AC Milan

Serie A · 5th · 11 pts · GD +6

WWDDW

AC Milan are 5th in Serie A, 3-2-0, with 2 scored and 0.8 conceded a game — a goal difference built on the attack.

Next match

Oct 11 · 12:00 PM ET

MatchupProbProjWizLineMktWizEdge

12:00 PM ET

Proj1.2–1.5

Match page →

SassuoloHOME28%1.2proj+254fair+348mktModel lean+5.9%

Draw28%—proj+259fair+295mkt+2.6%

AC MilanAWAY44%1.5proj+128fair-110mkt-8.5%

O2.5 50% · mkt 53%BTTS 55%1H O1.5 34%

Paramount+

This season

Serie A · 2026-27

Record3-2-05 played

Scored2.0010 goals

Conceded0.804 against

Clean sheets2Of 5 matches

Both scored60%Of their matches

Over 2.560%Three goals or more

Home2-0-05–02 matches

Away1-2-05–43 matches

How the model graded them

2026-27

Win/draw/win3-260%

Over 2.52-340%

Both to score3-260%

Every pick the model made on AC Milan this season, wins and losses both. The three samples differ because a market only grades where a book quoted it. 5 matches is far too few to read anything into — soccer is a high-variance sport and a season is the horizon. Not betting advice.

In the table

Full Serie A table

#ClubPGDPts

Internazionale5+713

Lazio5+513

Cagliari5+312

AC Milan5+611

Frosinone5+510

Juventus5+410

Como5+310

AC Milan's season

2026-27

Where they stand

AC Milan sit 5th on 11 points after 5 matches. That's a continental place as it stands. That's 2.20 points a game.

Going forward

The attack has produced 10 goals across 5 matches — 2 a game. That's a side that scores in almost every game, and the goal totals on their matches price accordingly. 60% of their matches have finished with three goals or more.

At the back

AC Milan have conceded 4 goals, 0.8 a game. Concede at that rate and you're in most games before you've kicked a ball. They've kept 2 clean sheets — 40% of their matches.

Current run

AC Milan are unbeaten in 5 matches. Form is the noisiest thing on this page — a five-match window in a sport this low-scoring is a handful of bounces, and the model weights a full season of results far more heavily than the last fortnight of them.

Next up

AC Milan are away at Sassuolo. The board above carries our win/draw/win probabilities for it, the goals total, both-teams-to-score, and the fair odds each of those implies — with the book's number beside ours wherever a book has hung one. 5 more fixtures follow on the schedule below.