Memphis Grizzlies vs Golden State Warriors
The quarters and both box scores, and how the model saw it.
Grizzlies111
Warriors108FinalChase CenterScoring by quarter
Final| Scoring | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Grizzlies | 33 | 27 | 24 | 27 | 111 |
 Warriors | 34 | 22 | 34 | 18 | 108 |
Box score
FinalMemphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron BoozerF | 37 | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6-13 | 4-7 | 9-9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 1 |
| Ty JeromeG | 32 | 28 | 2 | 5 | 11-22 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 |
| Jerami GrantF | 26 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 2-9 | 1-7 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Jaylen WellsF | 25 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 5-9 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
| Zach EdeyC | 22 | 8 | 10 | 3 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Quinten PostC | 20 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| Cam SpencerG | 17 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Scotty Pippen Jr.Guard | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 |
| Isaiah StewartC | 16 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
| GG JacksonF | 15 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| Kris MurrayF | 13 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Team | — | 111 | 47 | 27 | 40-86 | 15-39 | 16-22 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 27 | 29 |
Did not play Jahmai Mashack coach's decision · Karim Lopez coach's decision · Micah Peavy coach's decision · Olivier-Maxence Prosper coach's decision · Taylor Hendricks coach's decision · Walter Clayton Jr. coach's decision
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yaxel LendeborgF | 37 | 18 | 13 | 6 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 9-12 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 3 |
| Brandin PodziemskiG | 33 | 18 | 2 | 3 | 7-17 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 3 |
| Draymond GreenF | 31 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 |
| Stephen CurryG | 30 | 24 | 2 | 4 | 5-15 | 3-10 | 11-11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| De'Anthony MeltonG | 20 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Gui SantosF | 20 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Al HorfordC | 19 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Georges NiangF | 13 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Graham IkeF | 12 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Gary Payton IIG | 11 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| Brandon WilliamsG | 9 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Will RichardG | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | — | 108 | 41 | 23 | 34-83 | 14-41 | 26-29 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 19 | 26 |
Did not play LJ Cryer coach's decision · Malevy Leons coach's decision
Team stats
Final| Grizzlies | Warriors | |
|---|---|---|
| 40-86 | FG | 34-83 |
| 46.5% | FG% | 41.0% |
| 15-39 | 3PT | 14-41 |
| 38.5% | 3PT% | 34.1% |
| 16-22 | FT | 26-29 |
| 47 | Rebounds | 41 |
| 18 | Off reb | 18 |
| 27 | Assists | 23 |
| 7 | Steals | 12 |
| 7 | Blocks | 6 |
| 27 | Turnovers | 19 |
| 29 | Fouls | 26 |
100.7 possessions each, estimated off the box the standard way. Both clubs on 1 day' rest.
What the model says
Friday, October 23ProjectedGrizzlies 114.2 · Warriors 120.9
Our lineWarriors −6.7
Total235.1
Win probWarriors 75% · Grizzlies 25%
These are projections, not picks. We publish our number next to the market's and grade it in the open — on game markets the book has beaten us in every sport we've measured, and we say so rather than dressing a projection up as an edge.