New York City FC vs Toronto FC
The box score, both lineups on the pitch, and how the model saw it.
NYCFC1
Toronto1Full timeBMO FieldBox score
FinalWhat the model says
Saturday, August 29, 2026MatchupProbxGFairMktEdge
FT · 1–1
xG1.4–1.3
Toronto FCHOME✗38%1.4xG+165fair+161mkt-0.6%Draw28%—xG+257fair+278mkt+1.5%
New York City FCAWAY34%1.3xG+192fair+182mkt-1.2%O2.5 52% · mkt 57% ✗BTTS 57% · mkt 61% ✓
Apple TV
Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff. The stats above come from the live feed and update while the match runs.
Going in
MLS tableAway
Home
Player props
Top 5 per marketAnytime Scorer
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Luighi Hanri1+ Goals36%––✗ 0Nicolás Fernández1+ Goals25%––✓ 1Ola Brynhildsen1+ Goals23%––DNPTalles Magno1+ Goals22%30%+250DNPJosh Sargent1+ Goals21%35%+205✗ 0Shots
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Luighi Hanri1+ Shots89%––✓ 2Nicolás Fernández1+ Shots87%––✓ 1Dániel Sallói1+ Shots85%93%-1250✓ 1Talles Magno1+ Shots79%92%-1100DNPOla Brynhildsen1+ Shots79%––DNPShots on Target
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Nicolás Fernández1+ Shots on Target66%––✓ 1Luighi Hanri1+ Shots on Target63%––✗ 0Dániel Sallói1+ Shots on Target56%71%-240✓ 1Josh Sargent1+ Shots on Target47%––✗ 0Talles Magno1+ Shots on Target45%68%-210DNPAssists
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Nicolás FernándezO0.521%––✗ 0Maxi MoralezO0.517%––DNPAgustín OjedaO0.516%26%+290✓ 1Theo CorbeanuO0.514%23%+340✓ 1José CifuentesO0.512%––DNPScore or Assist
Full board →PlayerOursMktPrice
Luighi Hanri42%––✗ 0Nicolás Fernández40%––✓ 1Maxi Moralez30%––DNPAgustín Ojeda30%––✓ 1Ola Brynhildsen27%––DNPOur number against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
Head to head
Last 6 meetingsNew York City FC lead 4-02 draws11–6 on goals