Nashville SC vs Toronto FC
The box score, both lineups on the pitch, and how the model saw it.
Nashville1
Toronto2Full timeBMO FieldBox score
FinalWhat the model says
Wednesday, September 9, 2026MatchupProbxGWizLineMktWizEdge
FT · 2–1
xG1.3–1.3
Toronto FCHOME34%1.3xG+193fair+268mktModel lean+6.9%Draw29%—xG+245fair+284mkt+2.9%
Nashville SCAWAY✗37%1.3xG+171fair+114mkt-9.8%O2.5 48% · mkt 55% ✗BTTS 54% · mkt 59% ✓1H O1.5 33% ✓
Apple TV
Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff. The stats above come from the live feed and update while the match runs.
Going in
MLS tableAway
Home
Player props
Top 5 per marketAnytime Scorer
Full board →PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Sam Surridge1+ Goals45%47%+130✗ 0Hany Mukhtar1+ Goals29%37%+185✗ 0Josh Sargent1+ Goals25%30%+250✗ 0Warren Madrigal1+ Goals22%––DNPOla Brynhildsen1+ Goals21%––DNPShots
Full board →PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Hany Mukhtar1+ Shots95%98%-5000✓ 1Sam Surridge1+ Shots92%98%-5000✓ 3Josh Sargent1+ Shots86%––✓ 4Warren Madrigal1+ Shots85%––DNPFederico Bernardeschi1+ Shots83%––DNPShots on Target
Full board →PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Sam Surridge1+ Shots on Target71%85%-550✓ 1Hany Mukhtar1+ Shots on Target68%73%-270✓ 1Josh Sargent1+ Shots on Target60%––✓ 1Warren Madrigal1+ Shots on Target50%––DNPFederico Bernardeschi1+ Shots on Target50%––DNPAssists
Full board →PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Cristian EspinozaO0.522%33%+200✗ 0Elias SaadO0.517%20%+410✗ 0Hany MukhtarO0.517%36%+175✗ 0Warren MadrigalO0.513%––DNPDjordje MihailovicO0.513%29%+250DNPScore or Assist
Full board →PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Sam Surridge49%––✗ 0Hany Mukhtar41%––✗ 0Warren Madrigal32%––DNPCristian Espinoza32%––✗ 0Elias Saad31%––✗ 0The WizLine against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
Head to head
Last 6 meetingsNashville SC lead 5-110–4 on goals