Just now
Toronto FC vs Nashville SC
Kickoff, where to watch, and how the model sees it.
Toronto–
Nashville–8:30 PM ETGEODIS Park📺 Apple TVLineups, the pitch view and match stats land at kickoff.
What the model says
Saturday, September 26, 2026MatchupProbxGWizLineMktWizEdge
8:30 PM ET
xG1.8–1.1
Nashville SCHOME53%1.8xG-111fair-182mkt-11.9%Draw26%—xG+291fair+414mktModel lean+6.1%
Toronto FCAWAY22%1.1xG+357fair+525mktModel lean+5.9%O2.5 54%BTTS 56%1H O1.5 37%
Apple TV
Probabilities and goal numbers are the model's, frozen at kickoff.
Going in
MLS tableAway
Home
Player props
Top 5 per marketAnytime Scorer
Full board →PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Sam Surridge1+ Goals46%––Josh Sargent1+ Goals33%––Hany Mukhtar1+ Goals28%––Ola Brynhildsen1+ Goals24%––Warren Madrigal1+ Goals22%––Shots
Full board →PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Hany Mukhtar1+ Shots95%––Sam Surridge1+ Shots94%––Josh Sargent1+ Shots91%––Warren Madrigal1+ Shots86%––Federico Bernardeschi1+ Shots86%––Shots on Target
Full board →PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Sam Surridge1+ Shots on Target71%––Hany Mukhtar1+ Shots on Target66%––Josh Sargent1+ Shots on Target61%––Dániel Sallói1+ Shots on Target52%––Federico Bernardeschi1+ Shots on Target52%––Assists
Full board →PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Cristian EspinozaO0.523%––Hany MukhtarO0.518%––Djordje MihailovicO0.515%––Elias SaadO0.514%––Federico BernardeschiO0.514%––Score or Assist
Full board →PlayerWizLineMktPrice
Sam Surridge50%––Hany Mukhtar41%––Josh Sargent38%––Cristian Espinoza34%––Warren Madrigal33%––The WizLine against the book's, per player. US books quote these over-only and don't de-vig, so the market column runs a little hot and the gap between the two reads conservative. A dash means no book hung that line. Not betting advice — 21+, play responsibly (1-800-GAMBLER).
Head to head
Last 6 meetingsNashville SC lead 4-11 draw9–5 on goals