Lazio

Serie A · 3rd · 13 pts · GD +5

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Lazio are 3rd in Serie A, 4-1-0, with 1.6 scored and 0.6 conceded a game — a goal difference built on the attack.

Next match

Oct 11 · 9:00 AM ET

MatchupProbProjWizLineMktWizEdge

9:00 AM ET

Proj1.7–1.1

Match page →

LazioHOME51%1.7proj-105fair-149mkt-8.6%

Draw26%—proj+284fair+328mkt+2.7%

MonzaAWAY23%1.1proj+341fair+496mktModel lean+5.9%

O2.5 53% · mkt 51%BTTS 56%1H O1.5 36%

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This season

Serie A · 2026-27

Record4-1-05 played

Scored1.608 goals

Conceded0.603 against

Clean sheets3Of 5 matches

Both scored40%Of their matches

Over 2.540%Three goals or more

Home1-1-03–22 matches

Away3-0-05–13 matches

How the model graded them

2026-27

Win/draw/win3-260%

Over 2.52-340%

Both to score2-340%

Every pick the model made on Lazio this season, wins and losses both. The three samples differ because a market only grades where a book quoted it. 5 matches is far too few to read anything into — soccer is a high-variance sport and a season is the horizon. Not betting advice.

In the table

Full Serie A table

#ClubPGDPts

AS Roma5+1113

Internazionale5+713

Lazio5+513

Cagliari5+312

AC Milan5+611

Frosinone5+510

Juventus5+410

Lazio's season

2026-27

Where they stand

Lazio sit 3rd on 13 points after 5 matches. That's a continental place as it stands. That's 2.60 points a game.

Going forward

The attack has produced 8 goals across 5 matches — 1.6 a game. That's a healthy return — enough that they're rarely priced as the quiet half of a low-scoring game. 40% of their matches have finished with three goals or more.

At the back

Lazio have conceded 3 goals, 0.6 a game. Concede at that rate and you're in most games before you've kicked a ball. They've kept 3 clean sheets — 60% of their matches.

Current run

Lazio are unbeaten in 5 matches. Form is the noisiest thing on this page — a five-match window in a sport this low-scoring is a handful of bounces, and the model weights a full season of results far more heavily than the last fortnight of them.

Next up

Lazio are at home to Monza. The board above carries our win/draw/win probabilities for it, the goals total, both-teams-to-score, and the fair odds each of those implies — with the book's number beside ours wherever a book has hung one. 5 more fixtures follow on the schedule below.