MatchWiz

Toronto FC

MLS · 13th · 29 pts · GD -12
DWLLL

Toronto FC are 13th in MLS, 6-11-10, with 1.44 scored and 1.89 conceded a game — and very little between the two ends.

Next match

Oct 10 · 1:00 PM ET
MatchupProbxGWizLineMktWizEdge
1:00 PM ET
xG1.7–1.3
Match page →
TORToronto FCHOME46%1.7xG+118fair+105mkt-3.0%
Draw26%—xG+279fair+311mkt+2.0%
MTLCF MontréalAWAY28%1.3xG+260fair+269mkt+0.7%
O2.5 56%BTTS 59%1H O1.5 38%
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This season

MLS · 2026
Record6-11-1027 played
Scored1.4439 goals
Conceded1.8951 against
Clean sheets3Of 27 matches
Both scored78%Of their matches
Over 2.567%Three goals or more
Home4-8-229–2814 matches
Away2-3-810–2313 matches

How the model graded them

2026
Win/draw/win12-1544%
Over 2.515-1256%
Both to score21-678%

Every pick the model made on Toronto FC this season, wins and losses both. The three samples differ because a market only grades where a book quoted it. Soccer is a high-variance sport, so judge it over a season, not a month. Not betting advice.

In the table

Full MLS table
#ClubPGDPts
11D.C. United26-830
13Toronto FC27-1229
15CF Montréal27-2024

Toronto FC's season

2026

Where they stand

Toronto FC sit 13th on 29 points after 27 matches. That's outside the MLS Cup playoffs — 4 places short of the cut. That's 1.07 points a game.

Going forward

39 goals in 27 matches is where Toronto FC's season sits going forward — 1.44 a game. That's steady rather than prolific, and it puts a lot of weight on the defence. 67% of their matches have finished with three goals or more.

At the back

Toronto FC have conceded 51 goals, 1.89 a game. That's the number holding the season back. They've kept 3 clean sheets — 11% of their matches.

Better at home

Toronto FC are 4-8-2 at home and 2-3-8 away. That's 1.43 points a game against 0.69. Home advantage is real in this sport, but a gap this size is bigger than the league-wide effect and usually narrows.

Current run

Toronto FC have lost 3 in a row. Form is the noisiest thing on this page — a five-match window in a sport this low-scoring is a handful of bounces, and the model weights a full season of results far more heavily than the last fortnight of them.

The shape of their games

Their matches are open at both ends. Both teams have scored in 78% of Toronto FC's matches, and 67% have gone past two and a half goals. Those two numbers are what the totals and both-teams-to-score markets on this club's fixtures get priced from.

How the model has done on them

The goal model has called 27 matches involving Toronto FC this season and got 12 right — 44%. That's behind the market on this club's matches, and we publish it rather than hide it. Every projection freezes at kickoff and gets scored against the result, wins and losses both. 27 matches is a small sample in a sport where a deflection settles games, so treat it as a record, not a forecast.

Next up

Toronto FC are at home to CF Montréal. The board above carries our win/draw/win probabilities for it, the goals total, both-teams-to-score, and the fair odds each of those implies — with the book's number beside ours wherever a book has hung one. 2 more fixtures follow on the schedule below.

Common questions

Where are Toronto FC in the MLS table?

Toronto FC are 13th on 29 points from 27 matches, with 39 goals scored and 51 goals conceded.

How many goals do Toronto FC score a game?

Toronto FC are averaging 1.44 goals a game this season and conceding 1.89. 67% of their matches have finished with three or more goals.

How many clean sheets have Toronto FC kept?

3 clean sheets in 27 matches.

Does MatchWiz predict Toronto FC matches?

Every Toronto FC fixture gets win/draw/win probabilities, a goals total and both-teams-to-score from our goal model, published with the book's line beside them. The model has called 27 matches of theirs this season and got 12 right. These are research signals, not betting advice, and no outcome is guaranteed.

Upcoming

Oct 10CF Montréal1:00 PM
Oct 14Orlando City SC7:30 PM
Oct 17@ Red Bull New York7:30 PM

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