MatchWiz

FC Cincinnati

MLS · 10th · 33 pts · GD -9
LLDDL

FC Cincinnati are 10th in MLS, 8-9-9, with 2.12 scored and 2.46 conceded a game — and very little between the two ends.

Next match

Oct 10 · 7:30 PM ET
MatchupProbxGWizLineMktWizEdge
7:30 PM ET
xG1.9–1.6
Match page →
ATLAtlanta United FCHOME45%1.9xG+122fair+151mktModel lean+5.1%
Draw24%—xG+323fair+320mkt-0.2%
CINFC CincinnatiAWAY31%1.6xG+219fair+176mkt-4.9%
O2.5 69%BTTS 69%1H O1.5 47%
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This season

MLS · 2026
Record8-9-926 played
Scored2.1255 goals
Conceded2.4664 against
Clean sheets2Of 26 matches
Both scored77%Of their matches
Over 2.573%Three goals or more
Home7-3-234–2412 matches
Away1-6-721–4014 matches

How the model graded them

2026
Win/draw/win14-1254%
Over 2.520-677%
Both to score20-677%

Every pick the model made on FC Cincinnati this season, wins and losses both. The three samples differ because a market only grades where a book quoted it. Soccer is a high-variance sport, so judge it over a season, not a month. Not betting advice.

In the table

Full MLS table
#ClubPGDPts
10FC Cincinnati26-933
11D.C. United26-830
13Toronto FC27-1229

FC Cincinnati's season

2026

Where they stand

FC Cincinnati sit 10th on 33 points after 26 matches. That's outside the MLS Cup playoffs — 1 place short of the cut. That's 1.27 points a game.

Going forward

FC Cincinnati have scored 55 goals in 26 matches — 2.12 a game. That's a side that scores in almost every game, and the goal totals on their matches price accordingly. 73% of their matches have finished with three goals or more.

At the back

FC Cincinnati have conceded 64 goals, 2.46 a game. That's the number holding the season back. They've kept 2 clean sheets — 8% of their matches.

Better at home

FC Cincinnati are 7-3-2 at home and 1-6-7 away. That's 2.00 points a game against 0.64. Home advantage is real in this sport, but a gap this size is bigger than the league-wide effect and usually narrows.

Current run

FC Cincinnati have gone 5 matches without a win. Form is the noisiest thing on this page — a five-match window in a sport this low-scoring is a handful of bounces, and the model weights a full season of results far more heavily than the last fortnight of them.

The shape of their games

Their matches are open at both ends. Both teams have scored in 77% of FC Cincinnati's matches, and 73% have gone past two and a half goals. Those two numbers are what the totals and both-teams-to-score markets on this club's fixtures get priced from.

How the model has done on them

The goal model has called 26 matches involving FC Cincinnati this season and got 14 right — 54%. That's about what you'd expect from a market this efficient — the model isn't beating the books on this club. Every projection freezes at kickoff and gets scored against the result, wins and losses both. 26 matches is a small sample in a sport where a deflection settles games, so treat it as a record, not a forecast.

Next up

FC Cincinnati are away at Atlanta United FC. The board above carries our win/draw/win probabilities for it, the goals total, both-teams-to-score, and the fair odds each of those implies — with the book's number beside ours wherever a book has hung one. 2 more fixtures follow on the schedule below.

Common questions

Where are FC Cincinnati in the MLS table?

FC Cincinnati are 10th on 33 points from 26 matches, with 55 goals scored and 64 goals conceded.

How many goals do FC Cincinnati score a game?

FC Cincinnati are averaging 2.12 goals a game this season and conceding 2.46. 73% of their matches have finished with three or more goals.

How many clean sheets have FC Cincinnati kept?

2 clean sheets in 26 matches.

Does MatchWiz predict FC Cincinnati matches?

Every FC Cincinnati fixture gets win/draw/win probabilities, a goals total and both-teams-to-score from our goal model, published with the book's line beside them. The model has called 26 matches of theirs this season and got 14 right. These are research signals, not betting advice, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Upcoming

Oct 10@ Atlanta United FC7:30 PM
Oct 14New England Revolution7:30 PM
Oct 18Columbus Crew5:00 PM

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