Best MLB Total Bases Matchups — Monday, July 6, 2026
Top total bases spot: Luis García Jr.
Luis García Jr. (WSH) tops the board at 100, facing RHP Mike Burrows. The lefty is racking up bases at .541 TB/PA against righties this year — and 1.105 over the last two weeks, an elite bat that turns into a total base in about 58% of his trips. And Mike Burrows has been getting squared up by righties lately — .435 total bases per batter faced. One catch: the bullpen behind him has been stingy to that side late. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.5 trips, so the volume's there. No real history against Mike Burrows. It all sets up in a neutral park.
The rest of the top of the board
- Andy Pages (LAD) (96) vs LHP Kyle Freeland: a solid bat at .397 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.718).
- Junior Caminero (TB) (84) vs RHP Cam Schlittler: an excellent bat at .531 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.722).
- Matt Olson (ATL) (82) vs RHP Freddy Peralta: a solid bat at .416 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.658).
- Ozzie Albies (ATL) (82) vs RHP Freddy Peralta: a solid bat at .382 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.658).
- Teoscar Hernández (LAD) (81) vs LHP Kyle Freeland: a solid bat at .395 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.718), due to bounce back.
- Heliot Ramos (SF) (80) vs RHP Kevin Gausman: a strong bat at .428 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.800).
- Casey Schmitt (SF) (80) vs RHP Kevin Gausman: a solid bat at .397 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.800).
Arms giving up extra bases today
- LHP Kyle Freeland has been getting squared up by lefties — .489 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Andy Pages (LAD), Teoscar Hernández (LAD), and Mookie Betts (LAD).
- RHP Walker Buehler has been getting squared up by righties — .457 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Gabriel Moreno (AZ), Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (AZ), and Ketel Marte (AZ).
- RHP Freddy Peralta has been getting squared up by righties — .438 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Matt Olson (ATL), Ozzie Albies (ATL), and Michael Harris II (ATL).
- RHP Kevin Gausman has been getting squared up by righties — .437 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Heliot Ramos (SF), Casey Schmitt (SF), and Luis Arraez (SF).
Platoon edges to target
- Luis García Jr. (WSH) — lefty bat vs RHP, .541 against righties this year.
- Andy Pages (LAD) — righty bat vs LHP, .430 against lefties this year.
- Matt Olson (ATL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .485 against righties this year.
- Ozzie Albies (ATL) — lefty bat vs RHP, .351 against righties this year.
- Teoscar Hernández (LAD) — righty bat vs LHP, .345 against lefties this year.
Lineup watch
144 of today's hitters are still on projected lineups, drawn from each team's last game. Batting order drives the score, so these flip the moment official lineups post — usually about two hours before first pitch. Anyone who doesn't make the official card gets flagged "Not starting" and drops to the bottom.
How to read these total bases matchups
Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's total bases per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.