseline estimate instead of dropped. "Due" means he hasn't recorded a total base in a while and profiles for regression. "Not starting" means he was projected but didn't make the official lineup, so he slides to the bottom where you can still look him up.

Can I use this for total bases props or DFS?

That's what it's built for — pre-slate research. The board surfaces which hitters have the best conditions today, and where one exists, we show the book's "1+ total base" line so you can shop the price. We're not a sportsbook and we don't post picks — we show the matchup data, the line, and the result. (Best-price and all-book odds are a Pro feature.)

How accurate is the model?

We grade every board against the box score. Total bases is one of the steadier props we publish — more ways to clear the line means less variance — and the top of the board beats the slate consistently. Every past date is auditable.

When do lineups update?

Projected lineups (marked "Proj") come from each team's last game. Official lineups usually drop about two hours before first pitch, and the board updates itself as they post. Batting order is a big driver, so it's worth a second look mid-afternoon — rankings shift as lineups lock.

Yes. The full board, every game page, and the daily archive are free, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.

Best MLB total bases matchups — Tuesday, June 23, 2026

Every hitter on the Tuesday, June 23, 2026 slate — ranked by total-base upside — the best power and extra-base spots. Results show how each call played out.

How the model did — Tuesday, June 23, 2026

Our top 5 hitters went 3/5 (60%) on our total-bases over/under, against 50% on the season.

Top 5

3/560%

season 50%

Top 10

4/1040%

season 50%

Full slate

126/26248%

season 51%

Top call Pete Crow-Armstrong came through. Ceddanne Rafaela didn't.

Each hitter below carries a 0–100 matchup score — a read on the spot in front of him, not a ranking of how good he is, so a star in a brutal matchup can sit below an average hitter in a soft one. Confidence next to it is coverage: how much real data backs the number. Every call here was graded against the box score — wins and misses both, with the record on this page. How this board is built →

Final · 9–7

HOUaway

TORhomeTop matchup79 Final · 4–3

NYYaway

DEThomeTop matchup78 Final · 3–2

SEAaway

PIThomeTop matchup75 Final · 12–5

KCaway

TBhomeTop matchup78 Final · 4–6

TEXaway

MIAhomeTop matchup63 Final · 14–9

PHIaway

WSHhomeTop matchup69 Final · 9–6

CHCaway

NYMhomeTop matchup100 Final · 2–0

MILaway

CINhomeTop matchup90 Final · 12–3

LADaway

MINhomeTop matchup83 Final · 1–2

CLEaway

CWShomeTop matchup100 Final · 4–3

AZaway

STLhomeTop matchup79 Final · 5–2

BOSaway

COLhomeTop matchup100 Final · 1–5

BALaway

LAAhomeTop matchup100 Final · 6–7

ATLaway

SDhomeTop matchup97 Final · 1–3

ATHaway

SFhomeTop matchup86

Not starting71 not in the official lineup — moved to the bottom

PosSort

#Hitter · Matchup · 341 shownScore

174 with a TBLive count — updates as games play

1
Jac CaglianoneRF
KC@TB· 3-for-5
9TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #133
2
Daulton VarshoCF
TORvsHOU· 3-for-6
8TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #205
3
Wilyer AbreuRF
BOS@COL· 2-for-4
7TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #40
T3
Brandon NimmoRF
TEX@MIA· 2-for-5
7TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #88
T3
Brandon MarshLF
PHI@WSH· 3-for-6
7TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #126
T3
Nick Loftin3B
KC@TB· 4-for-5
7TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #130
7
Fernando Tatis Jr.RF
SDvsATL· 2-for-5
6TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #67
T7
Edmundo SosaLF
PHI@WSH· 2-for-5
6TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #83
T7
Junior Caminero3B
TBvsKC· 3-for-5
6TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #107
T7
Bryson Stott2B
PHI@WSH· 3-for-4
6TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #123
T7
Joc PedersonDH
TEX@MIA· 3-for-5
6TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #139
T7
Heriberto HernándezLF
MIAvsTEX· 2-for-3
6TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #181
T7
Dansby SwansonSS
CHC@NYM· 2-for-3
6TBFinal
Proj 1.2 TB, #269
14
Michael Harris IICF
ATL@SD· 3-for-5
5TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #12
T14
Nate EatonOF
BOS@COL· 3-for-4
5TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #19
T14
Yainer DiazC
HOU@TOR· 2-for-4
5TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #57
T14
Nolan Schanuel1B
LAAvsBAL· 2-for-4
5TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #62
T14
Jung Hoo LeeRF
SFvsATH· 2-for-3
5TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #68
T14
Bo Bichette3B
NYMvsCHC· 2-for-4
5TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #87
T14
Cam SmithRF
HOU@TOR· 2-for-5
5TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #100
T14
Mauricio DubónLF
ATL@SD· 2-for-5
5TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #118
T14
Freddie Freeman1B
LAD@MIN· 3-for-5
5TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #143
T14
Kahlil WatsonRF
CLE@CWS· 2-for-4
5TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #164
T14
Joe MackC
MIAvsTEX· 2-for-4
5TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #170
T14
Jazz Chisholm Jr.2B
NYY@DET· 2-for-4
5TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #187
T14
Jorbit Vivas3B
WSHvsPHI· 2-for-3
5TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #202
T14
Luis Urías2B
TORvsHOU· 2-for-5
5TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #214
T14
Alex CallLF
LAD@MIN· 2-for-4
5TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #239
T14
Francisco AlvarezC
NYMvsCHC· 2-for-4
5TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #243
30
Pete Crow-ArmstrongCF
CHC@NYM· 1-for-3
4TBFinal
Proj 2.1 TB, #1
T30
Jose Altuve2B
HOU@TOR· 3-for-6
4TBFinal
Proj 1.9 TB, #22
T30
Miguel Vargas3B
CWSvsCLE· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #70
T30
Dillon DinglerC
DETvsNYY· 3-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #90
T30
Owen CaissieRF
MIAvsTEX· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #91
T30
Willi Castro2B
COLvsBOS· 1-for-3
4TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #125
T30
Cal RaleighC
SEA@PIT· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #135
T30
Ezequiel TovarSS
COLvsBOS· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #174
T30
Cole Young2B
SEA@PIT· 1-for-3
4TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #185
T30
Brooks Lee3B
MINvsLAD· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #195
T30
Victor CaratiniC
MINvsLAD· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #225
T30
Taylor TrammellCF
HOU@TOR· 1-for-3
4TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #251
T30
Luis García Jr.1B
WSHvsPHI· 1-for-1
4TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB
T30
Joey LoperfidoLF
HOU@TOR· 1-for-1
4TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB
44
Zach NetoSS
LAAvsBAL· 2-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.9 TB, #2
T44
Brandon Lowe2B
PITvsSEA· 2-for-5
3TBFinal
Proj 1.9 TB, #34
T44
Yordan AlvarezDH
HOU@TOR· 2-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #45
T44
Samad TaylorLF
SDvsATL· 3-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #63
T44
Kazuma Okamoto3B
TORvsHOU· 3-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #77
T44
Willy AdamesSS
SFvsATH· 2-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #95
T44
Troy JohnstonRF
COLvsBOS· 2-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #142
T44
Jake Bauers1B
MIL@CIN· 1-for-3
3TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #144
T44
Andy PagesCF
LAD@MIN· 3-for-5
3TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #148
T44
Lars NootbaarLF
STLvsAZ· 2-for-3
3TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #160
T44
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.LF
AZ@STL· 2-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #186
T44
Austin HedgesC
CLE@CWS· 2-for-3
3TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #230
T44
José TenaDH
WSHvsPHI· 2-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #255
T44
Javier Sanoja3B
MIAvsTEX· 2-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #260
58
TJ Rumfield1B
COLvsBOS· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.9 TB, #5
T58
Ozzie Albies2B
ATL@SD· 1-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #7
T58
Byron BuxtonCF
MINvsLAD· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #16
T58
Jackson MerrillCF
SDvsATL· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #23
T58
Ketel Marte2B
AZ@STL· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #25
T58
Jonathan Aranda1B
TBvsKC· 2-for-5
2TBFinal
Proj 1.9 TB, #28
T58
Jordan WalkerRF
STLvsAZ· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #35
T58
Casey SchmittLF
SFvsATH· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #37
T58
Randal GrichukDH
CWSvsCLE· 1-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #48
T58
Tyler SoderstromLF
ATH@SF· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #51
T58
Isaac Paredes3B
HOU@TOR· 2-for-6
2TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #55
T58
Kyle Stowers1B
MIAvsTEX· 1-for-5
2TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #64
T58
Otto LopezSS
MIAvsTEX· 2-for-5
2TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #84
T58
Dylan CrewsRF
WSHvsPHI· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #94
T58
Trea TurnerSS
PHI@WSH· 2-for-6
2TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #101
T58
J.P. CrawfordSS
SEA@PIT· 2-for-5
2TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #105
T58
Nick Gonzales3B
PITvsSEA· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #106
T58
Endy RodríguezC
PITvsSEA· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #109
T58
Matt VierlingCF
DETvsNYY· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #117
T58
Josh Naylor1B
SEA@PIT· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #124
T58
Jasson DomínguezRF
NYY@DET· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #131
T58
Anthony Seigler2B
BOS@COL· 2-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #140
T58
Brice Turang2B
MIL@CIN· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #147
T58
Luke RaleyRF
SEA@PIT· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #149
T58
Salvador PerezDH
KC@TB· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #153
T58
Xavier Edwards2B
MIAvsTEX· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #163
T58
Gabriel Rincones Jr.RF
PHI@WSH· 2-for-5
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #167
T58
LuJames Groover1B
AZ@STL· 1-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #171
T58
Max Muncy3B
LAD@MIN· 1-for-6
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #173
T58
Mookie BettsSS
LAD@MIN· 2-for-6
2TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #193
T58
Nolan Arenado3B
AZ@STL· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #197
T58
Anthony VolpeSS
NYY@DET· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #218
T58
Michael Massey2B
KC@TB· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #224
T58
Carson KellyC
CHC@NYM· 1-for-2
2TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #228
T58
Justin CrawfordCF
PHI@WSH· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #236
T58
J.T. RealmutoC
PHI@WSH· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #238
T58
Ben MalgeriRF
DETvsNYY· 2-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #241
T58
Alejandro OsunaLF
TEX@MIA· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #242
T58
Tyler TolbertSS
KC@TB· 2-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #245
T58
Andrés GiménezSS
TORvsHOU· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #250
T58
Austin WellsC
NYY@DET· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #253
T58
Raynel Delgado2B
HOU@TOR· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #254
T58
Nico Hoerner2B
CHC@NYM· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #256
T58
Kameron MisnerCF
KC@TB· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #259
T58
Alec Burleson1B
STLvsAZ· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #261
T58
Alex Freeland2B
LAD@MIN· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #263
T58
Steven KwanLF
CLE@CWS· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #264
T58
Chuckie RobinsonC
LAD@MIN· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #265
106
Ceddanne RafaelaCF
BOS@COL· 1-for-5
1TBFinal
Proj 1.9 TB, #3
T106
Hunter GoodmanC
COLvsBOS· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.9 TB, #8
T106
Gunnar HendersonSS
BAL@LAA· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #9
T106
Jackson ChourioLF
MIL@CIN· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 2.0 TB, #10
T106
Jake McCarthyLF
COLvsBOS· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.9 TB, #11
T106
Luis Arraez2B
SFvsATH· 1-for-2
1TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #14
T106
Colson MontgomerySS
CWSvsCLE· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #29
T106
Gabriel MorenoC
AZ@STL· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #31
T106
Willson Contreras1B
BOS@COL· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #33
T106
Spencer Horwitz1B
PITvsSEA· 1-for-5
1TBFinal
Proj 1.9 TB, #36
T106
Carson BengeRF
NYMvsCHC· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.9 TB, #39
T106
Vaughn Grissom2B
LAAvsBAL· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #44
T106
Bryan ReynoldsLF
PITvsSEA· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #49
T106
Rafael Devers1B
SFvsATH· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #52
T106
Caleb Durbin3B
BOS@COL· 1-for-5
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #53
T106
Paul Goldschmidt1B
NYY@DET· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #56
T106
George SpringerDH
TORvsHOU· 1-for-5
1TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #58
T106
Leody TaverasCF
BAL@LAA· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #59
T106
Wyatt LangfordLF
TEX@MIA· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #66
T106
William ContrerasC
MIL@CIN· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #71
T106
Royce Lewis1B
MINvsLAD· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #73
T106
Jo AdellRF
LAAvsBAL· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #74
T106
Jonny DeLucaRF
TBvsKC· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #81
T106
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.1B
TORvsHOU· 1-for-6
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #82
T106
Cedric MullinsCF
TBvsKC· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #97
T106
Seiya SuzukiRF
CHC@NYM· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #99
T106
Nathaniel Lowe1B
CINvsMIL· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #102
T106
Bryce Harper1B
PHI@WSH· 1-for-5
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #103
T106
Jeremiah Jackson2B
BAL@LAA· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #104
T106
Jesús SánchezRF
TORvsHOU· 1-for-5
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #112
T106
Josh BellDH
MINvsLAD· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #113
T106
Manny Machado3B
SDvsATL· 1-for-5
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #114
T106
Alec Bohm3B
PHI@WSH· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #120
T106
Matt Chapman3B
SFvsATH· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #121
T106
Carter JensenC
KC@TB· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #134
T106
Ryan O'HearnRF
PITvsSEA· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #136
T106
Andrés Chaparro1B
WSHvsPHI· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #145
T106
Ian HappLF
CHC@NYM· 1-for-5
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #150
T106
Austin MartinRF
MINvsLAD· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #152
T106
José CaballeroSS
NYY@DET· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #156
T106
Richie Palacios2B
TBvsKC· 1-for-5
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #157
T106
José FermínLF
STLvsAZ· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #159
T106
Tommy Edman2B
LAD@MIN· 1-for-5
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #166
T106
Colt EmersonSS
SEA@PIT· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #168
T106
Marcell OzunaDH
PITvsSEA· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #169
T106
Max Muncy3B
ATH@SF· 1-for-2
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #177
T106
Dominic SmithDH
ATL@SD· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #179
T106
Connor WongC
BOS@COL· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #189
T106
Matt ShawRF
CHC@NYM· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #194
T106
Rowdy Tellez1B
ATL@SD· 1-for-5
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #196
T106
Ezequiel DuranSS
TEX@MIA· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #198
T106
Nasim Nuñez2B
WSHvsPHI· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #201
T106
Spencer JonesRF
NYY@DET· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #204
T106
Jose SiriCF
LAAvsBAL· 1-for-2
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #206
T106
Christian Moore2B
LAAvsBAL· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #210
T106
Hao-Yu Lee2B
DETvsNYY· 1-for-2
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #211
T106
Rodolfo DuránC
SDvsATL· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #216
T106
Myles StrawCF
TORvsHOU· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #221
T106
Taylor WallsSS
TBvsKC· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #222
T106
Sung-Mun Song2B
SDvsATL· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #229
T106
Petey HalpinCF
CLE@CWS· 1-for-1
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #232
T106
Brett Baty3B
NYMvsCHC· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #237
T106
Jose TrevinoC
CINvsMIL· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #244
T106
Zach McKinstry2B
DETvsNYY· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #257
T106
Ryan KreidlerSS
MINvsLAD· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #258
T106
Kyle HigashiokaC
TEX@MIA· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.2 TB, #270
T106
Eli WhiteRF
ATL@SD· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB
T106
Jimmy CrooksC
STLvsAZ· 1-for-2
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB
T106
Derek HillCF
PHI@WSH· 1-for-1
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB

Best MLB Total Bases Matchups — Tuesday, June 23, 2026

Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) is the top total bases matchup on the Tuesday, June 23, 2026 board at 100, with Zach Neto (LAA) and Ceddanne Rafaela (BOS) right behind. Every hitter on the slate is ranked by total-base upside — the best power and extra-base spots — raw power, the arm and bullpen they face, batting order, park, and weather. It's the read DFS and prop players make before lock.

Top total bases spot: Pete Crow-Armstrong

Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) tops the board at 100, facing RHP Kodai Senga. The lefty is racking up bases at .493 TB/PA against righties this year — and .864 over the last two weeks, an excellent bat that turns into a total base in about 53% of his trips. And Kodai Senga has been tough on righties lately — .000 total bases per batter faced. The bullpen behind him is roughly average to that side. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.7 trips, so the volume's there. He's just .000 in 2 career PA against Kodai Senga, but that's a tiny sample and the matchup says regression. It all sets up in a neutral park, though the weather fights it.

The rest of the top of the board

Zach Neto (LAA) (100) vs RHP Shane Baz: a strong bat at .429 into an arm tough on the same side (.222).
Ceddanne Rafaela (BOS) (100) vs LHP Sean Sullivan: a strong bat at .432 into an arm with little track record against the same side, hitter's park.
Travis Bazzana (CLE) (100) vs RHP Sean Burke: a strong bat at .478 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.424), hot bat.
TJ Rumfield (COL) (99) vs RHP Sonny Gray: an excellent bat at .487 into an arm mostly containing the same side (.320), hitter's park, hot bat.
Pete Alonso (BAL) (98) vs RHP Ryan Johnson: a strong bat at .444 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.636).
Ozzie Albies (ATL) (97) vs LHP Wandy Peralta: a strong bat at .458 into an arm tough on the same side (.235).
Hunter Goodman (COL) (96) vs RHP Sonny Gray: a strong bat at .446 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.480), hitter's park.

Arms giving up extra bases today

RHP Shane Bieber has been getting squared up by righties — .481 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Jose Altuve (HOU), Christian Walker (HOU), and Yordan Alvarez (HOU).
RHP Ryan Johnson has been getting squared up by righties — .442 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Pete Alonso (BAL), Gunnar Henderson (BAL), and Samuel Basallo (BAL).
RHP Edward Cabrera has been vulnerable to righties — .415 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Juan Soto (NYM), Carson Benge (NYM), and Bo Bichette (NYM).
RHP Peter Lambert has been vulnerable to righties — .399 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: George Springer (TOR), Kazuma Okamoto (TOR), and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR).

Platoon edges to target

Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) — lefty bat vs RHP, .493 against righties this year.
Ceddanne Rafaela (BOS) — righty bat vs LHP, .515 against lefties this year.
Travis Bazzana (CLE) — lefty bat vs RHP, .515 against righties this year.
TJ Rumfield (COL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .469 against righties this year.
Ozzie Albies (ATL) — righty bat vs LHP, .496 against lefties this year.

Best parks for total bases today

Coors Field is playing as a real hitter's park today (+6% extra-base park). Top bat there: Ceddanne Rafaela (BOS) at 100.

How it played out

8 of the top 10 total bases matchups landed at least one total base. Top play Pete Crow-Armstrong finished with 4 total bases. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.

How to read these total bases matchups

Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's total bases per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.

Keep reading

What the total bases board is

The Total Bases board projects how many bases a hitter racks up vs the posted total-bases line. One statistical model scores every matchup on the slate the same way — a star and a backup judged on the matchup in front of them, not their name — and every number is graded against the real box score once the games go final.

How the model gets its number

It isn't a gut call or a name game. The projection is built from a few things:

His extra-base pop vs this arm.
The park.
Recent contact quality.

Those pieces combine into one number, and the model re-tunes itself weekly against how its past calls actually landed.

Is there a betting edge here?

Total bases grades right at break-even even when we tune it to the hilt — the book prices the marginal leans efficiently. Transparency board.

How to use it

See who the model projects for extra-base damage; no systematic edge to bet.

Everything here is a research signal from the model, graded in public — not betting advice, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Learn more: How the model works · The picks story · Today's plays

Frequently asked questions

Who has the best total bases matchup today (Tuesday, June 23, 2026)?: Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) — top of the board at 100, facing RHP Kodai Senga. An excellent bat into a beatable arm is what pushes it to No. 1.
What are the best MLB total bases matchups today (Tuesday, June 23, 2026)?: The top total bases matchups on Tuesday, June 23, 2026: Pete Crow-Armstrong (100), Zach Neto (100), Ceddanne Rafaela (100), Travis Bazzana (100), TJ Rumfield (99). The full board ranks every hitter in every game by total bases upside.
Did the top total bases matchup get a total base on Tuesday, June 23, 2026?: Yes — Pete Crow-Armstrong got 4 total bases.
Which hitters have a platoon edge today?: Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) — lefty bat vs RHP, .493 against righties this year. Ceddanne Rafaela (BOS) — righty bat vs LHP, .515 against lefties this year. Travis Bazzana (CLE) — lefty bat vs RHP, .515 against righties this year. TJ Rumfield (COL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .469 against righties this year. Ozzie Albies (ATL) — righty bat vs LHP, .496 against lefties this year.
Which parks favor total bases today?: Coors Field is playing as a real hitter's park today (+6% extra-base park). Top bat there: Ceddanne Rafaela (BOS) at 100.
Which pitchers are most vulnerable today?: RHP Shane Bieber has been getting squared up by righties — .481 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Jose Altuve (HOU), Christian Walker (HOU), and Yordan Alvarez (HOU). RHP Ryan Johnson has been getting squared up by righties — .442 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Pete Alonso (BAL), Gunnar Henderson (BAL), and Samuel Basallo (BAL). RHP Edward Cabrera has been vulnerable to righties — .415 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Juan Soto (NYM), Carson Benge (NYM), and Bo Bichette (NYM). RHP Peter Lambert has been vulnerable to righties — .399 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: George Springer (TOR), Kazuma Okamoto (TOR), and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR).
How is the total bases matchup score calculated?: It's his bases-per-trip rate against that hand, recent form weighted heaviest, over a two-year baseline. Because this counts extra-base damage, slug matters as much as contact. Then the bullpen, order spot, and the yard. 0–100 across the slate.
What does TB/PA mean?: Total bases is 1 for a single, 2 for a double, 3 for a triple, 4 for a homer — so it rewards power, not just contact. Per plate appearance, around .37 is league average; .50+ is big-time slug. It's the cleanest power matchup we run: both the bat's slug and the arm's slug-against are real.
What does the score actually mean?: Higher is better. Total bases rewards the guys who do damage rather than just make contact, so this board leans slugger where the hits board leans average. It ranks today's spots, not the odds of any particular number.
What's the confidence meter?: It's how much data is behind the call — sample size on both the hitter and the pitcher, plus whether the lineup's official. A high score with low confidence is a thinner read than the same score backed by a deep track record. It's not a probability of a total base.
What is a platoon split (handedness split)?: Total bases blends contact and power, so the platoon gap cuts twice: the opposite hand means both more balls in play and more of them driven. A hitter with a big split can swing a full base per game between the two matchups.
What are park factors?: Every extra foot of outfield is a base. Gaps and altitude turn singles into doubles and doubles into triples, while a small park trades the same batted ball for a home run. Above 1.00 bumps the score, below 1.00 trims it.
What do "2W", "SZN" and "2Y" mean?: The timeframes behind each rate: the last two weeks (recent form), the current season, and a trailing two years (a stable baseline). Recent form counts most, and small samples get pulled toward league average so a hot week doesn't fool the model.
What do "≈ est", "Due" and "Not starting" mean?: "≈ est" is a hitter we don't have splits for yet — a rookie or unmatched ID — shown at a league-baseline estimate instead of dropped. "Due" means he hasn't recorded a total base in a while and profiles for regression. "Not starting" means he was projected but didn't make the official lineup, so he slides to the bottom where you can still look him up.
Can I use this for total bases props or DFS?: That's what it's built for — pre-slate research. The board surfaces which hitters have the best conditions today, and where one exists, we show the book's "1+ total base" line so you can shop the price. We're not a sportsbook and we don't post picks — we show the matchup data, the line, and the result. (Best-price and all-book odds are a Pro feature.)
How accurate is the model?: We grade every board against the box score. Total bases is one of the steadier props we publish — more ways to clear the line means less variance — and the top of the board beats the slate consistently. Every past date is auditable.
When do lineups update?: Projected lineups (marked "Proj") come from each team's last game. Official lineups usually drop about two hours before first pitch, and the board updates itself as they post. Batting order is a big driver, so it's worth a second look mid-afternoon — rankings shift as lineups lock.
Is MatchWiz free?: Yes. The full board, every game page, and the daily archive are free, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.