Arsenal

Premier League · 2nd · 12 pts · GD +4

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Arsenal are 2nd in Premier League, 4-0-1, with 1.6 scored and 0.8 conceded a game — a goal difference built on the attack.

Next match

Oct 10 · 7:30 AM ET

MatchupProbProjWizLineMktWizEdge

7:30 AM ET

Proj1.5–0.8

Match page →

ArsenalHOME52%1.5proj-107fair-222mkt-17.3%

Draw29%—proj+246fair+424mktModel lean+9.8%

Leeds UnitedAWAY19%0.8proj+414fair+738mktModel lean+7.5%

O2.5 40% · mkt 53%BTTS 44%1H O1.5 28%

USA Net · Universo

This season

Premier League · 2026-27

Record4-0-15 played

Scored1.608 goals

Conceded0.804 against

Clean sheets3Of 5 matches

Both scored20%Of their matches

Over 2.560%Three goals or more

Home2-0-05–12 matches

Away2-0-13–33 matches

How the model graded them

2026-27

Win/draw/win4-180%

Over 2.53-260%

Both to score2-340%

Every pick the model made on Arsenal this season, wins and losses both. The three samples differ because a market only grades where a book quoted it. 5 matches is far too few to read anything into — soccer is a high-variance sport and a season is the horizon. Not betting advice.

In the table

Full Premier League table

#ClubPGDPts

Manchester City5+815

Arsenal5+412

Brighton & Hove Albion5+1110

Brentford5+69

Leeds United5+49

Liverpool5+39

Everton5+39

Arsenal's season

2026-27

Where they stand

Arsenal sit 2nd on 12 points after 5 matches. That's a continental place as it stands. That's 2.40 points a game.

Going forward

Arsenal have scored 8 goals in 5 matches — 1.6 a game. That's a healthy return — enough that they're rarely priced as the quiet half of a low-scoring game. 60% of their matches have finished with three goals or more.

At the back

Arsenal have conceded 4 goals, 0.8 a game. Concede at that rate and you're in most games before you've kicked a ball. They've kept 3 clean sheets — 60% of their matches.

Next up

Arsenal are at home to Leeds United. The board above carries our win/draw/win probabilities for it, the goals total, both-teams-to-score, and the fair odds each of those implies — with the book's number beside ours wherever a book has hung one. 6 more fixtures follow on the schedule below.