New York City FC vs Philadelphia Union
The box score, both lineups on the pitch, and how the model saw it.
NYCFC2
Philadelphia1Full timeSubaru ParkBox score
FinalWhat the model says
Sunday, March 1, 2026MatchupProbxGFairMktEdge
FT · 1–2
xG1.7–1.1
Philadelphia UnionHOME✗49%1.7xG+106fair+133mktModel lean+5.7%Draw27%—xG+277fair+249mkt-2.1%
New York City FCAWAY25%1.1xG+303fair+251mkt-3.7%O2.5 53% · mkt 48% ✓BTTS 56% ✓
Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff. The stats above come from the live feed and update while the match runs.
Going in
MLS tableAway
Home
Head to head
Last 6 meetingsLevel at 3 apiece7–10 on goals
Aug 16, 26Philadelphia Union at New York City FC3–2Mar 1, 26New York City FC at Philadelphia Union2–1Nov 23, 25New York City FC at Philadelphia Union1–0Oct 4, 25New York City FC at Philadelphia Union0–1Apr 12, 25Philadelphia Union at New York City FC0–1Sep 18, 24Philadelphia Union at New York City FC5–1