Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves
The quarters and both box scores, and how the model saw it.
Warriors119
Timberwolves114FinalTarget CenterScoring by quarter
Final| Scoring | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Warriors | 30 | 34 | 29 | 26 | 119 |
 Timberwolves | 23 | 25 | 33 | 33 | 114 |
Box score
FinalGolden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yaxel LendeborgF | 35 | 26 | 9 | 1 | 11-20 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 |
| Stephen CurryG | 32 | 44 | 8 | 6 | 11-27 | 6-16 | 16-16 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Brandin PodziemskiG | 32 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 4-7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 |
| Draymond GreenF | 32 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| Georges NiangF | 23 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Will RichardG | 23 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| De'Anthony MeltonG | 20 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Al HorfordC | 18 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Brandon WilliamsG | 14 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 4-11 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Gary Payton IIG | 10 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Charles BasseyC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Team | — | 119 | 53 | 25 | 39-89 | 11-35 | 30-37 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 24 |
Did not play Graham Ike coach's decision · Gui Santos left knee tendinitis · LJ Cryer coach's decision · Malevy Leons coach's decision
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT | OR | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden McDanielsF | 35 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8-18 | 1-8 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 |
| Jonathan KumingaF | 32 | 20 | 3 | 5 | 7-15 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Ayo DosunmuG | 32 | 17 | 3 | 4 | 6-12 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| LaMelo BallG | 28 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 3-11 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 |
| Terrence Shannon Jr.G | 27 | 19 | 6 | 2 | 5-13 | 1-5 | 8-10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 |
| Trey LylesF | 22 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Joan BeringerF | 20 | 7 | 10 | 2 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Rudy GobertC | 20 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Bones HylandG | 16 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Jaylen ClarkG | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Team | — | 114 | 42 | 31 | 40-90 | 15-45 | 19-27 | 7 | 10 | 2 | 15 | 29 |
Did not play Cody Williams coach's decision · Isaiah Evans coach's decision
Team stats
Final| Warriors | Timberwolves | |
|---|---|---|
| 39-89 | FG | 40-90 |
| 43.8% | FG% | 44.4% |
| 11-35 | 3PT | 15-45 |
| 31.4% | 3PT% | 33.3% |
| 30-37 | FT | 19-27 |
| 53 | Rebounds | 42 |
| 13 | Off reb | 7 |
| 25 | Assists | 31 |
| 7 | Steals | 10 |
| 5 | Blocks | 2 |
| 17 | Turnovers | 15 |
| 24 | Fouls | 29 |
109.6 possessions each, estimated off the box the standard way. Both clubs on 1 day' rest.
What the model says
Wednesday, October 28ProjectedWarriors 113.9 · Timberwolves 119.0
Our lineTimberwolves −5.1
Total232.9
Win probTimberwolves 70% · Warriors 30%
These are projections, not picks. We publish our number next to the market's and grade it in the open — on game markets the book has beaten us in every sport we've measured, and we say so rather than dressing a projection up as an edge.