Toronto FC vs New York City FC
The box score, both lineups on the pitch, and how the model saw it.
Toronto1
NYCFC1Full timeYankee StadiumBox score
FinalWhat the model says
Friday, July 31, 2026MatchupProbxGFairMktEdge
FT · 1–1
xG1.6–1.0
New York City FCHOME✗49%1.6xG+105fair-132mkt-8.0%Draw28%—xG+263fair+328mktModel lean+4.2%
Toronto FCAWAY24%1.0xG+324fair+401mkt+3.6%O2.5 49% · mkt 56% ✓BTTS 52% · mkt 57% ✓
Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff. The stats above come from the live feed and update while the match runs.
Going in
MLS tableAway
Home
Player props
Top 5 per marketAnytime Scorer
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Nicolás Fernández1+ Goals29%52%-109✓ 1Josh Sargent1+ Goals24%––✗ 0Ola Brynhildsen1+ Goals21%––DNPAgustín Ojeda1+ Goals17%30%+270✗ 0Dániel Sallói1+ Goals17%––✗ 0Shots
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Nicolás Fernández1+ Shots89%––✓ 2Dániel Sallói1+ Shots82%––✓ 5Josh Sargent1+ Shots81%––✓ 1Ola Brynhildsen1+ Shots77%––DNPAgustín Ojeda1+ Shots77%92%-1100✓ 1Shots on Target
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Nicolás Fernández1+ Shots on Target70%86%-590✓ 1Josh Sargent1+ Shots on Target51%––✗ 0Dániel Sallói1+ Shots on Target50%––✓ 4Agustín Ojeda1+ Shots on Target50%65%-167✗ 0Malachi Jones1+ Shots on Target44%––✗ 0Assists
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Nicolás FernándezO0.516%––✗ 0Maxi MoralezO0.515%––DNPAgustín OjedaO0.514%33%+200✗ 0Alonso CoelloO0.512%20%+410✗ 0José CifuentesO0.511%––DNPScore or Assist
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Nicolás Fernández40%––✓ 1Agustín Ojeda29%––✗ 0Josh Sargent29%––✗ 0Maxi Moralez27%––DNPOla Brynhildsen26%––DNPOur number against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
Head to head
Last 6 meetingsNew York City FC lead 4-02 draws11–6 on goals