Philadelphia Union vs New York City FC
The box score, both lineups on the pitch, and how the model saw it.
Philadelphia3
NYCFC2Full timeYankee StadiumBox score
FinalWhat the model says
Sunday, August 16, 2026MatchupProbxGFairMktEdge
FT · 2–3
xG1.6–1.3
New York City FCHOME✗42%1.6xG+136fair+176mktModel lean+6.2%Draw27%—xG+276fair+283mkt+0.5%
Philadelphia UnionAWAY31%1.3xG+223fair+166mkt-6.7%O2.5 56% · mkt 58% ✓BTTS 60% · mkt 62% ✓
Apple TV
Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff. The stats above come from the live feed and update while the match runs.
Going in
MLS tableAway
Home
Player props
Top 5 per marketAnytime Scorer
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Milan Iloski1+ Goals39%38%+175DNPBruno Damiani1+ Goals25%32%+250DNPNicolás Fernández1+ Goals25%––DNPCavan Sullivan1+ Goals19%20%+425DNPMikael Uhre1+ Goals18%––DNPShots
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Milan Iloski1+ Shots97%99%-10000DNPCavan Sullivan1+ Shots90%––DNPMilan Iloski2+ Shots87%94%-1500DNPNicolás Fernández1+ Shots85%––DNPBruno Damiani1+ Shots85%97%-3000DNPShots on Target
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Milan Iloski1+ Shots on Target76%81%-425DNPCavan Sullivan1+ Shots on Target65%––DNPNicolás Fernández1+ Shots on Target64%––DNPAgustín Ojeda1+ Shots on Target48%––DNPAndrés Perea1+ Shots on Target44%53%-115DNPAssists
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Kai WagnerO0.522%27%+270DNPMilan IloskiO0.517%29%+250DNPNicolás FernándezO0.516%––DNPCavan SullivanO0.516%––DNPMaxi MoralezO0.516%––DNPScore or Assist
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Milan Iloski49%––DNPNicolás Fernández37%––DNPCavan Sullivan32%––DNPBruno Damiani30%––DNPAgustín Ojeda29%––DNPOur number against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
Head to head
Last 6 meetingsLevel at 3 apiece10–7 on goals
Aug 16, 26Philadelphia Union at New York City FC3–2Mar 1, 26New York City FC at Philadelphia Union2–1Nov 23, 25New York City FC at Philadelphia Union1–0Oct 4, 25New York City FC at Philadelphia Union0–1Apr 12, 25Philadelphia Union at New York City FC0–1Sep 18, 24Philadelphia Union at New York City FC5–1