Who has the best total bases matchup today (Wednesday, June 24, 2026)?

Ketel Marte (AZ) — top of the board at 100, facing LHP Matthew Liberatore. A strong bat into a beatable arm is what pushes it to No. 1.

What are the best MLB total bases matchups today (Wednesday, June 24, 2026)?

The top total bases matchups on Wednesday, June 24, 2026: Ketel Marte (100), Ozzie Albies (100), Pete Crow-Armstrong (100), Nick Kurtz (98), Ceddanne Rafaela (96). The full board ranks every hitter in every game by total bases upside.

Did the top total bases matchup get a total base on Wednesday, June 24, 2026?

Yes — Ketel Marte got 5 total bases.

Which hitters have a platoon edge today?

Ketel Marte (AZ) — righty bat vs LHP, .490 against lefties this year. Ozzie Albies (ATL) — righty bat vs LHP, .496 against lefties this year. Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) — lefty bat vs RHP, .500 against righties this year. Nick Kurtz (ATH) — lefty bat vs RHP, .448 against righties this year. Ceddanne Rafaela (BOS) — righty bat vs LHP, .486 against lefties this year.

Which pitchers are most vulnerable today?

LHP Matthew Liberatore has been getting squared up by lefties — .508 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Ketel Marte (AZ), Corbin Carroll (AZ), and Tommy Troy (AZ). LHP Kyle Freeland has been getting squared up by lefties — .455 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Ceddanne Rafaela (BOS), Nate Eaton (BOS), and Wilyer Abreu (BOS). RHP Aaron Nola has been getting squared up by righties — .432 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Luis García Jr. (WSH), James Wood (WSH), and CJ Abrams (WSH). LHP JP Sears has been getting squared up by lefties — .429 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Ozzie Albies (ATL), Mauricio Dubón (ATL), and Michael Harris II (ATL).

How is the total bases matchup score calculated?

It's his bases-per-trip rate against that hand, recent form weighted heaviest, over a two-year baseline. Because this counts extra-base damage, slug matters as much as contact. Then the bullpen, order spot, and the yard. 0–100 across the slate.

What does TB/PA mean?

Total bases is 1 for a single, 2 for a double, 3 for a triple, 4 for a homer — so it rewards power, not just contact. Per plate appearance, around .37 is league average; .50+ is big-time slug. It's the cleanest power matchup we run: both the bat's slug and the arm's slug-against are real.

What does the score actually mean?

Higher is better. Total bases rewards the guys who do damage rather than just make contact, so this board leans slugger where the hits board leans average. It ranks today's spots, not the odds of any particular number.

What's the confidence meter?

It's how much data is behind the call — sample size on both the hitter and the pitcher, plus whether the lineup's official. A high score with low confidence is a thinner read than the same score backed by a deep track record. It's not a probability of a total base.

What is a platoon split (handedness split)?

Total bases blends contact and power, so the platoon gap cuts twice: the opposite hand means both more balls in play and more of them driven. A hitter with a big split can swing a full base per game between the two matchups.

What are park factors?

Every extra foot of outfield is a base. Gaps and altitude turn singles into doubles and doubles into triples, while a small park trades the same batted ball for a home run. Above 1.00 bumps the score, below 1.00 trims it.

What do "2W", "SZN" and "2Y" mean?

The timeframes behind each rate: the last two weeks (recent form), the current season, and a trailing two years (a stable baseline). Recent form counts most, and small samples get pulled toward league average so a hot week doesn't fool the model.

What do "≈ est", "Due" and "Not starting" mean?

"≈ est" is a hitter we don't have splits for yet — a rookie or unmatched ID — shown at a league-baseline estimate instead of dropped. "Due" means he hasn't recorded a total base in a while and profiles for regression. "Not starting" means he was projected but didn't make the official lineup, so he slides to the bottom where you can still look him up.

Can I use this for total bases props or DFS?

That's what it's built for — pre-slate research. The board surfaces which hitters have the best conditions today, and where one exists, we show the book's "1+ total base" line so you can shop the price. We're not a sportsbook and we don't post picks — we show the matchup data, the line, and the result. (Best-price and all-book odds are a Pro feature.)

How accurate is the model?

We grade every board against the box score. Total bases is one of the steadier props we publish — more ways to clear the line means less variance — and the top of the board beats the slate consistently. Every past date is auditable.

When do lineups update?

Projected lineups (marked "Proj") come from each team's last game. Official lineups usually drop about two hours before first pitch, and the board updates itself as they post. Batting order is a big driver, so it's worth a second look mid-afternoon — rankings shift as lineups lock.

Yes. The full board, every game page, and the daily archive are free, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.

Best MLB total bases matchups — Wednesday, June 24, 2026

Every hitter on the Wednesday, June 24, 2026 slate — ranked by total-base upside — the best power and extra-base spots. Results show how each call played out.

How the model did — Wednesday, June 24, 2026

Our top 5 hitters went 2/5 (40%) on our total-bases over/under, against 50% on the season.

Top 5

2/540%

season 50%

Top 10

4/1040%

season 50%

Full slate

140/28449%

season 51%

Top call Ketel Marte came through. Ozzie Albies didn't.

Each hitter below carries a 0–100 matchup score — a read on the spot in front of him, not a ranking of how good he is, so a star in a brutal matchup can sit below an average hitter in a soft one. Confidence next to it is coverage: how much real data backs the number. Every call here was graded against the box score — wins and misses both, with the record on this page. How this board is built →

Final · 2–4

TEXaway

MIAhomeTop matchup69 Final · 10–3

CHCaway

NYMhomeTop matchup100 Final · 4–3

CLEaway

CWShomeTop matchup90 Final · 6–8

BOSaway

COLhomeTop matchup96 Final · 6–7

BALaway

LAAhomeTop matchup59 Final · 1–11

SEAaway

PIThomeTop matchup70 Final · 3–5

KCaway

TBhomeTop matchup75 Final · 4–2

NYYaway

DEThomeTop matchup78 Final · 5–4

PHIaway

WSHhomeTop matchup85 Final · 3–1

HOUaway

TORhomeTop matchup85 Final · 10–5

CHCaway

NYMhomeTop matchup70 Final · 6–5

MILaway

CINhomeTop matchup69 Final · 4–3

LADaway

MINhomeTop matchup94 Final · 9–4

AZaway

STLhomeTop matchup100 Final · 2–5

ATLaway

SDhomeTop matchup100 Final · 1–2

ATHaway

SFhomeTop matchup98

Not starting79 not in the official lineup — moved to the bottom

PosSort

#Hitter · Matchup · 367 shownScore

178 with a TBLive count — updates as games play

1
Paul Goldschmidt1B
NYY@DET· 2-for-4
8TBFinal
Proj 1.9 TB, #16
T1
Samuel BasalloC
BAL@LAA· 2-for-5
8TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #140
T1
Dansby SwansonSS
CHC@NYM· 2-for-4
8TBFinal
Proj 1.2 TB, #286
4
Mookie BettsSS
LAD@MIN· 3-for-4
7TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #143
T4
Ryan O'HearnRF
PITvsSEA· 4-for-5
7TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #150
6
Ceddanne RafaelaCF
BOS@COL· 3-for-5
6TBFinal
Proj 2.0 TB, #5
T6
Bo Bichette3B
NYMvsCHC· 2-for-4
6TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #96
T6
William ContrerasC
MIL@CIN· 3-for-3
6TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #164
T6
Nico Hoerner2B
CHC@NYM· 3-for-5
6TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #171
T6
A.J. EwingCF
NYMvsCHC· 2-for-3
6TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #260
T6
Ty France1B
SDvsATL· 2-for-3
6TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #279
12
Ketel Marte2B
AZ@STL· 2-for-5
5TBFinal
Proj 2.1 TB, #1
T12
Wyatt LangfordLF
TEX@MIA· 2-for-4
5TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #32
T12
Otto LopezSS
MIAvsTEX· 2-for-3
5TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #56
T12
Spencer Steer1B
CINvsMIL· 2-for-5
5TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #142
T12
Francisco AlvarezC
NYMvsCHC· 2-for-3
5TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #148
T12
Connor WongC
BOS@COL· 2-for-4
5TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #156
T12
Joey BartC
ATL@SD· 2-for-4
5TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #163
T12
Jake Bauers1B
MIL@CIN· 2-for-4
5TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #175
T12
José FermínLF
STLvsAZ· 2-for-3
5TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #198
T12
Dansby SwansonSS
CHC@NYM· 3-for-5
5TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #200
T12
Victor BericotoLF
SFvsATH· 2-for-4
5TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #239
23
Luis García Jr.1B
WSHvsPHI· 1-for-3
4TBFinal
Proj 2.0 TB, #12
T23
Nathan LukesRF
TORvsHOU· 1-for-3
4TBFinal
Proj 1.9 TB, #25
T23
Mark Vientos1B
NYMvsCHC· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #54
T23
Yandy DíazDH
TBvsKC· 4-for-5
4TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #58
T23
Pete Alonso1B
BAL@LAA· 3-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #93
T23
Joc PedersonDH
TEX@MIA· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #94
T23
Jorge SolerDH
LAAvsBAL· 1-for-3
4TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #105
T23
Andruw MonasterioSS
BOS@COL· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #110
T23
Jared Young1B
NYMvsCHC· 1-for-2
4TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #116
T23
Jasson DomínguezRF
NYY@DET· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #127
T23
Michael Busch1B
CHC@NYM· 1-for-3
4TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #144
T23
Max Muncy3B
ATH@SF· 1-for-3
4TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #160
T23
Rafael Devers1B
SFvsATH· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #166
T23
LuJames Groover1B
AZ@STL· 1-for-3
4TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #178
T23
Braden MontgomeryRF
CWSvsCLE· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #203
T23
Eugenio SuárezDH
CINvsMIL· 2-for-3
4TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #204
T23
Jorbit Vivas3B
WSHvsPHI· 1-for-2
4TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #208
T23
Pedro Ramírez2B
CHC@NYM· 3-for-5
4TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #218
T23
Francisco AlvarezC
NYMvsCHC· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #220
T23
Randal GrichukDH
CWSvsCLE· 1-for-2
4TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB
T23
Curtis Mead3B
WSHvsPHI· 1-for-2
4TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB
44
Tommy TroyLF
AZ@STL· 2-for-5
3TBFinal
Proj 1.9 TB, #19
T44
Jackson ChourioLF
MIL@CIN· 2-for-5
3TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #34
T44
Carson BengeRF
NYMvsCHC· 2-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #38
T44
Bryan ReynoldsLF
PITvsSEA· 2-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #47
T44
Anthony Seigler2B
BOS@COL· 2-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #50
T44
Sal Stewart1B
CINvsMIL· 2-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #57
T44
TJ Rumfield1B
COLvsBOS· 2-for-5
3TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #59
T44
Willi Castro2B
COLvsBOS· 3-for-5
3TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #62
T44
Brice Turang2B
MIL@CIN· 1-for-5
3TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #65
T44
Kyle Stowers1B
MIAvsTEX· 1-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #68
T44
Brandon MarshLF
PHI@WSH· 3-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #81
T44
José TenaDH
WSHvsPHI· 1-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #101
T44
Blake DunnCF
CINvsMIL· 2-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #107
T44
Michael Massey2B
KC@TB· 2-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #108
T44
Kevin McGonigleSS
DETvsNYY· 2-for-5
3TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #117
T44
Jung Hoo LeeRF
SFvsATH· 2-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #125
T44
Endy RodríguezC
PITvsSEA· 2-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #133
T44
Trea TurnerSS
PHI@WSH· 2-for-5
3TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #138
T44
Josh Naylor1B
SEA@PIT· 2-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #149
T44
Cole CarriggCF
COLvsBOS· 2-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #151
T44
Tyler CallihanLF
PITvsSEA· 1-for-3
3TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #170
T44
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.LF
AZ@STL· 2-for-5
3TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #193
T44
Jonathan Aranda1B
TBvsKC· 2-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #195
T44
Joey LoperfidoLF
HOU@TOR· 1-for-3
3TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #199
T44
Taylor WardDH
BAL@LAA· 2-for-5
3TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #211
T44
Lars NootbaarLF
STLvsAZ· 1-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #224
T44
Blaze Jordan3B
STLvsAZ· 2-for-3
3TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #238
T44
Tristan GraySS
MINvsLAD· 2-for-3
3TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #276
72
Mauricio DubónLF
ATL@SD· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.9 TB, #8
T72
Shohei OhtaniTWP
LAD@MIN· 2-for-5
2TBFinal
Proj 2.0 TB, #9
T72
Willson Contreras1B
BOS@COL· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.9 TB, #17
T72
Matt Olson1B
ATL@SD· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #18
T72
Freddie Freeman1B
LAD@MIN· 2-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.9 TB, #28
T72
Daulton VarshoCF
TORvsHOU· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #36
T72
CJ AbramsSS
WSHvsPHI· 1-for-2
2TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #49
T72
Donovan Walton2B
LAAvsBAL· 1-for-5
2TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #61
T72
Jonny DeLucaRF
TBvsKC· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #77
T72
Henry BolteCF
ATH@SF· 1-for-2
2TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #87
T72
Jake McCarthyLF
COLvsBOS· 2-for-5
2TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #88
T72
Cody BellingerLF
NYY@DET· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #89
T72
Samad TaylorLF
SDvsATL· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #104
T72
Nick Gonzales3B
PITvsSEA· 2-for-5
2TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #106
T72
Wade MecklerLF
LAAvsBAL· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #113
T72
Miguel Vargas3B
CWSvsCLE· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #114
T72
Max Muncy3B
LAD@MIN· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #118
T72
Ben RiceDH
NYY@DET· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #119
T72
Nolan Arenado3B
AZ@STL· 1-for-5
2TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #120
T72
Isaac Paredes3B
HOU@TOR· 1-for-5
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #126
T72
Carson KellyC
CHC@NYM· 1-for-5
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #128
T72
Tyler FreemanRF
COLvsBOS· 2-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #131
T72
Kahlil WatsonRF
CLE@CWS· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #134
T72
Griffin ConineRF
MIAvsTEX· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #135
T72
Carlos NarváezC
BOS@COL· 1-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #139
T72
Colson MontgomerySS
CWSvsCLE· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #141
T72
Michael ConfortoDH
CHC@NYM· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #146
T72
John RaveRF
KC@TB· 1-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #152
T72
Bryson Stott2B
PHI@WSH· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #159
T72
Ildemaro Vargas1B
AZ@STL· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #161
T72
Julio RodríguezCF
SEA@PIT· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #165
T72
Ian HappLF
CHC@NYM· 1-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #169
T72
Cole Young2B
SEA@PIT· 1-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #181
T72
Victor CaratiniC
MINvsLAD· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #185
T72
Hao-Yu Lee2B
DETvsNYY· 2-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #192
T72
Spencer Torkelson1B
DETvsNYY· 1-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #196
T72
Jacob GonzalezSS
CWSvsCLE· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #234
T72
Sal FrelickRF
MIL@CIN· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #236
T72
Taylor WallsSS
TBvsKC· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #248
T72
Xander BogaertsSS
SDvsATL· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #251
T72
Alex Freeland2B
LAD@MIN· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #267
T72
Steven KwanLF
CLE@CWS· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #278
T72
Nico Hoerner2B
CHC@NYM· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.2 TB, #284
T72
Jase BowenRF
SDvsATL· 1-for-2
2TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #285
T72
Andrew Vaughn1B
MIL@CIN· 1-for-1
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB
117
Ozzie Albies2B
ATL@SD· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 2.0 TB, #2
T117
Pete Crow-ArmstrongCF
CHC@NYM· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 2.1 TB, #3
T117
Corbin CarrollRF
AZ@STL· 1-for-5
1TBFinal
Proj 2.0 TB, #14
T117
Carter JensenC
KC@TB· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.9 TB, #21
T117
Brandon Lowe2B
PITvsSEA· 1-for-5
1TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #31
T117
Sam AntonacciLF
CWSvsCLE· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #33
T117
Jordan WalkerRF
STLvsAZ· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #41
T117
Gabriel MorenoC
AZ@STL· 1-for-2
1TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #42
T117
Jeremy PeñaSS
HOU@TOR· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #45
T117
Geraldo PerdomoSS
AZ@STL· 1-for-5
1TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #46
T117
Elly De La CruzSS
CINvsMIL· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #53
T117
Pete Crow-ArmstrongCF
CHC@NYM· 1-for-5
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #64
T117
Brayan RocchioSS
CLE@CWS· 1-for-5
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #78
T117
Kyle Manzardo1B
CLE@CWS· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #85
T117
Xavier Edwards2B
MIAvsTEX· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #86
T117
Bo Bichette3B
NYMvsCHC· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #90
T117
Brooks Lee3B
MINvsLAD· 1-for-2
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #91
T117
Cal RaleighC
SEA@PIT· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #97
T117
Matt VierlingCF
DETvsNYY· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #99
T117
J.P. CrawfordSS
SEA@PIT· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #109
T117
Owen CaissieRF
MIAvsTEX· 1-for-2
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #111
T117
Jake Burger1B
TEX@MIA· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #121
T117
Garrett MitchellCF
MIL@CIN· 1-for-2
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #123
T117
Jacob WilsonSS
ATH@SF· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #129
T117
Ryan KreidlerSS
MINvsLAD· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #130
T117
Yainer DiazC
HOU@TOR· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #132
T117
Daylen LileLF
WSHvsPHI· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #136
T117
Kyle TeelC
CWSvsCLE· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #145
T117
Luis Urías2B
TORvsHOU· 1-for-2
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #155
T117
Rhys Hoskins1B
CLE@CWS· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #157
T117
Isaac CollinsLF
KC@TB· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #158
T117
Christian Moore2B
LAAvsBAL· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #184
T117
Gabriel Rincones Jr.RF
PHI@WSH· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #187
T117
Royce Lewis1B
MINvsLAD· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #197
T117
Colton CowserCF
BAL@LAA· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #202
T117
Riley GreeneLF
DETvsNYY· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #207
T117
Marcus Semien2B
NYMvsCHC· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #209
T117
Masyn WinnSS
STLvsAZ· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #213
T117
Jake MangumCF
PITvsSEA· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #216
T117
Eric Wagaman1B
NYMvsCHC· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #228
T117
Kyle Karros3B
COLvsBOS· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #230
T117
Chase Meidroth2B
CWSvsCLE· 1-for-5
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #231
T117
Nick FortesC
TBvsKC· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #232
T117
Josh LoweLF
LAAvsBAL· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #240
T117
MJ MelendezDH
NYMvsCHC· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #243
T117
Miguel AmayaC
CHC@NYM· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #247
T117
Alejandro OsunaLF
TEX@MIA· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #254
T117
Chandler SimpsonLF
TBvsKC· 1-for-2
1TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #261
T117
Nicky Lopez2B
TEX@MIA· 1-for-1
1TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #262
T117
Tyler TolbertSS
KC@TB· 1-for-2
1TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #270
T117
Jonah CoxCF
SFvsATH· 1-for-2
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #282
T117
Zach McKinstry2B
DETvsNYY· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #283
T117
Coby Mayo3B
BAL@LAA· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.2 TB, #288
T117
Mickey MoniakLF
COLvsBOS· 1-for-1
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB
T117
Vaughn Grissom2B
LAAvsBAL· 1-for-2
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB
T117
Logan O'HoppeC
LAAvsBAL· 1-for-1
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB
T117
Austin MartinRF
MINvsLAD· 1-for-1
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB
T117
Troy JohnstonRF
COLvsBOS· 1-for-1
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB
T117
Petey HalpinCF
CLE@CWS· 1-for-2
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB
T117
Edwin Arroyo2B
CINvsMIL· 1-for-2
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB
T117
Jose TrevinoC
CINvsMIL· 1-for-1
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB
T117
Alec Burleson1B
STLvsAZ· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB

Best MLB Total Bases Matchups — Wednesday, June 24, 2026

Ketel Marte (AZ) is the top total bases matchup on the Wednesday, June 24, 2026 board at 100, with Ozzie Albies (ATL) and Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) right behind. Every hitter on the slate is ranked by total-base upside — the best power and extra-base spots — raw power, the arm and bullpen they face, batting order, park, and weather. It's the read DFS and prop players make before lock.

Top total bases spot: Ketel Marte

Ketel Marte (AZ) tops the board at 100, facing LHP Matthew Liberatore. The righty is racking up bases at .490 TB/PA against lefties this year — and .450 over the last two weeks, a strong bat that turns into a total base in about 43% of his trips. And Matthew Liberatore has been getting squared up by lefties lately — 1.120 total bases per batter faced. One catch: the bullpen behind him has been stingy to that side late. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.7 trips, so the volume's there. He's owned Matthew Liberatore too — .333 across 3 career trips. It all sets up in a neutral park, weather helping.

The rest of the top of the board

Ozzie Albies (ATL) (100) vs LHP JP Sears: a strong bat at .451 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) (100) vs RHP Nolan McLean: an elite bat at .552 into an arm tough on the same side (.263), hot bat.
Nick Kurtz (ATH) (98) vs RHP Tyler Mahle: a strong bat at .460 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
Ceddanne Rafaela (BOS) (96) vs LHP Kyle Freeland: a solid bat at .417 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.488), hitter's park.
Byron Buxton (MIN) (94) vs RHP Shohei Ohtani: an excellent bat at .528 into an arm with little track record against the same side, hot bat.
Nate Eaton (BOS) (93) vs LHP Kyle Freeland: a solid bat at .390 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.488), hitter's park.
Mauricio Dubón (ATL) (91) vs LHP JP Sears: a solid bat at .392 into an arm with little track record against the same side.

Arms giving up extra bases today

LHP Matthew Liberatore has been getting squared up by lefties — .508 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Ketel Marte (AZ), Corbin Carroll (AZ), and Tommy Troy (AZ).
LHP Kyle Freeland has been getting squared up by lefties — .455 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Ceddanne Rafaela (BOS), Nate Eaton (BOS), and Wilyer Abreu (BOS).
RHP Aaron Nola has been getting squared up by righties — .432 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Luis García Jr. (WSH), James Wood (WSH), and CJ Abrams (WSH).
LHP JP Sears has been getting squared up by lefties — .429 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Ozzie Albies (ATL), Mauricio Dubón (ATL), and Michael Harris II (ATL).

Platoon edges to target

Ketel Marte (AZ) — righty bat vs LHP, .490 against lefties this year.
Ozzie Albies (ATL) — righty bat vs LHP, .496 against lefties this year.
Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) — lefty bat vs RHP, .500 against righties this year.
Nick Kurtz (ATH) — lefty bat vs RHP, .448 against righties this year.
Ceddanne Rafaela (BOS) — righty bat vs LHP, .486 against lefties this year.

Best parks for total bases today

Coors Field is playing as a real hitter's park today (+6% extra-base park). Top bat there: Ceddanne Rafaela (BOS) at 96.

How it played out

6 of the top 10 total bases matchups landed at least one total base. Top play Ketel Marte finished with 5 total bases. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.

How to read these total bases matchups

Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's total bases per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.

Keep reading

What the total bases board is

The Total Bases board projects how many bases a hitter racks up vs the posted total-bases line. One statistical model scores every matchup on the slate the same way — a star and a backup judged on the matchup in front of them, not their name — and every number is graded against the real box score once the games go final.

How the model gets its number

It isn't a gut call or a name game. The projection is built from a few things:

His extra-base pop vs this arm.
The park.
Recent contact quality.

Those pieces combine into one number, and the model re-tunes itself weekly against how its past calls actually landed.

Is there a betting edge here?

Total bases grades right at break-even even when we tune it to the hilt — the book prices the marginal leans efficiently. Transparency board.

How to use it

See who the model projects for extra-base damage; no systematic edge to bet.

Everything here is a research signal from the model, graded in public — not betting advice, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Learn more: How the model works · The picks story · Today's plays

Frequently asked questions

Who has the best total bases matchup today (Wednesday, June 24, 2026)?: Ketel Marte (AZ) — top of the board at 100, facing LHP Matthew Liberatore. A strong bat into a beatable arm is what pushes it to No. 1.
What are the best MLB total bases matchups today (Wednesday, June 24, 2026)?: The top total bases matchups on Wednesday, June 24, 2026: Ketel Marte (100), Ozzie Albies (100), Pete Crow-Armstrong (100), Nick Kurtz (98), Ceddanne Rafaela (96). The full board ranks every hitter in every game by total bases upside.
Did the top total bases matchup get a total base on Wednesday, June 24, 2026?: Yes — Ketel Marte got 5 total bases.
Which hitters have a platoon edge today?: Ketel Marte (AZ) — righty bat vs LHP, .490 against lefties this year. Ozzie Albies (ATL) — righty bat vs LHP, .496 against lefties this year. Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) — lefty bat vs RHP, .500 against righties this year. Nick Kurtz (ATH) — lefty bat vs RHP, .448 against righties this year. Ceddanne Rafaela (BOS) — righty bat vs LHP, .486 against lefties this year.
Which parks favor total bases today?: Coors Field is playing as a real hitter's park today (+6% extra-base park). Top bat there: Ceddanne Rafaela (BOS) at 96.
Which pitchers are most vulnerable today?: LHP Matthew Liberatore has been getting squared up by lefties — .508 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Ketel Marte (AZ), Corbin Carroll (AZ), and Tommy Troy (AZ). LHP Kyle Freeland has been getting squared up by lefties — .455 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Ceddanne Rafaela (BOS), Nate Eaton (BOS), and Wilyer Abreu (BOS). RHP Aaron Nola has been getting squared up by righties — .432 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Luis García Jr. (WSH), James Wood (WSH), and CJ Abrams (WSH). LHP JP Sears has been getting squared up by lefties — .429 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Ozzie Albies (ATL), Mauricio Dubón (ATL), and Michael Harris II (ATL).
How is the total bases matchup score calculated?: It's his bases-per-trip rate against that hand, recent form weighted heaviest, over a two-year baseline. Because this counts extra-base damage, slug matters as much as contact. Then the bullpen, order spot, and the yard. 0–100 across the slate.
What does TB/PA mean?: Total bases is 1 for a single, 2 for a double, 3 for a triple, 4 for a homer — so it rewards power, not just contact. Per plate appearance, around .37 is league average; .50+ is big-time slug. It's the cleanest power matchup we run: both the bat's slug and the arm's slug-against are real.
What does the score actually mean?: Higher is better. Total bases rewards the guys who do damage rather than just make contact, so this board leans slugger where the hits board leans average. It ranks today's spots, not the odds of any particular number.
What's the confidence meter?: It's how much data is behind the call — sample size on both the hitter and the pitcher, plus whether the lineup's official. A high score with low confidence is a thinner read than the same score backed by a deep track record. It's not a probability of a total base.
What is a platoon split (handedness split)?: Total bases blends contact and power, so the platoon gap cuts twice: the opposite hand means both more balls in play and more of them driven. A hitter with a big split can swing a full base per game between the two matchups.
What are park factors?: Every extra foot of outfield is a base. Gaps and altitude turn singles into doubles and doubles into triples, while a small park trades the same batted ball for a home run. Above 1.00 bumps the score, below 1.00 trims it.
What do "2W", "SZN" and "2Y" mean?: The timeframes behind each rate: the last two weeks (recent form), the current season, and a trailing two years (a stable baseline). Recent form counts most, and small samples get pulled toward league average so a hot week doesn't fool the model.
What do "≈ est", "Due" and "Not starting" mean?: "≈ est" is a hitter we don't have splits for yet — a rookie or unmatched ID — shown at a league-baseline estimate instead of dropped. "Due" means he hasn't recorded a total base in a while and profiles for regression. "Not starting" means he was projected but didn't make the official lineup, so he slides to the bottom where you can still look him up.
Can I use this for total bases props or DFS?: That's what it's built for — pre-slate research. The board surfaces which hitters have the best conditions today, and where one exists, we show the book's "1+ total base" line so you can shop the price. We're not a sportsbook and we don't post picks — we show the matchup data, the line, and the result. (Best-price and all-book odds are a Pro feature.)
How accurate is the model?: We grade every board against the box score. Total bases is one of the steadier props we publish — more ways to clear the line means less variance — and the top of the board beats the slate consistently. Every past date is auditable.
When do lineups update?: Projected lineups (marked "Proj") come from each team's last game. Official lineups usually drop about two hours before first pitch, and the board updates itself as they post. Batting order is a big driver, so it's worth a second look mid-afternoon — rankings shift as lineups lock.
Is MatchWiz free?: Yes. The full board, every game page, and the daily archive are free, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.