Who has the best total bases matchup today (Wednesday, August 12, 2026)?

Jac Caglianone (KC) — top of the board at 100, facing LHP Eric Lauer. A solid bat into a beatable arm is what pushes it to No. 1.

What are the best MLB total bases matchups today (Wednesday, August 12, 2026)?

The top total bases matchups on Wednesday, August 12, 2026: Jac Caglianone (100), Elly De La Cruz (100), Junior Caminero (100), Gabriel Moreno (98), Pete Crow-Armstrong (96). The full board ranks every hitter in every game by total bases upside.

Did the top total bases matchup get a total base on Wednesday, August 12, 2026?

Yes — Jac Caglianone got 1 total base.

Which hitters have a platoon edge today?

Elly De La Cruz (CIN) — lefty bat vs RHP, .384 against righties this year. Jonathan Aranda (TB) — lefty bat vs RHP, .419 against righties this year. JJ Bleday (CIN) — lefty bat vs RHP, .398 against righties this year. Geraldo Perdomo (AZ) — lefty bat vs RHP, .331 against righties this year. Brandon Lowe (PIT) — lefty bat vs RHP, .490 against righties this year.

Which pitchers are most vulnerable today?

RHP Luis Castillo has been getting squared up by righties — .464 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Elly De La Cruz (CIN), JJ Bleday (CIN), and Sal Stewart (CIN). RHP Ryan Feltner has been getting squared up by righties — .454 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Gabriel Moreno (AZ), Geraldo Perdomo (AZ), and Corbin Carroll (AZ). LHP Eric Lauer has been getting squared up by lefties — .437 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Jac Caglianone (KC), Nick Loftin (KC), and Bobby Witt Jr. (KC). LHP Foster Griffin has been getting squared up by lefties — .429 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Kevin McGonigle (DET), Dillon Dingler (DET), and Gleyber Torres (DET).

How is the total bases matchup score calculated?

It's his bases-per-trip rate against that hand, recent form weighted heaviest, over a two-year baseline. Because this counts extra-base damage, slug matters as much as contact. Then the bullpen, order spot, and the yard. 0–100 across the slate.

What does TB/PA mean?

Total bases is 1 for a single, 2 for a double, 3 for a triple, 4 for a homer — so it rewards power, not just contact. Per plate appearance, around .37 is league average; .50+ is big-time slug. It's the cleanest power matchup we run: both the bat's slug and the arm's slug-against are real.

What does the score actually mean?

Higher is better. Total bases rewards the guys who do damage rather than just make contact, so this board leans slugger where the hits board leans average. It ranks today's spots, not the odds of any particular number.

What's the confidence meter?

It's how much data is behind the call — sample size on both the hitter and the pitcher, plus whether the lineup's official. A high score with low confidence is a thinner read than the same score backed by a deep track record. It's not a probability of a total base.

What is a platoon split (handedness split)?

Total bases blends contact and power, so the platoon gap cuts twice: the opposite hand means both more balls in play and more of them driven. A hitter with a big split can swing a full base per game between the two matchups.

What are park factors?

Every extra foot of outfield is a base. Gaps and altitude turn singles into doubles and doubles into triples, while a small park trades the same batted ball for a home run. Above 1.00 bumps the score, below 1.00 trims it.

What do "2W", "SZN" and "2Y" mean?

The timeframes behind each rate: the last two weeks (recent form), the current season, and a trailing two years (a stable baseline). Recent form counts most, and small samples get pulled toward league average so a hot week doesn't fool the model.

What do "≈ est", "Due" and "Not starting" mean?

"≈ est" is a hitter we don't have splits for yet — a rookie or unmatched ID — shown at a league-baseline estimate instead of dropped. "Due" means he hasn't recorded a total base in a while and profiles for regression. "Not starting" means he was projected but didn't make the official lineup, so he slides to the bottom where you can still look him up.

Can I use this for total bases props or DFS?

That's what it's built for — pre-slate research. The board surfaces which hitters have the best conditions today, and where one exists, we show the book's "1+ total base" line so you can shop the price. We're not a sportsbook and we don't post picks — we show the matchup data, the line, and the result. (Best-price and all-book odds are a Pro feature.)

How accurate is the model?

We grade every board against the box score. Total bases is one of the steadier props we publish — more ways to clear the line means less variance — and the top of the board beats the slate consistently. Every past date is auditable.

When do lineups update?

Projected lineups (marked "Proj") come from each team's last game. Official lineups usually drop about two hours before first pitch, and the board updates itself as they post. Batting order is a big driver, so it's worth a second look mid-afternoon — rankings shift as lineups lock.

Yes. The full board, every game page, and the daily archive are free, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.

Best MLB total bases matchups — Wednesday, August 12, 2026

Every hitter on the Wednesday, August 12, 2026 slate — ranked by total-base upside — the best power and extra-base spots. Results show how each call played out.

How the model did — Wednesday, August 12, 2026

Our top 5 hitters went 3/5 (60%) on our total-bases over/under, against 46% on the season.

Top 5

3/560%

season 46%

Top 10

4/1040%

season 46%

Full slate

141/26254%

season 50%

Top call Junior Caminero came through. Jac Caglianone didn't.

Each hitter below carries a 0–100 matchup score — a read on the spot in front of him, not a ranking of how good he is, so a star in a brutal matchup can sit below an average hitter in a soft one. Confidence next to it is coverage: how much real data backs the number. Every call here was graded against the box score — wins and misses both, with the record on this page. How this board is built →

Final · 5–7

BALaway

MINhomeTop matchup77 Final · 1–7

PHIaway

STLhomeTop matchup82 Final · 8–4

TBaway

ATHhomeTop matchup100 Final · 6–4

COLaway

AZhomeTop matchup98 Final · 2–1

HOUaway

SFhomeTop matchup70 Final · 3–4

MILaway

SDhomeTop matchup80 Final · 6–4

CLEaway

DEThomeTop matchup78 Final · 2–8

PITaway

MIAhomeTop matchup86 Final · 12–6

CHCaway

WSHhomeTop matchup96 Final · 5–10

SEAaway

NYYhomeTop matchup81 Final · 4–6

BOSaway

TORhomeTop matchup72 Final · 3–6

NYMaway

ATLhomeTop matchup86 Final · 0–5

CINaway

CWShomeTop matchup100 Final · 2–4

KCaway

LADhomeTop matchup100 Final · 2–5

TEXaway

LAAhomeTop matchup75

Not starting58 not in the official lineup — moved to the bottom

PosSort

#Hitter · Matchup · 328 shownScore

175 with a TBLive count — updates as games play

1
Alex Bregman3B
CHC@WSH· 3-for-3
12TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #49
2
Trent GrishamCF
NYYvsSEA· 3-for-5
10TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #33
3
Liam HicksC
TB@ATH· 3-for-5
7TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #22
T3
Corbin CarrollRF
AZvsCOL· 2-for-4
7TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #23
T3
Corey SeagerSS
TEX@LAA· 3-for-4
7TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #103
T3
Austin Riley3B
ATLvsNYM· 3-for-4
7TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #231
7
Griffin ConineRF
MIAvsPIT· 2-for-2
6TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #91
T7
Gary SánchezC
MIL@SD· 2-for-4
6TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #130
T7
Dansby SwansonSS
CHC@WSH· 2-for-4
6TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #162
T7
Mike YastrzemskiLF
ATLvsNYM· 2-for-2
6TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB
11
Shohei OhtaniTWP
LADvsKC· 2-for-4
5TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #21
T11
Gleyber Torres2B
DETvsCLE· 2-for-5
5TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #40
T11
Jonny DeLucaRF
TB@ATH· 3-for-5
5TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #63
T11
Zack Gelof3B
ATHvsTB· 2-for-4
5TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #83
T11
Dominic CanzoneDH
SEA@NYY· 2-for-5
5TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #144
T11
Angel MartínezLF
CLE@DET· 3-for-5
5TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #157
T11
Mookie BettsSS
LADvsKC· 2-for-3
5TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #193
T11
Chase Meidroth2B
CWSvsCIN· 2-for-4
5TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #225
T11
Alan RodenRF
MINvsBAL· 3-for-3
5TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #258
T11
Drew RomoC
CWSvsCIN· 2-for-4
5TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #265
21
Royce Lewis1B
MINvsBAL· 2-for-5
4TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #46
T21
Sam AntonacciLF
CWSvsCIN· 3-for-5
4TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #56
T21
Dylan BeaversRF
BAL@MIN· 1-for-3
4TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #96
T21
Spencer JonesRF
NYYvsSEA· 2-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #101
T21
Randy ArozarenaLF
SEA@NYY· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #104
T21
Lawrence ButlerRF
ATHvsTB· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #114
T21
Heriberto HernándezLF
MIAvsPIT· 1-for-3
4TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #115
T21
Leody TaverasCF
BAL@MIN· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #128
T21
Julio RodríguezCF
SEA@NYY· 1-for-3
4TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #131
T21
Jo AdellRF
CLE@DET· 1-for-5
4TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #143
T21
Bo Bichette3B
NYM@ATL· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #156
T21
Willson Contreras1B
BOS@TOR· 1-for-3
4TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #194
T21
Luis Robert Jr.CF
NYM@ATL· 1-for-3
4TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #198
T21
Zac VeenLF
COL@AZ· 1-for-3
4TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #200
T21
Brett SullivanC
COL@AZ· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #205
T21
Lane ThomasLF
ATLvsNYM· 1-for-2
4TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #219
T21
Xander BogaertsSS
SDvsMIL· 1-for-4
4TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #259
T21
Hunter FeducciaC
LADvsKC· 1-for-3
4TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #260
T21
Luis TorrensC
NYM@ATL· 1-for-3
4TBFinal
Proj 1.2 TB, #270
40
Gabriel MorenoC
AZvsCOL· 2-for-5
3TBFinal
Proj 1.9 TB, #4
T40
Bobby Witt Jr.SS
KC@LAD· 2-for-5
3TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #25
T40
Alec Burleson1B
STLvsPHI· 2-for-3
3TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #28
T40
Ronald Acuña Jr.RF
ATLvsNYM· 2-for-3
3TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #50
T40
Drake BaldwinC
ATLvsNYM· 3-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #52
T40
Ben RiceDH
NYYvsSEA· 2-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #62
T40
Mike TroutCF
LAAvsTEX· 3-for-5
3TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #69
T40
Cedric MullinsCF
TB@ATH· 2-for-5
3TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #71
T40
Carson BengeRF
NYM@ATL· 2-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #100
T40
Josh BellDH
MINvsBAL· 3-for-5
3TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #110
T40
Nick Gonzales3B
PIT@MIA· 2-for-3
3TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #120
T40
Harry FordC
WSHvsCHC· 2-for-5
3TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #126
T40
Agustín RamírezC
MIAvsPIT· 2-for-5
3TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #136
T40
Willi Castro2B
COL@AZ· 2-for-3
3TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #137
T40
Chase DeLauterRF
CLE@DET· 2-for-5
3TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #155
T40
Ryan McMahon3B
NYYvsSEA· 2-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #160
T40
Pedro Ramírez2B
CHC@WSH· 2-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #169
T40
Taylor TrammellCF
HOU@SF· 1-for-3
3TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #189
T40
Kazuma Okamoto3B
TORvsBOS· 2-for-3
3TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #191
T40
Myles StrawCF
TORvsBOS· 2-for-4
3TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #264
60
Junior Caminero3B
TB@ATH· 2-for-5
2TBFinal
Proj 1.9 TB, #3
T60
Pete Crow-ArmstrongCF
CHC@WSH· 1-for-6
2TBFinal
Proj 1.9 TB, #5
T60
Geraldo PerdomoSS
AZvsCOL· 2-for-6
2TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #9
T60
Yandy DíazDH
TB@ATH· 2-for-5
2TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #12
T60
Seiya SuzukiRF
CHC@WSH· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #16
T60
Bryce Harper1B
PHI@STL· 1-for-2
2TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #19
T60
Pete Alonso1B
BAL@MIN· 2-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #26
T60
Sal Stewart1B
CIN@CWS· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #29
T60
Jeremy PeñaSS
HOU@SF· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #43
T60
Luis Arraez2B
PHI@STL· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #68
T60
Hao-Yu Lee2B
DETvsCLE· 1-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #74
T60
Charles McAdoo2B
TORvsBOS· 2-for-5
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #79
T60
Spencer Torkelson1B
DETvsCLE· 1-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #80
T60
Wilyer AbreuRF
BOS@TOR· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #81
T60
Ketel Marte2B
AZvsCOL· 2-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #82
T60
Tyler SoderstromLF
ATHvsTB· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #87
T60
Jackson MerrillCF
SDvsMIL· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #93
T60
Nathan ChurchCF
STLvsPHI· 1-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #108
T60
Ty France1B
SDvsMIL· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #112
T60
Brooks Lee3B
MINvsBAL· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #113
T60
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.1B
TORvsBOS· 2-for-5
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #124
T60
Carlos CortesRF
ATHvsTB· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #152
T60
Jacob YoungCF
WSHvsCHC· 2-for-5
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #158
T60
Ronny Simon2B
PIT@MIA· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #175
T60
Jordan WalkerRF
STLvsPHI· 1-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #176
T60
Max KeplerLF
AZvsCOL· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #181
T60
Austin WellsC
NYYvsSEA· 1-for-2
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #183
T60
George Lombard Jr.SS
NYYvsSEA· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #185
T60
Jarren DuranLF
BOS@TOR· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #190
T60
Daylen LileLF
WSHvsCHC· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #199
T60
Brendan Donovan3B
SEA@NYY· 1-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #214
T60
Angel Genao2B
CLE@DET· 1-for-5
2TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #223
T60
Victor CaratiniC
MINvsBAL· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #227
T60
Tristan PetersCF
CWSvsCIN· 1-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #230
T60
Christian Koss3B
SFvsHOU· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #237
T60
Miguel Rojas2B
LADvsKC· 1-for-2
2TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #238
T60
Alec Bohm3B
PHI@STL· 2-for-3
2TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #242
T60
Caleb Durbin3B
BOS@TOR· 2-for-4
2TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #256
T60
Jose SiriCF
LAAvsTEX· 1-for-2
2TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB
99
Jac CaglianoneRF
KC@LAD· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #1
T99
Jonathan Aranda1B
TB@ATH· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.9 TB, #6
T99
Brandon Lowe2B
PIT@MIA· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.8 TB, #10
T99
Joc PedersonDH
TEX@LAA· 1-for-2
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #30
T99
Brett BatemanCF
TORvsBOS· 1-for-5
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #36
T99
Wade MecklerLF
LAAvsTEX· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #37
T99
Yordan AlvarezDH
HOU@SF· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #42
T99
Andy PagesCF
LADvsKC· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #44
T99
Mickey MoniakLF
COL@AZ· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #48
T99
Cole CarriggCF
COL@AZ· 1-for-5
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #57
T99
Brady House3B
WSHvsCHC· 1-for-5
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #59
T99
Cole Young2B
SEA@NYY· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.7 TB, #61
T99
Ceddanne RafaelaCF
BOS@TOR· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #65
T99
Salvador PerezDH
KC@LAD· 1-for-2
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #66
T99
TJ Rumfield1B
COL@AZ· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #70
T99
JJ Wetherholt2B
STLvsPHI· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #73
T99
Trevor LarnachLF
MINvsBAL· 1-for-5
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #75
T99
Starling MarteRF
KC@LAD· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #76
T99
Willy AdamesSS
SFvsHOU· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #85
T99
Taylor WardDH
SEA@NYY· 1-for-5
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #92
T99
Michael Busch1B
CHC@WSH· 1-for-5
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #94
T99
A.J. EwingCF
NYM@ATL· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #97
T99
Donovan Walton2B
ATHvsTB· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #99
T99
Iván HerreraDH
STLvsPHI· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #102
T99
Bryson Stott2B
PHI@STL· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #107
T99
Max ClarkCF
DETvsCLE· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #111
T99
Nico Hoerner2B
CHC@WSH· 1-for-5
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #116
T99
Richie Palacios2B
TB@ATH· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB, #119
T99
Jake Bauers1B
MIL@SD· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #121
T99
Freddie Freeman1B
LADvsKC· 1-for-2
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #122
T99
Brice Turang2B
MIL@SD· 1-for-5
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #123
T99
Andrew PinckneyLF
WSHvsCHC· 1-for-2
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #127
T99
Steven KwanLF
CLE@DET· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #138
T99
Alejandro KirkC
TORvsBOS· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #140
T99
Victor BericotoLF
SFvsHOU· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #141
T99
Kody Clemens1B
MINvsBAL· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #142
T99
Xavier Edwards2B
MIAvsPIT· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #146
T99
Tyler O'NeillRF
BAL@MIN· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #147
T99
Luis RengifoLF
SDvsMIL· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #148
T99
Moisés BallesterosDH
LAAvsTEX· 1-for-2
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #149
T99
Colson MontgomerySS
CWSvsCIN· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #161
T99
Braden MontgomeryRF
CWSvsCIN· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #164
T99
Jazz Chisholm Jr.2B
NYYvsSEA· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #165
T99
Javier BáezSS
DETvsCLE· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #167
T99
Jared Young1B
NYM@ATL· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #171
T99
Jake Cronenworth2B
SDvsMIL· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #177
T99
Andrés GiménezSS
TORvsBOS· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB, #186
T99
Taylor WallsSS
TB@ATH· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #187
T99
Jakob MarseeCF
MIAvsPIT· 1-for-5
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #192
T99
Josh Naylor1B
SEA@NYY· 1-for-2
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #195
T99
Josh Rojas3B
KC@LAD· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #197
T99
Justin CrawfordCF
PHI@STL· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #202
T99
Esmerlyn ValdezRF
PIT@MIA· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #203
T99
Christian FranklinCF
BAL@MIN· 1-for-2
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #204
T99
Elias DíazC
TEX@LAA· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #210
T99
Ernie Clement2B
TORvsBOS· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #217
T99
Tommy White3B
ATHvsTB· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #218
T99
Joey OrtizSS
MIL@SD· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #224
T99
César Prieto3B
STLvsPHI· 1-for-2
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #226
T99
Drew CavanaughC
SFvsHOU· 1-for-2
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #228
T99
Denzer Guzman3B
LAAvsTEX· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #244
T99
Cal RaleighC
SEA@NYY· 1-for-2
1TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #246
T99
Nasim Nuñez2B
WSHvsCHC· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #247
T99
Nick AllenSS
HOU@SF· 1-for-2
1TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #249
T99
Brenton DoyleCF
CWSvsCIN· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB, #250
T99
Evan CarterCF
TEX@LAA· 1-for-2
1TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #251
T99
Sean MurphyC
ATLvsNYM· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #253
T99
Carlos NarváezC
BAL@MIN· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #255
T99
Austin HedgesC
CLE@DET· 1-for-2
1TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #257
T99
Nick Sogard2B
BOS@TOR· 1-for-4
1TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #263
T99
Andruw MonasterioSS
BOS@TOR· 1-for-2
1TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #266
T99
Brayan RocchioSS
CLE@DET· 1-for-5
1TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #267
T99
Joe MackC
MIAvsPIT· 1-for-2
1TBFinal
Proj 1.3 TB, #268
T99
Ian HappLF
CHC@WSH· 1-for-3
1TBFinal
Proj 1.6 TB
T99
Javier Sanoja3B
MIAvsPIT· 1-for-2
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB
T99
Zach McKinstry2B
DETvsCLE· 1-for-2
1TBFinal
Proj 1.5 TB
T99
Everson PereiraRF
STLvsPHI· 1-for-1
1TBFinal
Proj 1.4 TB

Best MLB Total Bases Matchups — Wednesday, August 12, 2026

Jac Caglianone (KC) is the top total bases matchup on the Wednesday, August 12, 2026 board at 100, with Elly De La Cruz (CIN) and Junior Caminero (TB) right behind. Every hitter on the slate is ranked by total-base upside — the best power and extra-base spots — raw power, the arm and bullpen they face, batting order, park, and weather. It's the read DFS and prop players make before lock.

Top total bases spot: Jac Caglianone

Jac Caglianone (KC) tops the board at 100, facing LHP Eric Lauer. The lefty is racking up bases at .430 TB/PA against lefties this year — and .579 over the last two weeks, a solid bat that turns into a total base in about 41% of his trips. And Eric Lauer has been getting squared up by lefties lately — .867 total bases per batter faced. One catch: the bullpen behind him has been stingy to that side late. He's hitting in a spot worth about 4.5 trips, so the volume's there. He's just .000 in 1 career PA against Eric Lauer, but that's a tiny sample and the matchup says regression. It all sets up in a neutral park.

The rest of the top of the board

Elly De La Cruz (CIN) (100) vs RHP Luis Castillo: a league-average bat at .358 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.778).
Junior Caminero (TB) (100) vs RHP Jack Perkins: an excellent bat at .499 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.474).
Gabriel Moreno (AZ) (98) vs RHP Ryan Feltner: a solid bat at .378 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.800), hot bat.
Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) (96) vs LHP Jackson Kent: a strong bat at .458 into an arm with little track record against the same side.
Jonathan Aranda (TB) (95) vs RHP Jack Perkins: a solid bat at .394 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.833).
JJ Bleday (CIN) (92) vs RHP Luis Castillo: a solid bat at .372 into an arm getting squared up by the same side (.778).
Matt Olson (ATL) (86) vs LHP Zac Thornton: a strong bat at .478 into an arm with little track record against the same side.

Arms giving up extra bases today

RHP Luis Castillo has been getting squared up by righties — .464 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Elly De La Cruz (CIN), JJ Bleday (CIN), and Sal Stewart (CIN).
RHP Ryan Feltner has been getting squared up by righties — .454 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Gabriel Moreno (AZ), Geraldo Perdomo (AZ), and Corbin Carroll (AZ).
LHP Eric Lauer has been getting squared up by lefties — .437 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Jac Caglianone (KC), Nick Loftin (KC), and Bobby Witt Jr. (KC).
LHP Foster Griffin has been getting squared up by lefties — .429 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Kevin McGonigle (DET), Dillon Dingler (DET), and Gleyber Torres (DET).

Platoon edges to target

Elly De La Cruz (CIN) — lefty bat vs RHP, .384 against righties this year.
Jonathan Aranda (TB) — lefty bat vs RHP, .419 against righties this year.
JJ Bleday (CIN) — lefty bat vs RHP, .398 against righties this year.
Geraldo Perdomo (AZ) — lefty bat vs RHP, .331 against righties this year.
Brandon Lowe (PIT) — lefty bat vs RHP, .490 against righties this year.

How it played out

7 of the top 10 total bases matchups landed at least one total base. Top play Jac Caglianone finished with 1 total base. We post the result next to every projection so you can grade the board yourself — and so the model gets re-tuned against what actually happened.

How to read these total bases matchups

Each score (0–100) starts with the hitter's total bases per plate appearance against the hand he's facing — weighted toward the last two weeks, then the season, then a two-year baseline. Then it layers in the bullpen, his spot in the order, and park and weather. Higher means more of it points his way. It's context, not a lock — a great spot still goes 0-for-4 sometimes, and a tough one runs into one. The edge is in stacking the odds, and since we grade every board, you can see how often the top of the list delivers.

Keep reading

What the total bases board is

The Total Bases board projects how many bases a hitter racks up vs the posted total-bases line. One statistical model scores every matchup on the slate the same way — a star and a backup judged on the matchup in front of them, not their name — and every number is graded against the real box score once the games go final.

How the model gets its number

It isn't a gut call or a name game. The projection is built from a few things:

His extra-base pop vs this arm.
The park.
Recent contact quality.

Those pieces combine into one number, and the model re-tunes itself weekly against how its past calls actually landed.

Is there a betting edge here?

Total bases grades right at break-even even when we tune it to the hilt — the book prices the marginal leans efficiently. Transparency board.

How to use it

See who the model projects for extra-base damage; no systematic edge to bet.

Everything here is a research signal from the model, graded in public — not betting advice, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Learn more: How the model works · The picks story · Today's plays

Frequently asked questions

Who has the best total bases matchup today (Wednesday, August 12, 2026)?: Jac Caglianone (KC) — top of the board at 100, facing LHP Eric Lauer. A solid bat into a beatable arm is what pushes it to No. 1.
What are the best MLB total bases matchups today (Wednesday, August 12, 2026)?: The top total bases matchups on Wednesday, August 12, 2026: Jac Caglianone (100), Elly De La Cruz (100), Junior Caminero (100), Gabriel Moreno (98), Pete Crow-Armstrong (96). The full board ranks every hitter in every game by total bases upside.
Did the top total bases matchup get a total base on Wednesday, August 12, 2026?: Yes — Jac Caglianone got 1 total base.
Which hitters have a platoon edge today?: Elly De La Cruz (CIN) — lefty bat vs RHP, .384 against righties this year. Jonathan Aranda (TB) — lefty bat vs RHP, .419 against righties this year. JJ Bleday (CIN) — lefty bat vs RHP, .398 against righties this year. Geraldo Perdomo (AZ) — lefty bat vs RHP, .331 against righties this year. Brandon Lowe (PIT) — lefty bat vs RHP, .490 against righties this year.
Which pitchers are most vulnerable today?: RHP Luis Castillo has been getting squared up by righties — .464 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Elly De La Cruz (CIN), JJ Bleday (CIN), and Sal Stewart (CIN). RHP Ryan Feltner has been getting squared up by righties — .454 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Gabriel Moreno (AZ), Geraldo Perdomo (AZ), and Corbin Carroll (AZ). LHP Eric Lauer has been getting squared up by lefties — .437 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Jac Caglianone (KC), Nick Loftin (KC), and Bobby Witt Jr. (KC). LHP Foster Griffin has been getting squared up by lefties — .429 total bases per batter faced. Bats to target: Kevin McGonigle (DET), Dillon Dingler (DET), and Gleyber Torres (DET).
How is the total bases matchup score calculated?: It's his bases-per-trip rate against that hand, recent form weighted heaviest, over a two-year baseline. Because this counts extra-base damage, slug matters as much as contact. Then the bullpen, order spot, and the yard. 0–100 across the slate.
What does TB/PA mean?: Total bases is 1 for a single, 2 for a double, 3 for a triple, 4 for a homer — so it rewards power, not just contact. Per plate appearance, around .37 is league average; .50+ is big-time slug. It's the cleanest power matchup we run: both the bat's slug and the arm's slug-against are real.
What does the score actually mean?: Higher is better. Total bases rewards the guys who do damage rather than just make contact, so this board leans slugger where the hits board leans average. It ranks today's spots, not the odds of any particular number.
What's the confidence meter?: It's how much data is behind the call — sample size on both the hitter and the pitcher, plus whether the lineup's official. A high score with low confidence is a thinner read than the same score backed by a deep track record. It's not a probability of a total base.
What is a platoon split (handedness split)?: Total bases blends contact and power, so the platoon gap cuts twice: the opposite hand means both more balls in play and more of them driven. A hitter with a big split can swing a full base per game between the two matchups.
What are park factors?: Every extra foot of outfield is a base. Gaps and altitude turn singles into doubles and doubles into triples, while a small park trades the same batted ball for a home run. Above 1.00 bumps the score, below 1.00 trims it.
What do "2W", "SZN" and "2Y" mean?: The timeframes behind each rate: the last two weeks (recent form), the current season, and a trailing two years (a stable baseline). Recent form counts most, and small samples get pulled toward league average so a hot week doesn't fool the model.
What do "≈ est", "Due" and "Not starting" mean?: "≈ est" is a hitter we don't have splits for yet — a rookie or unmatched ID — shown at a league-baseline estimate instead of dropped. "Due" means he hasn't recorded a total base in a while and profiles for regression. "Not starting" means he was projected but didn't make the official lineup, so he slides to the bottom where you can still look him up.
Can I use this for total bases props or DFS?: That's what it's built for — pre-slate research. The board surfaces which hitters have the best conditions today, and where one exists, we show the book's "1+ total base" line so you can shop the price. We're not a sportsbook and we don't post picks — we show the matchup data, the line, and the result. (Best-price and all-book odds are a Pro feature.)
How accurate is the model?: We grade every board against the box score. Total bases is one of the steadier props we publish — more ways to clear the line means less variance — and the top of the board beats the slate consistently. Every past date is auditable.
When do lineups update?: Projected lineups (marked "Proj") come from each team's last game. Official lineups usually drop about two hours before first pitch, and the board updates itself as they post. Batting order is a big driver, so it's worth a second look mid-afternoon — rankings shift as lineups lock.
Is MatchWiz free?: Yes. The full board, every game page, and the daily archive are free, no login. Best-price odds and the betting tools are the paid tier.